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AI trading agent · Daily log · Dogecoin (DOGE) 15-minute

AI agent Halo’s Dogecoin (DOGE) 15-minute log, October 21, 2026

−$26.98 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 61 of 95 calls right. 27 tickets won, 7 lost.

On Wednesday, October 21, 2026, Agent Halo called 95 of 96 DOGE 15-minute windows and got 61 right. Halo bought 34 tickets, only on the called side: 27 won and 7 lost, for −$26.98 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $102.08. Halo places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, DOGE’s price to beat went from $0.08146 to $0.07967, down 2.19%.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
111213141516−$10417+$162
18−$33919−$22620−$7221−$2722−$172324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 18−$339.35peak $434.51start $2k
  2. Mon 19−$225.91peak $407.74start $2k
  3. Tue 20−$71.69peak $136.94start $2k
  4. Wed 21−$26.98peak $102.08start $2k
  5. Thu 22−$17.45peak $32.67start $2k
  6. Fri 23Not posted yet
  7. Sat 24Not posted yet

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$681.38 · highest peak $434.51 (Sun) · 330 of 465 calls right · 181 won, 102 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

How Dogecoin (DOGE) traded on October 21

Pacific time

DOGE's price to beat started October 21 at $0.08146 (12 AM) and was $0.07967 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.00178 (2.19%). The day's high was $0.08356 at 11:30 AM and the low $0.07965 at 11:30 PM; DOGE finished higher in 46 of 96 windows.

  • Start$0.0814612 AM window
  • Last$0.0796711:45 PM window
  • Change−2.19%−$0.00178
  • High$0.0835611:30 AM
  • Low$0.0796511:30 PM
  • Biggest 15-minute move−$0.000706:30 PM to 6:45 PM
Before the openMarket openAfter the close12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM12 AM
DOGE’s price to beat at the start of each window Halo called. Gaps are windows with no call.
DOGE by part of the day, and Halo’s result in each
Part of the dayDOGE movedWindowsHalo
Before the US open12–6:30 AM+$0.00090+1.11%, $0.08146 to $0.0823616 up, 10 down26 windows−$22.135 tickets
US market open6:30 AM–1 PM+$0.00064+0.77%, $0.08236 to $0.0830014 up, 12 down26 windows+$15.2915 tickets
After the US close1 PM–12 AM−$0.00332−4.01%, $0.08300 to $0.0796716 up, 28 down44 windows−$20.1414 tickets

Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (95 of 96 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.

Trading sessions

Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$22.1315 of 25 right · 5 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$24.66

    12 of 21 right · 4 tickets

    Winner3:00–3:15 AM+$2.89

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$2.53

    3 of 4 right · 1 ticket

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$2.53

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

+$15.2919 of 26 right · 15 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    +$9.86

    3 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$3.77

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$1.05

    13 of 18 right · 10 tickets

    Winner7:45–8:00 AM+$4.53

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    +$6.48

    3 of 4 right · 2 tickets

    Winner12:00–12:15 PM+$3.46

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$20.1427 of 44 right · 14 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    No tickets

    4 of 8 right

    No winning ticket

  2. Best session

    3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    +$11.04

    11 of 14 right · 4 tickets

    Winner5:00–5:15 PM+$3.84

  3. 6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    −$31.18

    12 of 22 right · 10 tickets

    Winner6:30–6:45 PM+$13.06

Best ticket
+$13.066:30–6:45 PM, Down
Worst ticket
−$20.527:30–7:45 PM, Up
Biggest ticket
$102.086:30–6:45 PM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 34 held

Trade log

Every window, October 21

−$26.98 closed · 27 won, 7 lost · 61 of 95 calls right · 1 passed · biggest ticket $102.08

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown70%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp83%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp92%Correct+$1.12+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$18.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.12 (+6%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 12:52 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08209, $0.00008 above the line of $0.08200
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08218, $0.00017 above the line of $0.08200
    Bought
    20 × 94¢ = $18.80, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown65%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown70%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown89%Missed−$19.53−101%88¢ to 0¢settled$19.361.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$19.53 (−101%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 1:34 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08184, $0.00008 below the line of $0.08192
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08174, $0.00018 below the line of $0.08192
    Bought
    22 × 88¢ = $19.36, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp94%Missed−$9.14−101%82¢ to 0¢settled$9.020.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.14 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 1:50 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08218, $0.00020 above the line of $0.08198
    Bought
    11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp85%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  10. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  11. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp71%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  12. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  13. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown88%Correct+$2.89+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$18.920.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.89 (+15%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 3:03 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08177, $0.00009 below the line of $0.08186
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08169, $0.00017 below the line of $0.08186
    Bought
    22 × 86¢ = $18.92, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown79%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  15. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp73%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  16. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  17. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp82%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  18. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown69%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  19. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp67%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  20. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown66%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  21. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  22. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  23. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  24. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp73%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  25. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp91%Correct+$2.53+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$15.300.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.53 (+17%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 6:04 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08226, $0.00018 above the line of $0.08208
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08225, $0.00017 above the line of $0.08208
    Bought
    18 × 85¢ = $15.30, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp78%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  27. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown98%Correct+$2.89+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$18.920.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.89 (+15%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 6:32 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08195, $0.00041 below the line of $0.08236
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08185, $0.00051 below the line of $0.08236
    Bought
    22 × 86¢ = $18.92, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp78%Correct+$3.77+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$16.000.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.77 (+24%)after $0.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 6:47 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08223, $0.00024 above the line of $0.08200
    Bought
    20 × 80¢ = $16.00, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown79%Correct+$3.20+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$16.600.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.20 (+19%)after $0.20 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 7:02 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08199, $0.00018 below the line of $0.08218
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08190, $0.00027 below the line of $0.08218
    Bought
    20 × 83¢ = $16.60, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown65%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  31. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp78%Correct+$3.46+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$19.321.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.46 (+18%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 7:33 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08248, $0.00026 above the line of $0.08222
    Bought
    23 × 84¢ = $19.32, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp80%Correct+$4.53+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$19.201.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.53 (+24%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 7:47 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08271, $0.00015 above the line of $0.08256
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08281, $0.00025 above the line of $0.08256
    Bought
    24 × 80¢ = $19.20, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp76%Correct+$4.53+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$19.201.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.53 (+24%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 8:07 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08322, $0.00014 above the line of $0.08308
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08328, $0.00020 above the line of $0.08308
    Bought
    24 × 80¢ = $19.20, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown76%Missed−$6.49−101%80¢ to 0¢settled$6.400.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$6.49 (−101%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 8:18 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08309, $0.00025 below the line of $0.08334
    Bought
    8 × 80¢ = $6.40, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp78%Missed−$19.76−101%85¢ to 0¢settled$19.551.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$19.76 (−101%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 8:35 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08371, $0.00022 above the line of $0.08348
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08374, $0.00025 above the line of $0.08348
    Bought
    23 × 85¢ = $19.55, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp69%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  37. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  38. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown67%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  39. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp74%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  40. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp68%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  41. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown77%Correct+$3.04+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$13.770.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.04 (+22%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 10:02 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08311, $0.00014 below the line of $0.08325
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08308, $0.00017 below the line of $0.08325
    Bought
    17 × 81¢ = $13.77, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp82%Correct+$3.68+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$19.091.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.68 (+19%)after $0.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 10:21 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08318, $0.00013 above the line of $0.08305
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08322, $0.00017 above the line of $0.08305
    Bought
    23 × 83¢ = $19.09, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp80%Correct+$3.24+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$19.551.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.24 (+17%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 10:33 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08328, $0.00014 above the line of $0.08314
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08332, $0.00018 above the line of $0.08314
    Bought
    23 × 85¢ = $19.55, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  45. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp96%Correct+$0.25+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$2.730.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+9%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 11:07 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08338, $0.00011 above the line of $0.08328
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08344, $0.00017 above the line of $0.08328
    Bought
    3 × 91¢ = $2.73, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp85%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  47. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp65%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  48. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown95%Correct+$2.47+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$19.361.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.47 (+13%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 11:49 AM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08327, $0.00012 below the line of $0.08339
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08317, $0.00022 below the line of $0.08339
    Bought
    22 × 88¢ = $19.36, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown94%Correct+$3.46+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$19.321.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.46 (+18%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 12:03 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08264, $0.00021 below the line of $0.08285
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08256, $0.00029 below the line of $0.08285
    Bought
    23 × 84¢ = $19.32, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp86%Correct+$3.02+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$19.781.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.02 (+15%)after $0.20 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 12:17 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08293, $0.00019 above the line of $0.08274
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08297, $0.00023 above the line of $0.08274
    Bought
    23 × 86¢ = $19.78, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp69%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  52. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp73%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  53. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  54. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown77%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  55. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown70%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  56. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown68%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  57. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMDown71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  58. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown66%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  59. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMUp66%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  60. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  61. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown94%Correct+$2.26+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$19.581.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.26 (+12%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 3:02 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08269, $0.00010 below the line of $0.08279
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08258, $0.00021 below the line of $0.08279
    Bought
    22 × 89¢ = $19.58, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown95%Correct+$2.68+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$19.141.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.68 (+14%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 3:18 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08242, $0.00012 below the line of $0.08254
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08233, $0.00021 below the line of $0.08254
    Bought
    22 × 87¢ = $19.14, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp73%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  64. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown65%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  65. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown92%Correct+$2.26+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$19.581.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.26 (+12%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 4:04 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08213, $0.00013 below the line of $0.08226
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08209, $0.00017 below the line of $0.08226
    Bought
    22 × 89¢ = $19.58, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  66. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown65%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  67. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  68. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp65%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  69. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp91%Correct+$3.84+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$19.921.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.84 (+19%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 5:04 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08201, $0.00011 above the line of $0.08190
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08209, $0.00019 above the line of $0.08190
    Bought
    24 × 83¢ = $19.92, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  70. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  71. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp68%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  72. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp69%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  73. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown70%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  74. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown75%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  75. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown88%Correct+$13.06+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$102.085.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.06 (+13%)after $0.86 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 6:33 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08195, $0.00006 below the line of $0.08201
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08185, $0.00016 below the line of $0.08201
    Bought
    116 × 88¢ = $102.08, 5.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  76. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown79%Correct+$2.47+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$19.361.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.47 (+13%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 6:53 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08116, $0.00015 below the line of $0.08131
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08112, $0.00019 below the line of $0.08131
    Bought
    22 × 88¢ = $19.36, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown72%Correct+$4.72+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$20.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.72 (+24%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 7:04 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08101, $0.00017 below the line of $0.08118
    Bought
    25 × 80¢ = $20.00, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown72%Correct+$3.84+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$19.921.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.84 (+19%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 7:18 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08084, $0.00018 below the line of $0.08102
    Bought
    24 × 83¢ = $19.92, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  79. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp74%Missed−$20.52−101%81¢ to 0¢settled$20.251.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$20.52 (−101%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 74%, high confidence, 7:33 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08052, $0.00018 above the line of $0.08034
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08056, $0.00022 above the line of $0.08034
    Bought
    25 × 81¢ = $20.25, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  81. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp71%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  82. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp67%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  83. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown75%Missed−$19.54−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$19.321.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$19.54 (−101%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 8:34 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08002, $0.00011 below the line of $0.08013
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.07997, $0.00016 below the line of $0.08013
    Bought
    23 × 84¢ = $19.32, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  84. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp67%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  85. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp84%Missed−$19.98−101%86¢ to 0¢settled$19.781.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$19.98 (−101%)after $0.20 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 9:04 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08040, $0.00012 above the line of $0.08028
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08046, $0.00018 above the line of $0.08028
    Bought
    23 × 86¢ = $19.78, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  86. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  87. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown92%Correct+$1.12+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$18.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.12 (+6%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 9:35 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.08015, $0.00010 below the line of $0.08025
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.08004, $0.00021 below the line of $0.08025
    Bought
    20 × 94¢ = $18.80, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  88. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp83%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  89. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp66%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  90. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown76%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  91. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown94%Correct+$1.96+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$18.900.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.96 (+10%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 10:32 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.07997, $0.00015 below the line of $0.08012
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.07987, $0.00025 below the line of $0.08012
    Bought
    21 × 90¢ = $18.90, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  92. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  93. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown72%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  94. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown88%Correct+$1.69+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$10.200.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.69 (+17%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 11:21 PM PT
    DOGE at the call
    $0.07981, $0.00011 below the line of $0.07992
    DOGE at the buy
    $0.07975, $0.00017 below the line of $0.07992
    Bought
    12 × 85¢ = $10.20, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  95. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown71%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  96. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown68%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of Halo’s trading for Oct 21, 2026.

  • 96Windows
  • 95Calls
  • 34Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

f83b7c46e2954192d42017edb6defe107a0043a297dc5395b240d509c0848986

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

DOGE price file

SHA-256 fingerprint

e916b5a98c660ff3d953bd4d628b6e9cf810f7d51a3d4aa0078625292295da13

Worked out from DOGE’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 21 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

How did DOGE trade on October 21, 2026?
DOGE's price to beat started October 21 at $0.08146 (12 AM) and was $0.07967 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.00178 (2.19%). The day's high was $0.08356 at 11:30 AM and the low $0.07965 at 11:30 PM; DOGE finished higher in 46 of 96 windows.
Did Agent Halo make money on October 21, 2026?
No. Halo lost $26.98 on a $2,000 bankroll: 61 of 95 calls right, 27 tickets won and 7 lost. The best session was Futures and Tokyo (+$11.04) and the worst was China open (−$31.18).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute DOGE contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether DOGE finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Halo’s record since launch is −$606.30. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Halo places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.