AI trading agent · Daily log · EUR/USD (euro) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent EUR/USD’s EUR/USD (euro) 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

−$204.15 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 14 of 50 calls right. 13 tickets won, 36 lost.

On Friday, October 30, 2026, Agent EUR/USD called 50 of 50 EUR/USD 15-minute windows and got 14 right. EUR/USD bought 49 tickets, only on the called side: 13 won and 36 lost, for −$204.15 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $220.65. EUR/USD places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 31, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18−$31	19−$57	20−$114	21−$181	22−$32	23+$104	24
25+$16	26−$54	27−$208	28+$349	29−$139	30−$204	31

November 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
1+$194	2−$121	3	4	5	6	7
8	9	10	11	12	13	14
15	16	17	18	19	20	21
22	23	24	25	26	27	28
29	30

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$241.99 · highest peak $220.65 (Fri) · 180 of 448 calls right · 175 won, 268 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$58.568 of 20 right · 19 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$58.17
6 of 16 right · 15 tickets
Winner2:15–2:30 AM+$15.08
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
−$0.39
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner5:45–6:00 AM+$9.35

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$138.055 of 26 right · 26 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$2.86
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$8.50
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
−$100.96
3 of 18 right · 18 tickets
Winner8:45–9:00 AM+$21.88
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$34.23
0 of 4 right · 4 tickets
No winning ticket

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$7.541 of 4 right · 4 tickets

1 PM–12 AM
Into the weekend
−$7.54
1 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner1:30–1:45 PM+$16.87

Best ticket: +$21.888:45–9:00 AM, Up
Worst ticket: −$10.731:00–1:15 AM, Down
Biggest ticket: $10.041:00–1:15 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 49 held

Trade log

Every window, October 30

−$204.15 closed · 13 won, 36 lost · 14 of 50 calls right · biggest ticket $10.04

12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp57%Correct+$10.97+114%46¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$10.97 (+114%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 57%, medium confidence, 12:02 AM PT
Bought
21 × 46¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.03 · To win $10.97 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown74%Missed−$10.32−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$10.031.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.32 (−103%)after $0.29 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 74%, high confidence, 12:18 AM PT
Bought
17 × 59¢ = $10.03, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.32 · To win $6.68 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMDown79%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.661.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 79%, high confidence, 12:42 AM PT
Bought
14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.87 · To win $4.13 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown25%Missed−$10.73−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$10.041.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.73 (−107%)after $0.69 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 25%, low confidence, 1:11 AM PT
Bought
502 × 2¢ = $10.04, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.73 · To win $491.27 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown50%Missed−$10.40−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.40 (−105%)after $0.52 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 50%, low confidence, 1:17 AM PT
Bought
38 × 26¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.40 · To win $27.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDownCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown48%Missed−$10.35−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.35 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 48%, low confidence, 1:49 AM PT
Bought
49 × 20¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.35 · To win $38.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp23%Missed−$10.31−107%8¢ to 0¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.31 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 23%, low confidence, 2:04 AM PT
Bought
121 × 8¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.31 · To win $110.69 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp63%Correct+$15.08+159%38¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$15.08 (+159%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 63%, medium confidence, 2:24 AM PT
Bought
25 × 38¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.92 · To win $15.08 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp38%Missed−$10.12−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.12 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 38%, low confidence, 2:38 AM PT
Bought
37 × 26¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.12 · To win $26.88 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown82¢Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82¢, the market’s price, 4:12 AM PT
Bought
11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp43%Missed−$10.06−105%32¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.06 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 43%, low confidence, 4:17 AM PT
Bought
30 × 32¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.06 · To win $19.94 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown57%Missed−$9.82−104%45¢ to 0¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.82 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 57%, medium confidence, 4:34 AM PT
Bought
21 × 45¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.82 · To win $11.18 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp29%Missed−$9.94−105%23¢ to 0¢settled$9.430.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.94 (−105%)after $0.51 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 29%, low confidence, 4:47 AM PT
Bought
41 × 23¢ = $9.43, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.94 · To win $31.06 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp47%Missed−$9.76−104%39¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.76 (−104%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 47%, low confidence, 5:02 AM PT
Bought
24 × 39¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.76 · To win $14.24 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown54%Correct+$11.60+128%43¢ to 100¢settled$9.030.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$11.60 (+128%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 54%, medium confidence, 5:17 AM PT
Bought
21 × 43¢ = $9.03, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.40 · To win $11.60 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp45%Missed−$4.76−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$4.560.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$4.76 (−104%)after $0.20 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 45%, low confidence, 5:32 AM PT
Bought
12 × 38¢ = $4.56, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.76 · To win $7.24 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown65%Correct+$9.35+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$9.35 (+100%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 65%, medium confidence, 5:47 AM PT
Bought
19 × 49¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.65 · To win $9.35 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp28%Missed−$9.93−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.93 (−106%)after $0.53 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 28%, low confidence, 6:02 AM PT
Bought
47 × 20¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.93 · To win $37.07 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown70%Correct+$4.95+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$8.820.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.95 (+56%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 70%, medium confidence, 6:17 AM PT
Bought
14 × 63¢ = $8.82, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.05 · To win $4.95 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp42%Missed−$9.68−105%33¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.68 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 42%, low confidence, 6:32 AM PT
Bought
28 × 33¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.68 · To win $18.32 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown58%Correct+$8.50+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$9.180.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$8.50 (+93%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 58%, medium confidence, 6:47 AM PT
Bought
18 × 51¢ = $9.18, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.50 · To win $8.50 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp17%Missed−$5.00−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$4.700.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$5.00 (−106%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 17%, low confidence, 7:02 AM PT
Bought
47 × 10¢ = $4.70, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $5.00 · To win $42.00 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp46%Correct+$3.32+208%32¢ to 100¢settled$1.600.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.32 (+208%)after $0.08 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 46%, low confidence, 7:17 AM PT
Bought
5 × 32¢ = $1.60, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $1.68 · To win $3.32 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown26%Missed−$9.86−106%15¢ to 0¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.86 (−106%)after $0.56 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 26%, low confidence, 7:32 AM PT
Bought
62 × 15¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.86 · To win $52.14 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp26%Missed−$9.72−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$9.180.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.72 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 26%, low confidence, 7:47 AM PT
Bought
54 × 17¢ = $9.18, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.72 · To win $44.28 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp32%Missed−$9.53−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$9.030.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.53 (−106%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 32%, low confidence, 8:02 AM PT
Bought
43 × 21¢ = $9.03, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.53 · To win $33.47 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown36%Missed−$9.48−105%25¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.48 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 36%, low confidence, 8:17 AM PT
Bought
36 × 25¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.48 · To win $26.52 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown33%Missed−$9.44−106%19¢ to 0¢settled$8.930.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.44 (−106%)after $0.51 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 33%, low confidence, 8:32 AM PT
Bought
47 × 19¢ = $8.93, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.44 · To win $37.56 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp53%Correct+$21.88+252%28¢ to 100¢settled$8.680.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$21.88 (+252%)after $0.44 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 53%, medium confidence, 8:47 AM PT
Bought
31 × 28¢ = $8.68, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.12 · To win $21.88 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown53%Missed−$9.15−104%44¢ to 0¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.15 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 53%, medium confidence, 9:02 AM PT
Bought
20 × 44¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.15 · To win $10.85 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp56%Missed−$8.96−104%48¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.96 (−104%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 56%, medium confidence, 9:17 AM PT
Bought
18 × 48¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.96 · To win $9.04 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp50%Missed−$8.95−104%39¢ to 0¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.95 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 50%, medium confidence, 9:35 AM PT
Bought
22 × 39¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.95 · To win $13.05 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown41%Missed−$9.13−105%30¢ to 0¢settled$8.700.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$9.13 (−105%)after $0.43 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 41%, low confidence, 9:47 AM PT
Bought
29 × 30¢ = $8.70, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.13 · To win $19.87 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown70%Missed−$8.53−103%64¢ to 0¢settled$8.320.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.53 (−103%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 70%, medium confidence, 10:03 AM PT
Bought
13 × 64¢ = $8.32, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.53 · To win $4.47 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown73%Correct+$5.36+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$8.400.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$5.36 (+64%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 73%, medium confidence, 10:17 AM PT
Bought
14 × 60¢ = $8.40, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.64 · To win $5.36 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp73%Missed−$8.79−102%66¢ to 0¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.79 (−102%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 73%, medium confidence, 10:34 AM PT
Bought
13 × 66¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.79 · To win $4.21 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp68%Missed−$8.76−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$8.480.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.76 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 68%, medium confidence, 10:47 AM PT
Bought
16 × 53¢ = $8.48, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.76 · To win $7.24 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown27%Missed−$4.44−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$4.200.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$4.44 (−106%)after $0.24 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 27%, low confidence, 11:02 AM PT
Bought
21 × 20¢ = $4.20, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $4.44 · To win $16.56 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown58%Missed−$8.54−104%41¢ to 0¢settled$8.200.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.54 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 58%, medium confidence, 11:17 AM PT
Bought
20 × 41¢ = $8.20, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.54 · To win $11.46 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp75%Correct+$3.77+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$8.040.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.77 (+47%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 75%, high confidence, 11:32 AM PT
Bought
12 × 67¢ = $8.04, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.23 · To win $3.77 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp53%Missed−$8.69−104%44¢ to 0¢settled$8.360.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.69 (−104%)after $0.33 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 53%, medium confidence, 11:48 AM PT
Bought
19 × 44¢ = $8.36, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.69 · To win $10.31 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown45%Missed−$8.72−105%32¢ to 0¢settled$8.320.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.72 (−105%)after $0.40 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 45%, low confidence, 12:02 PM PT
Bought
26 × 32¢ = $8.32, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.72 · To win $17.28 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown34%Missed−$8.52−105%27¢ to 0¢settled$8.100.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.52 (−105%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 34%, low confidence, 12:17 PM PT
Bought
30 × 27¢ = $8.10, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.52 · To win $21.48 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp40%Missed−$8.42−105%25¢ to 0¢settled$8.000.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.42 (−105%)after $0.42 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 40%, low confidence, 12:33 PM PT
Bought
32 × 25¢ = $8.00, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.42 · To win $23.58 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown25%Missed−$8.57−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$8.100.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.57 (−106%)after $0.47 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 25%, low confidence, 12:47 PM PT
Bought
45 × 18¢ = $8.10, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.57 · To win $36.43 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown51%Missed−$8.24−104%44¢ to 0¢settled$7.920.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.24 (−104%)after $0.32 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 51%, medium confidence, 1:02 PM PT
Bought
18 × 44¢ = $7.92, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.24 · To win $9.76 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp52%Missed−$8.05−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$7.740.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.05 (−104%)after $0.31 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 1:17 PM PT
Bought
18 × 43¢ = $7.74, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.05 · To win $9.95 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown42%Correct+$16.87+218%31¢ to 100¢settled$7.750.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$16.87 (+218%)after $0.38 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 42%, low confidence, 1:32 PM PT
Bought
25 × 31¢ = $7.75, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.13 · To win $16.87 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp52%Missed−$8.12−104%46¢ to 0¢settled$7.820.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$8.12 (−104%)after $0.30 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 1:48 PM PT
Bought
17 × 46¢ = $7.82, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $8.12 · To win $8.88 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 31, 2026

This file holds all of EUR/USD’s trading for Oct 30, 2026.

50Windows
50Calls
49Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

facb640d9ad6c38aed5f151969051025193e4aa21d5ee9fc43e474756b4af1d9

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 30 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent EUR/USD make money on October 30, 2026?: No. EUR/USD lost $204.15 on a $1,000 bankroll: 14 of 50 calls right, 13 tickets won and 36 lost.
What is a Kalshi 15-minute EUR/USD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether EUR/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: EUR/USD’s record since launch is −$554.01. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 30, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $795.85
Day, net: −$204.15

Peak bankroll used$220.65

$779.35 (78%) never touched · 49 tickets

Calls right: 14 of 500 passes · 50 windows
Tickets: 13 won, 36 lost
All-time calls right: 318 of 809since Oct 18
Since launch: −$554.01311 won, 491 lost

Version 2.0 · patch notes

Watch EUR/USD on the EUR/USD desk

Trade on Kalshi

EUR/USD places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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AI agent EUR/USD’s EUR/USD (euro) 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

Week of October 25

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

Into the weekend