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AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/JPY’s USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute log, October 26, 2026

−$37.67 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 60 of 88 calls right. 44 tickets won, 27 lost.

On Monday, October 26, 2026, Agent USD/JPY called 88 of 88 USD/JPY 15-minute windows and got 60 right. USD/JPY bought 71 tickets, only on the called side: 44 won and 27 lost, for −$37.67 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $80.60. USD/JPY places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$2219+$1120−$12321+$2022−$15823−$2424
25+$5826−$3827+$4128−$13229+$4630−$8331
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$1262−$14834567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 25+$58.08peak $52.93start $1k
  2. Mon 26−$37.67peak $80.60start $1k
  3. Tue 27+$41.01peak $70.91start $1k
  4. Wed 28−$132.08peak $145.84start $1k
  5. Thu 29+$45.96peak $75.55start $1k
  6. Fri 30−$82.82peak $85.70start $1k
  7. Sat 31Closed

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$107.52 · highest peak $145.84 (Wed) · 263 of 420 calls right · 191 won, 156 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$41.8317 of 22 right · 19 tickets

  1. Best session

    12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$61.40

    15 of 18 right · 15 tickets

    Winner1:00–1:15 AM+$51.49

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    −$19.57

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:15–6:30 AM+$1.57

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$66.9118 of 26 right · 20 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$9.98

    3 of 4 right · 2 tickets

    Winner6:30–6:45 AM+$1.06

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$42.02

    13 of 18 right · 14 tickets

    Winner11:00–11:15 AM+$3.98

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$14.91

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$3.99

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$12.5925 of 40 right · 32 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    +$15.69

    6 of 8 right · 7 tickets

    Winner2:45–3:00 PM+$12.94

  2. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    −$59.59

    5 of 12 right · 10 tickets

    Winner4:00–4:15 PM+$7.18

  3. 6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    +$31.31

    14 of 20 right · 15 tickets

    Winner11:00–11:15 PM+$41.29

Best ticket
+$51.491:00–1:15 AM, Up
Worst ticket
−$11.206:00–6:15 AM, Down
Biggest ticket
$10.564:45–5:00 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 71 held

Trade log

Every window, October 26

−$37.67 closed · 44 won, 27 lost · 60 of 88 calls right · biggest ticket $10.56

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp83%Correct+$1.05+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$6.880.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.05 (+15%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, high confidence, 12:12 AM PT
    Bought
    8 × 86¢ = $6.88, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.95 · To win $1.05 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp93%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 12:27 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown86%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 12:57 AM PT
    Bought
    13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.80 · To win $3.20 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp17%Correct+$51.49+519%16¢ to 100¢settled$9.921.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$51.49 (+519%)after $0.59 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 17%, low confidence, 1:04 AM PT
    Bought
    62 × 16¢ = $9.92, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.51 · To win $51.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown79%Correct+$5.34+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$10.401.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.34 (+51%)after $0.26 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 1:27 AM PT
    Bought
    16 × 65¢ = $10.40, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.66 · To win $5.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp93%Correct+$0.32+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.651.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.32 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 1:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.65, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.68 · To win $0.32 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  8. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp66%Missed−$10.95−104%46¢ to 0¢settled$10.551.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.95 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 2:12 AM PT
    Bought
    23 × 46¢ = $10.55, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.95 · To win $12.05 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp82%Correct+$0.32+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$4.650.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.32 (+7%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 2:27 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 93¢ = $4.65, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.68 · To win $0.32 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp67%Correct+$1.71+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$4.200.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.71 (+41%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 2:42 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 70¢ = $4.20, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.29 · To win $1.71 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown73%Missed−$10.20−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.20 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 73%, medium confidence, 2:57 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 84¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.20 · To win $1.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown96%Correct+$0.45+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.511.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.45 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 3:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 95¢ = $9.51, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.55 · To win $0.45 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  14. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown92%Correct+$0.46+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$4.500.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.46 (+10%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 3:57 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 90¢ = $4.50, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown55%Correct+$10.55+105%48¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.55 (+105%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 4:27 AM PT
    Bought
    21 × 48¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.45 · To win $10.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown53%Correct+$6.51+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.51 (+64%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 4:42 AM PT
    Bought
    17 × 60¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.49 · To win $6.51 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp95%Correct+$0.41+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$10.561.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.41 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 95%, very high confidence, 4:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 96¢ = $10.56, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.59 · To win $0.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp98%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  19. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown91%Correct+$0.72+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$5.230.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.72 (+14%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 5:42 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 87¢ = $5.23, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.28 · To win $0.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown77%Missed−$10.66−104%49¢ to 0¢settled$10.291.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.66 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 5:57 AM PT
    Bought
    21 × 49¢ = $10.29, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.66 · To win $10.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown11%Missed−$11.20−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.20 (−107%)after $0.70 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 11%, low confidence, 6:04 AM PT
    Bought
    210 × 5¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.20 · To win $198.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp82%Correct+$1.57+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$10.321.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.57 (+15%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 6:27 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 86¢ = $10.32, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.43 · To win $1.57 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown88%Correct+$1.06+11%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.871.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.06 (+11%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 6:42 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.87, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.94 · To win $1.06 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown51%Missed−$11.04−106%13¢ to 0¢settled$10.401.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.04 (−106%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 51%, medium confidence, 6:57 AM PT
    Bought
    80 × 13¢ = $10.40, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.04 · To win $68.96 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  26. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  27. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp77%Correct+$2.15+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.15 (+22%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 7:42 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 81¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.85 · To win $2.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown18%Missed−$11.03−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$10.321.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.03 (−107%)after $0.71 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 18%, low confidence, 7:49 AM PT
    Bought
    344 × 3¢ = $10.32, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.03 · To win $332.97 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp88%Correct+$0.46+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.46 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 8:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 95¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  31. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown68%Correct+$0.13+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$1.860.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.13 (+7%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 8:42 AM PT
    Bought
    2 × 93¢ = $1.86, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.87 · To win $0.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown75%Missed−$9.85−101%89¢ to 0¢settled$9.771.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.85 (−101%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 8:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 89¢ = $9.77, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.85 · To win $1.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp51%Correct+$0.90+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$1.060.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.90 (+85%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 51%, medium confidence, 9:12 AM PT
    Bought
    2 × 53¢ = $1.06, 0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.10 · To win $0.90 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  35. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown76%Correct+$1.39+15%87¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.39 (+15%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 9:42 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 87¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.61 · To win $1.39 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp5%Missed−$10.81−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$10.141.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.81 (−107%)after $0.67 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 5%, low confidence, 9:52 AM PT
    Bought
    169 × 6¢ = $10.14, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.81 · To win $158.19 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  38. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown91%Correct+$0.29+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.29 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 10:27 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.71 · To win $0.29 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown73%Missed−$9.85−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$9.641.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.85 (−102%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 10:42 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 69¢ = $9.64, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.85 · To win $4.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown93%Correct+$0.07+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$1.920.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.07 (+4%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 10:57 AM PT
    Bought
    2 × 96¢ = $1.92, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.93 · To win $0.07 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  41. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp70%Correct+$3.98+82%54¢ to 100¢settled$4.860.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.98 (+82%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 70%, medium confidence, 11:12 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 54¢ = $4.86, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.02 · To win $3.98 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp55%Missed−$10.31−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.31 (−104%)after $0.43 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 55%, medium confidence, 11:27 AM PT
    Bought
    26 × 38¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.31 · To win $15.69 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  44. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown93%Correct+$0.46+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.46 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 11:57 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 95¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp98%Correct+$0.05+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$1.940.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.05 (+3%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 12:12 PM PT
    Bought
    2 × 97¢ = $1.94, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.95 · To win $0.05 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown70%Missed−$9.60−101%79¢ to 0¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.60 (−101%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 70%, medium confidence, 12:27 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.60 · To win $2.40 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp79%Correct+$3.99+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.99 (+41%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 12:42 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.01 · To win $3.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  48. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown94%Missed−$9.35−101%93¢ to 0¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.35 (−101%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 12:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown75%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  50. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp65%Missed−$1.47−102%72¢ to 0¢settled$1.440.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$1.47 (−102%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 65%, medium confidence, 1:27 PM PT
    Bought
    2 × 72¢ = $1.44, 0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.47 · To win $0.53 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown58%Correct+$0.64+48%66¢ to 100¢settled$1.320.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.64 (+48%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 1:42 PM PT
    Bought
    2 × 66¢ = $1.32, 0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.36 · To win $0.64 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown89%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 1:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMDown7%Missed−$1.54−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$1.440.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$1.54 (−107%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 7%, low confidence, 2:08 PM PT
    Bought
    48 × 3¢ = $1.44, 0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.54 · To win $46.46 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown96%Correct+$0.93+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.93 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 2:27 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.07 · To win $0.93 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown97%Correct+$3.45+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.45 (+37%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 2:42 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 72¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.55 · To win $3.45 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  56. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown38%Correct+$12.94+134%42¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.94 (+134%)after $0.40 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 38%, low confidence, 2:52 PM PT
    Bought
    23 × 42¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.06 · To win $12.94 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown7%Missed−$10.58−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.58 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 7%, low confidence, 3:04 PM PT
    Bought
    330 × 3¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.58 · To win $319.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  58. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp55%Correct+$3.58+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$9.230.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.58 (+39%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 55%, medium confidence, 3:27 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 71¢ = $9.23, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.42 · To win $3.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown89%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  60. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp21%Missed−$10.42−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.42 (−106%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 21%, low confidence, 3:49 PM PT
    Bought
    98 × 10¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.42 · To win $87.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  61. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp71%Correct+$7.18+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.18 (+75%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 71%, medium confidence, 4:12 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 56¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.82 · To win $7.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown8%Missed−$10.40−106%11¢ to 0¢settled$9.791.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.40 (−106%)after $0.61 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 8%, low confidence, 4:23 PM PT
    Bought
    89 × 11¢ = $9.79, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.40 · To win $78.60 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  64. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown94%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 4:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  65. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp0%Missed−$10.37−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.37 (−107%)after $0.67 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 0%, low confidence, 5:11 PM PT
    Bought
    485 × 2¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.37 · To win $474.63 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  66. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown1%Missed−$10.13−106%12¢ to 0¢settled$9.531.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.13 (−106%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 1%, low confidence, 5:41 PM PT
    Bought
    81 × 12¢ = $9.53, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.13 · To win $70.87 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  67. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown27%Missed−$9.94−105%23¢ to 0¢settled$9.430.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.94 (−105%)after $0.51 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 27%, low confidence, 5:49 PM PT
    Bought
    41 × 23¢ = $9.43, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.94 · To win $31.06 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  68. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp90%Missed−$8.88−101%88¢ to 0¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.88 (−101%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 90%, very high confidence, 6:27 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 88¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.88 · To win $1.12 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp22%Correct+$34.24+371%21¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$34.24 (+371%)after $0.52 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 22%, low confidence, 6:34 PM PT
    Bought
    44 × 21¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.76 · To win $34.24 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  70. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown70%Correct+$3.58+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$9.230.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.58 (+39%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 70%, medium confidence, 6:57 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 71¢ = $9.23, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.42 · To win $3.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  72. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp94%Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 7:27 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  73. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp88%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 7:42 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  74. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown55%Missed−$9.48−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$9.180.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.48 (−103%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 7:57 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 54¢ = $9.18, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.48 · To win $7.52 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  76. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp91%Correct+$0.11+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$2.880.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.11 (+4%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 8:27 PM PT
    Bought
    3 × 96¢ = $2.88, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.89 · To win $0.11 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp68%Missed−$9.84−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.84 (−104%)after $0.38 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 8:57 PM PT
    Bought
    22 × 43¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.84 · To win $12.16 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp52%Correct+$5.45+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.45 (+59%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 9:12 PM PT
    Bought
    15 × 62¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.55 · To win $5.45 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  79. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown88%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 9:42 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.67 · To win $0.33 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  81. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp72%Missed−$9.28−102%76¢ to 0¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.28 (−102%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 10:12 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 76¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.28 · To win $2.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  82. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  83. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown19%Missed−$10.07−106%12¢ to 0¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.07 (−106%)after $0.59 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 19%, low confidence, 10:34 PM PT
    Bought
    79 × 12¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.07 · To win $68.93 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  84. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown7%Missed−$9.99−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.99 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 7%, low confidence, 10:49 PM PT
    Bought
    234 × 4¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.99 · To win $224.01 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  85. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp68%Correct+$41.29+450%18¢ to 100¢settled$9.180.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$41.29 (+450%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 11:12 PM PT
    Bought
    51 × 18¢ = $9.18, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.71 · To win $41.29 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  86. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp67%Correct+$1.97+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$8.910.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.97 (+22%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 11:27 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 81¢ = $8.91, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.03 · To win $1.97 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  87. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  88. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown54%Missed−$9.51−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.51 (−102%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 54%, medium confidence, 11:57 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of USD/JPY’s trading for Oct 26, 2026.

  • 88Windows
  • 88Calls
  • 71Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

6568c6b6126230ca7ffa2fa03f348d9accf35dac149508ed6c46409269ab3343

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 26 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/JPY make money on October 26, 2026?
No. USD/JPY lost $37.67 on a $1,000 bankroll: 60 of 88 calls right, 44 tickets won and 27 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$61.40) and the worst was Futures and Tokyo (−$59.59).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/JPY contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/JPY finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/JPY’s record since launch is −$231.65. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

USD/JPY places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.