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AI trading agent · Daily log · HYPE (Hyperliquid) 15-minute · Versions 1.0 and 1.1

AI agent Sonia’s HYPE (Hyperliquid) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

+$73.29 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 67 of 86 calls right. 59 tickets won, 17 lost.

On Thursday, October 22, 2026, Agent Sonia called 86 of 86 HYPE 15-minute windows and got 67 right. Sonia bought 76 tickets, only on the called side: 59 won and 17 lost, for +$73.29 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $52.14. Sonia places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
181920−$5821+$22222+$732324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 18Before launch
  2. Mon 19Before launch
  3. Tue 20−$58.43peak $169.47start $2k
  4. Wed 21+$222.50peak $199.63start $2k
  5. Thu 22+$73.29peak $52.14start $2k
  6. Fri 23Not posted yet
  7. Sat 24Not posted yet

Week through Thu Oct 22: +$237.36 · highest peak $199.63 (Wed) · 184 of 226 calls right · 160 won, 40 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$31.7214 of 18 right · 17 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$12.70

    10 of 14 right · 13 tickets

    Winner4:15–4:30 AM+$16.81

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$44.42

    4 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner5:30–5:45 AM+$27.40

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

+$118.4523 of 26 right · 21 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    +$14.66

    2 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner6:30–6:45 AM+$17.98

  2. Best session

    7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    +$85.54

    17 of 18 right · 15 tickets

    Winner10:45–11:00 AM+$31.83

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    +$18.25

    4 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$10.71

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$76.8830 of 42 right · 38 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    −$47.06

    4 of 6 right · 5 tickets

    Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$23.37

  2. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    −$30.64

    11 of 14 right · 13 tickets

    Winner4:15–4:30 PM+$21.38

  3. 6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    +$0.82

    15 of 22 right · 20 tickets

    Winner8:30–8:45 PM+$4.72

Best ticket
+$31.8310:45–11:00 AM, Down
Worst ticket
−$43.632:45–3:00 PM, Down
Biggest ticket
$42.682:30–2:45 PM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 76 held

Trade log

Every window, October 22

+$73.29 closed · 59 won, 17 lost · 67 of 86 calls right · biggest ticket $42.68

  1. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown94%Missed−$1.89−101%94¢ to 0¢settled$1.88<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$1.89 (−101%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 2:08 AM PT
    Bought
    2 × 94¢ = $1.88, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown72%Correct+$13.77+38%72¢ to 100¢settled$36.511.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.77 (+38%)after $0.72 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 2:23 AM PT
    Bought
    51 × 72¢ = $36.51, 1.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown88%Missed−$2.67−101%88¢ to 0¢settled$2.640.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$2.67 (−101%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 2:38 AM PT
    Bought
    3 × 88¢ = $2.64, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp97%Correct+$0.69+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$24.251.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.69 (+3%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 2:53 AM PT
    Bought
    25 × 97¢ = $24.25, 1.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp79%Correct+$10.36+26%79¢ to 100¢settled$40.042.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.36 (+26%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 3:08 AM PT
    Bought
    51 × 79¢ = $40.04, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp68%Correct+$0.91+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$2.040.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.91 (+45%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 3:23 AM PT
    Bought
    3 × 68¢ = $2.04, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp72%Missed−$33.77−102%72¢ to 0¢settled$33.121.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$33.77 (−102%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 3:38 AM PT
    Bought
    46 × 72¢ = $33.12, 1.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown85%Correct+$0.14+16%85¢ to 100¢settled$0.85<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.14 (+16%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 3:53 AM PT
    Bought
    1 × 85¢ = $0.85, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp69%Correct+$6.00+44%69¢ to 100¢settled$13.700.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.00 (+44%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 4:08 AM PT
    Bought
    20 × 69¢ = $13.70, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown69%Correct+$16.81+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$39.332.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$16.81 (+43%)after $0.86 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 69%, medium confidence, 4:23 AM PT
    Bought
    57 × 69¢ = $39.33, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp96%Correct+$1.13+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$28.781.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.13 (+4%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 4:38 AM PT
    Bought
    30 × 96¢ = $28.78, 1.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown99¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  13. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown80%Missed−$26.77−101%80¢ to 0¢settled$26.401.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$26.77 (−101%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 80%, high confidence, 5:08 AM PT
    Bought
    33 × 80¢ = $26.40, 1.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp55%Correct+$2.59+78%55¢ to 100¢settled$3.300.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.59 (+78%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 55%, medium confidence, 5:23 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 55¢ = $3.30, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown58%Correct+$27.40+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$39.442.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$27.40 (+69%)after $1.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 5:38 AM PT
    Bought
    68 × 58¢ = $39.44, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown96%Correct+$1.52+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$39.362.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.52 (+4%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 5:53 AM PT
    Bought
    41 × 96¢ = $39.36, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown77%Correct+$11.27+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$40.082.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.27 (+28%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 6:08 AM PT
    Bought
    52 × 77¢ = $40.08, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp90%Correct+$4.23+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$40.482.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.23 (+10%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 90%, very high confidence, 6:23 AM PT
    Bought
    45 × 90¢ = $40.48, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp68%Correct+$17.98+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$40.122.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$17.98 (+45%)after $0.90 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 6:38 AM PT
    Bought
    59 × 68¢ = $40.12, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown99¢MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  21. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown94%Correct+$1.38+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$22.521.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.38 (+6%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 7:08 AM PT
    Bought
    24 × 94¢ = $22.52, 1.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp77%Missed−$4.70−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$4.620.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.70 (−102%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 7:23 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 77¢ = $4.62, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown89%Missed−$40.36−101%89¢ to 0¢settled$40.052.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$40.36 (−101%)after $0.31 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 7:38 AM PT
    Bought
    45 × 89¢ = $40.05, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown63%Correct+$11.31+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$20.161.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.31 (+56%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 7:53 AM PT
    Bought
    32 × 63¢ = $20.16, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown95%Correct+$0.18+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$3.800.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.18 (+5%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 8:08 AM PT
    Bought
    4 × 95¢ = $3.80, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp83%Correct+$7.47+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$40.052.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.47 (+19%)after $0.48 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, very high confidence, 8:23 AM PT
    Bought
    48 × 83¢ = $40.05, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp92%Correct+$0.29+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$3.680.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.29 (+8%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 8:38 AM PT
    Bought
    4 × 92¢ = $3.68, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp79%Correct+$0.99+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$3.950.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.99 (+25%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 8:53 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 79¢ = $3.95, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown68%Correct+$1.82+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$4.080.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.82 (+45%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 9:08 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 68¢ = $4.08, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp75%Correct+$12.83+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$40.462.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.83 (+32%)after $0.71 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 9:23 AM PT
    Bought
    54 × 75¢ = $40.46, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown53%Correct+$13.57+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$15.900.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.57 (+85%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 9:38 AM PT
    Bought
    30 × 53¢ = $15.90, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown100¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  33. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown84%Correct+$7.22+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$40.322.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.22 (+18%)after $0.46 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 10:08 AM PT
    Bought
    48 × 84¢ = $40.32, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp93%Correct+$1.90+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$26.961.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.90 (+7%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 10:23 AM PT
    Bought
    29 × 93¢ = $26.96, 1.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown86%Correct+$6.35+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$41.242.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.35 (+15%)after $0.41 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 10:38 AM PT
    Bought
    48 × 86¢ = $41.24, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown55%Correct+$31.83+78%55¢ to 100¢settled$40.882.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$31.83 (+78%)after $1.29 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 10:53 AM PT
    Bought
    74 × 55¢ = $40.88, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown59%Correct+$27.90+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$41.892.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$27.90 (+67%)after $1.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 59%, medium confidence, 11:08 AM PT
    Bought
    71 × 59¢ = $41.89, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  38. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp99¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  39. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp61%Correct+$2.24+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$3.660.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.24 (+61%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 61%, medium confidence, 11:38 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 61¢ = $3.66, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp99¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  41. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown97%Correct+$1.14+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$39.772.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.14 (+3%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 12:08 PM PT
    Bought
    41 × 97¢ = $39.77, 2.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp98¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  43. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown79%Correct+$10.71+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$42.662.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.71 (+25%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 12:38 PM PT
    Bought
    54 × 79¢ = $42.66, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp83%Correct+$6.40+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$33.201.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.40 (+19%)after $0.40 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, very high confidence, 12:53 PM PT
    Bought
    40 × 83¢ = $33.20, 1.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown63%Correct+$23.37+55%63¢ to 100¢settled$42.532.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$23.37 (+55%)after $1.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 1:08 PM PT
    Bought
    67 × 63¢ = $42.53, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown62%Missed−$29.92−103%62¢ to 0¢settled$29.141.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$29.92 (−103%)after $0.78 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 62%, medium confidence, 1:53 PM PT
    Bought
    47 × 62¢ = $29.14, 1.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp99¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  48. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMUp93%Correct+$1.89+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$26.971.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.89 (+7%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 2:23 PM PT
    Bought
    29 × 93¢ = $26.97, 1.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown97%Correct+$1.23+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$42.682.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+3%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 2:38 PM PT
    Bought
    44 × 97¢ = $42.68, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown57%Missed−$43.63−103%57¢ to 0¢settled$42.362.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$43.63 (−103%)after $1.27 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 57%, medium confidence, 2:53 PM PT
    Bought
    74 × 57¢ = $42.36, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown80%Correct+$1.72+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$7.170.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.72 (+24%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 80%, high confidence, 3:08 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 80¢ = $7.17, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown85%Correct+$6.94+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$41.622.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.94 (+17%)after $0.44 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 3:23 PM PT
    Bought
    49 × 85¢ = $41.62, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp60%Missed−$43.18−103%60¢ to 0¢settled$42.002.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$43.18 (−103%)after $1.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 3:38 PM PT
    Bought
    70 × 60¢ = $42.00, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown72%Correct+$15.08+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$41.112.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$15.08 (+37%)after $0.81 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 3:53 PM PT
    Bought
    57 × 72¢ = $41.11, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp98¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  56. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown65%Correct+$21.38+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$41.602.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$21.38 (+51%)after $1.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 4:23 PM PT
    Bought
    64 × 65¢ = $41.60, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown67%Missed−$42.50−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$41.542.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$42.50 (−102%)after $0.96 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 4:38 PM PT
    Bought
    62 × 67¢ = $41.54, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  58. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp72%Correct+$1.86+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$5.040.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.86 (+37%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 4:53 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 72¢ = $5.04, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp43%Correct+$6.63+128%43¢ to 100¢settled$5.160.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.63 (+128%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 43%, low confidence, 5:08 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 43¢ = $5.16, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  60. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp73%Correct+$1.79+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$5.110.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.79 (+35%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 73%, high confidence, 5:23 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 73¢ = $5.11, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  61. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown54%Missed−$5.02−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$4.860.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$5.02 (−103%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 54%, medium confidence, 5:38 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 54¢ = $4.86, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp91%Correct+$1.89+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$19.981.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.89 (+9%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 5:53 PM PT
    Bought
    22 × 91¢ = $19.98, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown96%Correct+$0.78+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$20.161.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.78 (+4%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 6:08 PM PT
    Bought
    21 × 96¢ = $20.16, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  64. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp70%Correct+$1.99+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$4.900.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.99 (+41%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 70%, medium confidence, 6:23 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 70¢ = $4.90, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  65. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown98¢MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  66. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown53%Correct+$4.04+84%53¢ to 100¢settled$4.800.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.04 (+84%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 6:53 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 53¢ = $4.80, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  67. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown67%Missed−$4.80−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$4.690.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.80 (−102%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 7:08 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 67¢ = $4.69, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  68. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp89%Correct+$0.10+11%89¢ to 100¢settled$0.89<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.10 (+11%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 89%, very high confidence, 7:23 PM PT
    Bought
    1 × 89¢ = $0.89, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp99¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  70. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp53%Correct+$4.07+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$4.770.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.07 (+85%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 53%, medium confidence, 7:53 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 53¢ = $4.77, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown92%Correct+$1.68+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$20.201.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.68 (+8%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 8:08 PM PT
    Bought
    22 × 92¢ = $20.20, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  72. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown67%Missed−$4.80−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$4.690.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.80 (−102%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 8:23 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 67¢ = $4.69, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  73. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown51%Correct+$4.72+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$5.100.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.72 (+93%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 51%, medium confidence, 8:38 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 51¢ = $5.10, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  74. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp86%Correct+$0.78+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$5.160.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.78 (+15%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 8:53 PM PT
    Bought
    6 × 86¢ = $5.16, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp56%Missed−$5.20−103%56¢ to 0¢settled$5.040.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$5.20 (−103%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 56%, medium confidence, 9:08 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 56¢ = $5.04, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  76. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown63%Correct+$2.82+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$5.040.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.82 (+56%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 9:23 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 63¢ = $5.04, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp95%Correct+$0.98+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$19.951.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.98 (+5%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 95%, very high confidence, 9:38 PM PT
    Bought
    21 × 95¢ = $19.95, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp53%Missed−$4.93−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$4.770.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.93 (−103%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 53%, medium confidence, 9:53 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 53¢ = $4.77, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  79. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp97%Correct+$0.05+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$1.94<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.05 (+3%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 10:08 PM PT
    Bought
    2 × 97¢ = $1.94, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown94%Correct+$1.23+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$20.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+6%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 10:23 PM PT
    Bought
    22 × 94¢ = $20.68, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  81. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp93%Correct+$0.71+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$10.230.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.71 (+7%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 10:38 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 93¢ = $10.23, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  82. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown68%Missed−$4.87−102%68¢ to 0¢settled$4.760.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.87 (−102%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 10:53 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 68¢ = $4.76, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  83. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown65%Missed−$4.67−103%65¢ to 0¢settled$4.550.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.67 (−103%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 11:08 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 65¢ = $4.55, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  84. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp90%Correct+$2.06+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$19.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.06 (+10%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 90%, very high confidence, 11:23 PM PT
    Bought
    22 × 90¢ = $19.80, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  85. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp57%Correct+$3.71+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$5.130.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.71 (+72%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 57%, medium confidence, 11:38 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 57¢ = $5.13, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  86. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp59%Correct+$3.14+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$4.720.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.14 (+67%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 59%, medium confidence, 11:53 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 59¢ = $4.72, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of Sonia’s trading for Oct 22, 2026.

  • 86Windows
  • 86Calls
  • 76Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

7cff65dc15e2139a43902046d02241158dd7553bcd7a3cad9afd017286aa633b

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 22 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Sonia make money on October 22, 2026?
Yes. Sonia made $73.29 on a $2,000 bankroll: 67 of 86 calls right, 59 tickets won and 17 lost. The best session was Midday (+$85.54) and the worst was After the close (−$47.06).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute HYPE contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether HYPE finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Sonia’s record since launch is +$237.36. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Sonia places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.