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College football · Saturday, September 26, 2026

Missouri at Mississippi St.: the market likes Mississippi St.

Kalshi has Missouri at 33¢ and Mississippi St. at 68¢, read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT. That is the crowd, not a projection of ours.

Kick-off

Not posted

Not posted at our read. The Sep 26 scoreboard returns a placeholder 04:00Z on every event; that placeholder is not presented as a kickoff.

Venue

Davis Wade Stadium

Starkville, MS

Kalshi, both sides

33¢ vs 68¢

MIZZ, MSST

Five reasons to watch this one

  1. The money is on Mississippi St.. Kalshi had Mississippi St. at 68¢ and Missouri at 33¢, read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT.1 That is the crowd, not a projection of ours, and the crowd is wrong often enough to be worth checking.
  2. Matt Zollers, QB for Missouri. 8 completions, 13 attempts, 61.5 completion %, 87 passing yards, 6.7 yards per attempt, 0 passing TD, 0 interceptions, 29 long pass, 117.8 passer rating, 6 rush attempts, 26 rush yards, 1 rush TD in 2026.3 87 passing yards on 8-of-13 (61.5%) with no touchdowns or interceptions, plus 26 rushing yards on 6 carries with a score.
  3. Kamario Taylor, QB for Mississippi St.. 56 completions, 82 attempts, 68.3 completion %, 832 passing yards, 10.1 yards per attempt, 11 passing TD, 1 interceptions, 70 long pass, 195.0 passer rating, 27 rush attempts, 178 rush yards, 1 rush TD in 2026.3 832 passing yards on 56-of-82 (68.3%) with a team-leading 11 TDs against just 1 interception, a 195.0 rating and a long of 70, plus 178 rushing yards on 27 carries.
  4. How much has actually traded. About 38,713 contracts across the two sides at our read.1 You pay the ask to buy and take the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column of that table suggests.
  5. Where it is played. Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS.1 Home field is already inside the price above; it is not a second thing to add on top.

Prices read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT. We stamp every number with the minute we read it and we do not round in our own favour. Nothing in this list is a pick.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape, Missouri and Mississippi St.
 MIZZMSST
Completions leader8Matt ZollersWorse56Kamario Taylor
Attempts leader13Matt Zollers82Kamario Taylor
Completion % leader61.5Matt ZollersWorse68.3Kamario Taylor
Passing yards leader87Matt ZollersWorse832Kamario Taylor
Yards per attempt leader6.7Matt Zollers10.1Kamario Taylor
Passing TD leader0Matt ZollersWorse11Kamario Taylor
Long pass leader29Matt ZollersWorse70Kamario Taylor
Passer rating leader117.8Matt ZollersWorse195.0Kamario Taylor
Rush attempts leader6Matt Zollers27Kamario Taylor
Rush yards leader300Jamal Roberts280Fluff BothwellWorse
Rush TD leader3Jamal Roberts2Fluff BothwellWorse
Carries leader63Jamal Roberts48Fluff Bothwell
Yards per carry leader4.8Jamal RobertsWorse5.8Fluff Bothwell
Long leader65Donovan Olugbode43Fluff BothwellWorse
Receptions leader16Donovan OlugbodeWorse20Anthony Evans III
Receiving yards leader259Donovan OlugbodeWorse294Anthony Evans III
Yards per reception leader16.2Donovan Olugbode14.7Anthony Evans IIIWorse
Receiving TD leader4Donovan Olugbode3Anthony Evans IIIWorse

A leader row is the highest of the numbers already printed in the cards on this page, with the player who holds it, not a team total we computed. Where a row is marked Worse, that is this page comparing two numbers it has, never a view on who wins. A row exists only where both sides had the same stat; the rest are left out rather than shown against a blank. Left out on purpose: interceptions. A leader row takes the biggest number on each side, and for those the biggest number is not the better player.3

Who to watch

Missouri · QB · #5 · Sophomore

Matt Zollers

8 completions · 13 attempts · 61.5 completion % · 87 passing yards · 6.7 yards per attempt · 0 passing TD · 0 interceptions · 29 long pass · 117.8 passer rating · 6 rush attempts · 26 rush yards · 1 rush TD

87 passing yards on 8-of-13 (61.5%) with no touchdowns or interceptions, plus 26 rushing yards on 6 carries with a score.

Missouri · RB · #20 · Senior

Jamal Roberts

63 carries · 300 rush yards · 4.8 yards per carry · 3 rush TD · 64 long · 3 receptions · 9 receiving yards

A team-leading 300 rushing yards on 63 carries, 4.8 a carry, with 3 touchdowns and a long of 64.

Missouri · WR · #1 · Sophomore

Donovan Olugbode

16 receptions · 259 receiving yards · 16.2 yards per reception · 4 receiving TD · 65 long

A team-leading 16 catches for 259 yards, 16.2 a catch, with 4 touchdowns and a long of 65.

Mississippi St. · QB · #1 · Sophomore

Kamario Taylor

56 completions · 82 attempts · 68.3 completion % · 832 passing yards · 10.1 yards per attempt · 11 passing TD · 1 interceptions · 70 long pass · 195.0 passer rating · 27 rush attempts · 178 rush yards · 1 rush TD

832 passing yards on 56-of-82 (68.3%) with a team-leading 11 TDs against just 1 interception, a 195.0 rating and a long of 70, plus 178 rushing yards on 27 carries.

Mississippi St. · RB · #24 · Junior

Fluff Bothwell

48 carries · 280 rush yards · 5.8 yards per carry · 2 rush TD · 43 long · 3 receptions · 41 receiving yards

280 rushing yards on 48 carries, 5.8 a carry, with 2 rushing TDs, plus 3 catches for 41 yards.

Mississippi St. · WR · #3 · Senior

Anthony Evans III

20 receptions · 294 receiving yards · 14.7 yards per reception · 3 receiving TD · 39 long

20 catches for 294 yards, 14.7 a catch, with 3 touchdowns and a long of 39.

Every figure in these cards is a 2026 season total or average from ESPN’s own per-player feed.3 Nothing here is a projection for this game, and no line was rounded, combined or filled in: a player whose 2026 stats did not come back is not on this page at all.

What the market says

The two sides priced at 33¢ and 68¢ when we read the board. Mississippi St. is the shorter price, and on this slate that is what the money thinks rather than what anybody has projected.

Kalshi prices for Missouri at Mississippi St., read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT
SideBid / askLastContracts traded
Missouri32¢ / 33¢33¢19,853
Mississippi St.67¢ / 68¢68¢18,860

Kalshi market data, read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT.1 These are the prices at that minute and this page does not refresh them. You pay the ask to buy and take the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests. PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.

Reading the price

A contract settles at $1.00 if the side wins and at nothing if it does not, so the price is the crowd’s probability with the spread on top. MIZZ at 33¢ is the market saying roughly 33%, and it is wrong often enough to be worth checking.

If the desk posts a call on this game it goes up with the buy price, the sell target and what happens if the target never fills, and it is graded on Kalshi’s own trade history with both fee legs counted, win or lose. A miss stays on the record next to the wins.

Every college football game on this slate, and every call the desk has graded, wins and misses, with both fee legs counted.

What this page does not know

  • Kick-off time is not posted on ESPN at our read; the Sep 26 scoreboard returns a placeholder 04:00Z for every event.
  • Both teams' records are omitted. The record endpoint returned '3-0, 6th in SEC' for Missouri -- duplicating Vanderbilt's read in the same session -- and '3-0, 1st in SEC' for Mississippi State, duplicating Ole Miss and Florida's reads too, so neither is trusted.
  • No injury report is published for this game at our read.
  • This file replaces an earlier version built from the roster endpoint, which found no valid quarterback for either team and used Missouri's #2-ranked rusher and #2-ranked receiver rather than the team's actual leaders. Missouri's leaders-ranked top passer (athlete id 5141684, 635 yards) resolved to an athlete profile ('Austin Simmons') with no 2026 season data at all and was dropped; Matt Zollers, the next-ranked passer with a verified 2026 line, is used instead. Missouri's real rushing and receiving leaders (Jamal Roberts, Donovan Olugbode) and Mississippi State's leaders-ranked quarterback (Kamario Taylor, newly added) all returned valid 2026 stats.
  • A record is not shown for both sides, so the tape table has no record row.

This list is part of the page, not an apology for it. Where a number was not in a source we read, it is absent here rather than estimated, and it stays absent until a dated read puts it back.

Sources

Read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT. Prices move after that; this page is not updated in place.

  1. Kalshi public API, event KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP26MIZZMSST, read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT: the bid, ask, last traded price and contract volume on both sides, and the venue from the same event record. kalshi.com
  2. Source recorded in the game data file for this page. https://sports.core.api.espn.com/v2/sports/football/leagues/college-football/seasons/2026/types/2/teams/<team_id>/leaders
  3. ESPN college football athlete stats feed, 2026 season: every per-player number on this page. https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/<athlete_id>/stats
  4. Source recorded in the game data file for this page. https://site.web.api.espn.com/apis/common/v3/sports/football/college-football/athletes/<athlete_id>
  5. Team records as they appear in the tape table. https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/football/college-football/teams/<team_id>?enable=leaders (unreliable this session, see unknowns)

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, the NCAA or any school or conference. Prices shown are the market’s own, not our picks.

Only risk what you can afford to lose.Set a money limit before you start and stop when you reach it. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

MIZZ33¢
MSST68¢
Game daySat, Sep 26
Trade on KalshiTrade