UFC 331 · Result and what paid · Middleweight prelims
Ryan Gandra made it three first-round finishes in three UFC fights, then called out Adesanya
Three UFC fights, three first-round finishes, and a name most fighters wait years to say out loud.
ExclusiveTuna Lead writer, UFC, MMA and boxing · See profile
Final
Gandra def. Diaz KO/TKO (punch) · Round 1, 2:04 · $25K finish bonus
The takeaway
The favourite won, and the market wobbled on the way.
- Result
- Gandra, KO/TKO (punch) R1 2:04
- Kalshi close
- 83¢ / 17¢
- Cheapest you could buy
- 71¢ in play
- $100 paid
- $120.00
- Diaz at 17¢
- $0
Hindsight, not a pick we made
The ticket that paid
The longest price on this fight that actually came in.
- Gandra wins in round 1 · Kalshi
- 56¢
- $100.00 returns
- $178.00
- $200.00 returns
- $357.00
Priced from the last trade before the bout opened. Stakes stop at $200 here: a prop market on a single fight is thin, and we have no depth data to say a larger stake could have been filled at this price. Combining it with another leg on the same fight would not multiply cleanly, which is why the ticket builder below refuses those.
The short version
- Ryan Gandra beat Ozzy Diaz by KO/TKO (punch), round 1, 2:04, and took the $25K finish bonus
- Prelims, Middleweight, 3 rounds
- Closing line: Ryan Gandra −550, Ozzy Diaz +410
- Ryan Gandra closed at 83¢ on Kalshi. The cheapest a buyer could get him while the fight was live was 71¢, and he settled at 100¢
Build a ticket
Every leg below was a real Kalshi market on this fight, at the price it traded for before the bout opened. Tick any combination to see what it would have returned. This is hindsight, not a pick.
Pick a leg to start.
Prices are the last trade before this bout opened, taken from Kalshi one-minute candles. Combining legs multiplies their prices, which assumes they are independent. They are not: a round-one finish and a knockout overlap heavily, so a real book would price that ticket higher than the arithmetic here. Returns are gross of the Kalshi fee, and the larger stakes assume that size was there to buy, which on a thin prop market it often was not.
How it happened
Ryan Gandra beat Ozzy Diaz by first-round finish at 2:04 at UFC 331 on September 19, 2026, at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The middleweight bout was stopped on punches. It was Gandra's third straight first-round finish to open his UFC run, and it carried a $25,000 finish bonus.
Gandra put Diaz away with punches at 2:04 of round one. Outlets split on whether to log it as a knockout or a technical knockout, so take it as what it plainly was, a first-round finish by strikes. It is his third in three UFC appearances. He has won ten straight overall and has not needed a second round since he arrived.
Then the callout. Through an interpreter, Gandra said: "Hey, Izzy Adesanya! Don't run from me. I'm here. I'm the nightmare of this division." That is a big name to pick three fights into a UFC career. Gandra is 31, from Belo Horizonte, and now 11-1. Diaz is 35 and from Los Angeles, which made this his homecoming. He leaves at 10-5 on two straight losses.
The weight class matters here, and some outlets got it wrong. This was a middleweight bout, not welterweight. Gandra's callout was aimed at this division, so the label is not a detail to shrug at. Diaz came home to fight in his own city and lost inside one round. Crypto.com Arena did not get the night he came for.
The official numbers
Official tabulation: Gandra landed 16 significant strikes to Diaz’s 3 and scored 1 knockdown.
| Gandra W | Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 16 of 34 | Significant strikes | 3 of 4 |
| 47% | Significant strike accuracy | 75% |
| 16 of 34 | Total strikes | 3 of 4 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 0 of 0 |
| n/a | Takedown accuracy | n/a |
| 0 | Submission attempts | 0 |
| 0 | Reversals | 0 |
| 0:03 | Control time | 0:00 |
| Gandra | Significant strikes | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| 13 of 29 | To the head | 1 of 2 |
| 1 of 3 | To the body | 1 of 1 |
| 2 of 2 | To the legs | 1 of 1 |
| 10 of 26 | At distance | 3 of 4 |
| 0 of 0 | In the clinch | 0 of 0 |
| 6 of 8 | On the ground | 0 of 0 |
Landed of attempted. Significant strikes exclude short strikes from inside the guard; total strikes include them, which is why a fighter working on the ground can show a much larger total. Control time is time spent in a dominant position. Source: UFCStats official tabulation, read Sep 21, 2026.
Tale of the tape
Brazil · Flavio Baiano Team
6'1" tall · 74.5" reach · 31 years old
Ten straight, last loss April 2022
United States · The Q
6'4" tall · 79.0" reach · 35 years old
Two straight losses, last win Djorden Santos in March 2025
| Stat | Gandra | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant strikes landedVolume on the feet. | 11.71 per min | 5.33 per min |
| Striking accuracyShare of attempted strikes that land. | 50% | 49% |
| Significant strikes absorbedHow much comes back. Lower is better. | 2.3 per min | 6.52 per min |
| Striking defenseShare of opponent strikes avoided. | 74% | 61% |
| Takedowns landedWhere the fight goes if he wants it there. | 0.0 per 15 min | 0.0 per 15 min |
| Takedown defenseShare of opponent takedowns stuffed. | 100% | 50% |
| KnockdownsHow often a punch ends the exchange. | 9.41 per 15 min | 0.0 per 15 min |
| Average fight timeNeither is better. It says how each man's fights end. | 01:36 | 07:34 |
No edge is marked on the rate stats here. Gandra has so little total cage time that the per-minute and per-15-minute figures are extrapolations rather than tendencies. The numbers are real and published. What they are not is a sample.
These are career rates from the fighters' official pages, read the day after the event. Most had not been updated with this fight yet, so they describe each man going in, not including this result. Takedown accuracy is left out everywhere: the published figure contradicts the published takedown average on several fighters, so we would rather show nothing than show a number we cannot reconcile.
Where each number came from, and what did not reconcile (1746 notes)
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Recent form
Gandra
- WOzzy DiazKO/TKO (punches) · R1 2:04 · Sep 19, 2026
- WZachary ReeseTKO (punches) · R1 1:15 · Jul 11, 2026
- WJose Daniel MedinaTKO (punches) · R1 0:41 · Feb 28, 2026
- WTrent MillerTKO (punches) · R1 2:51 · Aug 26, 2025
- WVladimir Calvo MarreroKO (punch) · R1 2:28 · Nov 22, 2024
- WAlessandro GambulinoTKO (punches) · R2 2:38 · Nov 3, 2023
- WLeonardo BezerraSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R1 2:30 · Sep 30, 2023
Diaz
- LRyan GandraKO/TKO (punches) · R1 2:04 · Sep 19, 2026
- LAteba GautierTKO (punches) · R2 1:10 · May 9, 2026
- WDjorden SantosDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00 · Mar 8, 2025
- LZhang MingyangTKO (elbow and punches) · R1 2:25 · Nov 23, 2024
- WBevon LewisTKO (punches) · R2 3:24 · May 17, 2024
- WChuck CampbellKO (punches) · R1 4:59 · Mar 8, 2024
- LJoe PyferTKO (punches) · R2 1:39 · Jul 26, 2022
Most recent first, this fight included.
What the market did
Read this before the table. The lowest trade on this market printed at 69¢, and you will see that number quoted elsewhere. It was not a price you could buy at. It was a seller hitting the bid. The best offer at that moment was 71¢, 2¢ higher, and that is the number this page uses.
KXUFCFIGHT-26SEP19GANDIA-GAN. The line is the traded price, which is not always a price you could buy at.Gandra was priced at 83c (-550) going in, much the shortest of these three fights. The cheapest a buyer could have paid while the fight was live was 71c at 23:16Z on September 19, and that is the whole in-play story. Diaz was +410 on the book. The finish came at 2:04 of round one and the contract settled at 100c.
A 69c trade printed, two cents under the best offer, so the buyable move was twelve cents and nothing more. Heavy favourites who finish early do not leave much to work with. The window came and went inside two minutes. Gandra has finished three straight UFC fights in the first round, and markets tend to price that kind of pattern forward. Expect a shorter number next time.
What each stake returned
| Stake | Contracts at 83¢ | Returned | Contracts at 71¢ | Returned |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100.00 | 120 | $120.00 | 140 | $140.00 |
| $200.00 | 240 | $240.00 | 281 | $281.00 |
| $5,000.00 | 6,024 | $6,024.00 | 7,042 | $7,042.00 |
The right half is the best offer that existed while the fight was live. Getting filled there still depends on size being available, which a candlestick cannot tell you. Volume on that minute was 90,570 contracts. Returns are gross of the Kalshi trading fee and are hindsight: they show what a price paid once the result was known, not what anyone should stake next.
The bout, on the record
| Result | Ryan Gandra def. Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|
| Method | KO/TKO, punches |
| Round and time | Round 1, 2:04 |
| Weight class | Middleweight, prelims |
| Pre-fight price | 83c (-550) |
| Cheapest you could buy | 71c, 23:16Z Sept 19 |
| Lowest trade printed | 69c, two cents under the best offer |
| Settlement | 100c, plus $25k finish bonus |
Quick answers
Who won Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz at UFC 331?
Ryan Gandra won by first-round finish at 2:04, stopped on punches. Some outlets logged it as a KO and others as a TKO. It was his third straight first-round finish to open his UFC career.
What weight class was Gandra vs Diaz at UFC 331?
Middleweight, three rounds, on the UFC 331 prelims. At least one national outlet listed it as welterweight. That is wrong. The bout was contested at middleweight, which is the division Gandra called out after the win.
What did Ryan Gandra say about Israel Adesanya?
Speaking through an interpreter after the win, Gandra said: "Hey, Izzy Adesanya! Don't run from me. I'm here. I'm the nightmare of this division." He has three UFC fights and three first-round finishes behind the callout.
All 12 bouts and the full UFC 331 results board
Sources and method
Results and scorecards from the official UFC event pages, cross-checked against Sherdog and theScore. Closing moneylines from BestFightOdds and DraftKings, captured after the event. Official striking and grappling numbers from the UFCStats tabulation for this event, read in a browser on Sep 21, 2026 because UFCStats blocks automated fetching. Fighter career rates from the official athlete pages, read the day after the card. Contract prices are Kalshi one-minute candlesticks on the KXUFCFIGHT-26SEP19GANDIA-GAN market, with prop legs from the KXUFCMOV, KXUFCMOF, KXUFCROUNDS, KXUFCDISTANCE and KXUFCVICROUND series. Where sources disagree on a finish time or a method, both readings are carried on this page rather than resolved silently. We aren't affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi.
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