UFC 331 · Fight and odds · Heavyweight main card
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf: Steveson on a four-fight win streak, Sharaf on a two-fight skid
Every price Kalshi listed on this heavyweight bout, captured before it opened, with both men’s records and recent form as they stood. Nothing on this page knows how it ended.
ExclusiveTuna Lead writer, UFC, MMA and boxing · See profile
Before the bell
Steveson was the favourite at 90¢.
- Sharaf
- 10¢
- Steveson
- 90¢
- Scheduled
- 3 rounds
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Card
- Main card
The short version
- Steveson is −2400 at the books, priced at 90¢ on Kalshi
- Main card, Heavyweight, 3 rounds
- The two captured prices paired at 100¢ exactly, so there was no spread to pay on this bout
- 21 markets were listed on this bout across five Kalshi series
Tale of the tape
United States · Jackson Wink MMA Academy
5'11" tall · 74.0" reach · 26 years old
United States · Freestyle MMA
6'2" tall · 76.0" reach · 33 years old
| Stat | Steveson | Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Significant strikes landedVolume on the feet. | 16.29 per min | 7.41 per min |
| Striking accuracyShare of attempted strikes that land. | 72% | 44% |
| Significant strikes absorbedHow much comes back. Lower is better. | 5.17 per min | 15.0 per min |
| Striking defenseShare of opponent strikes avoided. | 61% | 43% |
| Takedowns landedWhere the fight goes if he wants it there. | 0.0 per 15 min | 0.93 per 15 min |
| Takedown defenseShare of opponent takedowns stuffed. | Not published | Not published |
| KnockdownsHow often a punch ends the exchange. | 5.96 per 15 min | 0.0 per 15 min |
| Average fight timeNeither is better. It says how each man's fights end. | 2:31 | 8:02 |
No edge is marked on the rate stats here. Steveson has so little total cage time that the per-minute and per-15-minute figures are extrapolations rather than tendencies. The numbers are real and published. What they are not is a sample.
These are career rates from the fighters' official pages, read the day after the event. Most had not been updated with this fight yet, so they describe each man going in, not including this result. Takedown accuracy is left out everywhere: the published figure contradicts the published takedown average on several fighters, so we would rather show nothing than show a number we cannot reconcile.
Where each number came from, and what did not reconcile (18 notes)
- Steveson: THINNEST STAT SAMPLE OF THE FOUR. UFC.com's record is updated to 4-1-0, but the stat block is not: it covers exactly one fight, the 2:31 KO of Elisha Ellison at UFC 329, and excludes the 12-second loss to Sharaf. Verified arithmetically: the printed 02:31 average equals that single fight; slpm 16.29 over 2:31 gives exactly 41 significant strikes; sapm 5.17 gives exactly 13 absorbed; kd 5.96 per 15 minutes gives exactly 1 knockdown.
- Steveson: So slpm 16.29, acc 72%, sapm 5.17, sdef 61%, kd 5.96 and avg 2:31 all describe 151 seconds of Octagon time against one opponent. They are published, but they are a one-fight sample and carry no predictive weight.
- Steveson: tdd is null: UFC.com prints a dash, not a number. Nobody attempted a takedown on him in that fight, so the statistic is undefined rather than zero. Not filled from elsewhere.
- Steveson: td 0.00 is published and literal: he attempted no takedowns.
- Steveson: nick is null. UFC.com bills him with no nickname, confirmed on the athlete page and on Wikipedia. Per instruction, his wrestling, WWE and NFL background is kept out of every field here.
- Steveson: born and stance are not on UFC.com. Date of birth May 31, 2000 and stance Orthodox from Wikipedia; Sherdog has no profile page for him.
- Steveson: ht 5'11" agrees across Wikipedia and UFC.com's 71.00 inches. UFC.com's Weight field prints an implausible 73.00 for a heavyweight and was ignored; weight is not part of this schema.
- Steveson: Only five professional fights exist, so 'last' lists all five.
- Steveson: Takedown accuracy deliberately omitted.
- Sharaf: UFC.com's record is updated to 5-2-0, but the stat block is not: it covers only his two UFC LOSSES and excludes the 12-second win over Steveson. Verified arithmetically: the printed 08:02 average equals (7:15 + 8:49) / 2, his Tafa and Asplund fights. slpm 7.41 over 16:04 gives about 119 significant strikes landed; sapm 15.00 gives about 241 absorbed; td 0.93 per 15 minutes gives exactly 1 takedown.
- Sharaf: This badly skews him. Every published number describes 16 minutes in which he was being beaten up and stopped twice. sapm 15.00 and sdef 43% are the stats of a man losing two TKOs, and they say nothing about the fight he won in 12 seconds.
- Sharaf: tdd is null: UFC.com prints a dash, not a number. Not filled from elsewhere.
- Sharaf: kd 0.00 is published and literal, and is already stale, since he scored a knockdown to finish Steveson.
- Sharaf: born and stance are not on UFC.com. Date of birth July 11, 1993 from Sherdog; no Wikipedia article exists for him. Stance is null, not published by UFC.com or Sherdog, and ESPN's profile is JavaScript-rendered and returned no content.
- Sharaf: flag uses UFC.com's 'Trains at: Freestyle MMA'. Sherdog instead lists Xtreme Couture. Conflict unresolved; UFC.com preferred as the primary source.
- Sharaf: ht 6'2" agrees across Sherdog and UFC.com's 74.00 inches. Hometown differs slightly by source: UFC.com place of birth Anaheim, Sherdog and the facts file Santa Ana.
- Sharaf: Seven professional fights exist, so 'last' lists all seven.
- Sharaf: Takedown accuracy deliberately omitted.
Recent form
Steveson
- WElisha EllisonKO (knees and punches) · R1 2:31 · Jul 11, 2026
- WHugo LezamaTKO (punches) · R1 3:50 · Feb 19, 2026
- WKevin HeinKO (punch) · R1 0:24 · Nov 23, 2025
- WBraden PetersonTKO (punches) · R1 1:38 · Sep 12, 2025
Sharaf
- LSteven AsplundTKO (punches) · R2 3:49 · Dec 13, 2025
- LJunior TafaTKO (punches) · R2 2:15 · Oct 12, 2024
- WL.J. TorresKO (punch) · R1 3:19 · Sep 6, 2024
- WChadricc KindleTKO (punches) · R1 4:31 · Apr 4, 2024
- WNathan MullettTKO (punches) · R1 0:09 · Jul 1, 2023
- WBruno CasillasTKO (punches) · R1 1:10 · Sep 23, 2021
Most recent first. This bout is not in these lists.
The full board
Every market Kalshi listed on this fight, at the last price it traded for before the bout opened. 21 in all.
Method of victory
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Sharaf by submission | 2¢ | $5,000.00 |
| Draw or no contest | 2¢ | $5,000.00 |
| Sharaf by decision | 3¢ | $3,333.00 |
| Steveson by decision | 5¢ | $2,000.00 |
| Sharaf by KO, TKO or DQ | 5¢ | $2,000.00 |
| Steveson by submission | 14¢ | $714.00 |
| Steveson by KO, TKO or DQ | 73¢ | $136.00 |
Method of finish
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Draw or no contest | 4¢ | $2,500.00 |
| Decision (either fighter) | 8¢ | $1,250.00 |
| Submission (either fighter) | 16¢ | $625.00 |
| KO, TKO or DQ (either fighter) | 79¢ | $126.00 |
Round of victory
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Sharaf wins in round 2 | 2¢ | $5,000.00 |
| Sharaf wins in round 3 | 2¢ | $5,000.00 |
| Steveson wins in round 3 | 5¢ | $2,000.00 |
| Sharaf wins in round 1 | 5¢ | $2,000.00 |
| Decision, draw or no contest | 9¢ | $1,111.00 |
| Steveson wins in round 2 | 18¢ | $555.00 |
| Steveson wins in round 1 | 73¢ | $136.00 |
How long it goes
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Ends before round 2 | 73¢ | $136.00 |
| Ends before round 3 | 88¢ | $113.00 |
Goes the distance
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Goes the distance | 8¢ | $1,250.00 |
Prices are contract cents. A contract settles at $1.00 if it comes in and $0.00 if it does not, so the price is roughly what the market thought the chance was. Returns are gross of the Kalshi fee.
Sources and method
Fighter records and career rates from the official UFC athlete pages, cross-checked against Sherdog. Moneylines from BestFightOdds and DraftKings. Contract prices are the last trade before this bout opened, from Kalshi one-minute candlesticks on the KXUFCFIGHT, KXUFCMOV, KXUFCMOF, KXUFCROUNDS, KXUFCDISTANCE and KXUFCVICROUND series. We aren’t affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi.