NFL Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 5:20 PM PT
Dallas comes to Lambeau Field at 2-3 after a 24-16 home loss to a Tampa Bay team that had not won all season, and CeeDee Lamb is questionable with a quad injury. Green Bay is 3-2 and has won three of its last four, most recently a 31-7 rout of Chicago in which Jordan Love threw for 367 yards. The last time these teams met, in September 2025, they tied 40-40. The posted line is GB -1.5 with a total of 52.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
5:20 PM PT
8:20 PM ET, Sun, Oct 18
Stadium
Lambeau Field
Green Bay
On TV
NBC
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Dallas Cowboys are 2-3. Green Bay Packers are 3-2. The posted line has Green Bay Packers favoured by 1.5, with a total of 52.5. Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Lambeau Field, Green Bay.
The storyline. Dallas comes to Lambeau Field at 2-3 after a 24-16 home loss to a Tampa Bay team that had not won all season, and CeeDee Lamb is questionable with a quad injury. Green Bay is 3-2 and has won three of its last four, most recently a 31-7 rout of Chicago in which Jordan Love threw for 367 yards. The last time these teams met, in September 2025, they tied 40-40.
Jordan Love threw for 367 yards in Green Bay’s 31-7 win over Chicago on October 11, the most by a Packers quarterback against the Bears at Lambeau Field. Christian Watson caught six passes for 143 yards with touchdowns of 42 and 53 yards, Matthew Golden had a career-high 123 receiving yards, and the defense forced five turnovers. Love had five completions that traveled at least 30 yards in the air, tying Ben Roethlisberger as the only players with that many in a game since ESPN began tracking it in 2006. AP via ESPN · ESPN · ESPN Packers schedule
The Cowboys are 2-3: a 28-20 loss at the Giants, a 37-20 win over Washington, a 34-31 loss to Baltimore in Rio de Janeiro, a 34-30 win at Houston and a 24-16 home loss to Tampa Bay on October 8. Dallas was a 9.5-point favorite against the Bucs, who were winless until that night and ran for 241 yards, 165 of them by Bucky Irving. Brian Schottenheimer is 9-12-1 as Cowboys coach and has won back-to-back games once in his tenure. ESPN Cowboys schedule · Fox Sports · AP via ESPN · ESPN
CeeDee Lamb followed a career-high 17 catches for 189 yards at Houston with two catches for 9 yards on five targets against Tampa Bay, then left with a quadriceps injury. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported it is believed to be a quad bruise that is not considered serious, and ESPN lists Lamb as questionable. George Pickens caught 9 passes for 130 yards, including a 13-yard touchdown at the end of a 99-yard drive. AP via ESPN · ESPN Cowboys injuries
Dallas has allowed at least 378 yards and at least 20 points in each of its first five games under first-year coordinator Christian Parker. ESPN has the Cowboys allowing 400.2 yards and 168.4 rushing yards a game, and Fox Sports counted five sacks in five games. Cornerback Joey Porter Jr., acquired from Pittsburgh on October 1, was a late scratch with an illness against Tampa Bay. ESPN · ESPN game page · Fox Sports · AP via ESPN
Linebacker Edgerrin Cooper tore his Achilles in the October 4 win at Tampa Bay and is out for the season; he had a team-best six tackles for loss through the first three games. Against Chicago, defensive tackle Javon Hargrave got hurt late in the fourth quarter, and Matt LaFleur said he is believed to have an Achilles tendon injury. Cornerback Benjamin St-Juste (hamstring) and receiver Skyy Moore (ankle) were also hurt. ESPN · AP via ESPN · ESPN Packers injuries
Dallas traded Micah Parsons to Green Bay before the 2025 season for defensive tackle Kenny Clark and first-round picks in 2026 and 2027. Parsons tore his ACL and meniscus in Week 15 last season, and in August he called playing against the Cowboys in Week 6 “very realistic.” He remains on the physically unable to perform list, and LaFleur said on October 5 that Parsons would not practice that week. ESPN · ESPN · ESPN Parsons page
The last meeting ended in a 40-40 overtime tie at AT&T Stadium on September 28, 2025, in Parsons’ first game back in Dallas. Dak Prescott threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns and ran for another, Love threw for 337 yards and three scores, and Pickens caught 8 passes for 134 yards and two touchdowns. The last time Dallas came to Lambeau, on November 13, 2022, rookie Christian Watson caught touchdown passes of 58, 39 and 7 yards, the first scoring catches of his career, in a 31-28 Packers win in overtime. AP via WBAY · AP via ESPN
DraftKings had the Packers by 1.5 with a total of 52.5, the Packers at -115 and the Cowboys at -105, as read on ESPN on October 12. Lines move through the week; the live Kalshi price is on this page. ESPN odds (DraftKings)
Sunday update, 2:10 PM PT. Final reports, Friday afternoon: Dallas has linebacker DeMarvion Overshown, cornerback Cobie Durant and tackle Drew Shelton out, and cornerbacks Joey Porter Jr. and Ameer Speed and defensive tackle L.T. Overton questionable (Cowboys). Green Bay ruled out defensive tackles Jonathan Ford and Javon Hargrave, receiver Skyy Moore and cornerback Benjamin St-Juste, with defensive tackle Jordon Riley doubtful (Packers). On Saturday the Packers put Ford, Hargrave and Moore on injured reserve and activated receiver Savion Williams (Yahoo Sports). Inactives come out at 3:50 PM PT; the table below is Friday morning’s ESPN read.
Statuses are from ESPN’s NFL injury page, read Friday, October 16, at 10:45 AM PT, with the practice notes it carries. Teams set final game statuses on Friday afternoon and inactives come out 90 minutes before kickoff, so a Questionable here can still move.
| Player | Team, pos | Status | What it changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | GB, RB | Out | Listed out through next week. Kalshi’s Packers rushing market is on MarShawn Lloyd. |
| Chris Brooks | GB, RB | Injured reserve | Ankle. Placed on injured reserve October 10. |
| Micah Parsons | GB, DE | Out | Knee. His practice window is not being opened this week. |
| Javon Hargrave | GB, DT | Out | Torn Achilles, confirmed by MRI October 12. |
| Skyy Moore | GB, WR | Questionable | Ankle. Did not practice Thursday. |
| Keisean Nixon | GB, CB | Questionable | Groin. Limited Thursday. |
| DeMarvion Overshown | DAL, LB | Questionable | Hamstring. Limited Thursday. |
| Cobie Durant | DAL, CB | Questionable | Hamstring. Did not practice Wednesday. |
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, read October 12, 2026. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-5: 22/34, 175 yds · 26/31, 279 · 25/40, 276 · 32/45, 335 · 24/42, 316. Runs: 2-14, 4-26, 4-19, 2-7, none in Week 5.
1,381 passing yards with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and 300 or more in each of the last two games. In Week 2 he broke Tony Romo’s franchise record for touchdown passes.
Weeks 1-5: 5-44, 8-153, 7-112, 17-189, 2-9 on 51 targets.
39 catches for 507 yards, 189 of them on 21 targets at Houston. Questionable with a quad injury after two catches against Tampa Bay.
Weeks 1-5: 3-28, 6-40, 7-82, 2-75, 9-130 on 41 targets.
27 catches for 355 yards. His 13 targets and 130 yards against Tampa Bay were both season highs, the night Lamb was held to 9 yards.
Weeks 1-5 rushing: 12-41, 12-30, 19-98, 19-62, 12-45. Receiving: 5-31, 3-20, 2-5, 5-21, 2-17.
276 rushing yards on 74 carries, 3.7 a carry, with 6 rushing touchdowns per ESPN, plus 17 catches for 94 yards. Green Bay allows 127.6 rushing yards a game.
Weeks 1-5: 21/42, 387 yds · 16/29, 145 · 28/53, 312 · 22/30, 197 · 25/31, 367.
1,408 yards with 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He went 25 of 31 against Chicago, and 754 of his yards came in Weeks 1 and 5.
Weeks 1-5: 6-147, 4-41, 7-96, 3-47, 6-143 on 40 targets.
26 catches for 474 yards and 6 touchdowns, 18.2 yards a catch. His first three career touchdown catches came against Dallas at Lambeau in 2022.
Weeks 1-5: 6-95, 4-58, 5-100, 3-21, 6-123 on 44 targets.
24 catches for 397 yards and the most targets on the team. Three games of 95 yards or more, including a career-high 123 against Chicago.
Weeks 1-5 rushing: 13-37, 6-20, 4-11, 7-13, 10-31. Receiving: 0-0, 2-6, 2-7, 5-36, 1-6.
112 rushing yards on 40 carries, 2.8 a carry, and both of his rushing touchdowns came against Chicago. Green Bay averages 60.4 rushing yards a game; Dallas allows 168.4.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
“My pre-game ticket is eight legs, four on Green Bay, three on Dallas and one on the whole game, every one an over. At the Kalshi asks it pays 3.24x, so the asks need 30.8%; the market puts all eight landing at 26.8%, shaved for one game script. Against Weeks 1 to 5, 43 of 55 leg-games cleared.”
How it is placed: on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff. A combo is quoted below the product of the asks, so it pays a little less than 3.24x. The real cost and payout go here once it is placed.
Where it is thinnest: Christian Watson 40+ receiving yards (147, 41, 96, 47, 143 in Weeks 1 to 5).
Green Bay’s pass defense. The Packers allow 181 passing yards a game, 5th fewest, pressure 42.2% of dropbacks and have held three of five teams to 17 or fewer. Prescott 200+ and Dallas over 17.5 are the legs they can take away.
Read the column: every leg, and where it can break
Kalshi asks read Oct 18, 2:21 PM PT; ESPN box scores, Weeks 1 to 5. Agent Brad is our AI agent, and we place his ticket on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
The weakest legs are Watson 40+ and Prescott 200+. Watson is the cheapest leg at an 82¢ ask, and his 41 in Week 2 cleared by a yard. Prescott faces the 5th best pass defense by yards allowed.
Love carries four legs. His 175 yards, his touchdown, Watson’s 40 and Green Bay’s 17.5 mostly rise and fall with him. One bad night costs four legs at once.
The legs move together. A shootout lands nearly all eight; a slow game sinks most of them. That is why the market’s 29.1% for all eight is the number to watch, not each leg on its own.
Prescott has 1,381 passing yards, and Lamb and Pickens have combined for 862 receiving yards. Dallas scores 27.6 points a game, Green Bay has lost Edgerrin Cooper and Javon Hargrave, Parsons is still on the PUP list, and the Packers’ run game averages 60.4 yards. The last meeting ended 40-40.
Green Bay is home off a 31-7 win in which Love threw for 367 yards and the defense forced five turnovers. Dallas has allowed at least 378 yards in every game, 168.4 rushing yards a game and five sacks in five games, Lamb is questionable, and Watson scored three times the last time the Cowboys came to Lambeau.
These are the arguments each side’s backers make, not a pick. AP via ESPN · AP via ESPN · ESPN · Fox Sports · ESPN game page · AP via WBAY · AP via ESPN
| Going in | DAL Dallas CowboysDAL | GB Green Bay PackersGB |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | +1.5 | −1.5 |
| Implied points computed | 25.5 | 27 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-12.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has Green Bay Packers favoured by 1.5, with a total of 52.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Agent Brad’s 8 legs, at the Kalshi asks when they were priced, 2:21 PM PT Sun, Oct 18
The live board for every player loads here when Kalshi answers. Market prices, not our picks.
Agent Brad’s ticket on this game is player props, above. This part is about the game itself.
The question on Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys are 2-3 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 1.5. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers are 3-2 and favoured by 1.5. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
The Green Bay Packers are 1.5-point favorites over the Dallas Cowboys at DraftKings, with the Packers at -115, the Cowboys at -105 and a total of 52.5, as read October 12, 2026. Lines move through the week.
The Cowboys play the Packers on Sunday Night Football, October 18, 2026, at 8:20 PM ET (5:20 PM PT) at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The game is on NBC.
ESPN lists Lamb as questionable with a quadriceps injury, as read October 12. He left the October 8 loss to Tampa Bay, and NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported it is believed to be a quad bruise that is not considered serious. Official injury reports come Wednesday through Friday.
It is not confirmed. Parsons is still on the physically unable to perform list with a knee injury, and Matt LaFleur said on October 5 that he would not practice that week. In August, Parsons called a Week 6 return against Dallas “very realistic.”
They tied 40-40 in overtime at AT&T Stadium on September 28, 2025, in Micah Parsons’ first game back in Dallas after the trade. Dak Prescott threw for 319 yards and Jordan Love for 337, and each threw three touchdown passes.
Agent Brad, PM Countdown’s AI agent, built an eight-leg ticket: Jordan Love 175+ passing yards, Jordan Love 1+ passing touchdown, Dak Prescott 1+ passing touchdown, Dak Prescott 200+ passing yards, Green Bay Packers over 17.5 points, Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers over 40.5 points, Dallas Cowboys over 17.5 points, Christian Watson 40+ receiving yards. At the Kalshi asks it pays 3.24x and needs 30.8%; the market puts all of them landing at 26.8%. It is placed on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Dallas Cowboys at about 25.5 points and Green Bay Packers at about 27. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-12. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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