AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 20, 2026

+$80.05 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 69 of 95 calls right. 65 tickets won, 26 lost.

On Tuesday, October 20, 2026, Agent USD/CAD called 95 of 95 USD/CAD 15-minute windows and got 69 right. USD/CAD bought 91 tickets, only on the called side: 65 won and 26 lost, for +$80.05 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $55.07. USD/CAD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18+$2	19−$151	20+$80	21−$43	22+$15	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	31

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$97.69 · highest peak $161.74 (Mon) · 205 of 320 calls right · 193 won, 115 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$7.5218 of 26 right · 24 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$13.44
14 of 22 right · 20 tickets
Winner2:00–2:15 AM+$35.80
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$5.92
4 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:15–6:30 AM+$2.38

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

+$60.1417 of 25 right · 23 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
+$7.61
3 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner7:00–7:15 AM+$4.25
Best session
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$53.86
11 of 18 right · 17 tickets
Winner11:45 AM–12:00 PM+$85.79
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$1.33
3 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner12:15–12:30 PM+$8.59

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$27.4334 of 44 right · 44 tickets

1–3 PM
After the close
−$1.32
6 of 8 right · 8 tickets
Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$6.51
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
−$11.41
10 of 14 right · 14 tickets
Winner3:45–4:00 PM+$7.60
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$40.16
18 of 22 right · 22 tickets
Winner9:00–9:15 PM+$10.34

Best ticket: +$85.7911:45 AM–12:00 PM, Down
Worst ticket: −$11.3211:45 PM–12:00 AM, Down
Biggest ticket: $10.7511:45 PM–12:00 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 91 held

Trade log

Every window, October 20

+$80.05 closed · 65 won, 26 lost · 69 of 95 calls right · biggest ticket $10.75

12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp9%Missed−$10.67−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.67 (−107%)after $0.67 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 9%, low confidence, 12:10 AM PT
Bought
200 × 5¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp62%Missed−$9.72−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$9.440.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.72 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 62%, medium confidence, 12:21 AM PT
Bought
16 × 59¢ = $9.44, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp30%Missed−$10.14−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.14 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 30%, low confidence, 12:36 AM PT
Bought
48 × 20¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown74%Correct+$2.84+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.84 (+32%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 74%, high confidence, 12:52 AM PT
Bought
12 × 75¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp23%Missed−$10.00−105%28¢ to 0¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.00 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 23%, low confidence, 1:06 AM PT
Bought
34 × 28¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp87%Correct+$0.56+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.56 (+6%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 87%, very high confidence, 1:21 AM PT
Bought
10 × 94¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown63%Correct+$7.18+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.18 (+75%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 63%, medium confidence, 1:36 AM PT
Bought
17 × 56¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp26%Correct+$35.80+371%21¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$35.80 (+371%)after $0.54 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 26%, low confidence, 2:06 AM PT
Bought
46 × 21¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown78%Correct+$1.92+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.92 (+19%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 78%, high confidence, 2:21 AM PT
Bought
12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown62%Correct+$1.34+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.34 (+14%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 2:36 AM PT
Bought
11 × 87¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown31%Missed−$10.39−105%30¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.39 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 31%, low confidence, 2:52 AM PT
Bought
33 × 30¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown82%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82%, high confidence, 3:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp60%Correct+$6.21+65%59¢ to 100¢settled$9.511.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.21 (+65%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 60%, medium confidence, 3:21 AM PT
Bought
16 × 59¢ = $9.51, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp52%Missed−$10.42−104%40¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.42 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 3:36 AM PT
Bought
25 × 40¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp52%Correct+$1.34+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.34 (+14%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 3:52 AM PT
Bought
11 × 87¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp42%Missed−$10.24−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$9.871.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.24 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 42%, low confidence, 4:21 AM PT
Bought
21 × 47¢ = $9.87, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp49%Correct+$9.16+96%50¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.16 (+96%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 49%, low confidence, 4:36 AM PT
Bought
19 × 50¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown75%Missed−$9.60−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$9.380.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.60 (−102%)after $0.22 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 75%, high confidence, 4:51 AM PT
Bought
14 × 67¢ = $9.38, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown94%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 94%, very high confidence, 5:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown92%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 92%, very high confidence, 5:21 AM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp59%Correct+$1.24+26%78¢ to 100¢settled$4.680.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.24 (+26%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 59%, medium confidence, 5:36 AM PT
Bought
6 × 78¢ = $4.68, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp97%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 97%, very high confidence, 5:51 AM PT
Bought
10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown64%Correct+$2.03+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.03 (+21%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 64%, medium confidence, 6:06 AM PT
Bought
12 × 82¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown70%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 70%, medium confidence, 6:21 AM PT
Bought
12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown75%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 75%, high confidence, 6:36 AM PT
Bought
13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp51¢Correct+$4.25+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$4.590.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.25 (+93%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 51¢, the market’s price, 7:06 AM PT
Bought
9 × 51¢ = $4.59, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown76%Correct+$0.16+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$2.820.3%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.16 (+6%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 76%, high confidence, 7:21 AM PT
Bought
3 × 94¢ = $2.82, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp39%Missed−$10.45−106%22¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.45 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 39%, low confidence, 7:36 AM PT
Bought
45 × 22¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp92%Correct+$1.13+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$9.791.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.13 (+12%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 92%, very high confidence, 7:51 AM PT
Bought
11 × 89¢ = $9.79, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp47%Correct+$7.01+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.01 (+72%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 47%, low confidence, 8:06 AM PT
Bought
17 × 57¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp82%Missed−$9.45−101%85¢ to 0¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.45 (−101%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 82%, high confidence, 8:36 AM PT
Bought
11 × 85¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown76%Missed−$9.51−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.51 (−102%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 76%, high confidence, 8:51 AM PT
Bought
12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp54%Correct+$12.16+129%43¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$12.16 (+129%)after $0.38 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 54%, medium confidence, 9:06 AM PT
Bought
22 × 43¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp62%Correct+$2.61+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.61 (+28%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 62%, medium confidence, 9:21 AM PT
Bought
12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown39%Missed−$10.17−104%39¢ to 0¢settled$9.751.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.17 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 39%, low confidence, 9:36 AM PT
Bought
25 × 39¢ = $9.75, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown29%Missed−$10.05−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.05 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 29%, low confidence, 9:51 AM PT
Bought
33 × 29¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp97%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 97%, very high confidence, 10:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown54%Missed−$9.96−105%34¢ to 0¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.96 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 54%, medium confidence, 10:21 AM PT
Bought
28 × 34¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown42%Missed−$9.61−104%44¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.61 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 42%, low confidence, 10:36 AM PT
Bought
21 × 44¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown72%Correct+$2.61+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.61 (+28%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 72%, medium confidence, 10:51 AM PT
Bought
12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown69%Correct+$1.42+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$4.500.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.42 (+32%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 69%, medium confidence, 11:06 AM PT
Bought
6 × 75¢ = $4.50, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown73%Correct+$2.61+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.61 (+28%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 73%, high confidence, 11:21 AM PT
Bought
12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown56%Correct+$7.35+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.35 (+79%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 56%, medium confidence, 11:36 AM PT
Bought
17 × 55¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown6%Correct+$85.79+894%10¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$85.79 (+894%)after $0.61 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 6%, low confidence, 11:54 AM PT
Bought
96 × 10¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown59%Correct+$8.59+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$10.071.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.59 (+85%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 59%, medium confidence, 12:21 PM PT
Bought
19 × 53¢ = $10.07, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp84%Correct+$0.82+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$10.121.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.82 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 84%, very high confidence, 12:36 PM PT
Bought
11 × 92¢ = $10.12, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp48%Missed−$10.74−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$10.321.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.74 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 48%, low confidence, 12:51 PM PT
Bought
24 × 43¢ = $10.32, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown46%Correct+$6.51+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.51 (+64%)after $0.29 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 46%, low confidence, 1:06 PM PT
Bought
17 × 60¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown47%Missed−$11.05−105%31¢ to 0¢settled$10.541.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$11.05 (−105%)after $0.51 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 47%, low confidence, 1:21 PM PT
Bought
34 × 31¢ = $10.54, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown78%Correct+$1.92+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.92 (+19%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 78%, high confidence, 1:36 PM PT
Bought
12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp87%Correct+$3.85+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$9.941.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.85 (+39%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 87%, very high confidence, 1:51 PM PT
Bought
14 × 71¢ = $9.94, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp81¢Correct+$2.32+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$10.531.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.32 (+22%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 81¢, the market’s price, 2:07 PM PT
Bought
13 × 81¢ = $10.53, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown62%Missed−$10.57−103%57¢ to 0¢settled$10.261.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.57 (−103%)after $0.31 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 2:23 PM PT
Bought
18 × 57¢ = $10.26, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMUp84%Correct+$1.13+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$9.791.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.13 (+12%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 84%, very high confidence, 2:42 PM PT
Bought
11 × 89¢ = $9.79, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMUp84%Correct+$4.57+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.57 (+45%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 84%, very high confidence, 2:53 PM PT
Bought
15 × 68¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMUp9%Missed−$11.15−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$10.461.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$11.15 (−107%)after $0.69 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 9%, low confidence, 3:06 PM PT
Bought
150 × 7¢ = $10.46, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown47%Missed−$10.76−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$10.341.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.76 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 47%, low confidence, 3:21 PM PT
Bought
24 × 43¢ = $10.34, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown64%Correct+$2.15+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.15 (+22%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 64%, medium confidence, 3:36 PM PT
Bought
12 × 81¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp52%Correct+$7.60+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.60 (+75%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 3:51 PM PT
Bought
18 × 56¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown53%Missed−$10.55−103%51¢ to 0¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.55 (−103%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 53%, medium confidence, 4:06 PM PT
Bought
20 × 51¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp78%Correct+$1.74+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$10.151.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.74 (+17%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 78%, high confidence, 4:21 PM PT
Bought
12 × 85¢ = $10.15, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown72%Correct+$5.50+54%64¢ to 100¢settled$10.241.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.50 (+54%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 72%, medium confidence, 4:36 PM PT
Bought
16 × 64¢ = $10.24, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp85%Correct+$1.69+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.69 (+17%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 85%, very high confidence, 4:51 PM PT
Bought
12 × 85¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown96%Correct+$0.92+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.92 (+9%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 96%, very high confidence, 5:06 PM PT
Bought
11 × 91¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp74%Correct+$2.82+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.82 (+28%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 74%, high confidence, 5:21 PM PT
Bought
13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown83%Correct+$2.70+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$10.141.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.70 (+27%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 83%, very high confidence, 5:36 PM PT
Bought
13 × 78¢ = $10.14, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp35%Missed−$10.75−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$10.401.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.75 (−103%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 35%, low confidence, 5:51 PM PT
Bought
20 × 52¢ = $10.40, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp83%Correct+$2.26+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+24%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 83%, high confidence, 6:06 PM PT
Bought
12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp59%Correct+$4.42+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$10.351.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.42 (+43%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 59%, medium confidence, 6:21 PM PT
Bought
15 × 69¢ = $10.35, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp64%Correct+$2.95+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.95 (+30%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 64%, medium confidence, 6:38 PM PT
Bought
13 × 76¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown72%Correct+$0.84+20%82¢ to 100¢settled$4.100.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.84 (+20%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 72%, medium confidence, 6:51 PM PT
Bought
5 × 82¢ = $4.10, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown83%Correct+$1.69+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.69 (+17%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 83%, very high confidence, 7:06 PM PT
Bought
12 × 85¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp74%Correct+$3.45+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$10.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.45 (+33%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 74%, high confidence, 7:21 PM PT
Bought
14 × 74¢ = $10.36, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp67%Correct+$2.95+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.95 (+30%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 67%, medium confidence, 7:36 PM PT
Bought
13 × 76¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown68%Correct+$1.80+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.80 (+18%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 68%, medium confidence, 7:52 PM PT
Bought
12 × 84¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown62%Correct+$4.42+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$10.351.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.42 (+43%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 8:06 PM PT
Bought
15 × 69¢ = $10.35, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown76%Correct+$2.82+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.82 (+28%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 76%, high confidence, 8:21 PM PT
Bought
13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp88%Correct+$0.46+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$4.500.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.46 (+10%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 8:39 PM PT
Bought
5 × 90¢ = $4.50, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp67%Missed−$10.30−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$10.141.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.30 (−102%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 67%, medium confidence, 8:51 PM PT
Bought
13 × 78¢ = $10.14, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown57%Correct+$10.34+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$10.291.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$10.34 (+100%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 57%, medium confidence, 9:06 PM PT
Bought
21 × 49¢ = $10.29, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp48%Correct+$3.58+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$10.221.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.58 (+35%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 48%, low confidence, 9:22 PM PT
Bought
14 × 73¢ = $10.22, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp77%Correct+$3.31+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.31 (+32%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 9:36 PM PT
Bought
14 × 75¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp57%Correct+$5.34+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$10.401.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.34 (+51%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 57%, medium confidence, 9:51 PM PT
Bought
16 × 65¢ = $10.40, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown50%Correct+$3.31+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.31 (+32%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 50%, medium confidence, 10:06 PM PT
Bought
14 × 75¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp84%Correct+$3.31+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.31 (+32%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 84%, very high confidence, 10:21 PM PT
Bought
14 × 75¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp25%Missed−$10.98−105%35¢ to 0¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.98 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 25%, low confidence, 10:37 PM PT
Bought
30 × 35¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp79%Correct+$3.58+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$10.221.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.58 (+35%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 79%, high confidence, 10:51 PM PT
Bought
14 × 73¢ = $10.22, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp2%Missed−$1.44−107%9¢ to 0¢settled$1.350.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$1.44 (−107%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 2%, low confidence, 11:07 PM PT
Bought
15 × 9¢ = $1.35, 0.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp23%Correct+$9.92+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$10.711.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.92 (+93%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 23%, low confidence, 11:24 PM PT
Bought
21 × 51¢ = $10.71, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown55%Correct+$10.13+96%50¢ to 100¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$10.13 (+96%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 55%, medium confidence, 11:36 PM PT
Bought
21 × 50¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown35%Missed−$11.32−105%25¢ to 0¢settled$10.751.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$11.32 (−105%)after $0.57 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 35%, low confidence, 11:51 PM PT
Bought
43 × 25¢ = $10.75, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of USD/CAD’s trading for Oct 20, 2026.

95Windows
95Calls
91Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

37a13e79e05ada68f4c322676af2747dd5a42815c4d8d076b42233751fd565c2

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

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October 20 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/CAD make money on October 20, 2026?: Yes. USD/CAD made $80.05 on a $1,000 bankroll: 69 of 95 calls right, 65 tickets won and 26 lost. The best session was Midday (+$53.86) and the worst was Pre-market (−$13.44).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/CAD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/CAD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/CAD’s record since launch is −$69.03. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 20, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $1,080.05
Day, net: +$80.05

Peak bankroll used$55.07+145% on peak used

$944.93 (94%) never touched · 91 tickets

Calls right: 69 of 950 passes · 95 windows
Tickets: 65 won, 26 lost
All-time calls right: 88 of 139since Oct 18
Since launch: −$69.0384 won, 51 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch USD/CAD on the USD/CAD desk

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USD/CAD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 20, 2026

Week of October 18

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

After the close

Futures and Tokyo

China open