Home
Sports
MMA
UFC
UFC 331
O'Neill vs Moura

UFC 331 · Fight and odds · Women's flyweight early prelims

Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura: O'Neill on a two-fight win streak, Moura on the back of a loss

Every price Kalshi listed on this women's flyweight bout, captured before it opened, with both men’s records and recent form as they stood. Nothing on this page knows how it ended.

ExclusiveTuna Lead writer, UFC, MMA and boxing · See profile

Archived Sat, Sep 19, 20264 min read

O'Neill to win67¢about −225 at the books

Moura to win33¢about +185 at the books

The spreadNonethe two sides paired at 100¢ exactly

Before the bell

O'Neill was the favourite at 67¢.

O'Neill: 67¢
Moura: 33¢
Scheduled: 3 rounds
Weight class: Women's flyweight
Card: Early prelims

The short version

O'Neill is −225 at the books, priced at 67¢ on Kalshi
Early prelims, Women's flyweight, 3 rounds
The two captured prices paired at 100¢ exactly, so there was no spread to pay on this bout
13 markets were listed on this bout across five Kalshi series

Tale of the tape

#12Casey O'Neill"King"

Australia · Bangtao Muay Thai

11-2record going in

StreakW2
How he wins4 KO/TKO · 3 sub · 5 dec

5'6" tall · 69.0" reach · 28 years old

#13Eduarda Moura"Ronda"

Brazil · Fight House

12-2record going in

StreakL1
How he wins4 KO/TKO · 5 sub · 3 dec

5'6" tall · 67.0" reach · 32 years old

Stat	O'Neill	Moura
Significant strikes landedVolume on the feet.	7.89 per min	2.57 per min
Striking accuracyShare of attempted strikes that land.	52%	38%
Significant strikes absorbedHow much comes back. Lower is better.	5.53 per min	2.5 per min
Striking defenseShare of opponent strikes avoided.	58%	59%
Takedowns landedWhere the fight goes if he wants it there.	1.4 per 15 min	3.58 per 15 min
Takedown defenseShare of opponent takedowns stuffed.	70%	80%
KnockdownsHow often a punch ends the exchange.	0.17 per 15 min	0.0 per 15 min
Average fight timeNeither is better. It says how each man's fights end.	10:44	11:52

These are career rates from the fighters' official pages, read the day after the event. Most had not been updated with this fight yet, so they describe each man going in, not including this result. Takedown accuracy is left out everywhere: the published figure contradicts the published takedown average on several fighters, so we would rather show nothing than show a number we cannot reconcile.

Where each number came from, and what did not reconcile (1324 notes)

O'Neill: A
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: l
O'Neill:
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: c
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: '
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: .
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: '
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: k
O'Neill:
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: N
O'Neill: O
O'Neill: T
O'Neill:
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 3
O'Neill: 3
O'Neill: 1
O'Neill: :
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: (
O'Neill: 6
O'Neill: 7
O'Neill: 7
O'Neill:
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: f
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 1
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: 9
O'Neill: 7
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: k
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 1
O'Neill: 0
O'Neill: :
O'Neill: 4
O'Neill: 4
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: v
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: )
O'Neill:
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: o
O'Neill:
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: .
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill:
O'Neill: M
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: r
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: 0
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: 6
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: w
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill:
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: y
O'Neill:
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: n
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: o
O'Neill:
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: M
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: a
O'Neill:
O'Neill: w
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: .
O'Neill:
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: y
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: g
O'Neill:
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: r
O'Neill:
O'Neill: W
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: k
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: o
O'Neill:
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: .
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: '
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: w
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: -
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: y
O'Neill: -
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: x
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: l
O'Neill:
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 4
O'Neill:
O'Neill: K
O'Neill: O
O'Neill: /
O'Neill: T
O'Neill: K
O'Neill: O
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 5
O'Neill:
O'Neill: D
O'Neill: E
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill:
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: B
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: w
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: h
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: o
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 1
O'Neill: 1
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: -
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: ;
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: k
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: /
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: /
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: c
O'Neill:
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: -
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 4
O'Neill: /
O'Neill: 3
O'Neill: /
O'Neill: 5
O'Neill:
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: y
O'Neill:
O'Neill: W
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: k
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: '
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: y
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: y
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill:
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: -
O'Neill: b
O'Neill: y
O'Neill: -
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: f
O'Neill:
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: .
O'Neill:
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: h
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 3
O'Neill: :
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill:
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill:
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: g
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: ;
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: '
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: v
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 3
O'Neill: :
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: 0
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: 3
O'Neill: :
O'Neill: 5
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: .
O'Neill:
O'Neill: T
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: :
O'Neill:
O'Neill: U
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: C
O'Neill: .
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: g
O'Neill:
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: B
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: o
O'Neill:
O'Neill: M
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: y
O'Neill:
O'Neill: T
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: W
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: k
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: a
O'Neill:
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: F
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: R
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: y
O'Neill:
O'Neill: (
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: 0
O'Neill: 2
O'Neill: 4
O'Neill: -
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: )
O'Neill:
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill:
O'Neill: '
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: g
O'Neill:
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: t
O'Neill:
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: f
O'Neill:
O'Neill: L
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: V
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: '
O'Neill: .
O'Neill:
O'Neill: B
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: n
O'Neill:
O'Neill: I
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: v
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: ,
O'Neill:
O'Neill: S
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: ;
O'Neill:
O'Neill: c
O'Neill: o
O'Neill: m
O'Neill: p
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: s
O'Neill:
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: n
O'Neill: d
O'Neill: e
O'Neill: r
O'Neill:
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: h
O'Neill: e
O'Neill:
O'Neill: A
O'Neill: u
O'Neill: s
O'Neill: t
O'Neill: r
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: i
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: n
O'Neill:
O'Neill: f
O'Neill: l
O'Neill: a
O'Neill: g
O'Neill: .
Moura: A
Moura: l
Moura: l
Moura:
Moura: e
Moura: i
Moura: g
Moura: h
Moura: t
Moura:
Moura: n
Moura: u
Moura: m
Moura: e
Moura: r
Moura: i
Moura: c
Moura:
Moura: s
Moura: t
Moura: a
Moura: t
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: a
Moura: r
Moura: e
Moura:
Moura: U
Moura: F
Moura: C
Moura: .
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: m
Moura: '
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: p
Moura: u
Moura: b
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: s
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura: d
Moura:
Moura: f
Moura: i
Moura: g
Moura: u
Moura: r
Moura: e
Moura: s
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: a
Moura: n
Moura: d
Moura:
Moura: t
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura:
Moura: b
Moura: l
Moura: o
Moura: c
Moura: k
Moura:
Moura: r
Moura: e
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: n
Moura: c
Moura: i
Moura: l
Moura: e
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: t
Moura: o
Moura:
Moura: s
Moura: i
Moura: x
Moura:
Moura: f
Moura: i
Moura: g
Moura: h
Moura: t
Moura: s
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: i
Moura: .
Moura: e
Moura: .
Moura:
Moura: i
Moura: t
Moura:
Moura: d
Moura: o
Moura: e
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: i
Moura: n
Moura: c
Moura: l
Moura: u
Moura: d
Moura: e
Moura:
Moura: U
Moura: F
Moura: C
Moura:
Moura: 3
Moura: 3
Moura: 1
Moura: .
Moura:
Moura: S
Moura: t
Moura: a
Moura: n
Moura: c
Moura: e
Moura:
Moura: n
Moura: o
Moura: t
Moura:
Moura: p
Moura: u
Moura: b
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: s
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura: d
Moura:
Moura: a
Moura: n
Moura: y
Moura: w
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura: r
Moura: e
Moura:
Moura: c
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura: c
Moura: k
Moura: e
Moura: d
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: s
Moura: o
Moura:
Moura: n
Moura: u
Moura: l
Moura: l
Moura: .
Moura:
Moura: H
Moura: e
Moura: i
Moura: g
Moura: h
Moura: t
Moura:
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: n
Moura: f
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: c
Moura: t
Moura: :
Moura:
Moura: U
Moura: F
Moura: C
Moura: .
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: m
Moura:
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: s
Moura: t
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: 6
Moura: 6
Moura: .
Moura: 0
Moura: 0
Moura:
Moura: i
Moura: n
Moura:
Moura: (
Moura: 5
Moura: '
Moura: 6
Moura: "
Moura: )
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: S
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura: r
Moura: d
Moura: o
Moura: g
Moura:
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: s
Moura: t
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: 5
Moura: '
Moura: 5
Moura: "
Moura: ;
Moura:
Moura: U
Moura: F
Moura: C
Moura: .
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: m
Moura:
Moura: u
Moura: s
Moura: e
Moura: d
Moura:
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura: r
Moura: e
Moura: .
Moura:
Moura: T
Moura: e
Moura: a
Moura: m
Moura:
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: n
Moura: f
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: c
Moura: t
Moura: :
Moura:
Moura: U
Moura: F
Moura: C
Moura: .
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: m
Moura:
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: s
Moura: t
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: F
Moura: i
Moura: g
Moura: h
Moura: t
Moura:
Moura: H
Moura: o
Moura: u
Moura: s
Moura: e
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: S
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura: r
Moura: d
Moura: o
Moura: g
Moura:
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: s
Moura: t
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: G
Moura: a
Moura: l
Moura: p
Moura: a
Moura: o
Moura:
Moura: d
Moura: a
Moura:
Moura: L
Moura: u
Moura: t
Moura: a
Moura: .
Moura:
Moura: H
Moura: e
Moura: r
Moura:
Moura: l
Moura: o
Moura: s
Moura: s
Moura: e
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: d
Moura: o
Moura:
Moura: n
Moura: o
Moura: t
Moura:
Moura: c
Moura: h
Moura: a
Moura: n
Moura: g
Moura: e
Moura:
Moura: t
Moura: h
Moura: e
Moura:
Moura: w
Moura: i
Moura: n
Moura: -
Moura: b
Moura: y
Moura: -
Moura: m
Moura: e
Moura: t
Moura: h
Moura: o
Moura: d
Moura:
Moura: s
Moura: p
Moura: l
Moura: i
Moura: t
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: s
Moura: o
Moura:
Moura: U
Moura: F
Moura: C
Moura: .
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: m
Moura: '
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: 4
Moura:
Moura: K
Moura: O
Moura: /
Moura: T
Moura: K
Moura: O
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: 5
Moura:
Moura: S
Moura: U
Moura: B
Moura: ,
Moura:
Moura: 3
Moura:
Moura: D
Moura: E
Moura: C
Moura:
Moura: s
Moura: t
Moura: i
Moura: l
Moura: l
Moura:
Moura: s
Moura: u
Moura: m
Moura: s
Moura:
Moura: c
Moura: o
Moura: r
Moura: r
Moura: e
Moura: c
Moura: t
Moura: l
Moura: y
Moura:
Moura: t
Moura: o
Moura:
Moura: 1
Moura: 2
Moura:
Moura: w
Moura: i
Moura: n
Moura: s
Moura: .

Recent form

O'Neill

WGabriella FernandesKO (punches) · R1 3:11 · Mar 28, 2026
WLuana SantosDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00 · Aug 17, 2024
LAriane LipskiSubmission (armbar) · R2 1:18 · Dec 16, 2023
LJennifer MaiaDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00 · Mar 18, 2023
WRoxanne ModafferiDecision (split) · R3 5:00 · Feb 12, 2022
WAntonina ShevchenkoTKO (punches) · R2 4:47 · Oct 2, 2021

Moura

LWang CongDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00 · Feb 7, 2026
WLauren MurphyDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00 · Jul 12, 2025
WVeronica HardyDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00 · Nov 16, 2024
LDenise GomesDecision (split) · R3 5:00 · Jun 8, 2024
WMontserrat RuizTKO (punches) · R2 2:14 · Nov 4, 2023
WJanaina SilvaSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 4:00 · Aug 15, 2023

Most recent first. This bout is not in these lists.

The full board

Every market Kalshi listed on this fight, at the last price it traded for before the bout opened. 13 in all.

Method of victory

Market	Price	$100 returns
Draw or no contest	2¢	$5,000.00
Moura by KO, TKO or DQ	6¢	$1,666.00
O'Neill by submission	10¢	$1,000.00
Moura by submission	10¢	$1,000.00
O'Neill by KO, TKO or DQ	17¢	$588.00
Moura by decision	17¢	$588.00
O'Neill by decision	48¢	$208.00

Method of finish

Market	Price	$100 returns
Draw or no contest	4¢	$2,500.00
Submission (either fighter)	18¢	$555.00
KO, TKO or DQ (either fighter)	22¢	$454.00
Decision (either fighter)	63¢	$158.00

How long it goes

Market	Price	$100 returns
Ends before round 2	21¢	$476.00
Ends before round 3	32¢	$312.00

Prices are contract cents. A contract settles at $1.00 if it comes in and $0.00 if it does not, so the price is roughly what the market thought the chance was. Returns are gross of the Kalshi fee.

Sources and method

Fighter records and career rates from the official UFC athlete pages, cross-checked against Sherdog. Moneylines from BestFightOdds and DraftKings. Contract prices are the last trade before this bout opened, from Kalshi one-minute candlesticks on the KXUFCFIGHT, KXUFCMOV, KXUFCMOF, KXUFCROUNDS, KXUFCDISTANCE and KXUFCVICROUND series. We aren’t affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi.

Why Brito was the right side

Set the sell target first

1m to 1W, one desk

Cash out on purpose

Write for the desk