AI trading agent · Daily log · GBP/USD (British pound) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent GBP/USD’s GBP/USD (British pound) 15-minute log, October 20, 2026

−$84.62 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 70 of 90 calls right. 52 tickets won, 20 lost.

On Tuesday, October 20, 2026, Agent GBP/USD called 90 of 90 GBP/USD 15-minute windows and got 70 right. GBP/USD bought 72 tickets, only on the called side: 52 won and 20 lost, for −$84.62 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $99.04. GBP/USD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18+$50	19−$73	20−$85	21+$33	22+$50	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	31

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$24.63 · highest peak $99.04 (Tue) · 228 of 288 calls right · 167 won, 59 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$71.9614 of 23 right · 17 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$78.11
10 of 19 right · 14 tickets
Winner12:30–12:45 AM+$3.33
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$6.15
4 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$3.19

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

+$9.5620 of 23 right · 16 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$4.67
1 of 2 right · 1 ticket
No winning ticket
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$5.44
15 of 17 right · 13 tickets
Winner8:15–8:30 AM+$6.76
Best session
12–1 PM
Final hour
+$8.79
4 of 4 right · 2 tickets
Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$7.86

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$22.2236 of 44 right · 39 tickets

1–3 PM
After the close
+$6.52
7 of 8 right · 8 tickets
Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$4.81
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
−$21.99
10 of 14 right · 13 tickets
Winner3:30–3:45 PM+$3.70
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
−$6.75
19 of 22 right · 18 tickets
Winner11:15–11:30 PM+$4.08

Best ticket: +$7.8612:30–12:45 PM, Up
Worst ticket: −$10.2212:45–1:00 AM, Down
Biggest ticket: $9.9612:00–12:15 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 72 held

Trade log

Every window, October 20

−$84.62 closed · 52 won, 20 lost · 70 of 90 calls right · biggest ticket $9.96

12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown91%Missed−$10.08−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.08 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 91%, very high confidence, 12:12 AM PT
Bought
12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown67%Correct+$1.13+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$9.791.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.13 (+12%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 67%, medium confidence, 12:27 AM PT
Bought
11 × 89¢ = $9.79, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp71%Correct+$3.33+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$9.490.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.33 (+35%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 71%, medium confidence, 12:42 AM PT
Bought
13 × 73¢ = $9.49, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown53%Missed−$10.22−103%55¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.22 (−103%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 53%, medium confidence, 12:57 AM PT
Bought
18 × 55¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp92%Missed−$9.35−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.35 (−101%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 92%, very high confidence, 1:12 AM PT
Bought
11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp78%Missed−$9.35−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.35 (−101%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 78%, high confidence, 1:27 AM PT
Bought
11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown55%Missed−$9.03−101%81¢ to 0¢settled$8.910.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.03 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 55%, medium confidence, 1:42 AM PT
Bought
11 × 81¢ = $8.91, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown94%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 94%, very high confidence, 2:12 AM PT
Bought
9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp56%Missed−$9.46−102%66¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.46 (−102%)after $0.22 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 56%, medium confidence, 2:42 AM PT
Bought
14 × 66¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp70%Missed−$9.32−104%50¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.32 (−104%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 70%, medium confidence, 3:12 AM PT
Bought
18 × 50¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown52%Missed−$9.35−104%45¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.35 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 52%, medium confidence, 3:42 AM PT
Bought
20 × 45¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown94%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 94%, very high confidence, 3:57 AM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp79%Correct+$2.18+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$8.690.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.18 (+25%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 79%, high confidence, 4:42 AM PT
Bought
11 × 79¢ = $8.69, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown50%Missed−$9.17−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$8.970.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.17 (−102%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 50%, medium confidence, 4:57 AM PT
Bought
13 × 69¢ = $8.97, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp93%Correct+$0.89+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$4.050.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.89 (+22%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 93%, very high confidence, 5:42 AM PT
Bought
5 × 81¢ = $4.05, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown54%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 54%, medium confidence, 5:57 AM PT
Bought
11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp69%Correct+$3.19+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.19 (+37%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 69%, medium confidence, 6:12 AM PT
Bought
12 × 72¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown65¢Missed−$4.67−103%65¢ to 0¢settled$4.550.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$4.67 (−103%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 65¢, the market’s price, 7:12 AM PT
Bought
7 × 65¢ = $4.55, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown94%Correct+$0.58+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$8.370.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.58 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 94%, very high confidence, 7:42 AM PT
Bought
9 × 93¢ = $8.37, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown86%Correct+$0.85+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$6.090.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.85 (+14%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 86%, very high confidence, 8:12 AM PT
Bought
7 × 87¢ = $6.09, 0.6% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp55%Correct+$6.76+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$8.960.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.76 (+75%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 55%, medium confidence, 8:27 AM PT
Bought
16 × 56¢ = $8.96, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp71%Correct+$2.18+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$8.690.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.18 (+25%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 71%, medium confidence, 8:57 AM PT
Bought
11 × 79¢ = $8.69, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp76%Correct+$1.31+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.31 (+15%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 76%, high confidence, 9:27 AM PT
Bought
10 × 86¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp89%Correct+$2.84+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.84 (+32%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 89%, very high confidence, 9:42 AM PT
Bought
12 × 75¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown88%Correct+$0.43+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$8.540.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.43 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 88%, very high confidence, 9:57 AM PT
Bought
9 × 95¢ = $8.54, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp90%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 90%, very high confidence, 10:12 AM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown73%Missed−$9.14−101%82¢ to 0¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.14 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 73%, high confidence, 10:42 AM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown71%Missed−$8.82−101%79¢ to 0¢settled$8.690.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.82 (−101%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 10:57 AM PT
Bought
11 × 79¢ = $8.69, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp84%Correct+$0.84+20%82¢ to 100¢settled$4.100.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.84 (+20%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 84%, very high confidence, 11:12 AM PT
Bought
5 × 82¢ = $4.10, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp80%Correct+$6.60+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.60 (+72%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 80%, high confidence, 11:27 AM PT
Bought
16 × 57¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp90%Correct+$0.76+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.180.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.76 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 90%, very high confidence, 11:57 AM PT
Bought
10 × 92¢ = $9.18, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp83%Correct+$0.93+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.93 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 83%, very high confidence, 12:27 PM PT
Bought
10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp74%Correct+$7.86+89%52¢ to 100¢settled$8.840.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.86 (+89%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 74%, high confidence, 12:42 PM PT
Bought
17 × 52¢ = $8.84, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown61%Correct+$4.81+54%64¢ to 100¢settled$8.960.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.81 (+54%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 61%, medium confidence, 1:12 PM PT
Bought
14 × 64¢ = $8.96, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp68%Correct+$1.22+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$8.700.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.22 (+14%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 1:27 PM PT
Bought
10 × 87¢ = $8.70, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMUp88%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 1:42 PM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown96%Correct+$0.44+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$8.530.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.44 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 96%, very high confidence, 1:57 PM PT
Bought
9 × 95¢ = $8.53, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMDown90¢Missed−$9.07−101%90¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.07 (−101%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 90¢, the market’s price, 2:12 PM PT
Bought
10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMUp93%Correct+$3.96+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$8.840.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.96 (+45%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 93%, very high confidence, 2:27 PM PT
Bought
13 × 68¢ = $8.84, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown81%Correct+$4.65+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$6.160.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.65 (+75%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 81%, high confidence, 2:42 PM PT
Bought
11 × 56¢ = $6.16, 0.6% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown89%Correct+$0.26+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.720.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.26 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 89%, very high confidence, 2:57 PM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.72, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMUp68%Missed−$10.00−106%12¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.00 (−106%)after $0.60 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 3:12 PM PT
Bought
81 × 12¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown72%Correct+$1.22+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$8.700.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.22 (+14%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 72%, medium confidence, 3:27 PM PT
Bought
10 × 87¢ = $8.70, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown63%Correct+$3.70+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.70 (+41%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 63%, medium confidence, 3:42 PM PT
Bought
13 × 70¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown71%Correct+$0.93+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.93 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 3:57 PM PT
Bought
10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown58%Missed−$9.68−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.68 (−103%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 58%, medium confidence, 4:27 PM PT
Bought
18 × 52¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp55%Missed−$9.17−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$8.970.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.17 (−102%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 55%, medium confidence, 4:42 PM PT
Bought
13 × 69¢ = $8.97, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown85%Correct+$1.76+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.130.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.76 (+19%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 85%, very high confidence, 4:57 PM PT
Bought
11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp86%Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 86%, very high confidence, 5:12 PM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown97%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 97%, very high confidence, 5:27 PM PT
Bought
11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp94%Correct+$0.84+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.84 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 94%, very high confidence, 5:42 PM PT
Bought
10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown21%Correct+$2.28+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.28 (+27%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 21%, low confidence, 5:57 PM PT
Bought
11 × 78¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown67%Correct+$2.18+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$8.690.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.18 (+25%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 67%, medium confidence, 6:12 PM PT
Bought
11 × 79¢ = $8.69, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown75%Missed−$9.56−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$9.280.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.56 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 75%, high confidence, 6:27 PM PT
Bought
16 × 58¢ = $9.28, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown65%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 65%, medium confidence, 6:42 PM PT
Bought
11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp76%Correct+$2.18+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$8.690.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.18 (+25%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 76%, high confidence, 6:57 PM PT
Bought
11 × 79¢ = $8.69, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown93%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 93%, very high confidence, 7:27 PM PT
Bought
9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown64%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 64%, medium confidence, 7:57 PM PT
Bought
11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp74%Correct+$1.41+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$8.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.41 (+17%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 74%, high confidence, 8:12 PM PT
Bought
10 × 85¢ = $8.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp85%Correct+$2.72+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.72 (+30%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 85%, very high confidence, 8:27 PM PT
Bought
12 × 76¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown61%Missed−$9.40−103%61¢ to 0¢settled$9.150.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.40 (−103%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 61%, medium confidence, 8:42 PM PT
Bought
15 × 61¢ = $9.15, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown98%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 98%, very high confidence, 8:57 PM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown100%Correct+$0.42+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.42 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 100%, very high confidence, 9:27 PM PT
Bought
9 × 95¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown61%Missed−$9.32−104%50¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.32 (−104%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 61%, medium confidence, 9:42 PM PT
Bought
18 × 50¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown87%Correct+$0.84+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.84 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 87%, very high confidence, 9:57 PM PT
Bought
10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp88%Correct+$3.07+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$8.760.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.07 (+35%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 10:12 PM PT
Bought
12 × 73¢ = $8.76, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown71%Missed−$9.17−104%40¢ to 0¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.17 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 10:27 PM PT
Bought
22 × 40¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown87%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 87%, very high confidence, 10:42 PM PT
Bought
9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown99%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 99%, very high confidence, 10:57 PM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp56%Correct+$4.08+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$8.710.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.08 (+47%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 56%, medium confidence, 11:27 PM PT
Bought
13 × 67¢ = $8.71, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp87%Correct+$0.84+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.84 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 87%, very high confidence, 11:42 PM PT
Bought
10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown67%Correct+$0.28+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$2.700.3%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.28 (+10%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 67%, medium confidence, 11:57 PM PT
Bought
3 × 90¢ = $2.70, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of GBP/USD’s trading for Oct 20, 2026.

90Windows
90Calls
72Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

9e06a5a3a9b4e8dc7a6e7f6fa514a956c3e0896f5402fac64605d5af7095f9d8

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

Request the original file

Investors, researchers and partners can request the original data file and the records behind this day.

Request the file

Corrections

We never edit a published day. If anything turns out to be wrong, we add a dated note here and leave the original numbers and file in place.

No corrections.

Request the original file for Oct 20, 2026

October 20 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent GBP/USD make money on October 20, 2026?: No. GBP/USD lost $84.62 on a $1,000 bankroll: 70 of 90 calls right, 52 tickets won and 20 lost. The best session was Final hour (+$8.79) and the worst was Pre-market (−$78.11).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute GBP/USD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether GBP/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: GBP/USD’s record since launch is −$107.58. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 20, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $915.38
Day, net: −$84.62

Peak bankroll used$99.04

$900.96 (90%) never touched · 72 tickets

Calls right: 70 of 900 passes · 90 windows
Tickets: 52 won, 20 lost
All-time calls right: 90 of 122since Oct 18
Since launch: −$107.5866 won, 32 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch GBP/USD on the GBP/USD desk

Trade on Kalshi

GBP/USD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

01Store of valueDigital gold

02Smart-contract platformsChains that run apps

03PaymentsMoney that moves

04Meme coinsCoins the internet loves

05Privacy coinsShielded payments

01MajorsThe most traded pairs

02Commodity currenciesAustralian and Canadian dollars

01Precious metalsStores of value

02EnergyWhat the world burns

03Industrial metalsWhat the world builds

01Sports and card agentsParlays, fights, goals and cards, every one graded

02Our writersOne beat each, every plan graded in public

AI agent GBP/USD’s GBP/USD (British pound) 15-minute log, October 20, 2026

Week of October 18

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

After the close

Futures and Tokyo

China open