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AI trading agent · Daily log · GBP/USD (British pound) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent GBP/USD’s GBP/USD (British pound) 15-minute log, October 25, 2026

−$3.86 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 28 of 33 calls right. 19 tickets won, 5 lost.

On Sunday, October 25, 2026, Agent GBP/USD called 33 of 33 GBP/USD 15-minute windows and got 28 right. GBP/USD bought 24 tickets, only on the called side: 19 won and 5 lost, for −$3.86 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $20.56. GBP/USD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$5019−$7320−$8521+$3322+$5023+$1524
25−$426−$5427+$1428−$1229+$730+$1931
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$332+$534567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 25−$3.86peak $20.56start $1k
  2. Mon 26−$53.76peak $67.13start $1k
  3. Tue 27+$14.06peak $10.26start $1k
  4. Wed 28−$12.42peak $56.97start $1k
  5. Thu 29+$7.10peak $22.09start $1k
  6. Fri 30+$18.86peak $17.17start $1k
  7. Sat 31Closed

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$30.02 · highest peak $67.13 (Mon) · 320 of 382 calls right · 223 won, 61 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Sunday

12 AM–3 PM

+$15.273 of 3 right · 3 tickets

  1. 12–6 AM

    Sunday night

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

  2. Best session

    6 AM–3 PM

    Sunday day

    +$15.27

    3 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner2:15–2:30 PM+$6.28

The week reopens

3 PM–12 AM

−$19.1325 of 30 right · 21 tickets

  1. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    +$8.06

    10 of 10 right · 7 tickets

    Winner5:15–5:30 PM+$3.33

  2. 6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    −$27.19

    15 of 20 right · 14 tickets

    Winner11:45 PM–12:00 AM+$7.35

Best ticket
+$7.3511:45 PM–12:00 AM, Up
Worst ticket
−$10.398:00–8:15 PM, Down
Biggest ticket
$10.237:00–7:15 PM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 24 held

Trade log

Every window, October 25

−$3.86 closed · 19 won, 5 lost · 28 of 33 calls right · biggest ticket $10.23

  1. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown58%Correct+$6.28+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$9.440.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.28 (+67%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 2:27 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 59¢ = $9.44, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.72 · To win $6.28 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown35%Correct+$4.86+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.86 (+49%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 35%, low confidence, 2:42 PM PT
    Bought
    15 × 66¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.14 · To win $4.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown86%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 2:57 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.87 · To win $4.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  5. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp82%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 3:42 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown74%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 74%, high confidence, 3:57 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown90%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 90%, very high confidence, 4:27 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown100%Correct+$0.26+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$6.720.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.26 (+4%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 100%, very high confidence, 5:12 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 96¢ = $6.72, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.74 · To win $0.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown71%Correct+$3.33+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$9.490.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.33 (+35%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 5:27 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 73¢ = $9.49, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.67 · To win $3.33 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp96%Correct+$0.22+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$7.760.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.22 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 5:42 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 97¢ = $7.76, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $7.78 · To win $0.22 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  12. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  13. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown79%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 6:27 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.77 · To win $1.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown90%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  15. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp50%Correct+$2.13+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$4.760.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.13 (+45%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 50%, medium confidence, 6:57 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 68¢ = $4.76, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.87 · To win $2.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp91%Correct+$0.71+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$10.231.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.71 (+7%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 7:12 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 93¢ = $10.23, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.29 · To win $0.71 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown79%Correct+$1.06+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$1.890.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.06 (+56%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 7:27 PM PT
    Bought
    3 × 63¢ = $1.89, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.94 · To win $1.06 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  19. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  20. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown68%Missed−$10.39−104%45¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.39 (−104%)after $0.39 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 8:12 PM PT
    Bought
    22 × 45¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.39 · To win $11.61 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp60%Missed−$9.94−103%57¢ to 0¢settled$9.641.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.94 (−103%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 8:27 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 57¢ = $9.64, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.94 · To win $7.06 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown75%Correct+$0.64+48%66¢ to 100¢settled$1.320.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.64 (+48%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 8:42 PM PT
    Bought
    2 × 66¢ = $1.32, 0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.36 · To win $0.64 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown78%Correct+$2.82+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.82 (+28%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 8:57 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.18 · To win $2.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp92%Correct+$3.33+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$9.490.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.33 (+35%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 9:12 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 73¢ = $9.49, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.67 · To win $3.33 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp62%Correct+$3.99+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.99 (+41%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 62%, medium confidence, 9:42 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.01 · To win $3.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp82%Missed−$9.74−101%80¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.74 (−101%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 9:57 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.74 · To win $2.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown84%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 10:12 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  29. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  30. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown84%Missed−$10.32−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$10.031.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.32 (−103%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 10:57 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 59¢ = $10.03, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.32 · To win $6.68 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  32. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown64%Missed−$9.86−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$9.541.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.86 (−103%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 11:42 PM PT
    Bought
    18 × 53¢ = $9.54, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.86 · To win $8.14 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp61%Correct+$7.35+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.35 (+79%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 61%, medium confidence, 11:57 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 55¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.65 · To win $7.35 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of GBP/USD’s trading for Oct 25, 2026.

  • 33Windows
  • 33Calls
  • 24Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

c6e6bf1fe386b26b6ecb8292090342aa7f6c26f185089b5cb681814d338ede26

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

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October 25 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent GBP/USD make money on October 25, 2026?
No. GBP/USD lost $3.86 on a $1,000 bankroll: 28 of 33 calls right, 19 tickets won and 5 lost. The best session was Sunday day (+$15.27) and the worst was China open (−$27.19).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute GBP/USD contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether GBP/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: GBP/USD’s record since launch is −$13.08. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

GBP/USD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.