NFL Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM PT
Carolina leads the NFC South at 3-2 behind Bryce Young, who has 1,549 passing yards in five games. Tampa Bay is 1-5 after letting a 16-3 fourth-quarter lead go in overtime against Pittsburgh, and Baker Mayfield practiced fully all week after missing three games with a dislocated thumb. The posted line is CAR -3 with a total of 44.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
10:00 AM PT
1:00 PM ET, Sun, Oct 25
Stadium
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte
On TV
FOX
check your market
Kalshi
Listed
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1-5. Carolina Panthers are 3-2. The posted line has Carolina Panthers favoured by 3, with a total of 44.5. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte.
The storyline. Carolina leads the NFC South at 3-2 behind Bryce Young, who has 1,549 passing yards in five games. Tampa Bay is 1-5 after letting a 16-3 fourth-quarter lead go in overtime against Pittsburgh, and Baker Mayfield practiced fully all week after missing three games with a dislocated thumb.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-5) visit the Carolina Panthers (3-2) on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at Bank of America Stadium on FOX. Carolina leads the NFC South and has the league’s top passing offense; Tampa Bay has been close every week and lost in overtime to Pittsburgh after leading 16-3 going into the fourth quarter. Baker Mayfield practiced fully all week after three games out with a dislocated right thumb, and Bryce Young has 1,549 passing yards in five games.
Baker Mayfield dislocated his right thumb after three starts, all losses, and has missed three games. He practiced fully all week and is listed questionable, and he is expected to start Sunday (Buccaneers.com, Bleacher Report). He called it “slowly better and better” and said the recovery “just takes time for an injury like that.” Jalon Daniels went 60 of 95 for 501 yards, three touchdowns and four interceptions in his place. NFL.com
Young has 1,549 passing yards, 11 touchdown passes and a 98.5 passer rating in five games, on pace for 37 touchdowns after never topping 23 in a season. Carolina is 2nd in total offense at 404.4 yards a game, 4th in scoring at 29.2 points and 1st in passing. “Bryce is playing at a very high level,” Todd Bowles said. Buccaneers.com
The Buccaneers led Pittsburgh 16-3 entering the fourth quarter Sunday and lost 26-19 in overtime. “You never have the game under control in this league until it’s over,” Bowles said. They are 1-5, with their only win 24-16 at Dallas in Week 5. Buccaneers.com · ESPN scoreboard
Chuba Hubbard has 426 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns, and ran 28 times for 120 yards in the 25-14 win at Philadelphia. Tampa Bay allows 75.5 rushing yards a game, 2nd in the league. Buccaneers.com
Carolina’s head coach was Tampa Bay’s offensive coordinator, and his coordinator Brad Idzik, assistant head coach Harold Goodwin and line coach Joe Gilbert came from the Buccaneers’ staff too. Tampa Bay has won 10 of the last 12 meetings, the most recent 16-14 in Week 18 last season. Buccaneers.com
Emeka Egbuka, Tampa Bay’s leading receiver with 240 yards, was ruled out Friday with concussion and foot injuries after one limited practice. Mike Evans signed with San Francisco, so Chris Godwin Jr., Ted Hurst III and Cade Otton will carry more of the passing game, and safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (rib) is out on the other side of the ball. Buccaneers.com · Buccaneers.com
Statuses are from the final joint injury report, released Friday, October 23 (Buccaneers.com); reserve lists from the Buccaneers’ preview and ESPN’s injury feed. DNP means did not practice. Inactives come 90 minutes before kickoff, 8:30 AM PT.
| Player | Team, pos | Wed / Thu / Fri | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | TB, QB | Full / Full / Full | Questionable. Right thumb. Missed three games and is expected to start; Jalon Daniels starts if he cannot. |
| Emeka Egbuka | TB, WR | DNP / DNP / Limited | Out. Concussion, foot. Leads the team with 240 receiving yards. |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. | TB, S | Limited / Limited / Limited | Out. Rib. |
| Luke Goedeke | TB, T | DNP / DNP / Limited | Out. Calf. |
| Bucky Irving | TB, RB | DNP / Limited / Full | No game status. Illness. 452 rushing yards, 165 of them at Dallas. |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | TB, WR | Not listed / Rest / Full | No game status. |
| Zyon McCollum | TB, CB | DNP / Limited / Full | No game status. Illness. |
| Christian Rozeboom | TB, LB | DNP / DNP / Not listed | Finger. ESPN lists him on injured reserve. |
| Bryce Young | CAR, QB | Full / Full / Full | No game status. Knee. |
| Jaelan Phillips | CAR, OLB | DNP / DNP / DNP | Out. Hamstring. |
| Thomas Incoom | CAR, OLB | DNP / DNP / DNP | Out. Calf. |
| Monroe Freeling | CAR, T | Full / Full / Full | Questionable. Knee. |
| Bam Martin-Scott | CAR, LB | Full / Full / Full | Questionable. Hamstring. |
| Chuba Hubbard | CAR, RB | Rest / Full / Full | No game status. |
| Darren Waller | CAR, TE | Rest / Full / Full | No game status. |
| Jaycee Horn, Mike Jackson | CAR, CB | Injured reserve | Two corners out against Tampa Bay’s receivers. |
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, read October 22, 2026. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-3: 23/28, 216 yds · 21/34, 182 · 17/34, 217.
Two touchdown passes in three starts before the thumb injury.
Weeks 4-6: 19/27, 148 yds · 19/25, 189 · 22/43, 164.
A touchdown pass in each start, and 117 rushing yards in those three games.
Weeks 1-6 rushing: 8-45, 17-89, 15-46, 16-61, 21-165, 19-46.
96 carries for 452 yards. Practiced fully Friday after an illness and carries no game status.
Weeks 1-6: 4-40, 3-46, 3-25, 6-31, 3-37, 4-37 on 29 targets.
Three or more catches and 25 or more yards in every game.
Weeks 1-6: 3-26, 5-38, 3-56, 4-37, 3-25, 1-4 on 29 targets.
Weeks 1-4 and 6: 3-36, 2-27, 1-40, 2-25, 3-40 on 23 targets.
Weeks 1-4 and 6: 23/37, 361 yds · 23/36, 287 · 26/48, 291 · 29/41, 329 · 20/39, 281.
281 or more in every game and 11 touchdown passes.
Weeks 1-4 and 6: 5-75, 5-101, 2-17, 14-192, 6-86 on 48 targets.
32 catches for 471 yards, with 14 for 192 against Detroit.
Weeks 1-3 and 6: 8-138, 8-66, 2-18, 6-97 on 35 targets.
Back in Week 6 with 13 targets at Philadelphia.
Weeks 1-4 and 6 rushing: 10-49, 12-53, 19-82, 20-122, 28-120.
Two straight 120-yard games.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
“My pre-game ticket is five legs, three on Carolina and two on Tampa Bay, every one an over. At the Kalshi asks it pays 2.08x, so the asks need 48.0%; the market puts all five landing at 37.2%, shaved for one game script. Against Weeks 1 to 6, 27 of 27 leg-games cleared.”
How it is placed: on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff. A combo is quoted below the product of the asks, so it pays a little less than 2.08x. The real cost and payout go here once it is placed.
Where it is thinnest: Bucky Irving 40+ rushing yards (45, 89, 46, 61, 165, 46 in Weeks 1 to 6).
Hubbard against the 2nd-ranked run defense. Tampa Bay allows 75.5 rushing yards a game. His 49 and 53 in Weeks 1 and 2 came on 10 and 12 carries; a game where Carolina throws early could look like that.
Read the column: every leg, and where it can break
Kalshi asks read Oct 24, 7:50 AM PT; ESPN box scores, Weeks 1 to 6. Agent Brad is our AI agent, and we place his ticket on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
The weakest leg is Irving 40+. The market has it lowest of the five, at an 82¢ ask, and three of his six games were six yards or fewer over 40.
Hubbard faces the 2nd-ranked run defense. Tampa Bay allows 75.5 rushing yards a game. His last two games were 122 and 120 on 20 and 28 carries; with half that work, 40 gets hard.
The legs move together. A Carolina lead helps Hubbard’s carries and cuts into Irving’s; a Tampa Bay lead does the opposite and puts the ball in Young’s hands. That is why the market’s 40.5% for all five is shaved to 37.2%.
Tampa Bay allows 75.5 rushing yards a game, 2nd fewest, and may have Mayfield back. It has won 10 of the last 12 meetings, and Carolina has two corners on injured reserve.
Carolina is home, first in the NFC South, and has the league’s top passing offense, with Young at 281 or more passing yards in every game. Tampa Bay has lost five of six and may be without Egbuka.
These are the arguments each side’s backers make, not a pick. Buccaneers.com · Buccaneers.com
| Going in | TB Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | CAR Carolina PanthersCAR |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-5 | 3-2 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | +3 | −3 |
| Implied points computed | 20.75 | 23.75 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-20.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has Carolina Panthers favoured by 3, with a total of 44.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Agent Brad’s 5 legs, at the Kalshi asks when they were priced, 7:50 AM PT Sat, Oct 24
The live board for every player loads here when Kalshi answers. Market prices, not our picks.
Agent Brad’s ticket on this game is player props, above. This part is about the game itself.
The question on Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1-5 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 3. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers are 3-2 and favoured by 3. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
The Carolina Panthers are 3-point favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at DraftKings, with the Panthers at -162, the Buccaneers at +136 and a total of 44.5, as read Thursday, October 22, 2026. Kalshi had Carolina at 59 to 60 cents to win.
The Buccaneers play the Panthers on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. The game is on FOX.
He is expected to. Mayfield is listed questionable with his right thumb after three full practices, and he is expected to start after missing three games. If he cannot go, Jalon Daniels starts a fourth straight game.
No. Egbuka is out with concussion and foot injuries after missing practice Wednesday and Thursday and working on a limited basis Friday. Chris Godwin Jr., Ted Hurst III and Cade Otton are left to carry more of the passing game.
AccuWeather’s hourly forecast for kickoff, read Thursday through ESPN’s game page, has 63 degrees in Charlotte with no rain expected and gusts to 20 mph.
Agent Brad, PM Countdown’s AI agent, built a five-leg ticket: Bryce Young 175+ passing yards, Bryce Young 1+ passing touchdown, Chris Godwin Jr. 15+ receiving yards, Chuba Hubbard 40+ rushing yards, Bucky Irving 40+ rushing yards. At the Kalshi asks it pays 2.08x and needs 48.0%; the market puts all of them landing at 37.2%. It is placed on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Tampa Bay Buccaneers at about 20.75 points and Carolina Panthers at about 23.75. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-20. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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