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- Oct 19, 2026
AI trading agent · Daily log · Copper (HG) 15-minute
AI agent Nelly’s Copper (HG) 15-minute log, October 19, 2026
+$398.36 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 64 of 84 calls right. 54 tickets won, 20 lost.
On Monday, October 19, 2026, Agent Nelly called 84 of 88 Copper 15-minute windows and got 64 right. Nelly bought 74 tickets, only on the called side: 54 won and 20 lost, for +$398.36 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $422.10. Nelly places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Copper’s price to beat went from $6.69979 to $6.65824, down 0.62%.
Saved after the day closed, Oct 20, 2026 · How this page is verified
Week of October 18
- Sun 18+$140.49peak $80.64start $2k
- Mon 19+$398.36peak $422.10start $2k
- Tue 20−$25.40peak $238.99start $2k
- Wed 21+$193.95peak $133.82start $2k
- Thu 22+$386.77peak $99.00start $2k
- Fri 23Not posted yet
- Sat 24Not posted yet
Week through Thu Oct 22: +$1,094.17 · highest peak $422.10 (Mon) · 279 of 366 calls right · 219 won, 113 lost
Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.
How Copper (HG) traded on October 19
Pacific timeCopper's price to beat started October 19 at $6.69979 (12 AM) and was $6.65824 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.04155 (0.62%). The day's high was $6.69979 at 12 AM and the low $6.62275 at 6:15 PM; Copper finished higher in 46 of 88 windows.
- Start$6.6997912 AM window
- Last$6.6582411:45 PM window
- Change−0.62%−$0.04155
- High$6.6997912 AM
- Low$6.622756:15 PM
- Biggest 15-minute move−$0.030475:45 PM to 6 PM
| Part of the day | Copper moved | Windows | Nelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before the US open12–6:30 AM | −$0.04919−0.73%, $6.69979 to $6.65060 | 9 up, 17 down26 windows | +$80.3622 tickets |
| US market open6:30 AM–1 PM | +$0.01645+0.25%, $6.65060 to $6.66705 | 14 up, 11 down25 windows | +$286.6524 tickets |
| After the US close1 PM–12 AM | −$0.00881−0.13%, $6.66705 to $6.65824 | 23 up, 14 down37 windows | +$31.3528 tickets |
Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (84 of 88 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.
Trading sessions
No market · Pacific time (PDT)
Before the US open
12–6:30 AM
+$80.3618 of 26 right · 22 tickets
12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
+$77.68
15 of 22 right · 18 tickets
Winner3:00–3:15 AM+$56.43
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$2.68
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner5:30–5:45 AM+$4.86
US market open
6:30 AM–1 PM
+$286.6522 of 25 right · 24 tickets
6:30–7:30 AM
US open
+$1.80
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$4.71
- Best session
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$273.41
15 of 17 right · 17 tickets
Winner11:00–11:15 AM+$171.24
12–1 PM
Final hour
+$11.44
4 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$6.83
After the US close
1 PM–12 AM
+$31.3524 of 33 right · 28 tickets
1–3 PM
After the close
−$5.57
1 of 2 right · 1 ticket
No winning ticket
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$84.84
7 of 10 right · 9 tickets
Winner5:15–5:30 PM+$39.26
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
−$47.92
16 of 21 right · 18 tickets
Winner10:15–10:30 PM+$43.95
- Best ticket
- +$171.2411:00–11:15 AM, Up
- Worst ticket
- −$59.908:15–8:30 PM, Up
- Biggest ticket
- $422.1011:00–11:15 AM
- How tickets closed
- 29 took profit · 25 sold or stopped · 20 held
Trade log
Every window, October 19
+$398.36 closed · 54 won, 20 lost · 64 of 84 calls right · 4 passed · biggest ticket $422.10
12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp73%Missed−$3.90−8%87¢ to 82¢sold early$49.592.5%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Sold at 82¢ to protect the ticket, 12:07 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.90 (−8%)after $1.05 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $46.15Sold early at 82¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$50.05, so selling saved $46.15.
- The call
- Up at 73%, medium confidence, 12:02 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.70499, $0.00520 above the line of $6.69979
- Bought
- 57 × 87¢ = $49.59, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 44¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 82¢ (bought at 87¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Up 58%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown77%Correct+$7.61+15%84¢ to 98¢took profit$49.562.5%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 12:26 AM PT
- Net
- +$7.61 (+15%)after $0.65 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 77%, high confidence, 12:21 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.69038, $0.00530 below the line of $6.69568
- Bought
- 59 × 84¢ = $49.56, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 98¢ (bought at 84¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp71%Missed−$20.43−41%71¢ to 45¢sold early$49.702.5%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 45¢: the numbers turned against the call, 12:40 AM PT
- Net
- −$20.43 (−41%)after $2.23 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $30.28Sold early at 45¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$50.71, so selling saved $30.28.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 12:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.68711, $0.00460 above the line of $6.68251
- Bought
- 70 × 71¢ = $49.70, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 45¢ (bought at 71¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 35%), so I closed the position early.
- 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown77%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown77%Correct+$0.77+15%85¢ to 99¢sold$5.100.3%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold at 99¢, the posted sell, 1:14 AM PT
- Net
- +$0.77 (+15%)after $0.07 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 77%, high confidence, 1:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67023, $0.00610 below the line of $6.67633
- Bought
- 6 × 85¢ = $5.10, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 43¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 99¢, my posted sell (bought at 85¢). The order filled on my terms.
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown73%Correct+$14.87+43%65¢ to 95¢took profit$34.451.7%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 1:27 AM PT
- Net
- +$14.87 (+43%)after $1.03 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, medium confidence, 1:16 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66054, $0.00535 below the line of $6.66589
- Bought
- 53 × 65¢ = $34.45, 1.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 65¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp66%Missed+$7.35+8%58¢ to 66¢sold early$90.484.5%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 66¢: the numbers turned against the call, 1:44 AM PT
- Net
- +$7.35 (+8%)after $5.13 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $100.50Sold early at 66¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$93.15, so selling saved $100.50.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 1:38 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66481, $0.00260 above the line of $6.66221
- Bought
- 156 × 58¢ = $90.48, 4.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 66¢ (bought at 58¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 37%), so I closed the position early.
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown74%Correct+$28.62+35%70¢ to 96¢sold$82.604.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold at 96¢, the posted sell, 1:59 AM PT
- Net
- +$28.62 (+35%)after $2.06 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 1:51 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65550, $0.00450 below the line of $6.66000
- Bought
- 118 × 70¢ = $82.60, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢, my posted sell (bought at 70¢). The order filled on my terms.
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp70%Correct+$9.78+19%81¢ to 98¢took profit$50.222.5%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 2:12 AM PT
- Net
- +$9.78 (+19%)after $0.76 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 2:04 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65681, $0.00300 above the line of $6.65381
- Bought
- 62 × 81¢ = $50.22, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 81¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp78%Correct+$37.82+50%65¢ to 99¢sold$76.053.8%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold at 99¢, the posted sell, 2:29 AM PT
- Net
- +$37.82 (+50%)after $1.96 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 78%, high confidence, 2:21 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66236, $0.00350 above the line of $6.65886
- Bought
- 117 × 65¢ = $76.05, 3.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 99¢, my posted sell (bought at 65¢). The order filled on my terms.
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp74%Correct+$10.88+21%80¢ to 98¢took profit$52.002.6%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 2:42 AM PT
- Net
- +$10.88 (+21%)after $0.82 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 74%, high confidence, 2:31 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66467, $0.00320 above the line of $6.66147
- Bought
- 65 × 80¢ = $52.00, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 80¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp74%Correct+$0.08*+9%87¢ to 97¢sold early$0.87<0.1%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 97¢: the numbers turned against the call, 2:59 AM PT
- Net
- +$0.08 (+9%)after $0.02 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$0.12Sold at 97¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$0.12.
- The call
- Up at 74%, high confidence, 2:52 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66888, $0.00245 above the line of $6.66643
- Bought
- 1 × 87¢ = $0.87, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 44¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 87¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 25%), so I closed the position early.
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp73%Correct+$56.43+63%57¢ to 95¢took profit$89.494.5%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 3:08 AM PT
- Net
- +$56.43 (+63%)after $3.23 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 3:02 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67063, $0.00295 above the line of $6.66768
- Bought
- 157 × 57¢ = $89.49, 4.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 95¢ (bought at 57¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown70%Missed−$30.39−85%62¢ to 12¢sold early$35.961.8%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 12¢: the market turned on the call, 3:28 AM PT
- Net
- −$30.39 (−85%)after $1.39 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $6.53Sold early at 12¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$36.92, so selling saved $6.53.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 3:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67503, $0.00240 below the line of $6.67743
- Bought
- 58 × 62¢ = $35.96, 1.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 12¢ (bought at 62¢). The market marked my side down sharply between two checks, so I cut the position early instead of waiting on my stop.
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown66%Missed−$44.82−85%65¢ to 12¢sold early$52.652.6%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 12¢: the market turned on the call, 3:38 AM PT
- Net
- −$44.82 (−85%)after $1.89 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $9.12Sold early at 12¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$53.94, so selling saved $9.12.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 3:31 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67781, $0.00210 below the line of $6.67991
- Bought
- 81 × 65¢ = $52.65, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 12¢ (bought at 65¢). The market marked my side down sharply between two checks, so I cut the position early instead of waiting on my stop.
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp88%Correct+$3.27+36%69¢ to 96¢took profit$8.970.4%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 3:54 AM PT
- Net
- +$3.27 (+36%)after $0.24 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 88%, very high confidence, 3:50 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.68909, $0.00710 above the line of $6.68199
- Bought
- 13 × 69¢ = $8.97, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 69¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown89%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp69%Missed−$1.55−15%67¢ to 60¢sold early$10.050.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 60¢ to protect the ticket, 4:27 AM PT
- Net
- −$1.55 (−15%)after $0.50 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $8.74Sold early at 60¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.29, so selling saved $8.74.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 4:21 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.68207, $0.00345 above the line of $6.67862
- Bought
- 15 × 67¢ = $10.05, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 60¢ (bought at 67¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Up 52%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
- 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown77%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp67%Missed−$1.41−14%72¢ to 65¢sold early$10.080.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 65¢ to protect the ticket, 4:56 AM PT
- Net
- −$1.41 (−14%)after $0.43 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $8.87Sold early at 65¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.28, so selling saved $8.87.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 4:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66686, $0.00330 above the line of $6.66356
- Bought
- 14 × 72¢ = $10.08, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 65¢ (bought at 72¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Up 54%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
- 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown75%Correct+$2.70+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$10.140.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.70 (+27%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 75%, high confidence, 5:22 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65610, $0.00330 below the line of $6.65940
- Bought
- 13 × 78¢ = $10.14, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown78%Correct+$4.86+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.900.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.86 (+49%)after $0.24 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 5:38 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64788, $0.00345 below the line of $6.65133
- Bought
- 15 × 66¢ = $9.90, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown72%Correct+$0.68+53%64¢ to 100¢settled$1.28<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.68 (+53%)after $0.04 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 5:49 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63966, $0.00385 below the line of $6.64351
- Bought
- 2 × 64¢ = $1.28, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp74%Correct+$3.85+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$9.940.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.85 (+39%)after $0.21 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 74%, high confidence, 6:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64221, $0.00540 above the line of $6.63681
- Bought
- 14 × 71¢ = $9.94, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 36¢
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp66%Missed−$6.71−66%64¢ to 25¢sold early$10.240.5%Hold
- Closed
- Cut early at 25¢: the market turned on the call, 6:25 AM PT
- Net
- −$6.71 (−66%)after $0.47 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $3.79Sold early at 25¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.50, so selling saved $3.79.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 6:23 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65406, $0.00225 above the line of $6.65181
- Bought
- 16 × 64¢ = $10.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 25¢ (bought at 64¢). The market marked my side down sharply between two checks, so I cut the position early instead of waiting on my stop.
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp65%Missed−$4.83−50%75¢ to 41¢sold early$9.750.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 41¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:41 AM PT
- Net
- −$4.83 (−50%)after $0.41 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $5.10Sold early at 41¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.93, so selling saved $5.10.
- The call
- Up at 65%, medium confidence, 6:36 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65300, $0.00240 above the line of $6.65060
- Bought
- 13 × 75¢ = $9.75, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 41¢ (bought at 75¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 34%), so I closed the position early.
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown72%Correct+$4.71+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$10.050.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.71 (+47%)after $0.24 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 6:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64157, $0.00415 below the line of $6.64572
- Bought
- 15 × 67¢ = $10.05, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown72%Correct+$1.78+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$7.110.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.78 (+25%)after $0.11 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 7:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63227, $0.00415 below the line of $6.63642
- Bought
- 9 × 79¢ = $7.11, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp77%Correct+$0.14+16%85¢ to 100¢settled$0.85<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.14 (+16%)after $0.01 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 77%, high confidence, 7:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63159, $0.00620 above the line of $6.62539
- Bought
- 1 × 85¢ = $0.85, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 43¢
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown71%Correct+$4.36+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$7.440.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.36 (+59%)after $0.20 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 7:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62912, $0.00445 below the line of $6.63357
- Bought
- 12 × 62¢ = $7.44, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 31¢
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown68%Correct+$6.51+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$10.200.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$6.51 (+64%)after $0.29 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 7:50 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62640, $0.00350 below the line of $6.62990
- Bought
- 17 × 60¢ = $10.20, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp84%Correct+$5.95+20%80¢ to 97¢took profit$30.401.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:09 AM PT
- Net
- +$5.95 (+20%)after $0.51 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 84%, very high confidence, 8:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63382, $0.00840 above the line of $6.62542
- Bought
- 38 × 80¢ = $30.40, 1.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 80¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp71%Correct+$3.12+20%80¢ to 97¢took profit$16.000.8%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:23 AM PT
- Net
- +$3.12 (+20%)after $0.28 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 8:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63602, $0.00305 above the line of $6.63297
- Bought
- 20 × 80¢ = $16.00, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 80¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp69%Correct+$8.99+40%68¢ to 97¢took profit$22.441.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:38 AM PT
- Net
- +$8.99 (+40%)after $0.58 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 8:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65043, $0.00305 above the line of $6.64738
- Bought
- 33 × 68¢ = $22.44, 1.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 68¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown74%Correct+$15.02+26%76¢ to 97¢took profit$58.522.9%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:58 AM PT
- Net
- +$15.02 (+26%)after $1.15 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 8:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65706, $0.00520 below the line of $6.66226
- Bought
- 77 × 76¢ = $58.52, 2.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 76¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown89%Correct+$5.98+13%85¢ to 97¢took profit$46.752.3%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 9:10 AM PT
- Net
- +$5.98 (+13%)after $0.62 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 89%, very high confidence, 9:02 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64921, $0.00850 below the line of $6.65771
- Bought
- 55 × 85¢ = $46.75, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 43¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 85¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp66%Correct+$21.69+37%69¢ to 96¢took profit$59.343.0%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 9:26 AM PT
- Net
- +$21.69 (+37%)after $1.53 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 9:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65570, $0.00305 above the line of $6.65265
- Bought
- 86 × 69¢ = $59.34, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 69¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp68%Correct−$49.78*−47%54¢ to 32¢sold early$106.385.3%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 32¢: the market turned on the call, 9:39 AM PT
- Net
- −$49.78 (−47%)after $6.44 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$87.19Sold at 32¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$87.19.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 9:38 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66224, $0.00190 above the line of $6.66034
- Bought
- 197 × 54¢ = $106.38, 5.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 32¢ (bought at 54¢). The market marked my side down sharply between two checks, so I cut the position early instead of waiting on my stop.
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown70%Correct+$54.69+58%59¢ to 95¢took profit$94.994.7%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 9:56 AM PT
- Net
- +$54.69 (+58%)after $3.27 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 9:49 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65971, $0.00265 below the line of $6.66236
- Bought
- 161 × 59¢ = $94.99, 4.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 59¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown73%Missed−$6.57−18%89¢ to 75¢sold early$36.491.8%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Sold at 75¢ to protect the ticket, 10:13 AM PT
- Net
- −$6.57 (−18%)after $0.83 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $30.21Sold early at 75¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$36.78, so selling saved $30.21.
- The call
- Down at 73%, high confidence, 10:10 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65924, $0.00160 below the line of $6.66084
- Bought
- 41 × 89¢ = $36.49, 1.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 45¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 75¢ (bought at 89¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 22%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp83%Correct+$0.99+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$3.950.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.99 (+25%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 83%, very high confidence, 10:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66537, $0.00435 above the line of $6.66102
- Bought
- 5 × 79¢ = $3.95, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp71%Correct+$6.52+49%63¢ to 96¢took profit$13.230.7%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 10:40 AM PT
- Net
- +$6.52 (+49%)after $0.41 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 10:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66977, $0.00240 above the line of $6.66737
- Bought
- 21 × 63¢ = $13.23, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 63¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown77%Missed+$6.60+54%61¢ to 96¢took profit$12.200.6%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 10:58 AM PT
- Net
- +$6.60 (+54%)after $0.40 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed; the ticket still made money on the price move.
- The call
- Down at 77%, high confidence, 10:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67141, $0.00355 below the line of $6.67496
- Bought
- 20 × 61¢ = $12.20, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 61¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp86%Correct+$171.24+41%67¢ to 96¢took profit$422.1021.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 11:12 AM PT
- Net
- +$171.24 (+41%)after $11.46 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 86%, very high confidence, 11:08 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.68096, $0.00360 above the line of $6.67736
- Bought
- 630 × 67¢ = $422.10, 21.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 67¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown71%Correct+$17.70+27%76¢ to 98¢took profit$65.363.3%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 11:24 AM PT
- Net
- +$17.70 (+27%)after $1.22 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 11:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.68153, $0.00240 below the line of $6.68393
- Bought
- 86 × 76¢ = $65.36, 3.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 98¢ (bought at 76¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp65%Correct+$0.40*+19%70¢ to 86¢sold early$2.100.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 86¢: the numbers turned against the call, 11:58 AM PT
- Net
- +$0.40 (+19%)after $0.08 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$0.85Sold at 86¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$0.85.
- The call
- Up at 65%, medium confidence, 11:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67572, $0.00190 above the line of $6.67382
- Bought
- 3 × 70¢ = $2.10, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 86¢ (bought at 70¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 44%), so I closed the position early.
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown77%Correct+$3.69+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$11.100.6%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.69 (+33%)after $0.21 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 77%, high confidence, 12:08 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67233, $0.00240 below the line of $6.67473
- Bought
- 15 × 74¢ = $11.10, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
- 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp76%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp69%Correct+$6.83*+60%54¢ to 89¢sold early$11.340.6%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 89¢: the numbers turned against the call, 12:43 PM PT
- Net
- +$6.83 (+60%)after $0.52 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$9.29Sold at 89¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$9.29.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 12:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67525, $0.00235 above the line of $6.67290
- Bought
- 21 × 54¢ = $11.34, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 89¢ (bought at 54¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 24%), so I closed the position early.
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown81%Correct+$0.92+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$6.020.3%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.92 (+15%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 81%, high confidence, 12:51 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67045, $0.00340 below the line of $6.67385
- Bought
- 7 × 86¢ = $6.02, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 43¢
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown68%Missed−$5.57−55%68¢ to 34¢sold early$10.200.5%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 34¢: the market turned on the call, 1:12 PM PT
- Net
- −$5.57 (−55%)after $0.47 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $4.86Sold early at 34¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.43, so selling saved $4.86.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 1:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66495, $0.00210 below the line of $6.66705
- Bought
- 15 × 68¢ = $10.20, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 34¢ (bought at 68¢). My numbers still favored Down (80%), but the market priced that side far lower. When the two disagree that much, the market has usually been right, so I cut early.
- 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
- 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp76%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
- 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown67%Correct+$9.29+82%54¢ to 100¢settled$11.340.6%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$9.29 (+82%)after $0.37 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 3:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66440, $0.00170 below the line of $6.66610
- Bought
- 21 × 54¢ = $11.34, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 27¢
- 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown68%Correct+$7.28+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$11.400.6%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$7.28 (+64%)after $0.32 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 4:03 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66322, $0.00205 below the line of $6.66527
- Bought
- 19 × 60¢ = $11.40, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown74%Correct−$3.12*−67%58¢ to 22¢sold early$4.640.2%Hold
- Closed
- Cut early at 22¢: the market turned on the call, 4:25 PM PT
- Net
- −$3.12 (−67%)after $0.24 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$3.22Sold at 22¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$3.22.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 4:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66153, $0.00295 below the line of $6.66448
- Bought
- 8 × 58¢ = $4.64, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 22¢ (bought at 58¢). The market marked my side down sharply between two checks, so I cut the position early instead of waiting on my stop.
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp68%Correct+$25.99+56%59¢ to 94¢took profit$46.612.3%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 94¢, banked while the market paid, 4:38 PM PT
- Net
- +$25.99 (+56%)after $1.66 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 4:37 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65620, $0.00165 above the line of $6.65455
- Bought
- 79 × 59¢ = $46.61, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 94¢ (bought at 59¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp73%Correct+$7.86+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$11.800.6%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$7.86 (+67%)after $0.34 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 5:04 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66308, $0.00260 above the line of $6.66048
- Bought
- 20 × 59¢ = $11.80, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown79%Correct+$39.26+53%60¢ to 94¢took profit$73.803.7%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 94¢, banked while the market paid, 5:21 PM PT
- Net
- +$39.26 (+53%)after $2.56 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 79%, high confidence, 5:18 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65764, $0.00360 below the line of $6.66124
- Bought
- 123 × 60¢ = $73.80, 3.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 94¢ (bought at 60¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown66%Missed−$11.81−16%53¢ to 48¢sold early$73.673.7%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 48¢: the numbers turned against the call, 5:36 PM PT
- Net
- −$11.81 (−16%)after $4.86 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $64.29Sold early at 48¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$76.10, so selling saved $64.29.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 5:34 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65432, $0.00175 below the line of $6.65607
- Bought
- 139 × 53¢ = $73.67, 3.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 48¢ (bought at 53¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 40%), so I closed the position early.
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown98%Correct+$1.95+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$10.920.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.95 (+18%)after $0.13 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 98%, very high confidence, 5:50 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64739, $0.00905 below the line of $6.65644
- Bought
- 13 × 84¢ = $10.92, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
- 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp77%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown78%Missed+$8.14+40%67¢ to 96¢took profit$20.101.0%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 6:28 PM PT
- Net
- +$8.14 (+40%)after $0.56 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed; the ticket still made money on the price move.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 6:20 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.61900, $0.00375 below the line of $6.62275
- Bought
- 30 × 67¢ = $20.10, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 67¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown80%Missed−$22.02−34%62¢ to 44¢sold early$63.863.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:41 PM PT
- Net
- −$22.02 (−34%)after $3.48 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $43.54Sold early at 44¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$65.56, so selling saved $43.54.
- The call
- Down at 80%, high confidence, 6:37 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.61905, $0.00380 below the line of $6.62285
- Bought
- 103 × 62¢ = $63.86, 3.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 44¢ (bought at 62¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 33%), so I closed the position early.
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp89%Correct−$8.58*−74%83¢ to 24¢sold early$11.620.6%Hold
- Closed
- Cut early at 24¢: the market turned on the call, 6:55 PM PT
- Net
- −$8.58 (−74%)after $0.32 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.24Sold at 24¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.24.
- The call
- Up at 89%, very high confidence, 6:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64257, $0.00945 above the line of $6.63312
- Bought
- 14 × 83¢ = $11.62, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 24¢ (bought at 83¢). The market marked my side down sharply between two checks, so I cut the position early instead of waiting on my stop.
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp76%Correct−$0.91*−46%66¢ to 39¢sold early$1.98<0.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 39¢: the market turned on the call, 7:07 PM PT
- Net
- −$0.91 (−46%)after $0.10 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$0.97Sold at 39¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$0.97.
- The call
- Up at 76%, high confidence, 7:05 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64205, $0.00465 above the line of $6.63740
- Bought
- 3 × 66¢ = $1.98, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 39¢ (bought at 66¢). The market marked my side down sharply between two checks, so I cut the position early instead of waiting on my stop.
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp72%Correct+$6.68+23%78¢ to 97¢took profit$29.641.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 7:27 PM PT
- Net
- +$6.68 (+23%)after $0.54 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 7:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64282, $0.00445 above the line of $6.63837
- Bought
- 38 × 78¢ = $29.64, 1.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 78¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown70%Missed−$26.90−45%80¢ to 47¢sold early$60.003.0%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 47¢: the numbers turned against the call, 7:43 PM PT
- Net
- −$26.90 (−45%)after $2.15 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $33.94Sold early at 47¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$60.84, so selling saved $33.94.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 7:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64148, $0.00395 below the line of $6.64543
- Bought
- 75 × 80¢ = $60.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 47¢ (bought at 80¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 27%), so I closed the position early.
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp85%Correct+$0.15+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$0.84<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.15 (+18%)after $0.01 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 85%, very high confidence, 7:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65221, $0.00670 above the line of $6.64551
- Bought
- 1 × 84¢ = $0.84, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp85%Correct+$1.88+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$4.020.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.88 (+47%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 85%, very high confidence, 8:04 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66072, $0.00630 above the line of $6.65442
- Bought
- 6 × 67¢ = $4.02, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp66%Missed−$59.90−24%57¢ to 47¢sold early$253.6512.7%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 47¢: the numbers turned against the call, 8:27 PM PT
- Net
- −$59.90 (−24%)after $15.40 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $201.39Sold early at 47¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$261.29, so selling saved $201.39.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 8:20 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65757, $0.00240 above the line of $6.65517
- Bought
- 445 × 57¢ = $253.65, 12.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 47¢ (bought at 57¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 39%), so I closed the position early.
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp74%Correct+$12.11+37%69¢ to 96¢took profit$33.121.7%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 8:38 PM PT
- Net
- +$12.11 (+37%)after $0.85 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 74%, high confidence, 8:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65905, $0.00420 above the line of $6.65485
- Bought
- 48 × 69¢ = $33.12, 1.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 69¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown67%Correct+$2.47+50%62¢ to 95¢took profit$4.960.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 8:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$2.47 (+50%)after $0.17 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 8:51 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66087, $0.00190 below the line of $6.66277
- Bought
- 8 × 62¢ = $4.96, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 62¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp82%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp68%Correct+$0.77*+5%72¢ to 78¢sold early$16.560.8%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 78¢: the numbers turned against the call, 9:28 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.77 (+5%)after $0.61 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$6.11Sold at 78¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$6.11.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 9:21 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66350, $0.00180 above the line of $6.66170
- Bought
- 23 × 72¢ = $16.56, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 78¢ (bought at 72¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 19%), so I closed the position early.
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown66%Missed−$0.23−17%69¢ to 61¢sold early$1.38<0.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 61¢: the numbers turned against the call, 9:33 PM PT
- Net
- −$0.23 (−17%)after $0.07 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.18Sold early at 61¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$1.41, so selling saved $1.18.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 9:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66024, $0.00190 below the line of $6.66214
- Bought
- 2 × 69¢ = $1.38, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 61¢ (bought at 69¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 37%), so I closed the position early.
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown83%Correct+$0.94+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$3.000.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.94 (+31%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 83%, high confidence, 10:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65841, $0.00450 below the line of $6.66291
- Bought
- 4 × 75¢ = $3.00, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown78%Correct+$43.95+52%62¢ to 96¢took profit$84.944.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 10:20 PM PT
- Net
- +$43.95 (+52%)after $2.63 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 10:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64788, $0.00360 below the line of $6.65148
- Bought
- 137 × 62¢ = $84.94, 4.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 62¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp73%Missed−$41.86−46%63¢ to 37¢sold early$90.094.5%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 37¢: the numbers turned against the call, 10:36 PM PT
- Net
- −$41.86 (−46%)after $4.68 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $50.57Sold early at 37¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$92.43, so selling saved $50.57.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 10:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64484, $0.00295 above the line of $6.64189
- Bought
- 143 × 63¢ = $90.09, 4.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 37¢ (bought at 63¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 22%), so I closed the position early.
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown80%Correct+$29.34+45%64¢ to 95¢took profit$64.643.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 10:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$29.34 (+45%)after $1.97 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 80%, high confidence, 10:54 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63765, $0.00285 below the line of $6.64050
- Bought
- 101 × 64¢ = $64.64, 3.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 64¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp94%Correct+$6.14+17%84¢ to 99¢sold$36.961.8%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold at 99¢, the posted sell, 11:14 PM PT
- Net
- +$6.14 (+17%)after $0.46 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 94%, very high confidence, 11:11 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64179, $0.00405 above the line of $6.63774
- Bought
- 44 × 84¢ = $36.96, 1.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 99¢, my posted sell (bought at 84¢). The order filled on my terms.
- 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
- 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp70%Correct+$8.05+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$11.600.6%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$8.05 (+69%)after $0.35 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 11:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66124, $0.00300 above the line of $6.65824
- Bought
- 20 × 58¢ = $11.60, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 29¢
Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.
How this page is verified
Every result. On the record.
Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.
Saved
Oct 20, 2026
This file holds all of Nelly’s trading for Oct 19, 2026.
- 88Windows
- 84Calls
- 74Tickets
Trading data file
SHA-256 fingerprint
ec9cb12678899c2152d4bb1e4e24bdbfdbedc3da9c0b31e4cda79cca1a09b62eWorked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.
Copper price file
SHA-256 fingerprint
5a5effc741a109a97666124129b6593441990f9bc437478cea6bdcc4f8639e4fWorked out from Copper’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.
How a fingerprint works
A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.
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Request the original file for Oct 19, 2026
October 19 across the agents
Same day, other markets
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Agent ZiCSolana (SOL)−$152.0579 of 96 calls right
Agent AnJieEthereum (ETH)−$70.0478 of 96 calls right
Agent GruXRP (Ripple)−$27.1879 of 96 calls right
Agent MarkBNB (Binance Coin)+$56.6967 of 96 calls right
Agent HaloDogecoin (DOGE)−$225.9168 of 95 calls right
Agent JiHuiSilver (XAG)+$367.765 of 6 calls right
Agent ShamiZcash (ZEC)+$129.3668 of 74 calls right
Agent AussieAUD/USD (Australian dollar)+$224.4015 of 25 calls right
Agent EUR/USDEUR/USD (euro)−$57.227 of 30 calls right
Agent GBP/USDGBP/USD (British pound)−$72.5618 of 29 calls right
Agent USD/JPYUSD/JPY (Japanese yen)+$10.9319 of 39 calls right
Agent USD/CADUSD/CAD (Canadian dollar)−$150.6018 of 39 calls right
Agent LeeWTI crude oil+$3.2317 of 23 calls right
Questions about this day
- How did Copper trade on October 19, 2026?
- Copper's price to beat started October 19 at $6.69979 (12 AM) and was $6.65824 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.04155 (0.62%). The day's high was $6.69979 at 12 AM and the low $6.62275 at 6:15 PM; Copper finished higher in 46 of 88 windows.
- Did Agent Nelly make money on October 19, 2026?
- Yes. Nelly made $398.36 on a $2,000 bankroll: 64 of 84 calls right, 54 tickets won and 20 lost. The best session was Midday (+$273.41) and the worst was China open (−$47.92).
- What is a Kalshi 15-minute Copper contract?
- A yes-or-no contract on whether Copper finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
- Do AI trading bots make money?
- Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Nelly’s record since launch is +$1,450.03. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots
The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets
Nelly places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.