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AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/JPY’s USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

−$157.78 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 48 of 84 calls right. 36 tickets won, 35 lost.

On Thursday, October 22, 2026, Agent USD/JPY called 84 of 84 USD/JPY 15-minute windows and got 48 right. USD/JPY bought 71 tickets, only on the called side: 36 won and 35 lost, for −$157.78 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $202.79. USD/JPY places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$2219+$1120−$12321+$2022−$1582324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 18+$21.93peak $20.88start $1k
  2. Mon 19+$10.93peak $40.76start $1k
  3. Tue 20−$123.03peak $145.44start $1k
  4. Wed 21+$20.16peak $123.77start $1k
  5. Thu 22−$157.78peak $202.79start $1k
  6. Fri 23Not posted yet
  7. Sat 24Not posted yet

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$227.79 · highest peak $202.79 (Thu) · 178 of 316 calls right · 144 won, 137 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$62.7210 of 17 right · 13 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$48.08

    8 of 13 right · 10 tickets

    Winner3:15–3:30 AM+$2.26

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    −$14.64

    2 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$0.33

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$46.5116 of 25 right · 22 tickets

  1. Best session

    6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    +$4.52

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner7:15–7:30 AM+$22.58

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$37.70

    12 of 17 right · 14 tickets

    Winner8:45–9:00 AM+$2.95

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$13.33

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:00–12:15 PM+$2.39

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$48.5522 of 42 right · 36 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    −$1.87

    4 of 6 right · 5 tickets

    Winner2:15–2:30 PM+$14.11

  2. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    −$47.18

    5 of 14 right · 14 tickets

    Winner3:15–3:30 PM+$15.85

  3. 6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    +$0.50

    13 of 22 right · 17 tickets

    Winner9:30–9:45 PM+$35.54

Best ticket
+$35.549:30–9:45 PM, Up
Worst ticket
−$10.692:00–2:15 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$10.002:00–2:15 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 71 held

Trade log

Every window, October 22

−$157.78 closed · 36 won, 35 lost · 48 of 84 calls right · biggest ticket $10.00

  1. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp1%Missed−$10.69−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.69 (−107%)after $0.69 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 1%, low confidence, 2:09 AM PT
    Bought
    500 × 2¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  3. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  4. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp52%Missed−$10.05−104%37¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.05 (−104%)after $0.43 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 2:57 AM PT
    Bought
    26 × 37¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown6%Missed−$10.34−106%9¢ to 0¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.34 (−106%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 6%, low confidence, 3:06 AM PT
    Bought
    108 × 9¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown71%Correct+$2.26+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.26 (+24%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 3:27 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp4%Missed−$10.31−106%3¢ to 0¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.31 (−106%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 3:40 AM PT
    Bought
    301 × 3¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown76%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 3:57 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown93%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  10. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp2%Missed−$10.26−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.26 (−107%)after $0.66 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 2%, low confidence, 4:21 AM PT
    Bought
    320 × 3¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown95%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 4:57 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp86%Correct+$0.56+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.56 (+6%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 5:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 94¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp86%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 5:27 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown23%Missed−$4.86−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$4.590.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.86 (−106%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 23%, low confidence, 5:36 AM PT
    Bought
    27 × 17¢ = $4.59, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  16. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp83%Correct+$0.33+12%88¢ to 100¢settled$2.640.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.33 (+12%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, very high confidence, 6:12 AM PT
    Bought
    3 × 88¢ = $2.64, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown1%Missed−$10.11−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.11 (−107%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 1%, low confidence, 6:23 AM PT
    Bought
    473 × 2¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown8%Missed−$9.98−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.98 (−107%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 8%, low confidence, 6:34 AM PT
    Bought
    156 × 6¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp3%Missed−$9.90−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.260.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.90 (−107%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 3%, low confidence, 6:49 AM PT
    Bought
    463 × 2¢ = $9.26, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown67%Correct+$1.82+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$4.080.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.82 (+45%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 7:12 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 68¢ = $4.08, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp34%Correct+$22.58+252%28¢ to 100¢settled$8.960.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$22.58 (+252%)after $0.46 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 34%, low confidence, 7:20 AM PT
    Bought
    32 × 28¢ = $8.96, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown85%Correct+$0.84+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.84 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 7:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown1%Missed−$10.04−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.04 (−107%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 1%, low confidence, 7:55 AM PT
    Bought
    235 × 4¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  25. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  26. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp9%Missed−$9.95−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.320.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.95 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 9%, low confidence, 8:39 AM PT
    Bought
    233 × 4¢ = $9.32, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown55%Correct+$2.95+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$8.880.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.95 (+33%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 8:57 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 74¢ = $8.88, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown69%Correct+$1.36+16%86¢ to 100¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.36 (+16%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 69%, medium confidence, 9:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 86¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown68%Correct+$2.84+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.84 (+32%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 9:27 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 75¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp14%Missed−$9.87−106%9¢ to 0¢settled$9.270.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.87 (−106%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 14%, low confidence, 9:37 AM PT
    Bought
    103 × 9¢ = $9.27, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp72%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 9:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown80%Correct+$0.58+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$8.370.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.58 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 80%, high confidence, 10:12 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 93¢ = $8.37, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown12%Missed−$9.70−106%15¢ to 0¢settled$9.150.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.70 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 12%, low confidence, 10:22 AM PT
    Bought
    61 × 15¢ = $9.15, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp93%Correct+$0.23+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$4.750.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.23 (+5%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 10:42 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 95¢ = $4.75, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  36. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown96%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 11:27 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp9%Missed−$9.67−106%9¢ to 0¢settled$9.090.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.67 (−106%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 9%, low confidence, 11:37 AM PT
    Bought
    101 × 9¢ = $9.09, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  38. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown89%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 11:57 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp73%Correct+$2.39+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$8.470.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.39 (+28%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 73%, medium confidence, 12:12 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 77¢ = $8.47, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp55%Missed−$9.08−104%46¢ to 0¢settled$8.740.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.08 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 55%, medium confidence, 12:27 PM PT
    Bought
    19 × 46¢ = $8.74, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  41. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp75%Correct+$2.28+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.28 (+27%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 12:42 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 78¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown62%Missed−$8.92−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.92 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 62%, medium confidence, 12:57 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 54¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp84%Correct+$1.41+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$8.500.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.41 (+17%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 1:12 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 85¢ = $8.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp54¢Missed−$8.92−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.92 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 54¢, the market’s price, 1:50 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 54¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp89¢Correct+$0.82+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$7.120.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.82 (+12%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 89¢, the market’s price, 2:12 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 89¢ = $7.12, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown54%Correct+$14.11+166%37¢ to 100¢settled$8.510.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$14.11 (+166%)after $0.38 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 54%, medium confidence, 2:27 PM PT
    Bought
    23 × 37¢ = $8.51, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  48. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMUp12%Missed−$9.29−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.29 (−106%)after $0.49 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 12%, low confidence, 2:52 PM PT
    Bought
    42 × 21¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMUp7%Missed−$8.88−104%45¢ to 0¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.88 (−104%)after $0.33 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 7%, low confidence, 3:02 PM PT
    Bought
    19 × 45¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp27%Correct+$15.85+181%35¢ to 100¢settled$8.750.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$15.85 (+181%)after $0.40 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 27%, low confidence, 3:17 PM PT
    Bought
    25 × 35¢ = $8.75, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp52%Missed−$8.95−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.95 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 3:32 PM PT
    Bought
    20 × 43¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp48%Correct+$9.22+109%47¢ to 100¢settled$8.460.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.22 (+109%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 48%, low confidence, 3:47 PM PT
    Bought
    18 × 47¢ = $8.46, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp7%Missed−$9.57−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$8.960.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.57 (−107%)after $0.61 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 7%, low confidence, 4:02 PM PT
    Bought
    224 × 4¢ = $8.96, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp69%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 4:17 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp22%Missed−$9.38−106%13¢ to 0¢settled$8.840.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.38 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 22%, low confidence, 4:32 PM PT
    Bought
    68 × 13¢ = $8.84, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  56. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp59%Missed−$9.21−106%14¢ to 0¢settled$8.680.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.21 (−106%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 59%, medium confidence, 4:47 PM PT
    Bought
    62 × 14¢ = $8.68, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp10%Missed−$9.27−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$8.680.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.27 (−107%)after $0.59 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 10%, low confidence, 5:02 PM PT
    Bought
    217 × 4¢ = $8.68, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  58. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp39%Missed−$8.97−105%23¢ to 0¢settled$8.510.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.97 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 39%, low confidence, 5:17 PM PT
    Bought
    37 × 23¢ = $8.51, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp45%Correct+$5.77+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$7.980.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.77 (+72%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 45%, low confidence, 5:32 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 57¢ = $7.98, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  60. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown32%Missed−$8.76−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$8.320.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.76 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 32%, low confidence, 5:47 PM PT
    Bought
    32 × 26¢ = $8.32, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  61. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown72%Correct+$1.26+16%85¢ to 100¢settled$7.650.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.26 (+16%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 6:02 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 85¢ = $7.65, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown48%Missed−$8.36−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$8.120.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.36 (−103%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 48%, low confidence, 6:17 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 58¢ = $8.12, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown48%Missed−$8.29−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$7.990.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.29 (−104%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 48%, low confidence, 6:32 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 47¢ = $7.99, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  64. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  65. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown1%Missed−$0.16−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$0.15<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$0.16 (−107%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 1%, low confidence, 7:07 PM PT
    Bought
    3 × 5¢ = $0.15, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  66. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown69%Missed−$7.99−101%88¢ to 0¢settled$7.920.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$7.99 (−101%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 69%, medium confidence, 7:27 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 88¢ = $7.92, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  67. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown16%Missed−$8.73−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$8.190.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.73 (−107%)after $0.54 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 16%, low confidence, 7:36 PM PT
    Bought
    117 × 7¢ = $8.19, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  68. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown98%Missed−$7.56−101%94¢ to 0¢settled$7.520.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$7.56 (−101%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 7:57 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 94¢ = $7.52, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  70. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp73%Correct+$1.18+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$7.740.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.18 (+15%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 73%, medium confidence, 8:27 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 86¢ = $7.74, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown86%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  72. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp61%Correct+$3.24+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$7.590.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.24 (+43%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 61%, medium confidence, 8:57 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 69¢ = $7.59, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  73. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown27%Missed−$8.42−105%25¢ to 0¢settled$8.000.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.42 (−105%)after $0.42 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 27%, low confidence, 9:04 PM PT
    Bought
    32 × 25¢ = $8.00, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  74. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown98%Correct+$0.22+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$7.760.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.22 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 9:27 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 97¢ = $7.76, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp32%Correct+$35.54+444%18¢ to 100¢settled$8.000.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$35.54 (+444%)after $0.46 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 32%, low confidence, 9:34 PM PT
    Bought
    44 × 18¢ = $8.00, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  76. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown62%Missed−$8.82−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$8.330.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.82 (−106%)after $0.49 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 62%, medium confidence, 9:57 PM PT
    Bought
    49 × 17¢ = $8.33, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown57%Correct+$5.50+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$8.260.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.50 (+67%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 57%, medium confidence, 10:12 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 59¢ = $8.26, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown97%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  79. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown95%Correct+$0.22+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$7.760.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.22 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 10:42 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 97¢ = $7.76, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown63%Correct+$3.77+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$8.040.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.77 (+47%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 10:57 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 67¢ = $8.04, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  81. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  82. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown83%Correct+$1.60+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$8.300.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.60 (+19%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, high confidence, 11:27 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 83¢ = $8.30, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  83. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown2%Missed−$1.38−106%5¢ to 0¢settled$1.300.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$1.38 (−106%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 2%, low confidence, 11:36 PM PT
    Bought
    24 × 5¢ = $1.30, 0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  84. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown97%Correct+$0.58+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$8.370.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.58 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 11:57 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 93¢ = $8.37, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of USD/JPY’s trading for Oct 22, 2026.

  • 84Windows
  • 84Calls
  • 71Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

9fd406e1fcda115ab2d4dd6d96e77919fa1b27ab77b89ddb9d00846fa4cf645a

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 22 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/JPY make money on October 22, 2026?
No. USD/JPY lost $157.78 on a $1,000 bankroll: 48 of 84 calls right, 36 tickets won and 35 lost. The best session was US open (+$4.52) and the worst was Pre-market (−$48.08).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/JPY contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/JPY finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/JPY’s record since launch is −$227.79. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

USD/JPY places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.