UFC 331 · Fight and odds · Bantamweight prelims
Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain: Vera on a four-fight skid, Jourdain on a three-fight win streak
Every price Kalshi listed on this bantamweight bout, captured before it opened, with both men’s records and recent form as they stood. Nothing on this page knows how it ended.
ExclusiveTuna Lead writer, UFC, MMA and boxing · See profile
Vera to win37¢about +170 at the books
Jourdain to win63¢about −205 at the books
The spreadNonethe two sides paired at 100¢ exactly
Before the bell
Jourdain was the favourite at 63¢.
- Vera
- 37¢
- Jourdain
- 63¢
- Scheduled
- 3 rounds
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Card
- Prelims
The short version
- Jourdain is −205 at the books, priced at 63¢ on Kalshi
- Prelims, Bantamweight, 3 rounds
- The two captured prices paired at 100¢ exactly, so there was no spread to pay on this bout
- 21 markets were listed on this bout across five Kalshi series
Tale of the tape
#10Marlon Vera"Chito"
Ecuador · Team 5050
23-12-1record going in
5'8" tall · 70.5" reach · 33 years old
UnrankedCharles Jourdain"Air"
Canada · Brazilian Top Team
18-8-1record going in
5'9" tall · 69.0" reach · 30 years old
| Stat | Vera | Jourdain |
|---|---|---|
| Significant strikes landedVolume on the feet. | 4.18 per min | 5.36 per min |
| Striking accuracyShare of attempted strikes that land. | 48% | 49% |
| Significant strikes absorbedHow much comes back. Lower is better. | 5.34 per min | 4.11 per min |
| Striking defenseShare of opponent strikes avoided. | 50% | 57% |
| Takedowns landedWhere the fight goes if he wants it there. | 0.47 per 15 min | 0.38 per 15 min |
| Takedown defenseShare of opponent takedowns stuffed. | 72% | 47% |
| KnockdownsHow often a punch ends the exchange. | 0.55 per 15 min | 0.54 per 15 min |
| Average fight timeNeither is better. It says how each man's fights end. | 13:36 | 11:31 |
These are career rates from the fighters' official pages, read the day after the event. Most had not been updated with this fight yet, so they describe each man going in, not including this result. Takedown accuracy is left out everywhere: the published figure contradicts the published takedown average on several fighters, so we would rather show nothing than show a number we cannot reconcile.
Where each number came from, and what did not reconcile (1223 notes)
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- Jourdain: o
- Jourdain: m
- Jourdain: .
Recent form
Vera
- LDavid MartinezUnanimous decision · R3 5:00 · Feb 28, 2026
- LAiemann ZahabiSplit decision · R3 5:00 · Oct 18, 2025
- LDeiveson FigueiredoUnanimous decision · R3 5:00 · Aug 3, 2024
- LSean O'MalleyUnanimous decision · R5 5:00 · Mar 9, 2024
- WPedro MunhozUnanimous decision · R3 5:00 · Aug 19, 2023
- LCory SandhagenSplit decision · R5 5:00 · Mar 25, 2023
Jourdain
- WKyler PhillipsUnanimous decision · R3 5:00 · Apr 18, 2026
- WDavey GrantSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 3:05 · Oct 18, 2025
- WVictor HenrySubmission (guillotine choke) · R2 3:43 · Nov 2, 2024
- LJean SilvaKO (punch) · R2 1:22 · Jun 29, 2024
- LSean WoodsonSplit decision · R3 5:00 · Jan 20, 2024
- WRicardo RamosSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 3:12 · Sep 23, 2023
Most recent first. This bout is not in these lists.
The full board
Every market Kalshi listed on this fight, at the last price it traded for before the bout opened. 21 in all.
Method of victory
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Draw or no contest | 2¢ | $5,000.00 |
| Vera by submission | 7¢ | $1,428.00 |
| Jourdain by KO, TKO or DQ | 7¢ | $1,428.00 |
| Jourdain by submission | 11¢ | $909.00 |
| Vera by KO, TKO or DQ | 13¢ | $769.00 |
| Vera by decision | 17¢ | $588.00 |
| Jourdain by decision | 52¢ | $192.00 |
Method of finish
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Draw or no contest | 1¢ | $10,000.00 |
| Submission (either fighter) | 17¢ | $588.00 |
| KO, TKO or DQ (either fighter) | 18¢ | $555.00 |
| Decision (either fighter) | 68¢ | $147.00 |
Round of victory
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Jourdain wins in round 3 | 5¢ | $2,000.00 |
| Vera wins in round 3 | 6¢ | $1,666.00 |
| Jourdain wins in round 2 | 7¢ | $1,428.00 |
| Vera wins in round 2 | 8¢ | $1,250.00 |
| Jourdain wins in round 1 | 8¢ | $1,250.00 |
| Vera wins in round 1 | 12¢ | $833.00 |
| Decision, draw or no contest | 69¢ | $144.00 |
How long it goes
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Ends before round 2 | 17¢ | $588.00 |
| Ends before round 3 | 28¢ | $357.00 |
Goes the distance
| Market | Price | $100 returns |
|---|---|---|
| Goes the distance | 66¢ | $151.00 |
Prices are contract cents. A contract settles at $1.00 if it comes in and $0.00 if it does not, so the price is roughly what the market thought the chance was. Returns are gross of the Kalshi fee.
Sources and method
Fighter records and career rates from the official UFC athlete pages, cross-checked against Sherdog. Moneylines from BestFightOdds and DraftKings. Contract prices are the last trade before this bout opened, from Kalshi one-minute candlesticks on the KXUFCFIGHT, KXUFCMOV, KXUFCMOF, KXUFCROUNDS, KXUFCDISTANCE and KXUFCVICROUND series. We aren’t affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi.