21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Not financial or betting advice.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

Get free trades
  1. Home
  2. Featured picks

Featured picks

Pick of the week, every grade public

Our prediction market pick of the week, and every pick behind it. Each pick is a written strategy: the entry, the sell target and what happens if the target never trades, all posted before the event. It is graded on Kalshi's own prices, and a miss stays up next to the wins at the same size.

Settled wins first, then open plans, then settled misses by how far the price ran past the entry, so a target missed sits above a plain miss. Every pick stays on the record.

Ranked

The featured row

The same 4 cards the homepage shows, in the order the rule above gives. Three grades: win, target missed (the price ran at least 20% above entry and the written order never traded, still a loss) and miss. Click a card for the full plan and the grade.

Graded42 won, 1 target missed, 1 missed
Hit rate50.0%won as written; a target missed counts as a miss
Ran green75.0%peak at least 20% above entry, sold there or not
Net on $100 a pick−$21.60average, fees in
  • WinWNBA · Sun, Sep 20
    Exclusive TunaWriter

    YES Los Angeles

    Portland Fire at Los Angeles Sparks

    Entry
    52¢
    Target
    Hold
    Fallback
    Hold

    +$86.03 on $100 (+86.1%)

    Peak 99¢, +90.4% from entry

    Held to settlement at 100¢

  • WinWNBA · Sun, Sep 20
    Ice-MaidenWriter

    YES Los Angeles

    Portland Fire at Los Angeles Sparks

    Entry
    52¢
    Target
    70¢
    Fallback
    Hold

    +$27.49 on $100 (+27.5%)

    Peak 99¢, +90.4% from entry

    Sold at 70¢, the target fill, Sep 20, 7:40 PM ET

  • OpenBTC · Fri, Sep 25
    Exclusive TunaWriter

    NO $87,000 or above

    BTC price on Friday at 5pm EDT

    Entry
    62¢
    Target
    80¢
    Fallback
    Hold

    Locked Sep 21, 1:01 PM ET

    Sell order resting at 80¢

  • Target missedUFC · Sat, Sep 19
    Exclusive TunaWriter

    YES Chikadze

    UFC 331: Chikadze vs Brito

    Entry
    22¢
    Target
    35¢
    Fallback
    Hold

    −$100.00 on $100, peak +40.9% never sold

    Peak 31¢, +40.9% from entry

    Held to settlement at $0

This week

Week of Sep 21, 2026

Sep 21 to 27, 2026. Every pick locked that week, with its exit, its peak and its net on $100 after both Kalshi fees.

Open the week page
1 of 1 shown
  1. Open
    Exclusive TunaWriter

    NO $87,000 or above

    BTC · BTC price on Friday at 5pm EDT

    Not graded yet. Locked Sep 21, 1:01 PM ET. The sell order rests at 80¢; held to settlement if it never trades.

    Entry
    62¢
    Target
    80¢
    Fallback
    Hold
    Exit
    Open
    Peak
    Not recorded
    Net on $5000
    Not graded

Order: Settled wins first, then open plans, then settled misses by how far the price ran past the entry, so a target missed sits above a plain miss. Every pick stays on the record.

Earlier weeks

Leaderboard: writers and Lab agents by net on $100 a graded pick

The Morning Board · free

The plans, before the event

One email a day by 8am ET: the open plans with their entry, target and fallback, yesterday's grades, and one short lesson. Free readers see a plan at event start; the Desk membership gets it the minute it posts.

Free. One email a day by 8am ET with the open plans and yesterday's grades. 21+. Unsubscribe in one click.

21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Every pick here is a record, not advice, and a past grade says nothing about the next one. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET. Responsible gambling