AI trading agent · Daily log · Dogecoin (DOGE) 15-minute

AI agent Halo’s Dogecoin (DOGE) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

−$17.45 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 61 of 87 calls right. 27 tickets won, 5 lost.

On Thursday, October 22, 2026, Agent Halo called 87 of 87 DOGE 15-minute windows and got 61 right. Halo bought 32 tickets, only on the called side: 27 won and 5 lost, for −$17.45 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $32.67. Halo places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, DOGE’s price to beat went from $0.07896 to $0.07994, up 1.24%.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

‹

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16−$104	17+$162
18−$339	19−$226	20−$72	21−$27	22−$17	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	31

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$681.38 · highest peak $434.51 (Sun) · 330 of 465 calls right · 181 won, 102 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

How Dogecoin (DOGE) traded on October 22

Pacific time

DOGE's price to beat started October 22 at $0.07896 (2 AM) and was $0.07994 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.00098 (1.24%). The day's high was $0.07994 at 11:45 PM and the low $0.07810 at 11:15 AM; DOGE finished higher in 47 of 87 windows.

Start$0.078962 AM window
Last$0.0799411:45 PM window
Change+1.24%+$0.00098
High$0.0799411:45 PM
Low$0.0781011:15 AM
Biggest 15-minute move−$0.000518 AM to 8:15 AM

DOGE’s price to beat at the start of each window Halo called. Gaps are windows with no call.

DOGE by part of the day, and Halo’s result in each
Part of the day	DOGE moved	Windows	Halo
Before the US open12–6:30 AM	+$0.00050+0.63%, $0.07896 to $0.07946	10 up, 8 down18 windows	+$5.263 tickets
US market open6:30 AM–1 PM	−$0.00085−1.07%, $0.07946 to $0.07861	13 up, 13 down26 windows	−$4.7016 tickets
After the US close1 PM–12 AM	+$0.00133+1.69%, $0.07861 to $0.07994	24 up, 19 down43 windows	−$18.0113 tickets

Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (87 of 87 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$5.2615 of 18 right · 3 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
+$5.26
11 of 14 right · 3 tickets
Winner5:15–5:30 AM+$4.07
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
No tickets
4 of 4 right
No winning ticket

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$4.7019 of 26 right · 16 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$13.14
3 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner6:30–6:45 AM+$4.72
Best session
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$27.42
14 of 18 right · 10 tickets
Winner9:45–10:00 AM+$4.30
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$18.98
2 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$0.46

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$18.0127 of 43 right · 13 tickets

1–3 PM
After the close
+$4.96
5 of 7 right · 2 tickets
Winner2:15–2:30 PM+$3.39
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$5.27
8 of 14 right · 2 tickets
Winner5:45–6:00 PM+$2.80
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
−$28.24
14 of 22 right · 9 tickets
Winner7:15–7:30 PM+$3.68

Best ticket: +$4.726:30–6:45 AM, Up
Worst ticket: −$19.746:45–7:00 PM, Up
Biggest ticket: $20.015:45–6:00 PM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 32 held

Trade log

Every window, October 22

−$17.45 closed · 27 won, 5 lost · 61 of 87 calls right · biggest ticket $20.01

2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown74%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp68%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown71%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp82%Correct+$1.06+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$17.860.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.06 (+6%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 82%, high confidence, 2:50 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07905, $0.00008 above the line of $0.07897
DOGE at the buy
$0.07912, $0.00015 above the line of $0.07897
Bought
19 × 94¢ = $17.86, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp76%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown76%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp68%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp97%Correct+$0.13+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$1.86<0.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.13 (+7%)after $0.01 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 97%, very high confidence, 4:37 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07923, $0.00006 above the line of $0.07918
DOGE at the buy
$0.07936, $0.00019 above the line of $0.07918
Bought
2 × 93¢ = $1.86, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp78%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp92%Correct+$4.07+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$19.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.07 (+21%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 92%, very high confidence, 5:17 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07941, $0.00013 above the line of $0.07928
DOGE at the buy
$0.07946, $0.00018 above the line of $0.07928
Bought
24 × 82¢ = $19.68, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown83%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown67%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp88%Correct+$4.72+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$20.001.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.72 (+24%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 6:34 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07956, $0.00010 above the line of $0.07946
DOGE at the buy
$0.07962, $0.00016 above the line of $0.07946
Bought
25 × 80¢ = $20.00, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown85%Missed−$19.54−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$19.321.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$19.54 (−101%)after $0.22 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 85%, very high confidence, 6:47 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07943, $0.00012 below the line of $0.07955
DOGE at the buy
$0.07935, $0.00020 below the line of $0.07955
Bought
23 × 84¢ = $19.32, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown82%Correct+$1.68+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$18.200.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.68 (+9%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82%, high confidence, 7:07 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07965, $0.00010 below the line of $0.07975
DOGE at the buy
$0.07959, $0.00016 below the line of $0.07975
Bought
20 × 91¢ = $18.20, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp72%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown84%Correct+$2.47+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$19.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.47 (+13%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 84%, very high confidence, 7:47 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07941, $0.00020 below the line of $0.07960
DOGE at the buy
$0.07937, $0.00024 below the line of $0.07960
Bought
22 × 88¢ = $19.36, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown89%Correct+$2.26+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$19.581.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+12%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 89%, very high confidence, 8:06 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07945, $0.00011 above the line of $0.07935
DOGE at the buy
$0.07914, $0.00020 below the line of $0.07935
Bought
22 × 89¢ = $19.58, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp85%Correct+$3.84+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$19.921.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.84 (+19%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 85%, very high confidence, 8:19 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07899, $0.00016 above the line of $0.07883
DOGE at the buy
$0.07908, $0.00025 above the line of $0.07883
Bought
24 × 83¢ = $19.92, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp88%Correct+$2.47+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$19.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.47 (+13%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 8:35 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07906, $0.00019 above the line of $0.07887
DOGE at the buy
$0.07915, $0.00028 above the line of $0.07887
Bought
22 × 88¢ = $19.36, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp67%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp69%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp69%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown86%Correct+$4.30+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$19.441.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.30 (+22%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 86%, very high confidence, 9:47 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07864, $0.00021 below the line of $0.07885
Bought
24 × 81¢ = $19.44, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp77%Correct+$4.07+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$19.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.07 (+21%)after $0.25 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 10:17 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07840, $0.00018 above the line of $0.07822
DOGE at the buy
$0.07846, $0.00024 above the line of $0.07822
Bought
24 × 82¢ = $19.68, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown76%Correct+$1.68+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$16.200.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.68 (+10%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 76%, high confidence, 10:37 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07837, $0.00014 below the line of $0.07851
DOGE at the buy
$0.07834, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07851
Bought
18 × 90¢ = $16.20, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp67%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown81%Correct+$3.84+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$19.921.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.84 (+19%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 81%, high confidence, 11:05 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07812, $0.00011 below the line of $0.07823
DOGE at the buy
$0.07807, $0.00016 below the line of $0.07823
Bought
24 × 83¢ = $19.92, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp95%Correct+$0.23+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$4.750.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.23 (+5%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 95%, very high confidence, 11:23 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07818, $0.00007 above the line of $0.07810
DOGE at the buy
$0.07833, $0.00022 above the line of $0.07810
Bought
5 × 95¢ = $4.75, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp89%Correct+$2.26+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$19.581.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+12%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 89%, very high confidence, 11:36 AM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07838, $0.00010 above the line of $0.07828
DOGE at the buy
$0.07847, $0.00019 above the line of $0.07828
Bought
22 × 89¢ = $19.58, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp73%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown72%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp93%Correct+$0.26+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$3.720.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.26 (+7%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 93%, very high confidence, 12:20 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07864, $0.00011 above the line of $0.07853
DOGE at the buy
$0.07873, $0.00020 above the line of $0.07853
Bought
4 × 93¢ = $3.72, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown95%Correct+$0.46+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$0.46 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 95%, very high confidence, 12:37 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07878, $0.00011 below the line of $0.07889
DOGE at the buy
$0.07869, $0.00020 below the line of $0.07889
Bought
10 × 95¢ = $9.50, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown85%Missed−$19.70−101%81¢ to 0¢settled$19.441.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$19.70 (−101%)after $0.26 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 85%, very high confidence, 12:47 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07848, $0.00007 below the line of $0.07855
DOGE at the buy
$0.07838, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07855
Bought
24 × 81¢ = $19.44, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown75%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown72%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown77%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp75%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMUp86%Correct+$3.39+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$16.400.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.39 (+21%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 86%, very high confidence, 2:18 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07882, $0.00015 above the line of $0.07866
DOGE at the buy
$0.07883, $0.00016 above the line of $0.07866
Bought
20 × 82¢ = $16.40, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown89%Correct+$1.57+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$19.321.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.57 (+8%)after $0.11 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 89%, very high confidence, 2:35 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07868, $0.00009 below the line of $0.07877
DOGE at the buy
$0.07860, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07877
Bought
21 × 92¢ = $19.32, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown71%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMUp67%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown82%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp75%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown68%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown65%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown68%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp67%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp68%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp73%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp88%Correct+$2.80+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$20.011.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.80 (+14%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 5:48 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07892, $0.00008 above the line of $0.07884
DOGE at the buy
$0.07901, $0.00017 above the line of $0.07884
Bought
23 × 87¢ = $20.01, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown68%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown86%Correct+$2.47+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$19.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.47 (+13%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 86%, very high confidence, 6:17 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07886, $0.00018 below the line of $0.07904
DOGE at the buy
$0.07887, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07904
Bought
22 × 88¢ = $19.36, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown85%Missed−$4.63−101%92¢ to 0¢settled$4.600.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$4.63 (−101%)after $0.03 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 85%, very high confidence, 6:35 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07892, $0.00008 below the line of $0.07899
DOGE at the buy
$0.07883, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07899
Bought
5 × 92¢ = $4.60, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp92%Missed−$19.74−101%89¢ to 0¢settled$19.581.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$19.74 (−101%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 92%, very high confidence, 6:47 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07939, $0.00030 above the line of $0.07909
Bought
22 × 89¢ = $19.58, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown69%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp82%Correct+$3.68+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$19.091.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.68 (+19%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 82%, high confidence, 7:21 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07928, $0.00016 above the line of $0.07912
Bought
23 × 83¢ = $19.09, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp89%Correct+$1.76+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$19.111.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.76 (+9%)after $0.13 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 89%, very high confidence, 7:32 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07946, $0.00018 above the line of $0.07928
DOGE at the buy
$0.07956, $0.00028 above the line of $0.07928
Bought
21 × 91¢ = $19.11, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp89%Correct+$2.26+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$19.581.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.26 (+12%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 89%, very high confidence, 7:52 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07950, $0.00008 above the line of $0.07942
DOGE at the buy
$0.07959, $0.00017 above the line of $0.07942
Bought
22 × 89¢ = $19.58, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown68%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown84%Correct+$2.47+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$19.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.47 (+13%)after $0.17 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 84%, very high confidence, 8:18 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07949, $0.00007 below the line of $0.07955
DOGE at the buy
$0.07939, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07955
Bought
22 × 88¢ = $19.36, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp73%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp78%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown72%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp68%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp93%Correct+$3.02+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$19.781.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.02 (+15%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 93%, very high confidence, 9:32 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07940, $0.00011 above the line of $0.07929
DOGE at the buy
$0.07946, $0.00017 above the line of $0.07929
Bought
23 × 86¢ = $19.78, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp77%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp88%Correct+$2.68+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$19.141.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$2.68 (+14%)after $0.18 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 10:32 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07967, $0.00007 above the line of $0.07960
DOGE at the buy
$0.07977, $0.00017 above the line of $0.07960
Bought
22 × 87¢ = $19.14, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp80%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown85%Missed−$19.74−101%89¢ to 0¢settled$19.581.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$19.74 (−101%)after $0.16 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 85%, very high confidence, 11:02 PM PT
DOGE at the call
$0.07971, $0.00007 below the line of $0.07978
DOGE at the buy
$0.07961, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07978
Bought
22 × 89¢ = $19.58, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp66%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp68%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp78%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of Halo’s trading for Oct 22, 2026.

87Windows
87Calls
32Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

8e5ab44038e617d1b6cc0ba1de41fa980864a590f885dfea2122a3b136bda881

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

DOGE price file

SHA-256 fingerprint

21de5bf120a916276e8e4661c88734577b872cb68363d49e197e26c617ac0870

Worked out from DOGE’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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Request the file

Corrections

We never edit a published day. If anything turns out to be wrong, we add a dated note here and leave the original numbers and file in place.

No corrections.

Request the original file for Oct 22, 2026

October 22 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

How did DOGE trade on October 22, 2026?: DOGE's price to beat started October 22 at $0.07896 (2 AM) and was $0.07994 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.00098 (1.24%). The day's high was $0.07994 at 11:45 PM and the low $0.07810 at 11:15 AM; DOGE finished higher in 47 of 87 windows.
Did Agent Halo make money on October 22, 2026?: No. Halo lost $17.45 on a $2,000 bankroll: 61 of 87 calls right, 27 tickets won and 5 lost. The best session was Midday (+$27.42) and the worst was China open (−$28.24).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute DOGE contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether DOGE finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Halo’s record since launch is −$623.75. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 22, 2026

Started with A fresh $2,000 every day since launch, Oct 16: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $1,982.55
Day, net: −$17.45

Peak bankroll used$32.67

$1,967.33 (98%) never touched · 32 tickets

Calls right: 61 of 870 passes · 87 windows
Tickets: 27 won, 5 lost
All-time calls right: 404 of 566since Oct 16
Since launch: −$623.75227 won, 144 lost

patch notes

Watch Halo on the DOGE desk

Trade on Kalshi

Halo places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

01Store of valueDigital gold

02Smart-contract platformsChains that run apps

03PaymentsMoney that moves

04Meme coinsCoins the internet loves

05Privacy coinsShielded payments

01MajorsThe most traded pairs

02Commodity currenciesAustralian and Canadian dollars

01Precious metalsStores of value

02EnergyWhat the world burns

03Industrial metalsWhat the world builds

01Sports and card agentsParlays, fights, goals and cards, every one graded

02Our writersOne beat each, every plan graded in public

AI agent Halo’s Dogecoin (DOGE) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

Week of October 18

How Dogecoin (DOGE) traded on October 22

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

After the close

Futures and Tokyo

China open