AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 23, 2026

−$43.54 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 36 of 54 calls right. 32 tickets won, 18 lost.

On Friday, October 23, 2026, Agent USD/CAD called 54 of 54 USD/CAD 15-minute windows and got 36 right. USD/CAD bought 50 tickets, only on the called side: 32 won and 18 lost, for −$43.54 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $69.33. USD/CAD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18+$2	19−$151	20+$80	21−$43	22+$15	23−$44	24
25−$17	26−$126	27−$14	28+$215	29−$82	30−$52	31

November 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
1−$55	2−$59	3	4	5	6	7
8	9	10	11	12	13	14
15	16	17	18	19	20	21
22	23	24	25	26	27	28
29	30

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›

Week through Fri Oct 23: −$141.23 · highest peak $161.74 (Mon) · 241 of 374 calls right · 225 won, 133 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$31.8615 of 24 right · 22 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$45.20
12 of 21 right · 19 tickets
Winner4:45–5:00 AM+$13.41
Best session
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$13.34
3 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$7.35

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$17.8418 of 26 right · 24 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$3.50
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:30–6:45 AM+$3.45
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
−$20.65
12 of 18 right · 16 tickets
Winner9:00–9:15 AM+$14.24
12–1 PM
Final hour
+$6.31
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$9.35

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$6.163 of 4 right · 4 tickets

1 PM–12 AM
Into the weekend
+$6.16
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner1:30–1:45 PM+$8.68

Best ticket: +$14.249:00–9:15 AM, Up
Worst ticket: −$10.2111:15–11:30 AM, Up
Biggest ticket: $9.7512:00–12:15 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 50 held

Trade log

Every window, October 23

−$43.54 closed · 32 won, 18 lost · 36 of 54 calls right · biggest ticket $9.75

12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp38%Missed−$10.17−104%39¢ to 0¢settled$9.751.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.17 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 38%, low confidence, 12:06 AM PT
Bought
25 × 39¢ = $9.75, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.17 · To win $14.83 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp91%Missed−$9.16−101%91¢ to 0¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.16 (−101%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 91%, very high confidence, 12:21 AM PT
Bought
10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.16 · To win $0.84 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMDown44%Missed−$9.84−104%50¢ to 0¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.84 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 44%, low confidence, 12:36 AM PT
Bought
19 × 50¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.84 · To win $9.16 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp12%Missed−$10.12−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.12 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 12%, low confidence, 12:51 AM PT
Bought
37 × 26¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.12 · To win $26.88 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown17%Missed−$10.08−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.08 (−106%)after $0.56 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 17%, low confidence, 1:07 AM PT
Bought
56 × 17¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.08 · To win $45.92 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp68%Missed−$8.88−101%88¢ to 0¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.88 (−101%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 1:22 AM PT
Bought
10 × 88¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.88 · To win $1.12 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUpCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp55%Correct+$8.32+89%52¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.32 (+89%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 55%, medium confidence, 1:53 AM PT
Bought
18 × 52¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.68 · To win $8.32 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown86¢Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 86¢, the market’s price, 2:07 AM PT
Bought
11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown87¢Correct+$1.22+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$8.700.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.22 (+14%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 87¢, the market’s price, 2:36 AM PT
Bought
10 × 87¢ = $8.70, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.78 · To win $1.22 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown88¢Correct+$1.12+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.12 (+13%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 88¢, the market’s price, 2:51 AM PT
Bought
10 × 88¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.88 · To win $1.12 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown35%Missed−$9.85−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.85 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 35%, low confidence, 3:09 AM PT
Bought
36 × 26¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.85 · To win $26.15 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp62¢Correct+$5.45+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.45 (+59%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 62¢, the market’s price, 3:27 AM PT
Bought
15 × 62¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.55 · To win $5.45 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp82¢Missed−$9.11−101%82¢ to 0¢settled$8.990.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.11 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 82¢, the market’s price, 3:37 AM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $8.99, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.11 · To win $1.89 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp71¢Correct+$3.58+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$9.230.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.58 (+39%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 71¢, the market’s price, 3:51 AM PT
Bought
13 × 71¢ = $9.23, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.42 · To win $3.58 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown85¢Correct+$1.52+16%85¢ to 100¢settled$9.380.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.52 (+16%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 85¢, the market’s price, 4:06 AM PT
Bought
11 × 85¢ = $9.38, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.48 · To win $1.52 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown62%Correct+$4.54+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.54 (+49%)after $0.22 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 4:21 AM PT
Bought
14 × 66¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.46 · To win $4.54 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown16%Missed−$10.11−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.11 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 16%, low confidence, 4:41 AM PT
Bought
158 × 6¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.11 · To win $147.89 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp40¢Correct+$13.41+146%40¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$13.41 (+146%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 40¢, the market’s price, 4:52 AM PT
Bought
23 × 40¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.59 · To win $13.41 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown82¢Correct+$1.52+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$7.380.7%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.52 (+21%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82¢, the market’s price, 5:07 AM PT
Bought
9 × 82¢ = $7.38, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $7.48 · To win $1.52 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown57%Correct+$5.32+118%45¢ to 100¢settled$4.500.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.32 (+118%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 57%, medium confidence, 5:37 AM PT
Bought
10 × 45¢ = $4.50, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.68 · To win $5.32 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp70%Correct+$7.35+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.35 (+79%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 70%, medium confidence, 6:06 AM PT
Bought
17 × 55¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.65 · To win $7.35 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown91¢Correct+$0.67+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$7.280.7%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.67 (+9%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 91¢, the market’s price, 6:23 AM PT
Bought
8 × 91¢ = $7.28, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $7.33 · To win $0.67 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown46%Correct+$3.45+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.45 (+37%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 46%, low confidence, 6:36 AM PT
Bought
13 × 72¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.55 · To win $3.45 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown82¢Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82¢, the market’s price, 6:56 AM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp70%Correct+$0.70+16%85¢ to 100¢settled$4.250.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.70 (+16%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 70%, medium confidence, 7:06 AM PT
Bought
5 × 85¢ = $4.25, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.30 · To win $0.70 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown70%Missed−$9.51−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.51 (−102%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 70%, medium confidence, 7:22 AM PT
Bought
12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown65%Correct+$0.62+26%78¢ to 100¢settled$2.340.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.62 (+26%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 65%, medium confidence, 7:36 AM PT
Bought
3 × 78¢ = $2.34, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $2.38 · To win $0.62 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown83%Missed−$9.30−102%70¢ to 0¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.30 (−102%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 83%, high confidence, 7:51 AM PT
Bought
13 × 70¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.30 · To win $3.70 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp81%Missed−$9.14−101%82¢ to 0¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.14 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 81%, high confidence, 8:06 AM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp74%Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 74%, high confidence, 8:23 AM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp49%Correct+$3.70+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.70 (+41%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 49%, low confidence, 8:36 AM PT
Bought
13 × 70¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.30 · To win $3.70 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp83%Correct+$1.22+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$8.700.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.22 (+14%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 83%, very high confidence, 8:51 AM PT
Bought
10 × 87¢ = $8.70, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.78 · To win $1.22 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp61%Correct+$14.24+152%39¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$14.24 (+152%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 61%, medium confidence, 9:07 AM PT
Bought
24 × 39¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.76 · To win $14.24 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp94%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 94%, very high confidence, 9:21 AM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown33%Missed−$9.88−105%35¢ to 0¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.88 (−105%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 33%, low confidence, 9:36 AM PT
Bought
27 × 35¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.88 · To win $17.12 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp79%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 79%, high confidence, 9:51 AM PT
Bought
11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.93 · To win $2.07 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp82%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown38%Correct+$5.60+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$9.150.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.60 (+61%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 38%, low confidence, 10:24 AM PT
Bought
15 × 61¢ = $9.15, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.40 · To win $5.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp51%Correct+$4.67+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.67 (+51%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 51%, medium confidence, 10:37 AM PT
Bought
14 × 65¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.33 · To win $4.67 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp48%Correct+$3.22+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$4.640.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.22 (+69%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 48%, low confidence, 11:06 AM PT
Bought
8 × 58¢ = $4.64, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.78 · To win $3.22 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp45%Missed−$10.21−105%22¢ to 0¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.21 (−105%)after $0.53 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 45%, low confidence, 11:21 AM PT
Bought
44 × 22¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.21 · To win $33.79 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp39%Missed−$9.75−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.75 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 39%, low confidence, 11:37 AM PT
Bought
20 × 47¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.75 · To win $10.25 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown50%Missed−$9.94−105%27¢ to 0¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.94 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 50%, medium confidence, 11:51 AM PT
Bought
35 × 27¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.94 · To win $25.06 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown88%Correct+$0.56+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.56 (+6%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 88%, very high confidence, 12:06 PM PT
Bought
10 × 94¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.44 · To win $0.56 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp57%Correct+$6.44+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$9.280.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.44 (+69%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 57%, medium confidence, 12:21 PM PT
Bought
16 × 58¢ = $9.28, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.56 · To win $6.44 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp63%Correct+$9.35+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.35 (+100%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 63%, medium confidence, 12:36 PM PT
Bought
19 × 49¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.65 · To win $9.35 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown18%Missed−$10.04−106%19¢ to 0¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.04 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 18%, low confidence, 12:52 PM PT
Bought
50 × 19¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.04 · To win $39.96 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp18%Missed−$9.68−105%33¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.68 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 18%, low confidence, 1:07 PM PT
Bought
28 × 33¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.68 · To win $18.32 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp68%Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 1:21 PM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMUp50%Correct+$8.68+96%50¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.68 (+96%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 50%, medium confidence, 1:36 PM PT
Bought
18 × 50¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.32 · To win $8.68 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown58%Correct+$5.30+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.30 (+56%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 58%, medium confidence, 1:51 PM PT
Bought
15 × 63¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.70 · To win $5.30 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of USD/CAD’s trading for Oct 23, 2026.

54Windows
54Calls
50Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

70db7574fc44a8ee54486792c9141facbe8604eb10ea62042f8a59e44b2ce9e0

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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Corrections

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October 23 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/CAD make money on October 23, 2026?: No. USD/CAD lost $43.54 on a $1,000 bankroll: 36 of 54 calls right, 32 tickets won and 18 lost. The best session was US data (+$13.34) and the worst was Pre-market (−$45.20).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/CAD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/CAD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/CAD’s record since launch is −$141.23. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 23, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $956.46
Day, net: −$43.54

Peak bankroll used$69.33

$930.67 (93%) never touched · 50 tickets

Calls right: 36 of 540 passes · 54 windows
Tickets: 32 won, 18 lost
All-time calls right: 241 of 374since Oct 18
Since launch: −$141.23225 won, 133 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch USD/CAD on the USD/CAD desk

Trade on Kalshi

USD/CAD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 23, 2026

Week of October 18

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

Into the weekend