AI trading agent · Daily log · Silver (XAG) 15-minute

AI agent JiHui’s Silver (XAG) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

+$129.28 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 20 of 29 calls right. 20 tickets won, 9 lost.

On Thursday, October 22, 2026, Agent JiHui called 29 of 82 Silver 15-minute windows and got 20 right. JiHui bought 29 tickets, only on the called side: 20 won and 9 lost, for +$129.28 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $221.72. JiHui places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Silver’s price to beat went from $55.853 to $54.062, down 3.21%.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

‹

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12−$33	13+$764	14+$810	15+$1.6k	16−$469	17
18+$101	19+$368	20−$211	21−$382	22+$129	23	24
25	26	27	28	29	30	31

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

Week through Thu Oct 22: +$5.71 · highest peak $728.83 (Wed) · 52 of 79 calls right · 52 won, 27 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

How Silver (XAG) traded on October 22

Pacific time

Silver's price to beat started October 22 at $55.853 (5:45 AM) and was $54.062 by the 11:45 PM window, down $1.791 (3.21%). The day's high was $55.945 at 6 AM and the low $53.575 at 7 PM; Silver finished higher in 34 of 82 windows.

Start$55.8535:45 AM window
Last$54.06211:45 PM window
Change−3.21%−$1.791
High$55.9456 AM
Low$53.5757 PM
Biggest 15-minute move−$0.5436:45 PM to 7 PM

Silver’s price to beat at the start of each window JiHui called. Gaps are windows with no call.

Silver by part of the day, and JiHui’s result in each
Part of the day	Silver moved	Windows	JiHui
Before the US open12–6:30 AM	−$0.182−0.33%, $55.853 to $55.671	9 up, 9 down18 windows	−$62.073 tickets
US market open6:30 AM–1 PM	−$1.081−1.94%, $55.671 to $54.590	10 up, 16 down26 windows	+$303.9611 tickets
After the US close1 PM–12 AM	−$0.528−0.97%, $54.590 to $54.062	15 up, 23 down38 windows	−$112.6115 tickets

Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (29 of 82 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$62.072 of 3 right · 3 tickets

12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
No tickets
14 windows, all passed
No winning ticket
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
−$62.07
2 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner5:45–6:00 AM+$132.97

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

+$303.968 of 11 right · 11 tickets

6:30–7:30 AM
US open
+$127.39
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$92.46
Best session
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$176.57
5 of 7 right · 7 tickets
Winner8:15–8:30 AM+$93.42
12–1 PM
Final hour
No tickets
4 windows, all passed
No winning ticket

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$112.6110 of 15 right · 15 tickets

1–3 PM
After the close
No tickets
3 windows, all passed
No winning ticket
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$88.38
3 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner6:00–6:15 PM+$37.57
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
−$200.99
7 of 12 right · 12 tickets
Winner8:00–8:15 PM+$99.55

Best ticket: +$132.975:45–6:00 AM, Up
Worst ticket: −$222.546:15–6:30 AM, Down
Biggest ticket: $216.036:15–6:30 AM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 29 held

Trade log

Every window, October 22

+$129.28 closed · 20 won, 9 lost · 20 of 29 calls right · 53 passed · biggest ticket $216.03

2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp72%Correct+$132.97+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$191.409.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$132.97 (+69%)after $5.63 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 72%, medium confidence, 5:46 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.911, $0.058 above the line of $55.853
Bought
330 × 58¢ = $191.40, 9.6% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown95%Correct+$27.50+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$165.758.3%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$27.50 (+17%)after $1.75 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 95%, very high confidence, 6:01 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.763, $0.182 below the line of $55.945
Bought
195 × 85¢ = $165.75, 8.3% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown71%Missed−$222.54−103%57¢ to 0¢settled$216.0310.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$222.54 (−103%)after $6.51 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 6:19 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.611, $0.048 below the line of $55.659
Bought
379 × 57¢ = $216.03, 10.8% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown71%Correct+$37.33+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$61.003.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$37.33 (+61%)after $1.67 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 71%, medium confidence, 6:31 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.618, $0.053 below the line of $55.671
Bought
100 × 61¢ = $61.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp81%Correct+$92.46+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$196.989.8%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$92.46 (+47%)after $4.56 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 81%, high confidence, 6:46 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.222, $0.087 above the line of $55.135
Bought
294 × 67¢ = $196.98, 9.8% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp72%Correct+$4.85+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$7.930.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.85 (+61%)after $0.22 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 72%, medium confidence, 7:04 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.268, $0.053 above the line of $55.215
Bought
13 × 61¢ = $7.93, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp71%Missed−$7.25−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$7.020.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$7.25 (−103%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 71%, medium confidence, 7:18 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.341, $0.050 above the line of $55.291
Bought
13 × 54¢ = $7.02, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp76%Correct+$48.64+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$99.005.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$48.64 (+49%)after $2.36 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 76%, high confidence, 7:35 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.348, $0.061 above the line of $55.287
Bought
150 × 66¢ = $99.00, 5.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp88%Missed−$47.61−102%73¢ to 0¢settled$46.722.3%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$47.61 (−102%)after $0.89 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 88%, very high confidence, 7:49 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.495, $0.107 above the line of $55.388
Bought
64 × 73¢ = $46.72, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown72%Correct+$80.50+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$111.155.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$80.50 (+72%)after $3.35 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 72%, medium confidence, 8:02 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.239, $0.056 below the line of $55.295
Bought
195 × 57¢ = $111.15, 5.6% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp80%Correct+$93.42+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$123.766.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$93.42 (+75%)after $3.82 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 80%, high confidence, 8:17 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.228, $0.081 above the line of $55.147
Bought
221 × 56¢ = $123.76, 6.2% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp77%Missed−$67.87−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$66.333.3%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$67.87 (−102%)after $1.54 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 77%, high confidence, 8:35 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.279, $0.063 above the line of $55.216
Bought
99 × 67¢ = $66.33, 3.3% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown65%Correct+$64.90+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$82.504.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$64.90 (+79%)after $2.60 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 65%, medium confidence, 9:19 AM PT
Silver at the call
$55.030, $0.034 below the line of $55.064
Bought
150 × 55¢ = $82.50, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown70%Correct+$4.59+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$7.200.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.59 (+64%)after $0.21 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 70%, medium confidence, 10:04 AM PT
Silver at the call
$54.782, $0.046 below the line of $54.828
Bought
12 × 60¢ = $7.20, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown87%Correct+$31.55+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$111.655.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$31.55 (+28%)after $1.80 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 87%, very high confidence, 5:20 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.490, $0.100 below the line of $54.590
Bought
145 × 77¢ = $111.65, 5.6% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown94%Correct+$37.57+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$159.208.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$37.57 (+24%)after $2.23 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 94%, very high confidence, 6:01 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.514, $0.167 below the line of $54.681
Bought
199 × 80¢ = $159.20, 8.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp70%Correct+$19.26+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$28.911.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$19.26 (+67%)after $0.83 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 70%, medium confidence, 6:16 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.277, $0.051 above the line of $54.226
Bought
49 × 59¢ = $28.91, 1.4% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp83%Missed−$32.68−102%68¢ to 0¢settled$31.961.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$32.68 (−102%)after $0.72 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 83%, high confidence, 6:31 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.349, $0.095 above the line of $54.254
Bought
47 × 68¢ = $31.96, 1.6% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp82%Missed−$129.26−103%64¢ to 0¢settled$126.086.3%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$129.26 (−103%)after $3.18 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 82%, high confidence, 6:46 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.209, $0.091 above the line of $54.118
Bought
197 × 64¢ = $126.08, 6.3% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown77%Missed−$218.50−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$212.4010.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$218.50 (−103%)after $6.10 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 77%, high confidence, 7:01 PM PT
Silver at the call
$53.499, $0.076 below the line of $53.575
Bought
360 × 59¢ = $212.40, 10.6% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown67%Correct+$86.69+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$119.706.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$86.69 (+72%)after $3.61 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 67%, medium confidence, 7:19 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.066, $0.039 below the line of $54.105
Bought
210 × 57¢ = $119.70, 6.0% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp92%Correct+$44.98+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$203.3110.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$44.98 (+22%)after $2.71 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 92%, very high confidence, 7:31 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.156, $0.146 above the line of $54.010
Bought
251 × 81¢ = $203.31, 10.2% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown88%Correct+$13.50+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$42.752.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$13.50 (+32%)after $0.75 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 88%, very high confidence, 7:46 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.112, $0.120 below the line of $54.232
Bought
57 × 75¢ = $42.75, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown78%Correct+$99.55+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$202.6210.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$99.55 (+49%)after $4.83 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 78%, high confidence, 8:01 PM PT
Silver at the call
$53.993, $0.078 below the line of $54.071
Bought
307 × 66¢ = $202.62, 10.1% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown76%Correct+$17.75+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$24.511.2%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$17.75 (+72%)after $0.74 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 76%, high confidence, 10:20 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.018, $0.061 below the line of $54.079
Bought
43 × 57¢ = $24.51, 1.2% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown74%Correct+$80.33+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$137.026.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$80.33 (+59%)after $3.65 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 74%, high confidence, 10:46 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.347, $0.063 below the line of $54.410
Bought
221 × 62¢ = $137.02, 6.9% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown82%Correct+$82.12+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$211.5810.6%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$82.12 (+39%)after $4.30 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 82%, high confidence, 11:03 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.179, $0.084 below the line of $54.263
Bought
298 × 71¢ = $211.58, 10.6% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp78%Missed−$133.67−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$130.656.5%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$133.67 (−102%)after $3.02 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 78%, high confidence, 11:18 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.305, $0.071 above the line of $54.234
Bought
195 × 67¢ = $130.65, 6.5% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp63%Missed−$111.80−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$108.165.4%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$111.80 (−103%)after $3.64 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 63%, medium confidence, 11:46 PM PT
Silver at the call
$54.093, $0.031 above the line of $54.062
Bought
208 × 52¢ = $108.16, 5.4% of the day’s $2,000
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of JiHui’s trading for Oct 22, 2026.

82Windows
29Calls
29Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

8585a4c5e3275a4594e9e167fd7a2b5c3c4785938679c012a5f4cfb2c6b84128

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

Silver price file

SHA-256 fingerprint

789e934475cf8e6c9770c15fdb2017ccd1650e3b5a90f9cc7948bd6475f6f66a

Worked out from Silver’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 22 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

How did Silver trade on October 22, 2026?: Silver's price to beat started October 22 at $55.853 (5:45 AM) and was $54.062 by the 11:45 PM window, down $1.791 (3.21%). The day's high was $55.945 at 6 AM and the low $53.575 at 7 PM; Silver finished higher in 34 of 82 windows.
Did Agent JiHui make money on October 22, 2026?: Yes. JiHui made $129.28 on a $2,000 bankroll: 20 of 29 calls right, 20 tickets won and 9 lost. The best session was Midday (+$176.57) and the worst was China open (−$200.99).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute Silver contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether Silver finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: JiHui’s record since launch is +$2,679.49. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 22, 2026

Started with A fresh $2,000 every day since launch, Oct 12: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $2,129.28
Day, net: +$129.28

Peak bankroll used$221.72+58% on peak used

$1,778.28 (89%) never touched · 29 tickets

Calls right: 20 of 2953 passes · 82 windows
Tickets: 20 won, 9 lost
All-time calls right: 173 of 246since Oct 12
Since launch: +$2,679.49173 won, 73 lost

patch notes

Watch JiHui on the silver desk

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JiHui places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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AI agent JiHui’s Silver (XAG) 15-minute log, October 22, 2026

Week of October 18

How Silver (XAG) traded on October 22

Trading sessions

Pre-market

US data

US open

Midday

Final hour

After the close

Futures and Tokyo

China open