AI trading agent · Daily log · EUR/USD (euro) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent EUR/USD’s EUR/USD (euro) 15-minute log, October 20, 2026

−$114.47 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 34 of 96 calls right. 33 tickets won, 62 lost.

On Tuesday, October 20, 2026, Agent EUR/USD called 96 of 96 EUR/USD 15-minute windows and got 34 right. EUR/USD bought 95 tickets, only on the called side: 33 won and 62 lost, for −$114.47 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $196.50. EUR/USD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18−$31	19−$57	20−$114	21−$181	22−$32	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	31

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$415.89 · highest peak $196.50 (Tue) · 111 of 310 calls right · 110 won, 199 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$63.878 of 26 right · 26 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$29.58
8 of 22 right · 22 tickets
Winner2:30–2:45 AM+$20.92
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
−$34.29
0 of 4 right · 4 tickets
No winning ticket

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$98.715 of 26 right · 25 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$28.73
1 of 4 right · 3 tickets
No winning ticket
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
−$34.55
4 of 18 right · 18 tickets
Winner8:45–9:00 AM+$30.71
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$35.43
0 of 4 right · 4 tickets
No winning ticket

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$48.1121 of 44 right · 44 tickets

1–3 PM
After the close
−$8.31
3 of 8 right · 8 tickets
Winner2:45–3:00 PM+$17.55
Best session
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$43.19
8 of 14 right · 14 tickets
Winner6:00–6:15 PM+$34.36
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$13.23
10 of 22 right · 22 tickets
Winner8:00–8:15 PM+$20.17

Best ticket: +$34.366:00–6:15 PM, Up
Worst ticket: −$10.3912:30–12:45 AM, Up
Biggest ticket: $9.9012:30–12:45 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 95 held

Trade log

Every window, October 20

−$114.47 closed · 33 won, 62 lost · 34 of 96 calls right · biggest ticket $9.90

12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown57%Missed−$9.95−104%48¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.95 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 57%, medium confidence, 12:02 AM PT
Bought
20 × 48¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp60%Correct+$9.85+101%49¢ to 100¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.85 (+101%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 60%, medium confidence, 12:17 AM PT
Bought
20 × 49¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp42%Missed−$10.39−105%30¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.39 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 42%, low confidence, 12:32 AM PT
Bought
33 × 30¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp61%Missed−$10.24−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$9.871.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.24 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 61%, medium confidence, 12:47 AM PT
Bought
21 × 47¢ = $9.87, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp46%Correct+$17.12+181%35¢ to 100¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$17.12 (+181%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 46%, low confidence, 1:02 AM PT
Bought
27 × 35¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp65%Correct+$10.05+105%48¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$10.05 (+105%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 65%, medium confidence, 1:18 AM PT
Bought
20 × 48¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown44%Missed−$10.36−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.36 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 44%, low confidence, 1:37 AM PT
Bought
34 × 29¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp40%Missed−$10.25−105%35¢ to 0¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.25 (−105%)after $0.45 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 40%, low confidence, 1:48 AM PT
Bought
28 × 35¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp50%Missed−$10.05−104%37¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.05 (−104%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 50%, medium confidence, 2:02 AM PT
Bought
26 × 37¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown24%Missed−$10.34−106%9¢ to 0¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.34 (−106%)after $0.62 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 24%, low confidence, 2:17 AM PT
Bought
108 × 9¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown50%Correct+$20.92+218%31¢ to 100¢settled$9.611.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$20.92 (+218%)after $0.47 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 50%, medium confidence, 2:32 AM PT
Bought
31 × 31¢ = $9.61, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp56%Missed−$10.08−105%30¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.08 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 56%, medium confidence, 2:47 AM PT
Bought
32 × 30¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown36%Missed−$10.12−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.12 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 36%, low confidence, 3:03 AM PT
Bought
37 × 26¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp45%Missed−$10.05−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.05 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 45%, low confidence, 3:17 AM PT
Bought
33 × 29¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp39%Missed−$9.85−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.85 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 39%, low confidence, 3:32 AM PT
Bought
36 × 26¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp57%Missed−$5.13−105%35¢ to 0¢settled$4.900.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$5.13 (−105%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 57%, medium confidence, 3:51 AM PT
Bought
14 × 35¢ = $4.90, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp71%Correct+$5.74+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.74 (+64%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 71%, medium confidence, 4:03 AM PT
Bought
15 × 60¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown62%Correct+$11.39+123%44¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$11.39 (+123%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 4:19 AM PT
Bought
21 × 44¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp49%Correct+$14.24+152%39¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$14.24 (+152%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 49%, low confidence, 4:32 AM PT
Bought
24 × 39¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown40%Missed−$10.00−105%25¢ to 0¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.00 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 40%, low confidence, 4:48 AM PT
Bought
38 × 25¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown36%Missed−$10.12−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.12 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 36%, low confidence, 5:02 AM PT
Bought
37 × 26¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp50%Correct+$18.04+189%34¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$18.04 (+189%)after $0.44 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 50%, medium confidence, 5:17 AM PT
Bought
28 × 34¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown32%Missed−$5.10−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$4.830.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$5.10 (−106%)after $0.27 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 32%, low confidence, 5:32 AM PT
Bought
23 × 21¢ = $4.83, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp76%Missed−$9.70−103%63¢ to 0¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.70 (−103%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 76%, high confidence, 5:47 AM PT
Bought
15 × 63¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp38%Missed−$9.75−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$9.280.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.75 (−105%)after $0.47 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 38%, low confidence, 6:02 AM PT
Bought
32 × 29¢ = $9.28, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown45%Missed−$9.74−105%25¢ to 0¢settled$9.250.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.74 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 45%, low confidence, 6:17 AM PT
Bought
37 × 25¢ = $9.25, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown33%Missed−$9.90−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.90 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 33%, low confidence, 6:32 AM PT
Bought
52 × 18¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown38%Missed−$9.43−105%31¢ to 0¢settled$8.990.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.43 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 38%, low confidence, 6:47 AM PT
Bought
29 × 31¢ = $8.99, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDownCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown59%Missed−$9.40−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$9.030.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.40 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 59%, medium confidence, 7:18 AM PT
Bought
21 × 43¢ = $9.03, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp49%Missed−$9.30−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$8.840.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.30 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 49%, low confidence, 7:33 AM PT
Bought
34 × 26¢ = $8.84, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp26%Missed−$9.33−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$8.820.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.33 (−106%)after $0.51 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 26%, low confidence, 7:47 AM PT
Bought
49 × 18¢ = $8.82, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp42%Missed−$9.03−105%36¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.03 (−105%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 42%, low confidence, 8:02 AM PT
Bought
24 × 36¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown35%Correct+$25.79+295%25¢ to 100¢settled$8.750.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$25.79 (+295%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 35%, low confidence, 8:17 AM PT
Bought
35 × 25¢ = $8.75, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp45%Missed−$9.28−105%37¢ to 0¢settled$8.880.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.28 (−105%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 45%, low confidence, 8:32 AM PT
Bought
24 × 37¢ = $8.88, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp32%Correct+$30.71+349%22¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$30.71 (+349%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 32%, low confidence, 8:47 AM PT
Bought
40 × 22¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp44%Missed−$9.52−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.52 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 44%, low confidence, 9:02 AM PT
Bought
24 × 38¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp67%Correct+$12.83+146%40¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$12.83 (+146%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 67%, medium confidence, 9:17 AM PT
Bought
22 × 40¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown41%Missed−$9.76−105%30¢ to 0¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.76 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 41%, low confidence, 9:33 AM PT
Bought
31 × 30¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp37%Missed−$9.61−105%24¢ to 0¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.61 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 37%, low confidence, 9:47 AM PT
Bought
38 × 24¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp41%Missed−$9.52−106%22¢ to 0¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.52 (−106%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 41%, low confidence, 10:02 AM PT
Bought
41 × 22¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown48%Missed−$9.17−104%40¢ to 0¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.17 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 48%, low confidence, 10:18 AM PT
Bought
22 × 40¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown36%Missed−$9.37−105%27¢ to 0¢settled$8.910.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.37 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 36%, low confidence, 10:34 AM PT
Bought
33 × 27¢ = $8.91, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp65%Missed−$8.76−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$8.480.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.76 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 65%, medium confidence, 10:47 AM PT
Bought
16 × 53¢ = $8.48, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp64%Missed−$4.39−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$4.230.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$4.39 (−104%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 64%, medium confidence, 11:02 AM PT
Bought
9 × 47¢ = $4.23, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown53%Missed−$9.06−105%32¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.06 (−105%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 53%, medium confidence, 11:18 AM PT
Bought
27 × 32¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown50%Missed−$8.95−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.95 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 50%, medium confidence, 11:32 AM PT
Bought
20 × 43¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown36%Correct+$21.17+252%28¢ to 100¢settled$8.400.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$21.17 (+252%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 36%, low confidence, 11:47 AM PT
Bought
30 × 28¢ = $8.40, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp63%Missed−$8.78−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$8.460.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.78 (−104%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 63%, medium confidence, 12:02 PM PT
Bought
18 × 47¢ = $8.46, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown62%Missed−$8.97−104%41¢ to 0¢settled$8.610.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.97 (−104%)after $0.36 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 12:17 PM PT
Bought
21 × 41¢ = $8.61, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp49%Missed−$8.95−105%25¢ to 0¢settled$8.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.95 (−105%)after $0.45 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 49%, low confidence, 12:32 PM PT
Bought
34 × 25¢ = $8.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp53%Missed−$8.73−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$8.360.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.73 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 53%, medium confidence, 12:47 PM PT
Bought
22 × 38¢ = $8.36, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown38%Missed−$8.76−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$8.280.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.76 (−106%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 38%, low confidence, 1:02 PM PT
Bought
46 × 18¢ = $8.28, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown54%Missed−$8.50−104%37¢ to 0¢settled$8.140.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.50 (−104%)after $0.36 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 54%, medium confidence, 1:17 PM PT
Bought
22 × 37¢ = $8.14, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown43%Correct+$15.47+190%34¢ to 100¢settled$8.150.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$15.47 (+190%)after $0.38 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 43%, low confidence, 1:33 PM PT
Bought
24 × 34¢ = $8.15, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown47%Missed−$8.42−105%35¢ to 0¢settled$8.050.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.42 (−105%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 47%, low confidence, 1:47 PM PT
Bought
23 × 35¢ = $8.05, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMDown88¢Correct+$1.01+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$7.920.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.01 (+13%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 88¢, the market’s price, 2:12 PM PT
Bought
9 × 88¢ = $7.92, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMUp49%Missed−$8.33−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$7.980.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.33 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 49%, low confidence, 2:17 PM PT
Bought
21 × 38¢ = $7.98, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown48%Missed−$8.33−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$7.980.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.33 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 48%, low confidence, 2:32 PM PT
Bought
21 × 38¢ = $7.98, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown39%Correct+$17.55+218%31¢ to 100¢settled$8.060.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$17.55 (+218%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 39%, low confidence, 2:50 PM PT
Bought
26 × 31¢ = $8.06, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown63%Correct+$5.77+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$7.980.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.77 (+72%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 63%, medium confidence, 3:02 PM PT
Bought
14 × 57¢ = $7.98, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown32%Correct+$18.68+311%24¢ to 100¢settled$6.000.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$18.68 (+311%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 32%, low confidence, 3:17 PM PT
Bought
25 × 24¢ = $6.00, 0.6% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown78%Correct+$7.40+89%52¢ to 100¢settled$8.320.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.40 (+89%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 78%, high confidence, 3:32 PM PT
Bought
16 × 52¢ = $8.32, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp25%Missed−$9.04−106%19¢ to 0¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.04 (−106%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 25%, low confidence, 3:47 PM PT
Bought
45 × 19¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp54%Correct+$10.50+129%43¢ to 100¢settled$8.170.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$10.50 (+129%)after $0.33 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 54%, medium confidence, 4:02 PM PT
Bought
19 × 43¢ = $8.17, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown58%Correct+$8.54+105%48¢ to 100¢settled$8.160.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.54 (+105%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 58%, medium confidence, 4:17 PM PT
Bought
17 × 48¢ = $8.16, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown35%Missed−$9.04−106%19¢ to 0¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.04 (−106%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 35%, low confidence, 4:32 PM PT
Bought
45 × 19¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown71%Correct+$6.63+82%54¢ to 100¢settled$8.100.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.63 (+82%)after $0.27 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 4:49 PM PT
Bought
15 × 54¢ = $8.10, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown24%Missed−$9.11−106%13¢ to 0¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.11 (−106%)after $0.53 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 24%, low confidence, 5:02 PM PT
Bought
66 × 13¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp25%Missed−$9.00−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$8.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.00 (−106%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 25%, low confidence, 5:17 PM PT
Bought
50 × 17¢ = $8.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown17%Missed−$9.00−106%9¢ to 0¢settled$8.460.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.00 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 17%, low confidence, 5:35 PM PT
Bought
94 × 9¢ = $8.46, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp48%Missed−$8.72−105%32¢ to 0¢settled$8.320.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.72 (−105%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 48%, low confidence, 5:47 PM PT
Bought
26 × 32¢ = $8.32, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp28%Correct+$34.36+421%19¢ to 100¢settled$8.170.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$34.36 (+421%)after $0.47 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 28%, low confidence, 6:02 PM PT
Bought
43 × 19¢ = $8.17, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown72%Correct+$5.22+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$8.540.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.22 (+61%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 72%, medium confidence, 6:18 PM PT
Bought
14 × 61¢ = $8.54, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp60%Missed−$8.88−104%45¢ to 0¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.88 (−104%)after $0.33 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 60%, medium confidence, 6:33 PM PT
Bought
19 × 45¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp43%Correct+$17.28+208%32¢ to 100¢settled$8.320.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$17.28 (+208%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 43%, low confidence, 6:47 PM PT
Bought
26 × 32¢ = $8.32, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown52%Missed−$8.88−104%45¢ to 0¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.88 (−104%)after $0.33 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 52%, medium confidence, 7:02 PM PT
Bought
19 × 45¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp35%Missed−$9.20−106%8¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.20 (−106%)after $0.56 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 35%, low confidence, 7:17 PM PT
Bought
108 × 8¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp38%Missed−$9.05−105%22¢ to 0¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.05 (−105%)after $0.47 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 38%, low confidence, 7:32 PM PT
Bought
39 × 22¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown43%Correct+$15.21+181%35¢ to 100¢settled$8.400.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$15.21 (+181%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 43%, low confidence, 7:47 PM PT
Bought
24 × 35¢ = $8.40, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown41%Correct+$20.17+240%29¢ to 100¢settled$8.410.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$20.17 (+240%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 41%, low confidence, 8:03 PM PT
Bought
29 × 29¢ = $8.41, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown40%Missed−$8.99−105%33¢ to 0¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.99 (−105%)after $0.41 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 40%, low confidence, 8:17 PM PT
Bought
26 × 33¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp63%Missed−$8.66−103%56¢ to 0¢settled$8.400.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.66 (−103%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 63%, medium confidence, 8:32 PM PT
Bought
15 × 56¢ = $8.40, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp30%Missed−$9.14−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.14 (−106%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 30%, low confidence, 8:47 PM PT
Bought
48 × 18¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp64%Correct+$6.19+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.19 (+72%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 64%, medium confidence, 9:02 PM PT
Bought
15 × 57¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp67%Missed−$8.66−103%56¢ to 0¢settled$8.400.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.66 (−103%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 67%, medium confidence, 9:17 PM PT
Bought
15 × 56¢ = $8.40, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown49%Correct+$11.46+140%41¢ to 100¢settled$8.200.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$11.46 (+140%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 49%, low confidence, 9:32 PM PT
Bought
20 × 41¢ = $8.20, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp68%Missed−$8.78−103%61¢ to 0¢settled$8.540.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.78 (−103%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 9:47 PM PT
Bought
14 × 61¢ = $8.54, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown51%Missed−$8.90−105%34¢ to 0¢settled$8.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.90 (−105%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 51%, medium confidence, 10:02 PM PT
Bought
25 × 34¢ = $8.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp41%Missed−$8.85−105%24¢ to 0¢settled$8.400.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.85 (−105%)after $0.45 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 41%, low confidence, 10:17 PM PT
Bought
35 × 24¢ = $8.40, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp62%Correct+$15.46+189%34¢ to 100¢settled$8.160.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$15.46 (+189%)after $0.38 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 62%, medium confidence, 10:32 PM PT
Bought
24 × 34¢ = $8.16, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown55%Correct+$11.05+128%43¢ to 100¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$11.05 (+128%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 55%, medium confidence, 10:47 PM PT
Bought
20 × 43¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown59%Correct+$9.04+105%48¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.04 (+105%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 59%, medium confidence, 11:02 PM PT
Bought
18 × 48¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp46%Missed−$9.03−105%36¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.03 (−105%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 46%, low confidence, 11:17 PM PT
Bought
24 × 36¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp85%Correct+$4.08+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$8.710.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.08 (+47%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 85%, very high confidence, 11:33 PM PT
Bought
13 × 67¢ = $8.71, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown51%Correct+$10.31+123%44¢ to 100¢settled$8.360.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$10.31 (+123%)after $0.33 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 51%, medium confidence, 11:47 PM PT
Bought
19 × 44¢ = $8.36, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of EUR/USD’s trading for Oct 20, 2026.

96Windows
96Calls
95Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

d970a72bbccd2cd7ca2f54399ae7c8429bf01f5517f42522ec1630f81432616d

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

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A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 20 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent EUR/USD make money on October 20, 2026?: No. EUR/USD lost $114.47 on a $1,000 bankroll: 34 of 96 calls right, 33 tickets won and 62 lost. The best session was Futures and Tokyo (+$43.19) and the worst was Final hour (−$35.43).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute EUR/USD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether EUR/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: EUR/USD’s record since launch is −$202.96. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 20, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $885.53
Day, net: −$114.47

Peak bankroll used$196.50

$803.50 (80%) never touched · 95 tickets

Calls right: 34 of 960 passes · 96 windows
Tickets: 33 won, 62 lost
All-time calls right: 41 of 128since Oct 18
Since launch: −$202.9640 won, 87 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch EUR/USD on the EUR/USD desk

Trade on Kalshi

EUR/USD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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AI agent EUR/USD’s EUR/USD (euro) 15-minute log, October 20, 2026

Week of October 18

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

After the close

Futures and Tokyo

China open