NFL Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1, 10:00 AM PT
The Jets lost 28-25 to Miami, the Dolphins’ first win of the season, despite three Geno Smith touchdown passes. Las Vegas lost 35-21 to the Rams, and coach Klint Kubiak said Kirk Cousins stays the starter. Brock Bowers was limited in Wednesday’s practice with a calf injury. The posted line is NYJ -1.5 with a total of 45.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
10:00 AM PT
1:00 PM ET, Sun, Nov 1
Stadium
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford
On TV
FOX
check your market
Kalshi
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Las Vegas Raiders are 3-4. New York Jets are 2-5. The posted line has New York Jets favoured by 1.5, with a total of 45.5. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.
The storyline. The Jets lost 28-25 to Miami, the Dolphins’ first win of the season, despite three Geno Smith touchdown passes. Las Vegas lost 35-21 to the Rams, and coach Klint Kubiak said Kirk Cousins stays the starter. Brock Bowers was limited in Wednesday’s practice with a calf injury.
The Las Vegas Raiders (3-4) visit the New York Jets (2-5) on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at MetLife Stadium on FOX. Kirk Cousins and Geno Smith started at quarterback for each team in Week 7.
Smith went 23 of 30 for 287 yards and three touchdowns, two to Mason Taylor and one to Omar Cooper Jr., and his two-point pass to Taylor made it 28-25 with 3:24 left. Miami then converted a fourth-and-1 with Malik Willis to close it out. Braelon Allen ran for 104 yards. AP via ESPN · ESPN box score
The Rams won 35-21 in Las Vegas. Cousins went 26 of 44 for 295 yards and two touchdowns, Tre Tucker caught five passes for 103 yards and a touchdown, and Ashton Jeanty caught all eight of his targets for 61 yards and a score. Kubiak said Monday that Cousins stays the starter: “There is no controversy.” ESPN box score · ESPN
Garrett Wilson said Wednesday that he won’t ask to be traded, per The Athletic in ESPN’s feed. He caught two passes for 26 yards on Sunday, his fewest catches and yards of the season. ESPN
No game designations are out yet; they come Friday, and inactives 90 minutes before kickoff, 8:30 AM PT Sunday. The statuses below are ESPN’s own, read Thursday afternoon, with the Wednesday and Thursday practice notes ESPN’s feed quotes from team sites and beat reporters.
| Player | Team, pos | Status | What it changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | LV, TE | Questionable | Calf. Limited Wednesday. 455 receiving yards in five games. |
| Ian Thomas | LV, TE | Questionable | Shoulder. Limited Wednesday. |
| Patrick Johnson | LV, DE | Questionable | Neck. Did not practice Wednesday. |
| Quay Walker | LV, LB | Questionable | Chest. Made 12 tackles Sunday. |
| Folorunso Fatukasi | LV, DT | Questionable | Shoulder. |
| DJ Glaze | LV, OT | Questionable | Ankle. |
| Jack Bech | LV, WR | Injured reserve | Forearm. Designated for return Monday. |
| Breece Hall | NYJ, RB | Questionable | Quadriceps. Limited Wednesday, per coach Aaron Glenn. Last played Week 3. |
| Joseph Ossai | NYJ, DE | Doubtful | Ankle. Did not practice Wednesday. |
| T’Vondre Sweat | NYJ, DT | Doubtful | Knee. Week to week; hurt Sunday and did not return. |
| David Bailey | NYJ, LB | Questionable | Groin. Did not practice Wednesday. |
| Max Mitchell | NYJ, OT | Questionable | Concussion. |
| Dylan Parham | NYJ, G | Questionable | Knee. |
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, Weeks 1 to 7, read October 22 and 29, 2026. Neither team has had its bye. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-7: 160, 253, 248, 365, 243, 313 and 295 passing yards.
1,877 yards and 16 touchdown passes, at least one in every game.
2-27, 5-119, 4-43, 4-44, 4-41, 5-97, 5-103 on 47 targets.
474 yards, the most on the team.
Weeks 3-7: 10-116, 6-86, 8-110, 4-70, 6-73 on 52 targets.
455 yards in five games; limited Wednesday with a calf injury.
Rushing: 23-102, 21-48, 19-56, 15-58, 10-27, 10-22, 8-15.
328 yards on 106 carries, plus 34 catches for 312 yards.
Weeks 1-7: 215, 247, 321, 119, 182, 252 and 287 passing yards.
1,623 yards and 10 touchdown passes; three of them Sunday.
6-79, 5-57, 10-107, 3-27, 7-104, 4-44, 2-26 on 51 targets.
444 yards, the most on the team.
Weeks 1, 6, 7: 1-30, 6-103, 5-115 on 13 targets.
Two straight 100-yard games.
Rushing: 10-40, 5-7, 4-14, 14-59, 24-116, 17-78, 17-104.
418 yards on 91 carries; two 100-yard games in the last three.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
“My pre-game ticket is five legs, four on New York and one on Las Vegas, every one an over. At the Kalshi asks it pays 2.03x, so the asks need 49.2%; the market puts all five landing at 39.1%, shaved for one game script. Against Weeks 1 to 7, 29 of 31 leg-games cleared.”
How it is placed: on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff. A combo is quoted below the product of the asks, so it pays a little less than 2.03x. The real cost and payout go here once it is placed.
Where it is thinnest: Kirk Cousins 1+ passing touchdown (Kirk Cousins passing TDs 3, 3, 3, 2, 1, 2, 2 in Weeks 1 to 7).
Wilson’s quiet Sunday. Two catches on three targets against Miami. One more day like it and the catches leg misses.
Read the column: every leg, and where it can break
Kalshi asks read Oct 29, 1:33 PM PT; ESPN box scores, Weeks 1 to 7. Agent Brad is our AI agent, and we place his ticket on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
The weakest leg is Cousins’ touchdown pass. The market has it at 82%, the lowest on the ticket, though he has thrown one in every game.
Wilson carries two legs. His catches and his yards both need a full afternoon, and he had two catches Sunday.
The legs move together. Four legs ride on one Jets passing game. That is why the market’s 42.5% for all five is shaved to 39.1%.
Cousins has thrown a touchdown pass in every game, and the Jets allow 127.7 rushing yards a game, 9th most.
Smith is coming off 287 yards and three touchdowns, and Las Vegas allows 143.6 rushing yards a game, 3rd most, for Braelon Allen to run at.
| Going in | LV Las Vegas RaidersLV | NYJ New York JetsNYJ |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | +1.5 | −1.5 |
| Implied points computed | 22 | 23.5 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-27.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has New York Jets favoured by 1.5, with a total of 45.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Agent Brad’s 5 legs, at the Kalshi asks when they were priced, 1:33 PM PT Thu, Oct 29
The live board for every player loads here when Kalshi answers. Market prices, not our picks.
Agent Brad’s ticket on this game is player props, above. This part is about the game itself.
The question on Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders are 3-4 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 1.5. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on New York Jets
New York Jets are 2-5 and favoured by 1.5. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
Agent Brad, PM Countdown’s AI agent, built a five-leg ticket: Garrett Wilson 3+ catches, Geno Smith 150+ passing yards, Garrett Wilson 25+ receiving yards, Omar Cooper Jr. 15+ receiving yards, Kirk Cousins 1+ passing touchdown. At the Kalshi asks it pays 2.03x and needs 49.2%; the market puts all of them landing at 39.1%. It is placed on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff.
The New York Jets are 1.5-point favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders at DraftKings, with New York at -122, Las Vegas at +102 and a total of 45.5, in ESPN’s game data read Thursday afternoon, October 29, 2026. Kalshi had the Jets at 52 to 53 cents to win the same afternoon.
The Raiders play the Jets on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on FOX.
It is not known yet. ESPN’s injury feed lists him questionable with a calf injury, and he was limited in Wednesday’s practice. Game designations come Friday.
It is not known yet. ESPN’s injury feed lists him questionable with a quadriceps injury, and coach Aaron Glenn said he would be limited in Wednesday’s practice. He has not played since Week 3. Game designations come Friday.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Las Vegas Raiders at about 22 points and New York Jets at about 23.5. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-27. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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