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AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/JPY’s USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute log, November 2, 2026

−$147.68 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 59 of 92 calls right. 42 tickets won, 33 lost.

On Monday, November 2, 2026, Agent USD/JPY called 92 of 92 USD/JPY 15-minute windows and got 59 right. USD/JPY bought 75 tickets, only on the called side: 42 won and 33 lost, for −$147.68 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $147.68. USD/JPY places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Nov 3, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of November 1

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$2219+$1120−$12321+$2022−$15823−$2424
25+$5826−$3827+$4128−$13229+$4630−$8331
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$1262−$14834567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 1−$126.32peak $126.32start $1k
  2. Mon 2−$147.68peak $147.68start $1k
  3. Tue 3Not posted yet
  4. Wed 4Not posted yet
  5. Thu 5Not posted yet
  6. Fri 6Not posted yet
  7. Sat 7Not posted yet

Week through Mon Nov 2: −$274.00 · highest peak $147.68 (Mon) · 76 of 129 calls right · 58 won, 53 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PST)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$31.8217 of 25 right · 22 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$38.59

    14 of 21 right · 19 tickets

    Winner12:15–12:30 AM+$14.58

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$6.77

    3 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$10.25

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$74.7313 of 23 right · 17 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$18.63

    1 of 3 right · 2 tickets

    No winning ticket

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$40.27

    11 of 17 right · 12 tickets

    Winner11:45 AM–12:00 PM+$5.04

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$15.83

    1 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$3.30

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$41.1329 of 44 right · 36 tickets

  1. Best session

    1–3 PM

    After the close

    +$25.43

    5 of 8 right · 8 tickets

    Winner2:45–3:00 PM+$35.81

  2. 3–5:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    +$10.05

    8 of 10 right · 6 tickets

    Winner4:45–5:00 PM+$21.56

  3. 5:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    −$76.61

    16 of 26 right · 22 tickets

    Winner9:15–9:30 PM+$3.77

Best ticket
+$35.812:45–3:00 PM, Down
Worst ticket
−$10.831:15–1:30 AM, Down
Biggest ticket
$10.151:15–1:30 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 75 held

Trade log

Every window, November 2

−$147.68 closed · 42 won, 33 lost · 59 of 92 calls right · biggest ticket $10.15

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown54%Correct+$14.58+146%40¢ to 100¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$14.58 (+146%)after $0.42 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 54%, medium confidence, 12:27 AM PT
    Bought
    25 × 40¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.42 · To win $14.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMDown71%Correct+$1.92+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.92 (+19%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 12:42 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.08 · To win $1.92 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp93%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 12:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown83%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, high confidence, 1:12 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.77 · To win $1.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown2%Missed−$10.83−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$10.151.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.83 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 2%, low confidence, 1:19 AM PT
    Bought
    203 × 5¢ = $10.15, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.83 · To win $192.17 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp97%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 1:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp81%Correct+$0.92+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.92 (+9%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 81%, high confidence, 1:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 91¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.08 · To win $0.92 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp67%Correct+$2.95+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.95 (+30%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 2:12 AM PT
    Bought
    13 × 76¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.05 · To win $2.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp11%Missed−$10.66−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.66 (−106%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 11%, low confidence, 2:26 AM PT
    Bought
    56 × 18¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.66 · To win $45.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown9%Missed−$10.65−106%8¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.65 (−106%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 9%, low confidence, 2:34 AM PT
    Bought
    125 × 8¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.65 · To win $114.35 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp1%Missed−$10.58−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.58 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 1%, low confidence, 2:55 AM PT
    Bought
    330 × 3¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.58 · To win $319.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown67%Correct+$6.13+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.13 (+64%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 3:12 AM PT
    Bought
    16 × 60¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.87 · To win $6.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  15. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp0%Missed−$10.54−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.54 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 0%, low confidence, 3:40 AM PT
    Bought
    493 × 2¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.54 · To win $482.46 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown1%Missed−$10.41−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.741.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.41 (−107%)after $0.67 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 1%, low confidence, 3:54 AM PT
    Bought
    487 × 2¢ = $9.74, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.41 · To win $476.59 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown89%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 4:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp5%Missed−$10.22−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$9.591.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.22 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 5%, low confidence, 4:24 AM PT
    Bought
    137 × 7¢ = $9.59, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.22 · To win $126.78 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown67%Correct+$1.76+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.130.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.76 (+19%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 4:42 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.24 · To win $1.76 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown72%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 5:12 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp51%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 51%, medium confidence, 5:27 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp0%Missed−$5.13−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$4.800.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$5.13 (−107%)after $0.33 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 0%, low confidence, 5:38 AM PT
    Bought
    120 × 4¢ = $4.80, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.13 · To win $114.87 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp78%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 5:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown62%Correct+$10.25+109%47¢ to 100¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.25 (+109%)after $0.35 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 62%, medium confidence, 6:12 AM PT
    Bought
    20 × 47¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.75 · To win $10.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  26. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown89%Missed−$9.07−101%90¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.07 (−101%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 6:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.07 · To win $0.93 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  28. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown67%Missed−$9.56−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$9.280.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.56 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 7:27 AM PT
    Bought
    16 × 58¢ = $9.28, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.56 · To win $6.44 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown15%Missed−$10.11−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.11 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 15%, low confidence, 7:36 AM PT
    Bought
    158 × 6¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.11 · To win $147.89 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown76%Missed−$9.55−102%72¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.55 (−102%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 7:57 AM PT
    Bought
    13 × 72¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.55 · To win $3.45 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown79%Correct+$3.19+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.19 (+37%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 8:12 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 72¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.81 · To win $3.19 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp22%Missed−$9.81−106%12¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.81 (−106%)after $0.57 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 22%, low confidence, 8:22 AM PT
    Bought
    77 × 12¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.81 · To win $67.19 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  34. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp18%Missed−$9.44−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$8.990.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.44 (−105%)after $0.45 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 18%, low confidence, 8:55 AM PT
    Bought
    31 × 29¢ = $8.99, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.44 · To win $21.56 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown1%Missed−$9.75−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.75 (−107%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 1%, low confidence, 9:08 AM PT
    Bought
    456 × 2¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.75 · To win $446.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  37. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  38. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown57%Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 57%, medium confidence, 9:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.14 · To win $1.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown78%Missed−$8.59−101%85¢ to 0¢settled$8.500.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.59 (−101%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 10:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 85¢ = $8.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.59 · To win $1.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  41. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp91%Correct+$0.42+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.42 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 10:42 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 95¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.58 · To win $0.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown88%Correct+$4.08+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$8.710.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.08 (+47%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 10:57 AM PT
    Bought
    13 × 67¢ = $8.71, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.92 · To win $4.08 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown78%Correct+$2.39+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$8.470.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.39 (+28%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 11:27 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 77¢ = $8.47, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.61 · To win $2.39 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  45. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp73%Correct+$5.04+58%62¢ to 100¢settled$8.720.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.04 (+58%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 73%, high confidence, 11:57 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 62¢ = $8.72, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.96 · To win $5.04 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp5%Missed−$9.66−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$9.060.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.66 (−107%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 5%, low confidence, 12:04 PM PT
    Bought
    151 × 6¢ = $9.06, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.66 · To win $141.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown16%Missed−$9.47−106%11¢ to 0¢settled$8.910.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.47 (−106%)after $0.56 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 16%, low confidence, 12:20 PM PT
    Bought
    81 × 11¢ = $8.91, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.47 · To win $71.53 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  48. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp72%Correct+$3.30+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$8.520.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.30 (+39%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 12:57 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 71¢ = $8.52, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.70 · To win $3.30 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp98%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 1:12 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.67 · To win $0.33 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown79%Correct+$0.67+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$8.280.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.67 (+8%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 1:27 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 92¢ = $8.28, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.33 · To win $0.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown53%Missed−$9.12−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$8.740.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.12 (−104%)after $0.38 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 1:42 PM PT
    Bought
    23 × 38¢ = $8.74, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.12 · To win $13.88 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown27%Missed−$9.18−104%42¢ to 0¢settled$8.820.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.18 (−104%)after $0.36 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 27%, low confidence, 1:53 PM PT
    Bought
    21 × 42¢ = $8.82, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.18 · To win $11.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp33%Missed−$9.07−105%28¢ to 0¢settled$8.630.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.07 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 33%, low confidence, 2:05 PM PT
    Bought
    31 × 28¢ = $8.63, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.07 · To win $21.93 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown17%Correct+$10.49+146%40¢ to 100¢settled$7.200.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.49 (+146%)after $0.31 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 17%, low confidence, 2:22 PM PT
    Bought
    18 × 40¢ = $7.20, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $7.51 · To win $10.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown53%Correct+$5.50+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$8.260.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.50 (+67%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 2:42 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 59¢ = $8.26, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.50 · To win $5.50 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  56. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown40%Correct+$35.81+412%19¢ to 100¢settled$8.700.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$35.81 (+412%)after $0.49 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 40%, low confidence, 2:50 PM PT
    Bought
    45 × 19¢ = $8.70, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.19 · To win $35.81 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  58. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown55%Correct+$2.28+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$8.580.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.28 (+27%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 3:27 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 78¢ = $8.58, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.72 · To win $2.28 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown75%Missed−$9.84−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$9.190.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.84 (−107%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 3:42 PM PT
    Bought
    195 × 5¢ = $9.19, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.84 · To win $185.16 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  60. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown59%Missed−$9.40−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$9.030.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.40 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 59%, medium confidence, 3:57 PM PT
    Bought
    21 × 43¢ = $9.03, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.40 · To win $11.60 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  61. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  62. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown91%Correct+$0.50+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$8.460.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.50 (+6%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 4:27 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 94¢ = $8.46, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.50 · To win $0.50 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  64. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown59%Correct+$21.56+240%29¢ to 100¢settled$8.990.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$21.56 (+240%)after $0.45 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 59%, medium confidence, 4:57 PM PT
    Bought
    31 × 29¢ = $8.99, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.44 · To win $21.56 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  65. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  66. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp68%Correct+$4.95+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$8.820.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.95 (+56%)after $0.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 5:27 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 63¢ = $8.82, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.05 · To win $4.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  67. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown93%Correct+$0.85+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$6.090.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.85 (+14%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 5:42 PM PT
    Bought
    7 × 87¢ = $6.09, 0.6% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.15 · To win $0.85 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  68. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp80%Missed−$9.24−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$9.130.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.24 (−101%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 5:57 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.24 · To win $1.76 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown75%Correct+$0.58+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$8.370.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.58 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 6:12 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 93¢ = $8.37, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.42 · To win $0.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  70. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp91%Correct+$0.59+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$7.360.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.59 (+8%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 6:27 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 92¢ = $7.36, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $7.41 · To win $0.59 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp85%Correct+$1.31+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.31 (+15%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 85%, very high confidence, 6:42 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 86¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.69 · To win $1.31 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  72. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  73. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp88%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 7:12 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  74. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp83%Missed−$9.24−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$9.130.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.24 (−101%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 83%, very high confidence, 7:27 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.24 · To win $1.76 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp1%Missed−$9.74−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.74 (−107%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 1%, low confidence, 7:38 PM PT
    Bought
    228 × 4¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.74 · To win $218.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  76. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown75%Missed−$9.31−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$9.010.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.31 (−103%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 7:57 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 53¢ = $9.01, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.31 · To win $7.69 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown91%Correct+$0.42+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.42 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 8:12 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 95¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.58 · To win $0.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp61%Missed−$8.92−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.92 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 61%, medium confidence, 8:27 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 54¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.92 · To win $7.08 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  79. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown19%Missed−$9.30−106%12¢ to 0¢settled$8.760.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.30 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 19%, low confidence, 8:34 PM PT
    Bought
    73 × 12¢ = $8.76, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.30 · To win $63.70 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown73%Correct+$1.22+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$8.700.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.22 (+14%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 73%, medium confidence, 8:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 87¢ = $8.70, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.78 · To win $1.22 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  81. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp10%Missed−$9.29−106%9¢ to 0¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.29 (−106%)after $0.56 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 10%, low confidence, 9:04 PM PT
    Bought
    97 × 9¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.29 · To win $87.71 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  82. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown80%Correct+$3.77+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$8.040.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.77 (+47%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 80%, high confidence, 9:27 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 67¢ = $8.04, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.23 · To win $3.77 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  83. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown100%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 100%, very high confidence, 9:42 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.75 · To win $0.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  84. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown55%Correct+$3.54+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$8.280.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.54 (+43%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 9:57 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 69¢ = $8.28, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.46 · To win $3.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  85. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown100%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 100%, very high confidence, 10:12 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.75 · To win $0.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  86. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  87. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp86%Correct+$1.69+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$8.200.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.69 (+21%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 10:42 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 82¢ = $8.20, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.31 · To win $1.69 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  88. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp53%Missed−$8.51−103%55¢ to 0¢settled$8.250.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.51 (−103%)after $0.26 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 53%, medium confidence, 10:57 PM PT
    Bought
    15 × 55¢ = $8.25, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.51 · To win $6.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  89. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp50%Missed−$9.09−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.09 (−106%)after $0.49 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 50%, medium confidence, 11:12 PM PT
    Bought
    43 × 20¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.09 · To win $33.91 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  90. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp1%Missed−$9.18−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.18 (−107%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 1%, low confidence, 11:22 PM PT
    Bought
    172 × 5¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.18 · To win $162.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  91. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  92. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Nov 3, 2026

This file holds all of USD/JPY’s trading for Nov 2, 2026.

  • 92Windows
  • 92Calls
  • 75Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

f415d9964996d257827276cdb7a54add9d6aeab167cf699120fc91bd463a9312

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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November 2 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/JPY make money on November 2, 2026?
No. USD/JPY lost $147.68 on a $1,000 bankroll: 59 of 92 calls right, 42 tickets won and 33 lost. The best session was After the close (+$25.43) and the worst was China open (−$76.61).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/JPY contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/JPY finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/JPY’s record since launch is −$633.58. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

USD/JPY places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.