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AI trading agent · Daily log · Silver (XAG) 15-minute · Version 1.0

AI agent JiHui’s Silver (XAG) 15-minute log, October 16, 2026

−$468.98 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 15 of 25 calls right. 15 tickets won, 10 lost.

On Friday, October 16, 2026, Agent JiHui called 25 of 56 Silver 15-minute windows and got 15 right. JiHui bought 25 tickets, only on the called side: 15 won and 10 lost, for −$468.98 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $763.75. JiHui places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Silver’s price to beat went from $57.670 to $57.119, down 0.96%.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 18, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 11

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
1112−$3313+$76414+$81015+$1.6k16−$46917
18+$10119+$36820−$21121−$38222+$1292324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 11Before launch
  2. Mon 12−$32.81peak $563.81start $2k
  3. Tue 13+$764.26peak $339.56start $2k
  4. Wed 14+$809.51peak $585.80start $2k
  5. Thu 15+$1,601.80peak $255.76start $2k
  6. Fri 16−$468.98peak $763.75start $2k
  7. Sat 17Closed

Week through Fri Oct 16: +$2,673.78 · highest peak $763.75 (Fri) · 121 of 167 calls right · 121 won, 46 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

How Silver (XAG) traded on October 16

Pacific time

Silver's price to beat started October 16 at $57.670 (1:15 AM) and was $57.119 by the 12:30 PM window, down $0.551 (0.96%). The day's high was $57.883 at 7:30 AM and the low $57.015 at 11:45 AM; Silver finished higher in 22 of 56 windows.

  • Start$57.6701:15 AM window
  • Last$57.11912:30 PM window
  • Change−0.96%−$0.551
  • High$57.8837:30 AM
  • Low$57.01511:45 AM
  • Biggest 15-minute move−$0.2608 AM to 8:15 AM
Before the openMarket openAfter the close12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM12 AM
Silver’s price to beat at the start of each window JiHui called. Gaps are windows with no call.
Silver by part of the day, and JiHui’s result in each
Part of the daySilver movedWindowsJiHui
Before the US open12–6:30 AM−$0.224−0.39%, $57.670 to $57.44610 up, 16 down26 windows+$101.467 tickets
US market open6:30 AM–1 PM−$0.327−0.57%, $57.446 to $57.11911 up, 15 down26 windows−$570.4418 tickets
After the US close1 PM–12 AMNo priceNo called window1 up, 3 down4 windowsNo tickets 

Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (25 of 56 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$101.465 of 7 right · 7 tickets

  1. Best session

    12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$135.00

    3 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner1:15–1:30 AM+$86.24

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    −$33.54

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner5:45–6:00 AM+$170.84

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$570.4410 of 18 right · 18 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$380.19

    1 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner7:15–7:30 AM+$106.51

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$85.74

    8 of 12 right · 12 tickets

    Winner9:45–10:00 AM+$107.73

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$104.51

    1 of 2 right · 2 tickets

    Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$29.86

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

No tickets0 of 0 right

  1. 1 PM–12 AM

    Into the weekend

    No tickets

    4 windows, all passed

    No winning ticket

Best ticket
+$170.845:45–6:00 AM, Down
Worst ticket
−$229.846:00–6:15 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$225.576:00–6:15 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 25 held

Trade log

Every window, October 16

−$468.98 closed · 15 won, 10 lost · 15 of 25 calls right · 31 passed · biggest ticket $225.57

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp75%Correct+$86.24+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$140.917.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$86.24 (+61%)after $3.85 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 1:20 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.725, $0.055 above the line of $57.670
    Bought
    231 × 61¢ = $140.91, 7.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp83%Correct+$44.25+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$103.505.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$44.25 (+43%)after $2.25 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, high confidence, 1:53 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.857, $0.069 above the line of $57.788
    Bought
    150 × 69¢ = $103.50, 5.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  10. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  11. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  12. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  13. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  14. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  15. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  16. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  17. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  18. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  19. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  20. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  21. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  22. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp96%Correct+$4.51+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$27.201.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.51 (+17%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 5:22 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.896, $0.148 above the line of $57.748
    Bought
    32 × 85¢ = $27.20, 1.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp74%Missed−$48.88−103%61¢ to 0¢settled$47.582.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$48.88 (−103%)after $1.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 74%, high confidence, 5:34 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.935, $0.056 above the line of $57.879
    Bought
    78 × 61¢ = $47.58, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown64%Correct+$170.84+82%54¢ to 100¢settled$208.4410.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$170.84 (+82%)after $6.72 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 5:47 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.799, $0.032 below the line of $57.831
    Bought
    386 × 54¢ = $208.44, 10.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp84%Missed−$229.84−102%73¢ to 0¢settled$225.5711.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$229.84 (−102%)after $4.27 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 6:01 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.745, $0.099 above the line of $57.646
    Bought
    309 × 73¢ = $225.57, 11.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown83%Correct+$74.34+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$173.888.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$74.34 (+43%)after $3.78 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, high confidence, 6:16 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.420, $0.093 below the line of $57.513
    Bought
    252 × 69¢ = $173.88, 8.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown66%Missed−$101.28−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$98.054.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$101.28 (−103%)after $3.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 66%, medium confidence, 6:31 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.406, $0.040 below the line of $57.446
    Bought
    185 × 53¢ = $98.05, 4.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown84%Missed−$202.12−102%71¢ to 0¢settled$198.099.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$202.12 (−102%)after $4.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 6:47 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.565, $0.095 below the line of $57.660
    Bought
    279 × 71¢ = $198.09, 9.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp81%Missed−$183.30−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$179.409.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$183.30 (−102%)after $3.90 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 81%, high confidence, 7:01 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.802, $0.089 above the line of $57.713
    Bought
    260 × 69¢ = $179.40, 9.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp80%Correct+$106.51+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$147.067.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$106.51 (+72%)after $4.43 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 7:16 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.779, $0.086 above the line of $57.693
    Bought
    258 × 57¢ = $147.06, 7.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown83%Correct+$44.43+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$86.454.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$44.43 (+51%)after $2.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, very high confidence, 7:34 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.796, $0.088 below the line of $57.883
    Bought
    133 × 65¢ = $86.45, 4.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  33. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown92%Correct+$36.47+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$176.308.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$36.47 (+21%)after $2.23 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 8:07 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.633, $0.114 below the line of $57.747
    Bought
    215 × 82¢ = $176.30, 8.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp64%Missed−$137.41−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$133.036.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$137.41 (−103%)after $4.38 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 64%, medium confidence, 8:17 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.522, $0.035 above the line of $57.487
    Bought
    251 × 53¢ = $133.03, 6.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp67%Missed−$56.74−103%55¢ to 0¢settled$55.002.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$56.74 (−103%)after $1.74 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 8:32 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.459, $0.042 above the line of $57.417
    Bought
    100 × 55¢ = $55.00, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp77%Missed−$116.90−102%66¢ to 0¢settled$114.185.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$116.90 (−102%)after $2.72 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 8:46 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.427, $0.074 above the line of $57.353
    Bought
    173 × 66¢ = $114.18, 5.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  38. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown64%Correct+$39.37+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$46.112.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$39.37 (+85%)after $1.52 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 9:17 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.347, $0.033 below the line of $57.380
    Bought
    87 × 53¢ = $46.11, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown78%Missed−$157.29−103%60¢ to 0¢settled$153.007.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$157.29 (−103%)after $4.29 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 9:31 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.261, $0.079 below the line of $57.340
    Bought
    255 × 60¢ = $153.00, 7.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown69%Correct+$107.73+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$136.956.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$107.73 (+79%)after $4.32 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 69%, medium confidence, 9:46 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.317, $0.048 below the line of $57.365
    Bought
    249 × 55¢ = $136.95, 6.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  41. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  42. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  43. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  44. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  45. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown91%Correct+$41.77+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$147.847.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$41.77 (+28%)after $2.39 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 11:05 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.023, $0.118 below the line of $57.141
    Bought
    192 × 77¢ = $147.84, 7.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown81%Correct+$0.29+42%69¢ to 100¢settled$0.69<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.29 (+42%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 81%, high confidence, 11:20 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.990, $0.076 below the line of $57.066
    Bought
    1 × 69¢ = $0.69, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown72%Correct+$12.64+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$19.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.64 (+64%)after $0.56 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 11:31 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.965, $0.057 below the line of $57.022
    Bought
    33 × 60¢ = $19.80, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  48. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown76%Correct+$99.90+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$137.946.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$99.90 (+72%)after $4.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 11:48 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.949, $0.066 below the line of $57.015
    Bought
    242 × 57¢ = $137.94, 6.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  50. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown81%Missed−$134.37−102%70¢ to 0¢settled$131.606.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$134.37 (−102%)after $2.77 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 81%, high confidence, 12:18 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.997, $0.082 below the line of $57.079
    Bought
    188 × 70¢ = $131.60, 6.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown71%Correct+$29.86+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$48.802.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$29.86 (+61%)after $1.34 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 12:33 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.068, $0.051 below the line of $57.119
    Bought
    80 × 61¢ = $48.80, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  53. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  54. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  55. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  56. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 18, 2026

This file holds all of JiHui’s trading for Oct 16, 2026.

  • 56Windows
  • 25Calls
  • 25Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

fa89e7d00868f4dd9e1c801269d3b01d9286c4fe0f979328e9270ef37b61686b

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

Silver price file

SHA-256 fingerprint

f3e402610ccec19f9025feba629559a92b1cacdad0d0783e67405f1e2ad0155d

Worked out from Silver’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 16 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

How did Silver trade on October 16, 2026?
Silver's price to beat started October 16 at $57.670 (1:15 AM) and was $57.119 by the 12:30 PM window, down $0.551 (0.96%). The day's high was $57.883 at 7:30 AM and the low $57.015 at 11:45 AM; Silver finished higher in 22 of 56 windows.
Did Agent JiHui make money on October 16, 2026?
No. JiHui lost $468.98 on a $2,000 bankroll: 15 of 25 calls right, 15 tickets won and 10 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$135.00) and the worst was US open (−$380.19).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute Silver contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether Silver finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: JiHui’s record since launch is +$2,673.78. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

JiHui places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.