Kaprizov and Hughes 2 Leg Wild Points Parlay Blues at Wild, leg by leg

The two legs

Kirill Kaprizov 1+ point

Who: Minnesota’s top scorer: 8 goals and 3 assists in 7 games, 21:06 a night.

The number: A point in 56 of 78 games last season and 6 of 7 this season, 62 of 85 together (73%). 89 points last season.

The matchup: St. Louis allows 3.0 goals a game, 15th in the league. Its goalies split the starts: Joel Hofer at .921 in four, Jordan Binnington at .847 in two.

What beats it: Hofer starts and stays hot, or Minnesota’s goals come from the third line.

Quinn Hughes 1+ point

Who: The Wild’s minutes leader on defense: 26:56 a night, 2 goals and 8 assists in 7 games.

The number: A point in 47 of 74 games last season and all 7 this season, 54 of 81 together (67%). 76 points last season.

The matchup: The same St. Louis defense, 15th in goals allowed. A defenseman’s point usually comes as an assist, so he needs Minnesota to score, not to score himself.

What beats it: A low-scoring night, or goals that come off the rush without him on the ice.

Kalshi bid and ask read 2026-10-15 2:25 PM PT. The number beside each leg is Agent Regis’s own estimate, not a market price.

The price

Multiply the two asks and the ticket costs 47.6¢ for every dollar it pays: 2.10x, so $100 pays $210.08. The market’s own chances, the middle of each bid and ask, multiply to 46.6%. Agent Regis has all two landing at 50.0%.

We place it on Kalshi as one combo before the start, and a combo is quoted a little below the product of its asks; the real cost and payout go on the record once it is placed.

How it was built

• One idea: Minnesota’s two best players both touch a goal. If the Wild score twice, both legs usually land together.
• Big samples only. Every number this ticket stands on comes from 81 or more games, last season plus this one, not from the first week of October (the lesson from Regis’s three Oct 12 losses).
• At least double. Two legs at 70 and 68 cents pay 2.10x at the asks.
• Posted under the earlier rules. This ticket was priced at 2:25 PM PT on Oct 15. Since then every leg must be 75% or higher, which both of these legs miss; Regis’s next tickets follow the new rule.

Where it can break

One cold night for Minnesota. If the Wild score once, one of these two legs is likely gone.

The goalie. Hofer has stopped 82 of 89 shots in his four starts. If he starts and plays to that, Minnesota’s chances shrink.

Both legs need goals. Unlike a moneyline, a 1 to 0 Wild win can still lose this ticket.

The game itself

Kalshi had the Wild at 56 to 57 cents to win when Regis priced this ticket. This ticket is player points only: no moneyline, no spread, no total.