AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

+$14.73 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 57 of 86 calls right. 52 tickets won, 29 lost.

On Thursday, October 22, 2026, Agent USD/CAD called 86 of 86 USD/CAD 15-minute windows and got 57 right. USD/CAD bought 81 tickets, only on the called side: 52 won and 29 lost, for +$14.73 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $50.22. USD/CAD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18+$2	19−$151	20+$80	21−$43	22+$15	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	31

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$97.69 · highest peak $161.74 (Mon) · 205 of 320 calls right · 193 won, 115 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$13.0913 of 18 right · 15 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
+$6.21
9 of 14 right · 12 tickets
Winner5:00–5:15 AM+$26.15
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$6.88
4 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner5:30–5:45 AM+$3.14

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

+$11.8816 of 26 right · 25 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$12.86
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:30–6:45 AM+$2.03
Best session
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$28.72
12 of 18 right · 17 tickets
Winner9:00–9:15 AM+$38.65
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$3.98
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$12.48

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$10.2428 of 42 right · 41 tickets

1–3 PM
After the close
+$3.18
3 of 6 right · 6 tickets
Winner1:15–1:30 PM+$22.27
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$18.47
11 of 14 right · 13 tickets
Winner4:45–5:00 PM+$17.18
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
−$31.89
14 of 22 right · 22 tickets
Winner9:45–10:00 PM+$11.27

Best ticket: +$38.659:00–9:15 AM, Down
Worst ticket: −$10.932:00–2:15 PM, Up
Biggest ticket: $10.502:00–2:15 PM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 81 held

Trade log

Every window, October 22

+$14.73 closed · 52 won, 29 lost · 57 of 86 calls right · biggest ticket $10.50

2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown51%Missed−$10.03−104%51¢ to 0¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.03 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 51%, medium confidence, 2:06 AM PT
Bought
19 × 51¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp77%Missed−$9.65−103%55¢ to 0¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.65 (−103%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 2:21 AM PT
Bought
17 × 55¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown82%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp83%Correct+$1.76+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.130.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.76 (+19%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 83%, very high confidence, 2:51 AM PT
Bought
11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp76%Correct+$2.54+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.54 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 76%, high confidence, 3:21 AM PT
Bought
12 × 78¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp42%Missed−$9.56−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$9.280.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.56 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 42%, low confidence, 3:36 AM PT
Bought
16 × 58¢ = $9.28, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp95%Correct+$0.84+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.84 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 95%, very high confidence, 3:52 AM PT
Bought
10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp88%Correct+$0.18+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$4.800.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.18 (+4%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 4:06 AM PT
Bought
5 × 96¢ = $4.80, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown91%Missed−$9.44−100%94¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.44 (−100%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 91%, very high confidence, 4:21 AM PT
Bought
10 × 94¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown69%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 69%, medium confidence, 4:36 AM PT
Bought
12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp37%Missed−$9.88−105%35¢ to 0¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.88 (−105%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 37%, low confidence, 4:51 AM PT
Bought
27 × 35¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown48%Correct+$26.15+279%26¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$26.15 (+279%)after $0.49 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 48%, low confidence, 5:06 AM PT
Bought
36 × 26¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp37%Correct+$20.92+218%31¢ to 100¢settled$9.611.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$20.92 (+218%)after $0.47 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 37%, low confidence, 5:21 AM PT
Bought
31 × 31¢ = $9.61, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp55%Correct+$3.14+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$4.720.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.14 (+67%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 55%, medium confidence, 5:36 AM PT
Bought
8 × 59¢ = $4.72, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown84%Correct+$1.97+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$8.910.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.97 (+22%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 84%, very high confidence, 5:51 AM PT
Bought
11 × 81¢ = $8.91, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown87%Correct+$1.77+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$10.111.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.77 (+18%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 87%, very high confidence, 6:08 AM PT
Bought
12 × 84¢ = $10.11, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp81%Correct+$2.03+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.03 (+21%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 81%, high confidence, 6:36 AM PT
Bought
12 × 82¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown91%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 91%, very high confidence, 6:51 AM PT
Bought
10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp2%Missed−$5.42−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$5.070.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$5.42 (−107%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 2%, low confidence, 7:08 AM PT
Bought
169 × 3¢ = $5.07, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown81%Missed−$9.74−101%80¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.74 (−101%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 81%, high confidence, 7:22 AM PT
Bought
12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp87%Correct+$0.75+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$8.190.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.75 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 87%, very high confidence, 7:37 AM PT
Bought
9 × 91¢ = $8.19, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown45%Missed−$10.42−104%40¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.42 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 45%, low confidence, 7:55 AM PT
Bought
25 × 40¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown86%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 86%, very high confidence, 8:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp77%Correct+$0.84+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.84 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 8:23 AM PT
Bought
10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown63%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 63%, medium confidence, 8:51 AM PT
Bought
13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown24%Correct+$38.65+394%20¢ to 100¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$38.65 (+394%)after $0.55 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 24%, low confidence, 9:06 AM PT
Bought
49 × 20¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp24%Missed−$10.90−106%13¢ to 0¢settled$10.271.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.90 (−106%)after $0.63 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 24%, low confidence, 9:21 AM PT
Bought
79 × 13¢ = $10.27, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown10%Missed−$0.38−109%7¢ to 0¢settled$0.35<0.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$0.38 (−109%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 10%, low confidence, 9:36 AM PT
Bought
5 × 7¢ = $0.35, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown73%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 73%, high confidence, 9:52 AM PT
Bought
11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp51%Missed−$10.41−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$10.071.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.41 (−103%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 51%, medium confidence, 10:06 AM PT
Bought
19 × 53¢ = $10.07, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown81%Correct+$0.87+9%92¢ to 100¢settled$10.071.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.87 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 81%, high confidence, 10:21 AM PT
Bought
11 × 92¢ = $10.07, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp28%Missed−$10.41−105%27¢ to 0¢settled$9.891.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.41 (−105%)after $0.52 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 28%, low confidence, 10:36 AM PT
Bought
37 × 27¢ = $9.89, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown55%Correct+$16.56+166%37¢ to 100¢settled$9.991.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$16.56 (+166%)after $0.45 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 55%, medium confidence, 10:51 AM PT
Bought
27 × 37¢ = $9.99, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp50%Correct+$4.92+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$4.900.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.92 (+100%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 50%, medium confidence, 11:06 AM PT
Bought
10 × 49¢ = $4.90, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown40%Missed−$10.31−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.31 (−104%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 40%, low confidence, 11:21 AM PT
Bought
26 × 38¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown84%Correct+$0.51+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.51 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 84%, very high confidence, 11:36 AM PT
Bought
10 × 95¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp45%Correct+$13.75+140%41¢ to 100¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$13.75 (+140%)after $0.41 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 45%, low confidence, 11:51 AM PT
Bought
24 × 41¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp68%Missed−$10.05−102%76¢ to 0¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.05 (−102%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 12:06 PM PT
Bought
13 × 76¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown62%Correct+$3.72+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.72 (+37%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 62%, medium confidence, 12:21 PM PT
Bought
14 × 72¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp38%Correct+$12.48+123%44¢ to 100¢settled$10.121.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$12.48 (+123%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 38%, low confidence, 12:37 PM PT
Bought
23 × 44¢ = $10.12, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown90%Missed−$10.13−101%92¢ to 0¢settled$10.071.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.13 (−101%)after $0.06 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 90%, very high confidence, 12:53 PM PT
Bought
11 × 92¢ = $10.07, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp68%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 1:06 PM PT
Bought
14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown42%Correct+$22.27+218%31¢ to 100¢settled$10.231.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$22.27 (+218%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 42%, low confidence, 1:21 PM PT
Bought
33 × 31¢ = $10.23, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp42¢Missed−$10.93−104%42¢ to 0¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.93 (−104%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 42¢, the market’s price, 2:06 PM PT
Bought
25 × 42¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMUp57%Correct+$8.71+88%52¢ to 100¢settled$9.951.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.71 (+88%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 57%, medium confidence, 2:27 PM PT
Bought
19 × 52¢ = $9.95, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown54%Missed−$10.51−104%46¢ to 0¢settled$10.121.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.51 (−104%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 54%, medium confidence, 2:42 PM PT
Bought
22 × 46¢ = $10.12, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown41%Missed−$10.49−104%42¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.49 (−104%)after $0.41 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 41%, low confidence, 2:53 PM PT
Bought
24 × 42¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown78%Correct+$1.74+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$10.151.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.74 (+17%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 78%, high confidence, 3:06 PM PT
Bought
12 × 85¢ = $10.15, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown75%Correct+$2.20+23%81¢ to 100¢settled$9.671.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.20 (+23%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 75%, high confidence, 3:21 PM PT
Bought
12 × 81¢ = $9.67, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown63%Correct+$5.50+54%64¢ to 100¢settled$10.241.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.50 (+54%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 63%, medium confidence, 3:36 PM PT
Bought
16 × 64¢ = $10.24, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp66%Correct+$6.41+62%61¢ to 100¢settled$10.301.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.41 (+62%)after $0.29 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 66%, medium confidence, 3:51 PM PT
Bought
17 × 61¢ = $10.30, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp50%Correct+$7.60+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$7.60 (+75%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 50%, medium confidence, 4:21 PM PT
Bought
18 × 56¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown71%Missed−$10.18−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.18 (−102%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 4:36 PM PT
Bought
13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown22%Correct+$17.18+166%37¢ to 100¢settled$10.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$17.18 (+166%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 22%, low confidence, 4:53 PM PT
Bought
28 × 37¢ = $10.36, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown82%Correct+$1.69+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.69 (+17%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82%, high confidence, 5:06 PM PT
Bought
12 × 85¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp80%Missed−$10.42−102%73¢ to 0¢settled$10.221.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.42 (−102%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 80%, high confidence, 5:21 PM PT
Bought
14 × 73¢ = $10.22, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown83%Correct+$2.45+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$10.401.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.45 (+24%)after $0.15 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 83%, high confidence, 5:36 PM PT
Bought
13 × 80¢ = $10.40, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp73¢Correct+$3.58+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$10.221.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.58 (+35%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 73¢, the market’s price, 5:51 PM PT
Bought
14 × 73¢ = $10.22, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown90%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 90%, very high confidence, 6:06 PM PT
Bought
11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown60%Missed−$10.51−104%46¢ to 0¢settled$10.121.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.51 (−104%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 60%, medium confidence, 6:21 PM PT
Bought
22 × 46¢ = $10.12, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown54%Missed−$10.43−102%68¢ to 0¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.43 (−102%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 54%, medium confidence, 6:36 PM PT
Bought
15 × 68¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp57%Correct+$3.45+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$10.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.45 (+33%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 57%, medium confidence, 6:51 PM PT
Bought
14 × 74¢ = $10.36, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp68%Correct+$3.72+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.72 (+37%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 7:06 PM PT
Bought
14 × 72¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown52%Missed−$10.15−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.15 (−103%)after $0.29 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 52%, medium confidence, 7:21 PM PT
Bought
17 × 58¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown52%Correct+$2.26+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+24%)after $0.14 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 52%, medium confidence, 7:37 PM PT
Bought
12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown84%Missed−$10.20−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.20 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 84%, very high confidence, 7:51 PM PT
Bought
12 × 84¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown91%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 91%, very high confidence, 8:06 PM PT
Bought
11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown89%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 89%, very high confidence, 8:21 PM PT
Bought
11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp47%Correct+$5.81+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$9.921.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.81 (+59%)after $0.27 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 47%, low confidence, 8:37 PM PT
Bought
16 × 62¢ = $9.92, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown47%Missed−$10.57−103%57¢ to 0¢settled$10.261.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.57 (−103%)after $0.31 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 47%, low confidence, 8:53 PM PT
Bought
18 × 57¢ = $10.26, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp91%Correct+$2.82+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.82 (+28%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 91%, very high confidence, 9:06 PM PT
Bought
13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp61%Correct+$2.82+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.82 (+28%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 61%, medium confidence, 9:21 PM PT
Bought
13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp45%Correct+$6.85+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$6.85 (+69%)after $0.29 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 45%, low confidence, 9:36 PM PT
Bought
17 × 58¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp45%Correct+$11.27+109%47¢ to 100¢settled$10.341.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$11.27 (+109%)after $0.39 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 45%, low confidence, 9:51 PM PT
Bought
22 × 47¢ = $10.34, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown31%Missed−$10.55−103%51¢ to 0¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.55 (−103%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 31%, low confidence, 10:08 PM PT
Bought
20 × 51¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown77%Missed−$10.01−102%70¢ to 0¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.01 (−102%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 77%, high confidence, 10:21 PM PT
Bought
14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown56%Missed−$9.99−103%57¢ to 0¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.99 (−103%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 56%, medium confidence, 10:36 PM PT
Bought
17 × 57¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown73%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 73%, high confidence, 10:51 PM PT
Bought
14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown85%Correct+$1.80+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.80 (+18%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 85%, very high confidence, 11:06 PM PT
Bought
12 × 84¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown77%Correct+$1.92+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.92 (+19%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 77%, high confidence, 11:21 PM PT
Bought
12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp77%Correct+$1.80+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.80 (+18%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 11:36 PM PT
Bought
12 × 84¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown8%Missed−$10.90−106%8¢ to 0¢settled$10.241.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.90 (−106%)after $0.66 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 8%, low confidence, 11:51 PM PT
Bought
128 × 8¢ = $10.24, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of USD/CAD’s trading for Oct 22, 2026.

86Windows
86Calls
81Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

f7e55f9ae5b861904cc41b17b1ab4611db51b4ad700fe9138e41fe8c27f84413

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

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A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 22 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/CAD make money on October 22, 2026?: Yes. USD/CAD made $14.73 on a $1,000 bankroll: 57 of 86 calls right, 52 tickets won and 29 lost. The best session was Midday (+$28.72) and the worst was China open (−$31.89).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/CAD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/CAD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/CAD’s record since launch is −$97.69. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 22, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $1,014.73
Day, net: +$14.73

Peak bankroll used$50.22+29% on peak used

$949.78 (95%) never touched · 81 tickets

Calls right: 57 of 860 passes · 86 windows
Tickets: 52 won, 29 lost
All-time calls right: 205 of 320since Oct 18
Since launch: −$97.69193 won, 115 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch USD/CAD on the USD/CAD desk

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USD/CAD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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AI agent USD/CAD’s USD/CAD (Canadian dollar) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

Week of October 18

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

After the close

Futures and Tokyo

China open