NFL Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 6:30 AM PT
The Jaguars stay in London after Cam Little’s 57-yard field goal beat the Eagles 19-17 as time expired, and now host Houston at Wembley. Jacksonville is 4-1 with three straight wins. Houston is 1-4 but just beat Tennessee 26-3 for its first win, then traded for Marvin Harrison Jr., C.J. Stroud’s Ohio State teammate. The posted line is JAX -3 with a total of 43.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
6:30 AM PT
9:30 AM ET, Sun, Oct 18
Stadium
Wembley Stadium
London
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NFL Network
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Houston Texans are 1-4. Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-1. The posted line has Jacksonville Jaguars favoured by 3, with a total of 43.5. Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Wembley Stadium, London.
The storyline. The Jaguars stay in London after Cam Little’s 57-yard field goal beat the Eagles 19-17 as time expired, and now host Houston at Wembley. Jacksonville is 4-1 with three straight wins. Houston is 1-4 but just beat Tennessee 26-3 for its first win, then traded for Marvin Harrison Jr., C.J. Stroud’s Ohio State teammate.
The Jaguars beat the Eagles 19-17 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday when Cam Little made a 57-yard field goal as time expired. Ameer Abdullah’s 53-yard kickoff return set it up with one second left, after Jake Elliott had put Philadelphia ahead 17-16 with eight seconds to play. Trevor Lawrence threw for 331 yards, and both of his touchdowns went to Parker Washington. “It was the coolest moment of my career,” Little said. AP via ABC News · Jaguars.com
Sunday is the Jaguars’ 12th game at Wembley and the third time they have played consecutive games at Wembley and Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. In 2023 they became the first NFL team to play back-to-back home games in London, beating Atlanta at Wembley and Buffalo at Tottenham. Jacksonville is the home team again and came into the season as the defending AFC South champion. Jaguars.com · HoustonTexans.com
The Jaguars opened with a 34-10 win over Cleveland, lost 20-13 at Denver, then beat New England 35-6, Cincinnati 22-17 and Philadelphia for three straight wins. They came into Week 5 second in the league in scoring defense, but the Eagles game was their first this season without a takeaway. Twice they reached the Philadelphia 5 and came away empty, including Bhayshul Tuten being stopped on fourth-and-goal from the 1 at the end of the first half. Pro-Football-Reference · Jaguars.com
The Texans beat Tennessee 26-3 in Nashville for their first win after a 0-4 start. C.J. Stroud threw for 261 yards, ran in a 2-yard touchdown to finish a 17-play, 8:23 drive, and threw a 9-yard touchdown to Jaylin Noel. Will Anderson Jr. had three of Houston’s four sacks, and Ka’imi Fairbairn kicked four field goals. Three of the four losses were by five points or fewer: 36-31 to Buffalo, 19-17 at Indianapolis and 34-30 to Dallas, with a 20-6 loss to Cincinnati in between. CBS Sports · ProFootballTalk · Pro-Football-Reference
DeMeco Ryans confirmed after Sunday’s win that Houston traded for Marvin Harrison Jr. ESPN’s Adam Schefter and NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported the Texans sent Arizona a 2027 second-round pick and a sixth-round pick for Harrison and a 2027 seventh. The fourth overall pick in 2024 had 5 catches for 85 yards in four games this season and joins a group led by Nico Collins. Stroud, his Ohio State teammate, called him “probably the hardest worker I’ve ever been around in my life.” theScore · CBS Sports
Jacksonville left tackle Anton Harrison was carted off with a knee injury against the Eagles, and Walker Little replaced him. Long snapper Ross Matiscik hurt his shoulder, so DaVon Hamilton snapped on the winning kick, and safety Eric Murray did not dress with a concussion. For Houston, Ryans said running back David Montgomery may miss time with a groin injury, and Jalen Pitre will have more tests on his shoulder. AP via ABC News · Jaguars.com · CBS Sports · NBC Sports
The teams split last season. Jacksonville won 17-10 in Week 3, and Houston came back from 19 points down to win 36-29 in Week 10 on Davis Mills’ 14-yard touchdown run with 31 seconds left, the start of a 10-game winning streak. This is Houston’s third international game; the second was a 26-3 win over the Jaguars at Wembley on November 3, 2019. HoustonTexans.com
DraftKings had the Jaguars by 3 with a total of 43.5, the Jaguars at -148 and the Texans at +124, as read on ESPN on October 12. Lines move through the week; the live Kalshi price is on this page. ESPN odds (DraftKings)
The Texans ruled out David Montgomery, Tank Dell and Jalen Pitre on Thursday for the Wembley game. Other statuses are from ESPN’s NFL injury page, read Friday, October 16, at 10:45 AM PT. Inactives come out 90 minutes before kickoff.
| Player | Team, pos | Status | What it changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery | HOU, RB | Out | Groin, hurt at Tennessee. Woody Marks had a season-high 15 carries in Week 5 and leads the backfield. |
| Tank Dell | HOU, WR | Out | Knee. He is on injured reserve and was ruled out Thursday. |
| Jalen Pitre | HOU, S | Out | Shoulder, hurt late in the win at Tennessee. |
| Azeez Al-Shaair | HOU, LB | Questionable | Listed questionable. |
| Nate Boerkircher | JAX, TE | Questionable | Back. Limited in practice Thursday. |
| Montaric Brown | JAX, CB | Questionable | Hamstring. Did not practice Wednesday. |
| Eric Murray | JAX, S | Questionable | Concussion from Week 4; he missed the Eagles game. |
| Ross Matiscik | JAX, LS | Questionable | Shoulder, hurt in the Week 5 win. |
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, read October 12, 2026. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-5: 26/38, 274 yds · 30/55, 353 · 16/27, 167 · 21/31, 347 · 26/34, 261.
1,402 passing yards on 119 of 185. He has thrown for 261 or more in four of five games, and he added a rushing touchdown at Tennessee.
Weeks 1, 4 and 5: 7-75, 7-118, 5-56 on 25 targets. Did not appear in Weeks 2 and 3.
19 catches for 249 yards in three games, including 118 against Dallas.
Weeks 1-4, with Arizona: 1-33, 0-0, 3-40, 1-12 on 13 targets. Did not play Week 5.
5 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown. Arizona told him on Saturday that he would not play Sunday because a trade was being finalized.
Weeks 1-5 rushing: 9-42, 8-8, 5-15, 6-22, 15-62. Receiving: 1 for -2, 5-27, 1-6, 0-0, 4-23.
149 rushing yards on 43 carries. With Montgomery hurt in the second quarter Sunday, Marks had season highs of 15 carries and 62 yards.
Weeks 1-5: 18/23, 245 yds · 17/29, 189 · 19/29, 182 · 18/23, 227 · 24/39, 331.
1,174 passing yards on 96 of 143. His 331 in London was a season high, with both touchdowns to Parker Washington.
Weeks 1-5: 5-83, 7-98, 3-40, 1-7, 6-124 on 35 targets.
22 catches for 352 yards. He scored from 51 and 27 yards in London, the second on fourth-and-5 with 3:20 left.
Weeks 1-5 rushing: 15-66, 13-65, 15-73, 17-73, 22-72.
349 yards on 82 carries, 4.3 a carry, and between 65 and 73 yards every week. He was the back stopped on fourth-and-goal from the 1 before halftime Sunday.
Weeks 1-5: 2-23, 2-17, 3-32, 7-95, 7-68 on 26 targets.
21 catches for 235 yards, with 14 catches for 163 yards in the last two games.
Houston just held Tennessee to 3 points, with Anderson getting three sacks, and Stroud has 1,402 passing yards. Marvin Harrison Jr. now joins Nico Collins at receiver. Three of the four losses were by five points or fewer, Houston won the last meeting 36-29, and Jacksonville lost left tackle Anton Harrison to a knee injury on Sunday.
Jacksonville is 4-1 with three straight wins, came into Week 5 second in scoring defense, and stayed in London after the Eagles game. Lawrence threw for 331 yards Sunday, Washington has 352 receiving yards, and Tuten has run for between 65 and 73 yards every week. Houston may be without Montgomery.
These are the arguments each side’s backers make, not a pick. CBS Sports · Jaguars.com · Pro-Football-Reference Texans · Pro-Football-Reference Jaguars · HoustonTexans.com · ESPN scoreboard (DraftKings)
| Going in | HOU Houston TexansHOU | JAX Jacksonville JaguarsJAX |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | +3 | −3 |
| Implied points computed | 20.25 | 23.25 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-12.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has Jacksonville Jaguars favoured by 3, with a total of 43.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Reading the Kalshi board.
No plan is posted on this game. The props section above is about one player; this is about the game itself.
The question on Houston Texans
Houston Texans are 1-4 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 3. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-1 and favoured by 3. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 3-point favorites over the Houston Texans at DraftKings, with the Jaguars at -148, the Texans at +124 and a total of 43.5, as read October 12, 2026. Lines move through the week.
The Texans play the Jaguars on Sunday, October 18, 2026, at 9:30 AM ET (6:30 AM PT) at Wembley Stadium in London. The game is on NFL Network.
Yes. DeMeco Ryans confirmed the trade after Houston’s 26-3 win at Tennessee on October 11. ESPN’s Adam Schefter and NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported that Houston sent Arizona a 2027 second-round pick and a sixth-round pick for Harrison and a 2027 seventh-round pick.
It is not known yet. The Jaguars’ left tackle was carted off with a knee injury against the Eagles on October 11 and ruled out, and Walker Little replaced him. No diagnosis had been reported as of October 12.
Jacksonville hosted the Eagles at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in Week 5 and hosts the Texans at Wembley in Week 6. It is the Jaguars’ 12th game at Wembley and the third time they have played consecutive games at the two stadiums. In 2023 they became the first team to play back-to-back home games in London.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Houston Texans at about 20.25 points and Jacksonville Jaguars at about 23.25. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-12. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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