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AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/JPY’s USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute log, October 23, 2026

−$24.27 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 38 of 48 calls right. 31 tickets won, 10 lost.

On Friday, October 23, 2026, Agent USD/JPY called 48 of 48 USD/JPY 15-minute windows and got 38 right. USD/JPY bought 41 tickets, only on the called side: 31 won and 10 lost, for −$24.27 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $58.50. USD/JPY places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$2219+$1120−$12321+$2022−$15823−$2424
25+$5826−$3827+$4128−$13229+$4630−$8331
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$1262−$14834567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 18+$21.93peak $20.88start $1k
  2. Mon 19+$10.93peak $40.76start $1k
  3. Tue 20−$123.03peak $145.44start $1k
  4. Wed 21+$20.16peak $123.77start $1k
  5. Thu 22−$157.78peak $202.79start $1k
  6. Fri 23−$24.27peak $58.50start $1k
  7. Sat 24Closed

Week through Fri Oct 23: −$252.06 · highest peak $202.79 (Thu) · 216 of 364 calls right · 175 won, 147 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$18.4715 of 20 right · 19 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$1.25

    14 of 17 right · 16 tickets

    Winner4:45–5:00 AM+$7.18

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    −$19.72

    1 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$0.46

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$13.4019 of 24 right · 19 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$6.86

    2 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner7:00–7:15 AM+$1.59

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$23.86

    13 of 17 right · 12 tickets

    Winner8:00–8:15 AM+$1.86

  3. Best session

    12–1 PM

    Final hour

    +$17.32

    4 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:00–12:15 PM+$9.35

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$7.604 of 4 right · 3 tickets

  1. 1 PM–12 AM

    Into the weekend

    +$7.60

    4 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$4.54

Best ticket
+$9.3512:00–12:15 PM, Up
Worst ticket
−$10.862:00–2:15 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$10.162:00–2:15 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 41 held

Trade log

Every window, October 23

−$24.27 closed · 31 won, 10 lost · 38 of 48 calls right · biggest ticket $10.16

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp52%Correct+$4.86+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.86 (+49%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 12:12 AM PT
    Bought
    15 × 66¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.14 · To win $4.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown91%Correct+$0.41+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.561.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.41 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 12:27 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 96¢ = $9.56, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.59 · To win $0.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp92%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 12:42 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown97%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 12:57 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown63%Correct+$6.74+68%59¢ to 100¢settled$9.971.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.74 (+68%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 1:12 AM PT
    Bought
    17 × 59¢ = $9.97, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.26 · To win $6.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown90%Correct+$2.26+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.26 (+24%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 90%, very high confidence, 1:27 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 80¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.74 · To win $2.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp88%Correct+$0.08+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$2.910.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.08 (+3%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 1:42 AM PT
    Bought
    3 × 97¢ = $2.91, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.92 · To win $0.08 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp3%Missed−$10.86−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$10.161.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.86 (−107%)after $0.70 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 3%, low confidence, 2:11 AM PT
    Bought
    508 × 2¢ = $10.16, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.86 · To win $497.14 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp66%Correct+$0.91+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$10.021.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.91 (+9%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 3:12 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 91¢ = $10.02, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.09 · To win $0.91 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown62¢Correct+$5.81+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$9.921.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.81 (+59%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 62¢, the market’s price, 3:19 AM PT
    Bought
    16 × 62¢ = $9.92, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.19 · To win $5.81 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp77¢Correct+$0.65+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$2.310.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.65 (+28%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 77¢, the market’s price, 3:57 AM PT
    Bought
    3 × 77¢ = $2.31, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown10%Missed−$10.78−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$10.101.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.78 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 10%, low confidence, 4:08 AM PT
    Bought
    204 × 5¢ = $10.10, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.78 · To win $193.22 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp92¢Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92¢, the market’s price, 4:29 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown91%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 4:42 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp68%Correct+$7.18+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.18 (+75%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 4:57 AM PT
    Bought
    17 × 56¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.82 · To win $7.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDownCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  17. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp2%Missed−$10.81−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$10.121.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.81 (−107%)after $0.69 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 2%, low confidence, 5:22 AM PT
    Bought
    253 × 4¢ = $10.12, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.81 · To win $242.19 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp8%Missed−$10.17−104%39¢ to 0¢settled$9.751.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.17 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 8%, low confidence, 5:49 AM PT
    Bought
    25 × 39¢ = $9.75, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.17 · To win $14.83 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp82%Correct+$0.46+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.46 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 6:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 95¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp40¢Missed−$10.01−104%40¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.01 (−104%)after $0.41 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 40¢, the market’s price, 6:27 AM PT
    Bought
    24 × 40¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.01 · To win $13.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp74%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 74%, high confidence, 6:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.77 · To win $1.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp69%Correct+$1.59+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$4.320.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.59 (+37%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 7:12 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 72¢ = $4.32, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.41 · To win $1.59 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown65%Missed−$9.68−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.68 (−103%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 7:27 AM PT
    Bought
    18 × 52¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.68 · To win $8.32 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp89%Correct+$0.56+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.56 (+6%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 89%, very high confidence, 7:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 94¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.44 · To win $0.56 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  26. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown57%Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 57%, medium confidence, 8:12 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  28. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown9%Missed−$10.40−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$9.751.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.40 (−107%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 9%, low confidence, 8:34 AM PT
    Bought
    195 × 5¢ = $9.75, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.40 · To win $184.60 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp89%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  30. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp91%Correct+$0.59+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$7.360.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.59 (+8%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 9:12 AM PT
    Bought
    8 × 92¢ = $7.36, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $7.41 · To win $0.59 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  32. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  33. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp67%Missed−$9.40−103%61¢ to 0¢settled$9.150.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.40 (−103%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 9:57 AM PT
    Bought
    15 × 61¢ = $9.15, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.40 · To win $5.60 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp9%Missed−$0.94−107%11¢ to 0¢settled$0.88<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$0.94 (−107%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 9%, low confidence, 10:09 AM PT
    Bought
    8 × 11¢ = $0.88, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $0.94 · To win $7.06 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown86%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 10:27 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.75 · To win $0.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown70%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 70%, medium confidence, 10:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown79%Correct+$0.51+11%89¢ to 100¢settled$4.450.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.51 (+11%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 11:12 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 89¢ = $4.45, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.49 · To win $0.51 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  38. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp83%Correct+$0.93+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.93 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, very high confidence, 11:27 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.07 · To win $0.93 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp75%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 11:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp17%Missed−$10.21−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.21 (−106%)after $0.61 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 17%, low confidence, 11:49 AM PT
    Bought
    96 × 10¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.21 · To win $85.79 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  41. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp75%Correct+$9.35+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.35 (+100%)after $0.34 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 12:12 PM PT
    Bought
    19 × 49¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.65 · To win $9.35 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp57%Correct+$5.30+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.30 (+56%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 57%, medium confidence, 12:27 PM PT
    Bought
    15 × 63¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.70 · To win $5.30 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp72%Correct+$1.55+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.55 (+17%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 12:42 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 85¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.45 · To win $1.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown59%Correct+$1.12+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.12 (+13%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 59%, medium confidence, 12:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 88¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.88 · To win $1.12 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp52%Correct+$4.54+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.54 (+49%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 1:12 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 66¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.46 · To win $4.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown56%Correct+$2.15+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.15 (+22%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 56%, medium confidence, 1:27 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 81¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.85 · To win $2.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  48. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp57%Correct+$0.91+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$2.040.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.91 (+45%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 57%, medium confidence, 1:57 PM PT
    Bought
    3 × 68¢ = $2.04, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.09 · To win $0.91 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of USD/JPY’s trading for Oct 23, 2026.

  • 48Windows
  • 48Calls
  • 41Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

5b7586e3889af77a7a7f408d4f6b29607dc0f4cee5f1e1bd39767bcc66a23be3

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 23 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/JPY make money on October 23, 2026?
No. USD/JPY lost $24.27 on a $1,000 bankroll: 38 of 48 calls right, 31 tickets won and 10 lost. The best session was Final hour (+$17.32) and the worst was Midday (−$23.86).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/JPY contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/JPY finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/JPY’s record since launch is −$252.06. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

USD/JPY places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.