AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 27, 2026

−$13.77 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 55 of 80 calls right. 50 tickets won, 25 lost.

On Tuesday, October 27, 2026, Agent USD/CAD called 80 of 80 USD/CAD 15-minute windows and got 55 right. USD/CAD bought 75 tickets, only on the called side: 50 won and 25 lost, for −$13.77 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $52.25. USD/CAD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18+$2	19−$151	20+$80	21−$43	22+$15	23−$44	24
25−$17	26−$126	27−$14	28+$215	29−$82	30−$52	31

November 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
1−$55	2−$59	3	4	5	6	7
8	9	10	11	12	13	14
15	16	17	18	19	20	21
22	23	24	25	26	27	28
29	30

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$74.70 · highest peak $138.07 (Mon) · 298 of 452 calls right · 274 won, 154 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$23.8117 of 25 right · 22 tickets

Best session
12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
+$24.25
14 of 21 right · 19 tickets
Winner2:15–2:30 AM+$22.95
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
−$0.44
3 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$9.45

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

+$7.968 of 11 right · 11 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
+$5.57
3 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner7:15–7:30 AM+$3.20
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$3.28
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner11:45 AM–12:00 PM+$17.75
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$0.89
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner12:00–12:15 PM+$4.71

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$45.5430 of 44 right · 42 tickets

1–3 PM
After the close
−$25.82
4 of 8 right · 8 tickets
Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$6.68
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
−$38.64
9 of 14 right · 13 tickets
Winner3:15–3:30 PM+$3.36
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$18.92
17 of 22 right · 21 tickets
Winner7:30–7:45 PM+$12.38

Best ticket: +$22.952:15–2:30 AM, Up
Worst ticket: −$10.763:00–3:15 AM, Up
Biggest ticket: $10.355:15–5:30 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 75 held

Trade log

Every window, October 27

−$13.77 closed · 50 won, 25 lost · 55 of 80 calls right · biggest ticket $10.35

12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown37%Missed−$10.06−104%42¢ to 0¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.06 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 37%, low confidence, 12:21 AM PT
Bought
23 × 42¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.06 · To win $12.94 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp84%Missed−$9.16−101%91¢ to 0¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.16 (−101%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 84%, very high confidence, 12:36 AM PT
Bought
10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.16 · To win $0.84 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp79%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 79%, high confidence, 12:51 AM PT
Bought
12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp77%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 1:06 AM PT
Bought
12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown63%Correct+$8.32+89%52¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.32 (+89%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 63%, medium confidence, 1:21 AM PT
Bought
18 × 52¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.68 · To win $8.32 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown82%Correct+$1.55+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.55 (+17%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82%, high confidence, 1:38 AM PT
Bought
11 × 85¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.45 · To win $1.55 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp51%Missed−$9.85−103%64¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.85 (−103%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 51%, medium confidence, 1:51 AM PT
Bought
15 × 64¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.85 · To win $5.15 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp41%Correct+$22.95+240%29¢ to 100¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$22.95 (+240%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 41%, low confidence, 2:21 AM PT
Bought
33 × 29¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.05 · To win $22.95 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown39%Correct+$8.59+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$10.071.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.59 (+85%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 39%, low confidence, 2:36 AM PT
Bought
19 × 53¢ = $10.07, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.41 · To win $8.59 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown68%Correct+$1.92+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.92 (+19%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 68%, medium confidence, 2:51 AM PT
Bought
12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.08 · To win $1.92 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp18%Missed−$10.76−106%13¢ to 0¢settled$10.141.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.76 (−106%)after $0.62 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 18%, low confidence, 3:06 AM PT
Bought
78 × 13¢ = $10.14, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.76 · To win $67.24 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp30%Missed−$10.54−105%36¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.54 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 30%, low confidence, 3:21 AM PT
Bought
28 × 36¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.54 · To win $17.46 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp52%Correct+$4.86+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.86 (+49%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 3:36 AM PT
Bought
15 × 66¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.14 · To win $4.86 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown49%Missed−$10.06−104%44¢ to 0¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.06 (−104%)after $0.38 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 49%, low confidence, 3:51 AM PT
Bought
22 × 44¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.06 · To win $11.94 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown91%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 91%, very high confidence, 4:21 AM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.75 · To win $0.25 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp38%Correct+$7.18+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.18 (+75%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 38%, low confidence, 4:36 AM PT
Bought
17 × 56¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.82 · To win $7.18 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown39%Correct+$16.56+166%37¢ to 100¢settled$9.991.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$16.56 (+166%)after $0.45 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 39%, low confidence, 4:51 AM PT
Bought
27 × 37¢ = $9.99, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.44 · To win $16.56 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown48%Correct+$18.38+181%35¢ to 100¢settled$10.151.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$18.38 (+181%)after $0.47 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 48%, low confidence, 5:06 AM PT
Bought
29 × 35¢ = $10.15, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.62 · To win $18.38 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp36%Missed−$10.75−104%45¢ to 0¢settled$10.351.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.75 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 36%, low confidence, 5:21 AM PT
Bought
23 × 45¢ = $10.35, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.75 · To win $12.25 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp81%Correct+$0.46+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$4.500.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.46 (+10%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 81%, high confidence, 5:36 AM PT
Bought
5 × 90¢ = $4.50, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp48%Correct+$9.45+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.45 (+93%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 48%, low confidence, 6:06 AM PT
Bought
20 × 51¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.55 · To win $9.45 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown58%Missed−$10.35−103%63¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.35 (−103%)after $0.27 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 58%, medium confidence, 6:21 AM PT
Bought
16 × 63¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.35 · To win $5.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown83%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 83%, very high confidence, 6:37 AM PT
Bought
11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp80%Correct+$1.34+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.34 (+14%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 80%, high confidence, 6:51 AM PT
Bought
11 × 87¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.66 · To win $1.34 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp74¢Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 74¢, the market’s price, 7:21 AM PT
Bought
13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.80 · To win $3.20 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown22%Missed−$5.32−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$5.040.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$5.32 (−106%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 22%, low confidence, 11:06 AM PT
Bought
24 × 21¢ = $5.04, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $5.32 · To win $18.68 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp90¢Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 90¢, the market’s price, 11:21 AM PT
Bought
11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown94%Missed−$10.18−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.18 (−102%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 94%, very high confidence, 11:36 AM PT
Bought
13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.18 · To win $2.82 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp29%Correct+$17.75+181%35¢ to 100¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$17.75 (+181%)after $0.45 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 29%, low confidence, 11:51 AM PT
Bought
28 × 35¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.25 · To win $17.75 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown80%Correct+$4.71+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$10.051.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.71 (+47%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 80%, high confidence, 12:06 PM PT
Bought
15 × 67¢ = $10.05, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.29 · To win $4.71 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp57%Missed−$10.32−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$10.031.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.32 (−103%)after $0.29 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 57%, medium confidence, 12:21 PM PT
Bought
17 × 59¢ = $10.03, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.32 · To win $6.68 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown71%Correct+$2.57+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$10.271.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.57 (+25%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 12:36 PM PT
Bought
13 × 79¢ = $10.27, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.43 · To win $2.57 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp68%Correct+$2.15+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.15 (+22%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 12:51 PM PT
Bought
12 × 81¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.85 · To win $2.15 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp72%Correct+$6.68+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$10.031.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.68 (+67%)after $0.29 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 72%, medium confidence, 1:06 PM PT
Bought
17 × 59¢ = $10.03, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.32 · To win $6.68 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp44%Missed−$10.60−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$10.261.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.60 (−103%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 44%, low confidence, 1:21 PM PT
Bought
19 × 54¢ = $10.26, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.60 · To win $8.40 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMUp86%Correct+$1.34+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.34 (+14%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 86%, very high confidence, 1:36 PM PT
Bought
11 × 87¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.66 · To win $1.34 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp73%Missed−$10.08−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.08 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 73%, high confidence, 1:51 PM PT
Bought
12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.08 · To win $1.92 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMDown63¢Correct+$5.65+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.65 (+56%)after $0.27 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 63¢, the market’s price, 2:07 PM PT
Bought
16 × 63¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.35 · To win $5.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown74%Correct+$2.26+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+24%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 74%, high confidence, 2:21 PM PT
Bought
12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.74 · To win $2.26 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMUp43%Missed−$10.55−103%51¢ to 0¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.55 (−103%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 43%, low confidence, 2:36 PM PT
Bought
20 × 51¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.55 · To win $9.45 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown54%Missed−$10.52−104%44¢ to 0¢settled$10.121.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.52 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 54%, medium confidence, 2:51 PM PT
Bought
23 × 44¢ = $10.12, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.52 · To win $12.48 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMUp65%Correct+$2.26+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+24%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 65%, medium confidence, 3:06 PM PT
Bought
12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.74 · To win $2.26 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp50%Correct+$3.36+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$5.490.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.36 (+61%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 50%, medium confidence, 3:23 PM PT
Bought
9 × 61¢ = $5.49, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $5.64 · To win $3.36 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown44%Missed−$10.24−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$9.871.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.24 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 44%, low confidence, 3:36 PM PT
Bought
21 × 47¢ = $9.87, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.24 · To win $10.76 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp87%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 87%, very high confidence, 3:52 PM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp20%Missed−$10.42−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$9.871.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.42 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 20%, low confidence, 4:07 PM PT
Bought
47 × 21¢ = $9.87, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.42 · To win $36.58 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp56%Missed−$9.42−102%71¢ to 0¢settled$9.230.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.42 (−102%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 56%, medium confidence, 4:21 PM PT
Bought
13 × 71¢ = $9.23, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.42 · To win $3.58 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp76%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 76%, high confidence, 4:36 PM PT
Bought
11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown100%Correct+$0.46+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.46 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 100%, very high confidence, 4:57 PM PT
Bought
10 × 95¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp76%Correct+$1.55+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.55 (+17%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 76%, high confidence, 5:21 PM PT
Bought
11 × 85¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.45 · To win $1.55 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown18%Missed−$10.24−106%19¢ to 0¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.24 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 18%, low confidence, 5:36 PM PT
Bought
51 × 19¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.24 · To win $40.76 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp78%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 78%, high confidence, 5:51 PM PT
Bought
10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp95%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 95%, very high confidence, 6:06 PM PT
Bought
11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown63%Missed−$9.85−103%64¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.85 (−103%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 63%, medium confidence, 6:21 PM PT
Bought
15 × 64¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.85 · To win $5.15 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown52%Missed−$9.86−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$9.541.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.86 (−103%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 52%, medium confidence, 6:36 PM PT
Bought
18 × 53¢ = $9.54, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.86 · To win $8.14 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown49%Correct+$6.60+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.60 (+72%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 49%, low confidence, 6:53 PM PT
Bought
16 × 57¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.40 · To win $6.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp71%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 71%, medium confidence, 7:08 PM PT
Bought
12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp88%Missed−$9.44−100%94¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.44 (−100%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 7:23 PM PT
Bought
10 × 94¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.44 · To win $0.56 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown56%Correct+$12.38+134%42¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$12.38 (+134%)after $0.38 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 56%, medium confidence, 7:36 PM PT
Bought
22 × 42¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.62 · To win $12.38 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown35%Missed−$10.03−104%46¢ to 0¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.03 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 35%, low confidence, 7:52 PM PT
Bought
21 × 46¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.03 · To win $10.97 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown62%Correct+$4.54+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.54 (+49%)after $0.22 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 8:06 PM PT
Bought
14 × 66¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.46 · To win $4.54 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp89%Correct+$0.56+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.56 (+6%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 89%, very high confidence, 8:21 PM PT
Bought
10 × 94¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.44 · To win $0.56 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp93%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 93%, very high confidence, 8:36 PM PT
Bought
10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown53%Correct+$9.35+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.35 (+100%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 53%, medium confidence, 8:51 PM PT
Bought
19 × 49¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.65 · To win $9.35 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp90%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 90%, very high confidence, 9:06 PM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp61%Correct+$3.45+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.45 (+37%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 61%, medium confidence, 9:21 PM PT
Bought
13 × 72¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.55 · To win $3.45 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown84%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 84%, very high confidence, 9:36 PM PT
Bought
11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown69%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 69%, medium confidence, 9:52 PM PT
Bought
12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown20%Missed−$10.34−106%16¢ to 0¢settled$9.761.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.34 (−106%)after $0.58 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 20%, low confidence, 10:06 PM PT
Bought
61 × 16¢ = $9.76, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.34 · To win $50.66 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp78%Correct+$2.26+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+24%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 78%, high confidence, 10:21 PM PT
Bought
12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.74 · To win $2.26 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown33%Correct+$9.15+96%50¢ to 100¢settled$9.511.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.15 (+96%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 33%, low confidence, 10:37 PM PT
Bought
19 × 50¢ = $9.51, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.85 · To win $9.15 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp46%Correct+$10.25+109%47¢ to 100¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$10.25 (+109%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 46%, low confidence, 10:51 PM PT
Bought
20 × 47¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.75 · To win $10.25 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown88%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 88%, very high confidence, 11:21 PM PT
Bought
12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp93%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 93%, very high confidence, 11:36 PM PT
Bought
10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp34%Missed−$10.25−105%35¢ to 0¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.25 (−105%)after $0.45 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 34%, low confidence, 11:51 PM PT
Bought
28 × 35¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.25 · To win $17.75 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of USD/CAD’s trading for Oct 27, 2026.

80Windows
80Calls
75Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

ac64c696079f22372d74dd8a7c11237a3208cfede29abdadd68e990850b4f55b

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 27 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/CAD make money on October 27, 2026?: No. USD/CAD lost $13.77 on a $1,000 bankroll: 55 of 80 calls right, 50 tickets won and 25 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$24.25) and the worst was Futures and Tokyo (−$38.64).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/CAD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/CAD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/CAD’s record since launch is −$297.40. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 27, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $986.23
Day, net: −$13.77

Peak bankroll used$52.25

$947.75 (95%) never touched · 75 tickets

Calls right: 55 of 800 passes · 80 windows
Tickets: 50 won, 25 lost
All-time calls right: 385 of 588since Oct 18
Since launch: −$297.40355 won, 203 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch USD/CAD on the USD/CAD desk

Trade on Kalshi

USD/CAD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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02Commodity currenciesAustralian and Canadian dollars

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05IndustrialWhat the world builds

01Sports and card agentsParlays, fights, goals and cards, every one graded

02Our writersOne beat each, every plan graded in public

AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 27, 2026

Week of October 25

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

After the close

Futures and Tokyo

China open