AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

−$51.73 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 34 of 54 calls right. 31 tickets won, 20 lost.

On Friday, October 30, 2026, Agent USD/CAD called 54 of 54 USD/CAD 15-minute windows and got 34 right. USD/CAD bought 51 tickets, only on the called side: 31 won and 20 lost, for −$51.73 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $61.02. USD/CAD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 31, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18+$2	19−$151	20+$80	21−$43	22+$15	23−$44	24
25−$17	26−$126	27−$14	28+$215	29−$82	30−$52	31

November 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
1−$55	2−$59	3	4	5	6	7
8	9	10	11	12	13	14
15	16	17	18	19	20	21
22	23	24	25	26	27	28
29	30

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$74.70 · highest peak $138.07 (Mon) · 298 of 452 calls right · 274 won, 154 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$12.1616 of 24 right · 22 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
+$6.72
14 of 20 right · 18 tickets
Winner2:30–2:45 AM+$20.60
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
−$18.88
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner5:30–5:45 AM+$1.01

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$24.6516 of 26 right · 25 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$23.60
1 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner7:00–7:15 AM+$0.23
Best session
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$6.79
13 of 18 right · 17 tickets
Winner10:30–10:45 AM+$24.00
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$7.84
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$1.44

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$14.922 of 4 right · 4 tickets

1 PM–12 AM
Into the weekend
−$14.92
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner1:15–1:30 PM+$4.54

Best ticket: +$24.0010:30–10:45 AM, Up
Worst ticket: −$10.953:30–3:45 AM, Up
Biggest ticket: $10.303:30–3:45 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 51 held

Trade log

Every window, October 30

−$51.73 closed · 31 won, 20 lost · 34 of 54 calls right · biggest ticket $10.30

12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown99%Correct+$0.46+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.46 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 99%, very high confidence, 12:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 95¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown66%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 66%, medium confidence, 12:21 AM PT
Bought
14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.87 · To win $4.13 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp75%Correct+$4.86+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.86 (+49%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 75%, high confidence, 12:40 AM PT
Bought
15 × 66¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.14 · To win $4.86 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp18%Missed−$10.57−106%16¢ to 0¢settled$9.971.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.57 (−106%)after $0.60 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 18%, low confidence, 12:55 AM PT
Bought
63 × 16¢ = $9.97, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.57 · To win $52.43 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown92%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 92%, very high confidence, 1:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown50%Correct+$12.71+129%43¢ to 100¢settled$9.891.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$12.71 (+129%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 50%, low confidence, 1:21 AM PT
Bought
23 × 43¢ = $9.89, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.29 · To win $12.71 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp72¢Correct+$3.72+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.72 (+37%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 72¢, the market’s price, 1:37 AM PT
Bought
14 × 72¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.28 · To win $3.72 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown58%Correct+$5.05+52%65¢ to 100¢settled$9.711.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.05 (+52%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 58%, medium confidence, 1:51 AM PT
Bought
15 × 65¢ = $9.71, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.95 · To win $5.05 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp72%Missed−$10.03−103%61¢ to 0¢settled$9.761.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.03 (−103%)after $0.27 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 72%, medium confidence, 2:06 AM PT
Bought
16 × 61¢ = $9.76, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.03 · To win $5.97 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp21%Missed−$10.40−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.40 (−105%)after $0.52 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 21%, low confidence, 2:24 AM PT
Bought
38 × 26¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.40 · To win $27.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown32¢Correct+$20.60+208%32¢ to 100¢settled$9.921.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$20.60 (+208%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 32¢, the market’s price, 2:37 AM PT
Bought
31 × 32¢ = $9.92, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.40 · To win $20.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown45¢Correct+$11.71+118%45¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$11.71 (+118%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 45¢, the market’s price, 2:57 AM PT
Bought
22 × 45¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.29 · To win $11.71 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown67¢Correct+$4.71+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$10.051.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.71 (+47%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 67¢, the market’s price, 3:06 AM PT
Bought
15 × 67¢ = $10.05, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.29 · To win $4.71 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp25%Missed−$10.95−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$10.301.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.95 (−106%)after $0.65 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 25%, low confidence, 3:40 AM PT
Bought
103 × 10¢ = $10.30, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.95 · To win $92.05 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown97¢Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 97¢, the market’s price, 4:08 AM PT
Bought
10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp58%Missed−$10.60−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$10.261.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.60 (−103%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 58%, medium confidence, 4:36 AM PT
Bought
19 × 54¢ = $10.26, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.60 · To win $8.40 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp28%Missed−$10.66−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$10.151.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.66 (−105%)after $0.51 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 28%, low confidence, 5:06 AM PT
Bought
35 × 29¢ = $10.15, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.66 · To win $24.34 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown83%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 83%, very high confidence, 5:22 AM PT
Bought
11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp70%Correct+$1.01+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$4.920.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.01 (+21%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 70%, medium confidence, 5:36 AM PT
Bought
6 × 82¢ = $4.92, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.99 · To win $1.01 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp46%Missed−$10.29−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$9.891.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.29 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 46%, low confidence, 5:51 AM PT
Bought
23 × 43¢ = $9.89, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.29 · To win $12.71 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp66%Correct+$0.80+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$4.150.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.80 (+19%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 66%, medium confidence, 6:06 AM PT
Bought
5 × 83¢ = $4.15, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.20 · To win $0.80 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp54%Missed−$10.40−105%32¢ to 0¢settled$9.921.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.40 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 54%, medium confidence, 6:21 AM PT
Bought
31 × 32¢ = $9.92, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.40 · To win $20.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown70%Missed−$3.97−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$3.900.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$3.97 (−102%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 70%, medium confidence, 6:38 AM PT
Bought
5 × 78¢ = $3.90, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $3.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp77%Missed−$9.80−102%74¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.80 (−102%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 6:51 AM PT
Bought
13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.80 · To win $3.20 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp98%Correct+$0.23+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$4.750.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.23 (+5%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 98%, very high confidence, 7:06 AM PT
Bought
5 × 95¢ = $4.75, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.77 · To win $0.23 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp42%Missed−$10.06−104%42¢ to 0¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.06 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 42%, low confidence, 7:21 AM PT
Bought
23 × 42¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.06 · To win $12.94 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown92%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 92%, very high confidence, 7:36 AM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp40%Missed−$10.06−105%32¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.06 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 40%, low confidence, 7:51 AM PT
Bought
30 × 32¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.06 · To win $19.94 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown91%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 91%, very high confidence, 8:21 AM PT
Bought
9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.75 · To win $0.25 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown66%Correct+$2.84+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.84 (+32%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 66%, medium confidence, 8:36 AM PT
Bought
12 × 75¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.16 · To win $2.84 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown48%Missed−$9.46−104%48¢ to 0¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.46 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 48%, low confidence, 8:51 AM PT
Bought
19 × 48¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.46 · To win $9.54 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown76%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 76%, high confidence, 9:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp51%Correct+$3.96+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$8.840.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.96 (+45%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 51%, medium confidence, 9:21 AM PT
Bought
13 × 68¢ = $8.84, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.04 · To win $3.96 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp59%Correct+$5.60+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$9.150.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.60 (+61%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 59%, medium confidence, 9:37 AM PT
Bought
15 × 61¢ = $9.15, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.40 · To win $5.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown88%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 88%, very high confidence, 9:51 AM PT
Bought
10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp88%Correct+$1.76+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.130.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.76 (+19%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 10:06 AM PT
Bought
11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.24 · To win $1.76 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp56%Correct+$7.52+82%54¢ to 100¢settled$9.180.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.52 (+82%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 56%, medium confidence, 10:21 AM PT
Bought
17 × 54¢ = $9.18, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.48 · To win $7.52 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp26%Correct+$24.00+252%28¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$24.00 (+252%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 26%, low confidence, 10:36 AM PT
Bought
34 × 28¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.00 · To win $24.00 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown49%Missed−$10.16−105%36¢ to 0¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.16 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 49%, low confidence, 10:55 AM PT
Bought
27 × 36¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.16 · To win $16.84 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown83%Correct+$1.30+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$4.620.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.30 (+28%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 83%, high confidence, 11:06 AM PT
Bought
6 × 77¢ = $4.62, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.70 · To win $1.30 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown43%Missed−$3.70−104%51¢ to 0¢settled$3.570.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$3.70 (−104%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 43%, low confidence, 11:21 AM PT
Bought
7 × 51¢ = $3.57, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $3.70 · To win $3.30 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown97%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 97%, very high confidence, 11:36 AM PT
Bought
10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp69%Missed−$9.19−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$9.080.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.19 (−101%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 69%, medium confidence, 11:51 AM PT
Bought
11 × 83¢ = $9.08, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.19 · To win $1.81 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown29%Missed−$10.06−104%42¢ to 0¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.06 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 29%, low confidence, 12:09 PM PT
Bought
23 × 42¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.06 · To win $12.94 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown21%Missed−$0.34−106%16¢ to 0¢settled$0.32<0.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$0.34 (−106%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 21%, low confidence, 12:21 PM PT
Bought
2 × 16¢ = $0.32, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $0.34 · To win $1.66 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp79%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 79%, high confidence, 12:36 PM PT
Bought
11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown90%Correct+$1.12+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.12 (+13%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 90%, very high confidence, 12:51 PM PT
Bought
10 × 88¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.88 · To win $1.12 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp96%Missed−$9.66−101%87¢ to 0¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.66 (−101%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 96%, very high confidence, 1:06 PM PT
Bought
11 × 87¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.66 · To win $1.34 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp52%Correct+$4.54+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.54 (+49%)after $0.22 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 1:21 PM PT
Bought
14 × 66¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.46 · To win $4.54 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMUp96%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 96%, very high confidence, 1:36 PM PT
Bought
9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.67 · To win $0.33 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown7%Missed−$10.13−107%8¢ to 0¢settled$9.511.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.13 (−107%)after $0.62 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 7%, low confidence, 1:51 PM PT
Bought
119 × 8¢ = $9.51, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.13 · To win $108.87 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 31, 2026

This file holds all of USD/CAD’s trading for Oct 30, 2026.

54Windows
54Calls
51Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

f32542bb2a803237c93d7b64f6a5792ec43c4c7645b5d6a483340bce145dd545

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 30 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/CAD make money on October 30, 2026?: No. USD/CAD lost $51.73 on a $1,000 bankroll: 34 of 54 calls right, 31 tickets won and 20 lost. The best session was Midday (+$6.79) and the worst was US open (−$23.60).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/CAD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/CAD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/CAD’s record since launch is −$215.93. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 30, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $948.27
Day, net: −$51.73

Peak bankroll used$61.02

$938.98 (94%) never touched · 51 tickets

Calls right: 34 of 540 passes · 54 windows
Tickets: 31 won, 20 lost
All-time calls right: 539 of 826since Oct 18
Since launch: −$215.93499 won, 287 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch USD/CAD on the USD/CAD desk

Trade on Kalshi

USD/CAD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

Week of October 25

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

Into the weekend