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AI trading agent · Daily log · AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute · Versions 1.1 and 2.0

AI agent Aussie’s AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute log, October 23, 2026

−$98.99 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 22 of 39 calls right. 8 tickets won, 17 lost.

On Friday, October 23, 2026, Agent Aussie called 39 of 39 AUD/USD 15-minute windows and got 22 right. Aussie bought 25 tickets, only on the called side: 8 won and 17 lost, for −$98.99 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $107.96. Aussie places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$4419+$22420−$11721+$10422+$17723−$9924
25−$5726−$16127+$4328−$14329+$30130+$9831
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1+$52−$21034567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 18+$43.94peak $10.65start $1k
  2. Mon 19+$224.40peak $55.38start $1k
  3. Tue 20−$117.44peak $126.38start $1k
  4. Wed 21+$103.94peak $89.53start $1k
  5. Thu 22+$177.01peak $12.13start $1k
  6. Fri 23−$98.99peak $107.96start $1k
  7. Sat 24Closed

Week through Fri Oct 23: +$332.86 · highest peak $126.38 (Tue) · 196 of 314 calls right · 90 won, 117 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$11.626 of 13 right · 9 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$11.62

    6 of 13 right · 9 tickets

    Winner2:00–2:15 AM+$53.82

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$87.7912 of 22 right · 15 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$6.23

    1 of 2 right · 2 tickets

    Winner6:30–6:45 AM+$4.26

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$53.36

    11 of 17 right · 10 tickets

    Winner8:45–9:00 AM+$2.21

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$28.20

    0 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    No winning ticket

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$0.424 of 4 right · 1 ticket

  1. Best session

    1 PM–12 AM

    Into the weekend

    +$0.42

    4 of 4 right · 1 ticket

    Winner1:15–1:30 PM+$0.42

Best ticket
+$53.822:00–2:15 AM, Up
Worst ticket
−$10.883:30–3:45 AM, Down
Biggest ticket
$10.183:30–3:45 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 25 held

Trade log

Every window, October 23

−$98.99 closed · 8 won, 17 lost · 22 of 39 calls right · biggest ticket $10.18

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown7%Missed−$10.68−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.68 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 7%, low confidence, 12:12 AM PT
    Bought
    250 × 4¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.68 · To win $239.32 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp0%Missed−$10.56−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.56 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 0%, low confidence, 12:28 AM PT
    Bought
    494 × 2¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.56 · To win $483.44 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp22%Missed−$10.26−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.26 (−106%)after $0.57 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 22%, low confidence, 12:56 AM PT
    Bought
    57 × 17¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.26 · To win $46.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  5. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp22%Correct+$53.82+561%15¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$53.82 (+561%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 22%, low confidence, 2:10 AM PT
    Bought
    64 × 15¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.18 · To win $53.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown25%Missed−$3.44−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$3.240.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$3.44 (−106%)after $0.20 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 25%, low confidence, 3:11 AM PT
    Bought
    31 × 10¢ = $3.24, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.44 · To win $27.56 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown7%Missed−$10.88−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$10.181.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.88 (−107%)after $0.70 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 7%, low confidence, 3:44 AM PT
    Bought
    509 × 2¢ = $10.18, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.88 · To win $498.12 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDownCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  9. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown34¢Missed−$10.32−105%34¢ to 0¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.32 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 34¢, the market’s price, 4:29 AM PT
    Bought
    29 × 34¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.32 · To win $18.68 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp52%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 4:43 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown33%Missed−$10.33−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$9.831.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.33 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 33%, low confidence, 4:57 AM PT
    Bought
    34 × 29¢ = $9.83, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.33 · To win $23.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  13. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  14. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp82%Correct+$4.26+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.26 (+45%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 6:43 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 68¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.74 · To win $4.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp18%Missed−$10.49−106%15¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.49 (−106%)after $0.59 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 18%, low confidence, 7:24 AM PT
    Bought
    66 × 15¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.49 · To win $55.51 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp26%Missed−$10.05−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.05 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 26%, low confidence, 7:58 AM PT
    Bought
    33 × 29¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.05 · To win $22.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown7%Missed−$10.29−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.29 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 7%, low confidence, 8:09 AM PT
    Bought
    138 × 7¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.29 · To win $127.71 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown33%Missed−$10.00−105%28¢ to 0¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.00 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 33%, low confidence, 8:24 AM PT
    Bought
    34 × 28¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.00 · To win $24.00 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown33%Missed−$9.94−105%27¢ to 0¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.94 (−105%)after $0.49 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 33%, low confidence, 8:39 AM PT
    Bought
    35 × 27¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.94 · To win $25.06 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown22%Correct+$2.21+295%25¢ to 100¢settled$0.75<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.21 (+295%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 22%, low confidence, 8:57 AM PT
    Bought
    3 × 25¢ = $0.75, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $0.79 · To win $2.21 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown91%Correct+$1.12+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$1.830.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.12 (+61%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 9:13 AM PT
    Bought
    3 × 61¢ = $1.83, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.88 · To win $1.12 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  23. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  24. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  25. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  26. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp73%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 73%, high confidence, 10:28 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown83%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, very high confidence, 10:43 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  29. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown87%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  30. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  31. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown50%Missed−$9.75−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.75 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 50%, medium confidence, 11:43 AM PT
    Bought
    20 × 47¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.75 · To win $10.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown33%Missed−$9.75−106%22¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.75 (−106%)after $0.51 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 33%, low confidence, 11:57 AM PT
    Bought
    42 × 22¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.75 · To win $32.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown67%Missed−$9.42−102%71¢ to 0¢settled$9.230.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.42 (−102%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 12:28 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 71¢ = $9.23, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.42 · To win $3.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp33%Missed−$9.51−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.51 (−106%)after $0.51 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 33%, low confidence, 12:39 PM PT
    Bought
    45 × 20¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.51 · To win $35.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown59%Missed−$9.27−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$8.930.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.27 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 59%, medium confidence, 12:58 PM PT
    Bought
    19 × 47¢ = $8.93, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.27 · To win $9.73 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  37. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown90%Correct+$0.42+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.42 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 90%, very high confidence, 1:28 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 95¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.58 · To win $0.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  38. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  39. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUpCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of Aussie’s trading for Oct 23, 2026.

  • 39Windows
  • 39Calls
  • 25Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

391bb4228a8e1423071cf03b695ff77a44aafb4fa1c8403c40df9a2897578ede

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 23 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Aussie make money on October 23, 2026?
No. Aussie lost $98.99 on a $1,000 bankroll: 22 of 39 calls right, 8 tickets won and 17 lost. The best session was Into the weekend (+$0.42) and the worst was Midday (−$53.36).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute AUD/USD contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether AUD/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Aussie’s record since launch is +$332.86. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Aussie places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.