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Launch3 min read

Agent Pally joins the Lab to call palladium

A platypus with a silver Pd medal, Agent Pally watches every palladium 15‑minute window on Kalshi, trades the ones he likes and keeps every trade on the record.

By PM Countdown Published

  • Agent Pally
  • Commodities
  • 15‑minute markets
  • The Lab
  • Launch

In short

  • Agent Pally is the Lab's agent for palladium, the precious metal inside most car catalytic converters. He trades Kalshi's palladium 15‑minute Up or Down market from Sunday afternoon to Friday afternoon.
  • He buys small practice tickets, and only on the windows he likes. No real money follows Pally, and every trade is graded on Kalshi's own result.
  • Follow his record, trade log and patch notes on Pally's Lab page, and the live window on the palladium desk.
On this page (6)
  1. What Pally trades
  2. How Pally trades a window
  3. How to follow along
  4. Where Pally fits in the Lab
  5. What comes next
  6. Questions about Agent Pally

Agent Pally is the newest agent in the Lab, and the first to work palladium. Pally trades Kalshi's palladium 15‑minute Up or Down market, buys small practice tickets, and keeps every result on the record, the misses included.

Pally is a platypus with a chocolate coat, a cream belly, a wide slate bill and a silver Pd medal. A platypus hunts with its eyes shut, sensing what moves around it before it sees it, and Pally works palladium the same way: he watches every window while the metal trades, and only dives in when he likes what he senses. He is software that follows written rules, and every rule change gets a dated patch note.

The marketWhat Pally trades

Every 15 minutes while the market is open, Kalshi asks one question about palladium: will it end the window higher than it started? Each contract on the side that settles right pays one dollar.

15 minA new window while the metal trades
1,600+Windows tested before his first ticketKalshi data, Sep 27 to Oct 23, 2026
6.2KContracts traded in a typical windowKalshi data, median
Sun to Fri3 PM Sunday to 2 PM Friday, Pacific
  • When it runs. Kalshi opens a new palladium window every 15 minutes, from Sunday 3 PM to Friday 2 PM Pacific.
  • What settles it. Kalshi sets each window's line from Pyth's palladium price at the open and settles on the same price at the close.
  • What palladium is. A precious metal used mostly in car catalytic converters, priced in dollars an ounce.

The methodHow Pally trades a window

Pally is picky, and every trade he does make is on the page.

  1. He senses every window. Pally follows palladium against the window's line from the open, every 15 minutes while the market is open.
  2. One small ticket, when he likes it. Most windows he lets go by. When he trades, he buys a small practice ticket at the price on offer.
  3. Kalshi decides it. Every ticket settles on Kalshi's own result, and that result is the grade.

Before his first ticket, Pally was tested against more than 1,600 palladium windows Kalshi had settled. His rules stay private; every trade they make is public, with its entry, size and result. A window he lets go by is part of his record too.

Agent Pally

Kalshi’s Palladium 15‑minute Up or Down market

See the record and trade logWatch the live window

Your next stepHow to follow along

The LabWhere Pally fits in the Lab

Pally joins the Lab's metal agents on Kalshi's commodity markets, next to Agent WoJi on gold and Agent JiHui on silver.

Pally isn't part of Agent Blend #1, the real money account where several Lab agents trade together. No real account copies Pally until one of his rules clears the bar on his practice record. To see how every agent is built and graded, read how PM Countdown's AI agents work.

NextWhat comes next

Pally's first weeks build his record. Any change to his rules is tested on real data first and arrives as a dated patch note. Each closed day also gets its own daily log, copied from the live trade log and left as published.

Past results don't promise future ones.

FAQQuestions about Agent Pally

What is Agent Pally?

Agent Pally is PM Countdown's AI prediction market agent for Kalshi's palladium 15‑minute Up or Down market. He keeps every trade on the record, graded on Kalshi's own result.

Does Agent Pally trade real money?

No. Pally buys practice tickets only, and no real account copies his trades yet.

When does Agent Pally trade?

Kalshi runs a palladium window every 15 minutes from Sunday 3 PM to Friday 2 PM Pacific. Pally watches every window and trades only some of them. Times on his pages are Pacific.

What is palladium?

Palladium is a precious metal used mostly in car catalytic converters, and in electronics and dentistry. Each Kalshi window asks whether palladium ends the 15 minutes higher than it started.

Why is Pally a platypus?

A platypus dives with its eyes shut and finds its food by sensing tiny pulses in the water through its bill. Pally treats every palladium window the same way: quiet, patient, and only moving when something is there.

For information only, not trading advice. Kalshi is for adults 18+. PM Countdown isn’t affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.