Oklahoma at Georgia: the market likes Georgia

Five reasons to watch this one

1. The money is on Georgia. Kalshi had Georgia at 85¢ and Oklahoma at 16¢, read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT.¹ That is the crowd, not a projection of ours, and the crowd is wrong often enough to be worth checking.
2. John Mateer, QB for Oklahoma. 28 completions, 50 attempts, 56.0 completion %, 414 passing yards, 8.3 yards per attempt, 4 passing TD, 1 interceptions, 48 long pass, 148.1 passer rating, 16 rush attempts, 52 rush yards, 0 rush TD in 2026.⁴ 414 passing yards on 28-of-50 (56.0%) with 4 TDs and 1 interception, a 148.1 rating and a long of 48, plus 52 rushing yards on 16 carries.
3. Gunner Stockton, QB for Georgia. 28 completions, 32 attempts, 87.5 completion %, 436 passing yards, 13.6 yards per attempt, 8 passing TD, 0 interceptions, 70 long pass, 284.2 passer rating, 1 rush attempts, 3 rush yards, 0 rush TD in 2026.⁴ 436 passing yards on 28-of-32 (87.5%) with 8 TDs and no interceptions, a 284.2 rating and a long of 70.
4. How much has actually traded. About 130,211 contracts across the two sides at our read.¹ You pay the ask to buy and take the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column of that table suggests.
5. Where it is played. Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA.¹ Home field is already inside the price above; it is not a second thing to add on top.

Prices read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT. We stamp every number with the minute we read it and we do not round in our own favour. Nothing in this list is a pick.

Tale of the tape

A leader row is the highest of the numbers already printed in the cards on this page, with the player who holds it, not a team total we computed. Where a row is marked Worse, that is this page comparing two numbers it has, never a view on who wins. A row exists only where both sides had the same stat; the rest are left out rather than shown against a blank. Left out on purpose: interceptions. A leader row takes the biggest number on each side, and for those the biggest number is not the better player.⁴

Who to watch

Every figure in these cards is a 2026 season total or average from ESPN’s own per-player feed.⁴ Nothing here is a projection for this game, and no line was rounded, combined or filled in: a player whose 2026 stats did not come back is not on this page at all.

What the market says

The two sides priced at 16¢ and 85¢ when we read the board. Georgia is the shorter price, and on this slate that is what the money thinks rather than what anybody has projected.

Kalshi market data, read Thu, Sep 24, 2026, 12:45 PM PT.¹ These are the prices at that minute and this page does not refresh them. You pay the ask to buy and take the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests. PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.

Reading the price

A contract settles at $1.00 if the side wins and at nothing if it does not, so the price is the crowd’s probability with the spread on top. OKLA at 16¢ is the market saying roughly 16%, and it is wrong often enough to be worth checking.

If the desk posts a call on this game it goes up with the buy price, the sell target and what happens if the target never fills, and it is graded on Kalshi’s own trade history with both fee legs counted, win or lose. A miss stays on the record next to the wins.

Every college football game on this slate, and every call the desk has graded, wins and misses, with both fee legs counted.

What this page does not know

• Kick-off time is not posted on ESPN at our read; the Sep 26 scoreboard returns a placeholder 04:00Z for every event.
• Oklahoma's record is omitted. The site.api teams/201?enable=leaders read this session returned '2-1, 6th in SEC', but the same endpoint returned an identical '2-1, 12th in SEC' pair for four unrelated teams (Texas A&M, LSU, South Carolina, Auburn) fetched in the same session -- a duplication pattern that means the endpoint could not be trusted for any team except Georgia, whose figure independently matches the pre-verified value already documented in the build contract. Rather than guess which of Oklahoma's two candidate reads (if either) was real, the field is left null.
• Georgia's record (3-0, 1st in SEC) is kept because it matches the contract's own pre-verified read of this exact endpoint for team 61, giving independent confirmation the duplication bug did not affect this one value.
• No injury report is published for this game at our read.
• The team leaders endpoint's top-ranked Oklahoma rusher (athlete id 5079298, listed at 141 rush yards) and top-ranked receiver (athlete id 5080703, 186 receiving yards) both returned athlete-profile pages for players with no 2026 season entry at all (one shows only 2024 Tulsa / 2025 Colorado State stats, the other only 2022-2025 Arkansas/Oklahoma stats) -- a leaders/athlete id mismatch, not a slow-starting player. Both were dropped per the contract's null-over-plausible rule rather than shipped with a leaders-only number.
• Georgia's tackle leader (athlete id 5210161, 7 tackles) and the next name on the tackle list (5145410, 6 tackles) each returned no valid 2026 athlete stats entry (one 404s outright, the other tops out at 2025); Georgia ships with 4 players instead of 5 rather than force a bad id in.
• A record is not shown for both sides, so the tape table has no record row.

This list is part of the page, not an apology for it. Where a number was not in a source we read, it is absent here rather than estimated, and it stays absent until a dated read puts it back.