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Final

Anaheim Ducks4

Vegas Golden Knights3

Score by period
Team123T
ANAAnaheim Ducks1304
VGKVegas Golden Knights0033

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas · 17,619 fans · Fri, Oct 2, 7:00 PM PT

Tuna’s live ticket

+$487.58

NO on Ducks by 4+, on $500

Tuna’s 9 leg parlay

7 of 9

Vegas +3.5 hit; graded: missed

Closing line

VGK −218

DraftKings; Ducks +180

Puck line

ANA +1.5

Ducks won by 1; +1.5 cashed

Total

7

over 6.5 by 0.5

NHL · Fri, Oct 2 · Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

Ducks at Golden Knights The odds and two live tickets

Vegas opened the night as a −218 favorite at home. Anaheim led 4-0 by 8:13 PM PT, and at 8:30 PM Kalshi had Vegas to win at 5¢, and a four-goal Ducks win was trading near even money. Exclusive Tuna took the other side of that margin, then built a 9 leg parlay that starts with Vegas +3.5. Here are the lines, both tickets as they were posted, and how each one graded.

Exclusive TunaLead writer

Published · Graded from Kalshi’s settlement and ESPN’s final box score

After the final horn: every goal, what the ticket was worth after each one, and the parlay leg by leg. See the result

The odds before the puck dropped

DraftKings lines, open and close Read from ESPN’s game page
MarketDucksGolden Knights
To win, open+130-155
To win, close+180-218
Puck line, close+1.5 (-142)−1.5 (+120)
Total 6.5, closeOver -130Under +110

The money moved to Vegas all day: −155 at the open, −218 at the close. Kalshi agreed. Vegas to win was 67¢ at the 7:00 PM PT start, about a two in three chance. It was Anaheim’s season opener; Vegas had beaten Chicago 5-2 in its own.

Both tickets, as they were posted

  • Live bet, WinNHL · Fri, Oct 2
    Exclusive TunaWriter

    NO Anaheim wins by over 3.5 goals

    Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

    Entry
    49¢
    Target
    $1.00
    Fallback
    N/A

    +$487.58 on $500 (+97.5%) · live bet, Late 2nd period, ANA 4, VGK 0

    See the post on X (opens in new tab)

    Placed Oct 2, 8:30 PM PT, after the start · graded Oct 5, 2:54 PM PT from Kalshi's settlement

    Winner · paid in full at $1.00

    Held to settlement at 100¢

    Taken in playtaken in play, 1 hour 30 minutes after the start
Live parlay missed 9 legs · Novig · Fri, Oct 2
Exclusive TunaDesk writer

The 9 Leg Vegas Comeback and College Overs Live Parlay Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights, plus eight college football team totals

Column analysisResults
  • Pays227.36x9 legs, all or nothing
  • $50 pays$11,367.77+22636% if it hits
  • Break-even0.4%the chance the price needs

−$507 of 9 legs hit

The 9 legs

  1. VGKHitVegas Golden KnightsGolden Knights +3.5Final: ANA 4, VGK 3
  2. NDHitNotre DameOver 33.5 pointsFinal: 37
  3. ALAHitAlabamaOver 33.5 pointsFinal: 56
  4. UGAHitGeorgiaOver 37.5 pointsFinal: 38
  5. OSUHitOhio StateOver 30.5 pointsFinal: 31
  6. FLAMissFloridaOver 31.5 pointsFinal: 17
  7. BYUMissBYUOver 27.5 pointsFinal: 17
  8. MIAHitMiamiOver 31.5 pointsFinal: 41
  9. IUHitIndianaOver 40.5 pointsFinal: 47
Why this ticket

Nine legs on Novig: $50 to pay $11,367.77, a 227.36x ticket.

It starts in the Ducks game. Anaheim led Vegas 4-0, and I took the Golden Knights +3.5, the same read as my Kalshi ticket: the favorite at home only has to make it a three-goal game. Then eight college football overs for Saturday, each a team total I expected the offense to clear on its own: Notre Dame, Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State, Florida, BYU, Miami and Indiana.

Seven of nine came in. Vegas scored three in the third and lost 4-3. Notre Dame put up 37, Alabama 56, Miami 41 and Indiana 47, and Georgia (38) and Ohio State (31) each cleared by half a point. Florida scored 17 in a 45-17 loss at Missouri and BYU scored 17 in a 17-10 win at TCU, so the ticket is a zero.

That is the price of 227x: two quiet offenses and the whole slip is gone. If you want a slip that cashes more often, take the legs you trust most, cut it to three or four, and size it to your own risk.

Follow on XGet picks as they drop @ExclusiveTunaPM (opens in new tab)Build your own slip on Novig (affiliate link, opens in new tab)Bonus trade credits for new accounts · affiliate · 21+ · available states

The spread ticket is a Kalshi position, bought in play at 8:30 PM PT and posted on X a minute later. The parlay is a Novig ticket: the slip shows it matched by 9:43 PM PT Friday with the hockey leg still live and all eight college games still to play.

Read Tuna’s column: why the other side of a 4-0 lead

The spot at 4-0, in prices

Four goals in just over seven minutes of hockey, from the last seconds of the first period to 7:03 of the second, took Vegas to win from 67¢ to 5¢. The market for a Ducks win by four or more opened up at the same time: the YES side was at 49¢ a minute after Leo Carlsson made it 4-0.

That is the price Tuna went after. NO on “Anaheim wins by over 3.5 goals” pays on any Ducks win by three or fewer, and on any Vegas win. With more than a period to play against the team the market favored before the game, one Vegas goal that Anaheim does not answer was enough.

Questions people ask

Who won Ducks vs Golden Knights on Oct 2, 2026?

The Anaheim Ducks won 4-3 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Anaheim led 4-0 after two periods on goals by Beckett Sennecke, Alex Killorn, Jeff Malott and Leo Carlsson. Vegas scored three in the third, from Shea Theodore, Tomas Hertl on the power play and Braeden Bowman.

What were the odds for Ducks at Golden Knights?

Vegas closed at -218 to win at DraftKings (opened -155), with Anaheim at +180. The puck line was Vegas -1.5 at +120 and the total 6.5, over -130. On Kalshi, Vegas to win was 67 cents at the 7:00 PM PT start.

How does an NHL spread market settle on Kalshi?

Each spread contract names one margin. "Anaheim wins by over 3.5 goals" settles YES only if the Ducks win by four or more, and NO on any other result, including a one-goal Ducks win or a Vegas win. A 4-3 final settled it NO.

What did Exclusive Tuna buy on this game?

NO on Anaheim winning by over 3.5 goals, live, at a 50.62 cent average with the Ducks up 4-0: $500 for 987.58 contracts. Vegas cut it to 4-3 and the contract settled at $1.00, so the ticket paid $987.58, a profit of $487.58.

Did the 9 leg parlay hit?

No. Seven of nine legs came in, including Vegas +3.5. Florida scored 17 against a 31.5 line and BYU scored 17 against 27.5, so the $50 ticket to pay $11,367.77 was a miss.

Trade the next one yourself

Open a Kalshi account

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.

Sources

  1. ESPN game summary, event 401892433: final score, goals with ESPN’s logged time, box score and the DraftKings lines, read Mon, Oct 5, 2:53 PM PT. Kept as data/results/nhl-2026-10-02-ana-vgk-espn.json. Open
  2. Kalshi public API, one-minute candles for Anaheim wins by over 3.5 goals and Vegas to win, 6:30 to 9:50 PM PT Oct 2, read Mon, Oct 5. The spread market settled NO at 9:47 PM PT. Kept as data/results/nhl-2026-10-02-ana-vgk-kalshi.json.
  3. Exclusive Tuna on X: the trade alert, 8:31 PM PT, with the Kalshi order screen ($500, 50.62¢ average, pays $987.58); the update at 4-2, 9:29 PM PT; the 9 leg parlay, 11:59 AM PT Oct 3.
  4. Novig slip for the 9 leg parlay: matched, $50 to pay $11,367.77 at 227.36x, read at 9:43 PM PT Oct 2. College finals from ESPN’s Oct 3 scoreboard.
  5. NHL.com game preview, Oct 2, 2026: the Ducks’ season opener and Vegas’ 5-2 win over Chicago.

Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.