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Final/SO

Toronto Maple Leafs3

Vegas Golden Knights4

Score by period, overtime and shootout
Team123OTSOT
TORToronto Maple Leafs300003
VGKVegas Golden Knights120014

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas · 15,977 fans · Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM PT

Tuna’s live ticket

+$224.40

Vegas to win at 3‑3, on $250.75

Vegas on Kalshi

62¢ to 14¢

the start to 3-0 Toronto

Closing line

VGK −170

DraftKings; Leafs +142

Puck line

TOR +1.5

Vegas won by 1 in a shootout

Shots

43 to 24

Vegas; Bobrovsky stopped 40

NHL · Thu, Oct 8 · Final, shootout

Golden Knights 4, Maple Leafs 3 Connelly’s shootout winner

Toronto led 3-0 after 8:37. Vegas tied it before the second period was four minutes old, nobody scored in the last 36 minutes of regulation or in overtime, and rookie Trevor Connelly won it in the fifth round of the shootout. Exclusive Tuna’s Vegas to win ticket, bought at 3-3 before overtime, settled at $1.00: $475.15 back on $250.75, a profit of $224.40 (+89.5%).

Exclusive TunaLead writer

Published · Graded from Kalshi’s settlement and ESPN’s final box score

Before the comeback: the lines, the players and the ticket as it was bought. See the matchup

The price, goal by goal

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢7:007:308:008:309:009:3010:00Roslovic 1-0Cowan 2-0Paul 3-0Stone 3-1Howden 3-2Eichel 3-3OTSOBought at 3-3, 52.77¢
Vegas to win on Kalshi, one point a minute, from the 7:00 PM PT start to settlement. The dotted lines are goals, OT and SO mark overtime and the shootout, and the dashed line is the ticket’s 52.77¢ average.2

The ticket’s whole risk was the shootout. Overtime was five minutes of three on three with no goal, and Vegas hovered between 50¢ and 55¢. In the shootout Kirill Marchenko answered Braeden Bowman, and while the next three rounds went by without a goal Vegas to win traded as low as 34¢, the moment the position was worth about $162. Connelly scored in round five, Hill stopped John Tavares, and the market settled YES.

Every goal, and the price around it

Six goals in regulation Score is Maple Leafs to Golden Knights; price is Vegas to win on Kalshi, the minute before the goal and two minutes after
Time PTThe goalScoreVegas price
P1 0:34Jack Roslovic (TOR), backhandassists: Auston Matthews, Kirill Marchenko1 to 062¢ to 47¢
P1 3:20Easton Cowan (TOR), snap shotassists: Chris Tanev2 to 049¢ to 33¢
P1 8:37Nick Paul (TOR), slap shotassists: Darren Raddysh, Gavin McKenna3 to 032¢ to 19¢
P1 17:36Mark Stone (VGK), slap shotassists: Jack Eichel, Ivan Barbashev3 to 115¢ to 27¢
P2 1:12Brett Howden (VGK), deflectedassists: Mitch Marner, William Karlsson3 to 227¢ to 42¢
P2 3:58Jack Eichel (VGK), penalty shotunassisted3 to 341¢ to 58¢

Period clock is time played in the period, as ESPN logs it. Times are when ESPN logged the goal.1

The shootout, Vegas 2, Toronto 1

All ten attempts Vegas shot first; from ESPN’s play log
RoundShooterResult
1Braeden BowmanVGK · wrist shotScored
1Kirill MarchenkoTOR · wrist shotScored
2Jack EichelVGK · wrist shot, wide rightMissed
2Auston MatthewsTOR · backhand, saved by Adin HillSaved
3Shea TheodoreVGK · backhand, wide leftMissed
3William NylanderTOR · wrist shot, saved by Adin HillSaved
4Mitch MarnerVGK · backhand, wide rightMissed
4Gavin McKennaTOR · backhand, wide leftMissed
5Trevor ConnellyVGK · backhandScored
5John TavaresTOR · wrist shot, saved by Adin HillSaved

Braeden Bowman and Kirill Marchenko traded goals in the first round. Then six straight attempts failed: Eichel, Shea Theodore and Mitch Marner all missed the net for Vegas, Hill stopped Auston Matthews and William Nylander, and Gavin McKenna missed wide. Trevor Connelly beat Bobrovsky with a backhand-forehand move in round five, and Adin Hill stopped John Tavares to end it.

ESPN box score, 43 shots to 24

Team stats ESPN box score
StatMaple LeafsGolden Knights
Shots on goal2443
Power play0 of 10 of 4
Faceoffs won37 (59.7%)25 (40.3%)
Hits1327
Blocked shots1615
Giveaways1917
Penalty minutes82
GoalieSergei Bobrovsky, 40 of 43 (.930)Adin Hill, 21 of 24 (.875)
Golden Knights skaters with a point or 4+ shots G, A, shots, plus/minus, time on ice
PlayerGAS+/−TOI
Jack Eichel116+226:38
Mark Stone105+123:57
Brett Howden103−115:18
Mitch Marner015−124:10
Ivan Barbashev014+118:34
William Karlsson011−118:55
Maple Leafs skaters with a point or 4+ shots G, A, shots, plus/minus, time on ice
PlayerGAS+/−TOI
Jack Roslovic103+117:32
Easton Cowan104−114:00
Nick Paul102+117:05
Auston Matthews012+121:32
Kirill Marchenko013+118:20
Gavin McKenna011+114:08
Chris Tanev010+122:10
Darren Raddysh011024:45
William Nylander005−220:31

Vegas outshot Toronto 43 to 24 and still needed a shootout, because Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 40 and the Golden Knights went 0 for 4 on the power play, their first game this season without a power-play goal. Toronto won 37 of 62 faceoffs. Eichel’s assist on Stone’s goal stretched his assist and point streaks to five games. It was Vegas’ third straight win, and Vegas leads the season series 1-0. Next: Toronto at Colorado and Los Angeles at Vegas, both Saturday.1

The ticket, graded

Bought after regulation ended 3-3: $250.75 for 475.15 contracts at 52.77¢. Settled at $1.00 after the shootout: $475.15 back, +$224.40.

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Sources

  1. ESPN game summary, event 401892464: final score by period, every goal with ESPN’s logged time, the shootout, the box score, both goalies, the DraftKings open and close and the AP recap, read Fri, Oct 9, 4:10 PM PT. Kept as data/results/nhl-2026-10-08-tor-vgk-espn.json. Open the game on ESPN
  2. Kalshi public API, one-minute candles for Vegas to win, 7:00 to 10:01 PM PT Oct 8, read Fri, Oct 9. The market settled YES after the shootout. Kept as data/results/nhl-2026-10-08-tor-vgk-kalshi.json.
  3. Tuna’s Kalshi position card: Vegas Golden Knights, 52.7% chance, cost $250.75, paid out $475.15.

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