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- Oct 22, 2026
PM1 daily log · real money
PM1 trading log Thu, Oct 22
On Thursday, Oct 22, 2026, PM Countdown’s AI agents sent 73 orders to Kalshi from the PM1 account. 57 filled, on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Gold, Silver, Copper and Natural gas; 16 orders didn’t fill or were refused. Before Kalshi’s fees the trades made $112.54; fees came to $42.50, so the account finished ahead at +$70.04 for the day. Every trade below lists its Kalshi market code and Kalshi’s order IDs, so any row can be checked.
- Net after fees
- +$70.04+$112.54 before fees
- Trades filled
- 57of 73 orders sent
- In profit
- 3522 in loss
- Calls right
- 42of 57 with a Kalshi result
- Kalshi fees
- $42.50on filled trades
- Agents
- 87 markets
Fingerprint a301203fd1f4d818 · copied Fri, Oct 23, 2026 at 6:41 AM PT · How it works
Week of October 18
- Sun 18Before the logs
- Mon 19−$3.14172 trades
- Tue 20−$14.39120 trades
- Wed 21+$146.5682 trades
- Thu 22+$70.0457 trades
- Fri 23Not posted yet
- Sat 24Not posted yet
Week through Thu, Oct 22: +$199.08 after fees over 4 days, 431 trades.
By agent
| Agent | Market | Orders | Filled | In profit | Calls right | Kalshi fees | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum | 19 | 18 | 11 | 14 | $18.04 | −$75.09 | |
| Copper | 19 | 16 | 10 | 12 | $13.17 | +$159.96 | |
| Silver | 14 | 9 | 6 | 6 | $1.58 | +$1.27 | |
| Natural gas | 9 | 9 | 5 | 6 | $2.40 | −$4.62 | |
| Gold | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | $4.59 | −$8.50 | |
| Bitcoin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | $2.28 | −$10.20 | |
| Solana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | $0.45 | +$7.22 | |
| AUD/USD | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| All agents | 73 | 57 | 35 | 42 | $42.50 | +$70.04 |
Every filled trade
57 trades in window order, Pacific time. Each market code opens that contract on Kalshi. Fees are Kalshi’s, buy and sell together. Net is after fees.
| Window (PT) | Agent | Kalshi market and order IDs | Call | Result | Bought | Sold or held | Kalshi fees | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:45–4:00 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXGOLD15M-26OCT220700-00Buy 01a1633b-b1f8-79fe-b550-bc722118dbb8Sell 01a1633b-b1f8-7ecb-bdcf-7a37c19c0a1a | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought62 at 81¢3:50:19 AM | Sold or heldSold 62 at 97¢ | Kalshi fees$0.66 | Net+$9.26 | |
| 4:15–4:30 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT220730-30Buy 01a16353-ae98-74de-9ef2-8d97051b5ea9 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought13 at 59¢4:16:29 AM | Sold or heldHeld 13 to the close, paid $13.00 | Kalshi fees$0.22 | Net+$5.11 | |
| 4:30–4:45 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT220745-45Buy 01a16361-6e20-788c-bb6b-027b2cf5a480Sell 01a16361-6e20-78eb-b9af-795e23116b37 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought15 at 50¢4:31:30 AM | Sold or heldSold 15 at 59¢ | Kalshi fees$0.26 | Net+$1.09 | |
| 6:00–6:15 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT220915-15Buy 01a163b5-d780-7a3a-a642-e87d5f2c5717 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought34 at 74¢6:03:43 AM | Sold or heldHeld 34 to the close, paid $34.00 | Kalshi fees$0.46 | Net+$8.38 | |
| 8:00–8:15 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221115-15Buy 01a16423-23f8-79bb-8fa2-33307ba8d5adSell 01a16423-23f8-7640-ad91-a5d7aee6c522 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought30 at 68¢8:03:05 AM | Sold or heldSold 30 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$0.46 | Net+$7.94 | |
| 8:15–8:30 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSOL15M-26OCT221130-30Buy 01a16431-b670-7f58-a687-21a0bca6bfc9Sell 01a16437-3c80-780a-8176-f5d1f372bebe | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought41 at 81¢8:19:01 AM | Sold or heldSold 20 at 99.4¢ 8:25:04 AMHeld 21 to the close, paid $21.00 | Kalshi fees$0.45 | Net+$7.22 | |
| 8:45–9:00 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221200-00Buy 01a1644f-2598-7db3-9880-4333711d09feSell 01a1644f-2598-7193-93ba-9e19c6fc25f1 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought21 at 70¢8:51:09 AM | Sold or heldSold 21 at 97¢ | Kalshi fees$0.31 | Net+$5.36 | |
| 10:00–10:15 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221315-15Buy 01a16497-90a8-7267-8e3c-db3ff49588afSell 01a16497-90a8-736d-ae7d-39b982ae1250 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought22 at 75¢10:10:16 AM | Sold or heldSold 22 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$0.29 | Net+$4.33 | |
| 10:45–11:00 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221400-00Buy 01a164bc-cbe8-7e9f-8dc7-17ecf45db75bSell 01a164c0-0420-78f9-a5d8-0ef715845a41 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought21 at 78¢10:50:56 AM | Sold or heldSold 11 at 35¢ 10:54:28 AMHeld 10 to the close, paid $10.00 | Kalshi fees$0.43 | Net−$2.96 | |
| 11:00–11:15 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT221415-15Buy 01a164c7-4b68-7e7c-a383-dcc3e8756af7Sell 01a164c7-4b68-7111-968a-248fa9d0df78 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought144 at 68.3¢11:02:24 AM | Sold or heldSold 144 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$2.17 | Net+$37.71 | |
| 11:30–11:45 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221445-45Buy 01a164e6-9720-7eb1-bb25-e0f5a5007f5fSell 01a164e7-8180-7b38-9019-3cd55646280a | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought22 at 66.07¢11:36:34 AM | Sold or heldSold 22 at 42.72¢ 11:37:36 AM | Kalshi fees$0.72 | Net−$5.86 | |
| 11:45 AM–12:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT221500-00Buy 01a164f6-f2a0-7719-9c6d-2288175170a1Sell 01a164f6-f2a0-7a11-bc0d-d87a7c3d0e2d | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought157 at 59.16¢11:54:27 AM | Sold or heldSold 157 at 94¢ | Kalshi fees$2.65 | Net+$52.05 | |
| 1:00–1:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221615-15Buy 01a1653a-9708-7ef4-9d2d-cd5980f7ef34Sell 01a1653b-7d80-7f1f-a318-b4f8eb45fd1c | Down | Closed UpCall missed | Bought151 at 52¢1:08:20 PM | Sold or heldSold 151 at 35¢ 1:09:20 PM | Kalshi fees$5.03 | Net−$30.70 | |
| 2:45–3:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221800-00Buy 01a16599-2228-7c0a-8ab0-61f9b5db1dfeSell 01a165a0-03e0-7dcf-8a31-8ede9f6871d7 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought23 at 72¢2:51:35 PM | Sold or heldSold 23 at 79¢ 2:59:08 PM | Kalshi fees$0.59 | Net+$1.02 | |
| 3:30–3:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT221845-45Buy 01a165be-3e28-7ad0-a040-3e1844ecd913Sell 01a165be-3e28-778f-97d3-7cc3543e446e | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought98 at 66.46¢3:32:08 PM | Sold or heldSold 98 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$1.52 | Net+$27.43 | |
| 3:30–3:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221845-45Buy 01a165be-b740-70b7-9b28-8202a2dc82bdSell 01a165c2-60c0-7596-afc5-5ec21d09ba51 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought33 at 63¢3:32:39 PM | Sold or heldSold 33 at 36¢ 3:36:40 PM | Kalshi fees$1.07 | Net−$9.98 | |
| 4:00–4:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT221915-15Buy 01a165df-3f60-7f84-ab61-12deca7b6f7cSell 01a165e1-8950-79fc-9b8c-5a01769102eb | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought24 at 76¢4:08:11 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 39¢ 4:10:42 PMHeld 12 to the close, paid $12.00 | Kalshi fees$0.50 | Net−$2.06 | |
| 4:15–4:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT221930-30Buy 01a165e9-5568-70f6-a247-5e1a44ea98adSell 01a165f1-1d98-7f25-9f94-4b4f20676325 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought12 at 66.75¢4:19:12 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 24¢ 4:27:43 PM | Kalshi fees$0.34 | Net−$5.47 | |
| 4:45–5:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222000-00Buy 01a16602-fbd0-7e6c-81e9-d5b70327fa13Sell 01a16602-ffb8-7da8-abde-f1b2f0a05e5e | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought13 at 65¢4:47:13 PM | Sold or heldSold 13 at 95¢ | Kalshi fees$0.21 | Net+$3.69 | |
| 5:15–5:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT222030-30Buy 01a1661f-e628-7ef9-b588-b042e99ff782Sell 01a16623-1e60-77a1-97f1-6c1b9e962560 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought182 at 67¢5:18:48 PM | Sold or heldSold 182 at 29¢ 5:22:20 PM | Kalshi fees$5.42 | Net−$74.58 | |
| 5:15–5:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT222030-30Buy 01a16621-41d0-70c5-8ade-817c7f238048 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought11 at 77¢5:20:17 PM | Sold or heldHeld 11 to the close, paid $11.00 | Kalshi fees$0.14 | Net+$2.39 | |
| 5:15–5:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222030-30Buy 01a16625-d5b0-7401-8bba-25a0723e4fdeSell 01a16629-0a00-77c8-a135-3e4d8f89d8c2Sell 01a16629-0a00-75cf-8597-a9514c25a671 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought87.95 at 67.78¢5:25:17 PM | Sold or heldSold 43 at 90.53¢ 5:28:48 PMSold 44.95 at 95¢ | Kalshi fees$1.59 | Net+$20.42 | |
| 5:45–6:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT222100-00Buy 01a1663b-e238-7533-ab81-34f3a78b6913Sell 01a1663d-39f8-7aad-bc4f-23aba92008c2 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought14 at 58¢5:49:22 PM | Sold or heldSold 14 at 33¢ 5:50:51 PM | Kalshi fees$0.45 | Net−$3.95 | |
| 6:15–6:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT222130-30Buy 01a16654-9e40-7ff3-b6f1-8bc9fb2aef4f | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought13 at 62¢6:16:23 PM | Sold or heldHeld 13 to the close, paid $13.00 | Kalshi fees$0.21 | Net+$4.73 | |
| 6:15–6:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222130-30Buy 01a16655-0f88-7d32-90c5-1a7dccdd08a7Sell 01a16655-0f88-7cb4-bbdb-c173e96f7d9c | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought12 at 66¢6:16:52 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$0.19 | Net+$3.41 | |
| 6:30–6:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT222145-45Buy 01a16662-5dc8-7926-82c8-f490707e22c0 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought12 at 71¢6:31:25 PM | Sold or heldHeld 12 to the close, paid $0 | Kalshi fees$0.17 | Net−$8.69 | |
| 6:30–6:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222145-45Buy 01a16662-cf10-75ad-8f08-ad3649b3119fSell 01a16664-2ea0-7069-80bc-c5056f52f100 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought14 at 57¢6:31:53 PM | Sold or heldSold 14 at 22.57¢ 6:33:24 PM | Kalshi fees$0.41 | Net−$5.23 | |
| 6:30–6:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT222145-45Buy 01a16662-ea68-7d83-b72e-f6eb5686cf79Sell 01a16662-ee50-730f-a44a-b5469e51a7e5 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought13 at 63¢6:32:00 PM | Sold or heldSold 13 at 95¢ | Kalshi fees$0.21 | Net+$3.95 | |
| 6:30–6:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT222145-45Buy 01a16664-3670-7841-af91-1dab4598260aSell 01a16664-3a58-732a-857b-f555abe719fc | Down | Closed UpCall missed | Bought25 at 78¢6:33:25 PM | Sold or heldSold 25 at 97¢ | Kalshi fees$0.30 | Net+$4.45 | |
| 7:00–7:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT222215-15Buy 01a1667d-7f18-78a3-91dc-85f850504ed3 | Down | Closed UpCall missed | Bought13 at 63¢7:01:02 PM | Sold or heldHeld 13 to the close, paid $0 | Kalshi fees$0.21 | Net−$8.40 | |
| 7:00–7:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT222215-15Buy 01a16682-2298-761b-9344-a7a9f9c5feadSell 01a16685-cc18-7198-9542-85ff98b09b8c | Down | Closed UpCall missed | Bought22 at 74¢7:06:05 PM | Sold or heldSold 11 at 12¢ 7:10:07 PMHeld 11 to the close, paid $0 | Kalshi fees$0.38 | Net−$15.34 | |
| 7:00–7:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222215-15Buy 01a16683-d818-7871-850f-d78813bea914Sell 01a16686-2208-7734-b4f7-31a574188ae4Sell 01a16686-25f0-7fdc-9fc9-bbd85d28e609 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought132 at 75.78¢7:07:58 PM | Sold or heldSold 66 at 96¢ 7:10:29 PMSold 66 at 97¢ | Kalshi fees$1.86 | Net+$25.49 | |
| 7:15–7:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222230-30Buy 01a1668c-1d48-7c1b-976d-b50a5074cfaeSell 01a1668e-6350-79ab-ba0a-fe319b3a5e5e | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought8 at 65¢7:16:59 PM | Sold or heldSold 8 at 61.16¢ 7:19:30 PM | Kalshi fees$0.26 | Net−$0.57 | |
| 7:15–7:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT222230-30Buy 01a1668e-01a8-7ef3-b9a6-bc82d429bf47 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought14 at 61¢7:19:04 PM | Sold or heldHeld 14 to the close, paid $14.00 | Kalshi fees$0.23 | Net+$5.23 | |
| 7:45–8:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT222300-00Buy 01a166ac-bcd8-7c05-a1b8-ef1b93c2444cSell 01a166ac-bcd8-79b4-904c-cbf4ef813a64 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought21 at 80¢7:52:38 PM | Sold or heldSold 21 at 97¢ | Kalshi fees$0.24 | Net+$3.33 | |
| 7:45–8:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT222300-00Buy 01a166ae-1c68-779e-9a9f-2f7ef764ebcf | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought9 at 84¢7:54:08 PM | Sold or heldHeld 9 to the close, paid $9.00 | Kalshi fees$0.08 | Net+$1.36 | |
| 8:00–8:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT222315-15Buy 01a166b4-7950-7dc6-b0b1-9418fee84456 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought12 at 71¢8:01:06 PM | Sold or heldHeld 12 to the close, paid $12.00 | Kalshi fees$0.17 | Net+$3.31 | |
| 8:15–8:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT222330-30Buy 01a166c5-7cc8-78f2-9d61-059243a38336Sell 01a166c6-d870-79db-8457-78984af8bed1 | Down | Closed UpCall missed | Bought14 at 56.18¢8:19:40 PM | Sold or heldSold 14 at 5¢ 8:21:10 PM | Kalshi fees$0.29 | Net−$7.45 | |
| 8:30–8:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT222345-45Buy 01a166d2-c338-708f-8ace-7fc856f48ddbSell 01a166d9-27f0-7fc3-acec-e6a672de5ed7 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought13 at 60¢8:34:10 PM | Sold or heldSold 13 at 28¢ 8:41:10 PM | Kalshi fees$0.40 | Net−$4.56 | |
| 8:30–8:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222345-45Buy 01a166d3-20f8-7c7f-9444-05aa80cba04cSell 01a166d9-8d80-75ff-b2a4-cdee58e7795e | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought12 at 69¢8:34:35 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 29¢ 8:41:36 PM | Kalshi fees$0.35 | Net−$5.15 | |
| 8:45–9:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT230000-00Buy 01a166e0-1178-7fb5-8ed7-daf1fb0e0f5fSell 01a166e0-1178-7ece-abfb-5805aec77fc3 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought12 at 67¢8:48:42 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 95¢ | Kalshi fees$0.18 | Net+$3.18 | |
| 9:00–9:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT230015-15Buy 01a166eb-fc40-770b-b55d-fadb9eb1c96fSell 01a166eb-fc40-7da7-acff-5ac7272fcfab | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought49 at 66¢9:01:43 PM | Sold or heldSold 49 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$0.77 | Net+$13.93 | |
| 9:00–9:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT230015-15Buy 01a166ec-5618-7b48-812b-f7822fd17f77Sell 01a166f1-dc28-7328-aa4e-1c1542ea50b4 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought12 at 69¢9:02:06 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 60.34¢ 9:08:09 PM | Kalshi fees$0.38 | Net−$1.42 | |
| 9:00–9:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT230015-15Buy 01a166ec-e6a0-79fc-a0ad-6c40633221efSell 01a166f1-7e68-78f0-9413-e3c3267f8340 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought13 at 61¢9:02:43 PM | Sold or heldSold 13 at 42¢ 9:07:45 PM | Kalshi fees$0.44 | Net−$2.91 | |
| 9:30–9:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT230045-45Buy 01a1670b-f3d8-722d-85f0-4492567bf57dSell 01a16710-a310-7389-a8dd-086c2b99eb17 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought12 at 55¢9:36:38 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 19.33¢ 9:41:46 PM | Kalshi fees$0.34 | Net−$4.62 | |
| 9:45–10:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT230100-00Buy 01a16717-b790-788e-b9b3-27366acf6519Sell 01a16717-b790-7350-b948-fd46919d2d38 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought12 at 68¢9:49:28 PM | Sold or heldSold 12 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$0.18 | Net+$3.18 | |
| 9:45–10:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT230100-00Buy 01a16718-6b40-7a24-b139-1ed6a627f88fSell 01a16718-6f28-73f3-8412-98382fcbf0fe | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought25 at 71¢9:50:15 PM | Sold or heldSold 25 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$0.36 | Net+$5.89 | |
| 9:45–10:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXCOPPER15M-26OCT230100-00Buy 01a1671a-3c18-73b6-a9a6-6e5729652983Sell 01a1671d-e980-7081-9c24-84884f6d0055Sell 01a1671d-e980-7466-ac89-9d0fdbf55df6 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought21 at 61.04¢9:52:14 PM | Sold or heldSold 10 at 89¢ 9:56:16 PMSold 11 at 94¢ | Kalshi fees$0.42 | Net+$6.00 | |
| 10:15–10:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT230130-30Buy 01a16732-f820-7a72-a37b-1736b0943114Sell 01a16732-fc08-7f6b-9d62-42da2c32dd5c | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought27 at 71¢10:19:15 PM | Sold or heldSold 27 at 96¢ | Kalshi fees$0.39 | Net+$6.36 | |
| 10:30–10:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXNATGAS15M-26OCT230145-45Buy 01a16742-cae8-77f6-b933-8cc24489c7a2Sell 01a16742-cae8-77a7-b40b-b8fe65a572c0 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought11 at 72¢10:36:32 PM | Sold or heldSold 11 at 97¢ | Kalshi fees$0.16 | Net+$2.59 | |
| 10:45–11:00 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT230200-00Buy 01a1674b-b810-7dcf-b50f-33bd1d6b52c5 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought13 at 65¢10:46:17 PM | Sold or heldHeld 13 to the close, paid $13.00 | Kalshi fees$0.21 | Net+$4.34 | |
| 11:00–11:15 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT230215-15Buy 01a1675b-4c58-7027-a66d-2b823a538bcb | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought11 at 74¢11:03:19 PM | Sold or heldHeld 11 to the close, paid $11.00 | Kalshi fees$0.15 | Net+$2.71 | |
| 11:15–11:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXBTC15M-26OCT230230-30Buy 01a16768-d148-754a-912c-049e208db0d0Sell 01a1676e-91f0-7a77-acb6-b0643667de15 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought72 at 70¢11:18:03 PM | Sold or heldSold 72 at 59¢ 11:24:22 PM | Kalshi fees$2.28 | Net−$10.20 | |
| 11:15–11:30 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXSILVER15M-26OCT230230-30Buy 01a16769-84f8-7e18-b18b-9b6f5098c732 | Up | Closed DownCall missed | Bought6 at 71¢11:18:50 PM | Sold or heldHeld 6 to the close, paid $0 | Kalshi fees$0.09 | Net−$4.35 | |
| 11:30–11:45 PM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXGOLD15M-26OCT230245-45Buy 01a1677e-2a20-7c55-828c-4d8ce61ec392Sell 01a1677f-1480-7c7a-9535-acbfa13d242b | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought89 at 66¢11:41:23 PM | Sold or heldSold 89 at 38.38¢ 11:42:24 PM | Kalshi fees$2.87 | Net−$27.45 | |
| 11:45 PM–12:00 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXETH15M-26OCT230300-00Buy 01a16785-88d8-74c2-9b39-8fdb4d49a89dSell 01a16785-88d8-72dc-9df9-1b49b57d19b2 | Up | Closed UpCall right | Bought26 at 75¢11:49:25 PM | Sold or heldSold 26 at 97¢ | Kalshi fees$0.34 | Net+$5.38 | |
| 11:45 PM–12:00 AM | Kalshi market and order IDsKXGOLD15M-26OCT230300-00Buy 01a1678a-99b8-7ae4-876b-f7c48b42f0b0Sell 01a1678c-6a90-735d-9940-276694651918Sell 01a1678c-6a90-749b-a40e-c6b1e5f780b7 | Down | Closed DownCall right | Bought70 at 74¢11:54:58 PM | Sold or heldSold 15 at 87¢ 11:56:58 PMSold 55 at 90¢ | Kalshi fees$1.06 | Net+$9.69 |
16 orders that didn’t trade13 not filled, 3 refused by Kalshi
| Window (PT) | Agent | Kalshi market | Call | Contracts asked | What happened | Kalshi order ID |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:00–3:15 AM | Kalshi marketKXAUDUSD15M-26OCT220615-30 | Down | Contracts asked48 | What happenedRefused by Kalshi, no order placed | Kalshi order IDNone | |
| 4:15–4:30 AM | Kalshi marketKXAUDUSD15M-26OCT220730-30 | Up | Contracts asked41 | What happenedRefused by Kalshi, no order placed | Kalshi order IDNone | |
| 5:30–5:45 AM | Kalshi marketKXAUDUSD15M-26OCT220845-30 | Down | Contracts asked45 | What happenedRefused by Kalshi, no order placed | Kalshi order IDNone | |
| 6:15–6:30 AM | Kalshi marketKXAUDUSD15M-26OCT220930-30 | Down | Contracts asked31 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a163c8-7908-756b-b6e6-cf46265eb55c | |
| 6:30–6:45 AM | Kalshi marketKXCOPPER15M-26OCT220945-45 | Down | Contracts asked10 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a163d4-11c8-7097-a5e6-fcd57b6aaa31 | |
| 7:15–7:30 AM | Kalshi marketKXAUDUSD15M-26OCT221030-30 | Up | Contracts asked31 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16402-cab8-7a46-b3cc-0719ca8ae2f9 | |
| 8:00–8:15 AM | Kalshi marketKXSILVER15M-26OCT221115-15 | Down | Contracts asked14 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16422-31c8-7ffd-a226-43560232cf1d | |
| 8:15–8:30 AM | Kalshi marketKXSILVER15M-26OCT221130-30 | Up | Contracts asked28 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a1642f-f150-7d68-9d16-b1581f62c490 | |
| 11:15–11:30 AM | Kalshi marketKXSOL15M-26OCT221430-30 | Up | Contracts asked21 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a164d8-0c78-71cb-a631-a727b3d3ff05 | |
| 6:00–6:15 PM | Kalshi marketKXCOPPER15M-26OCT222115-15 | Down | Contracts asked139 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16649-24c0-7e84-970f-cef64fff7d52 | |
| 6:45–7:00 PM | Kalshi marketKXSILVER15M-26OCT222200-00 | Up | Contracts asked12 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16670-1968-7e36-b088-b01fffff2fa5 | |
| 6:45–7:00 PM | Kalshi marketKXGOLD15M-26OCT222200-00 | Down | Contracts asked62 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16675-3218-73d7-b773-4aa98969096e | |
| 7:15–7:30 PM | Kalshi marketKXETH15M-26OCT222230-30 | Up | Contracts asked25 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16690-5750-75e6-a470-fec8e4d79d53 | |
| 10:15–10:30 PM | Kalshi marketKXSILVER15M-26OCT230130-30 | Down | Contracts asked7 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16733-e280-7ef2-83b3-7067c87d3ddd | |
| 10:15–10:30 PM | Kalshi marketKXCOPPER15M-26OCT230130-30 | Up | Contracts asked12 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16735-bf10-7540-88e9-d47767c1e10a | |
| 11:45 PM–12:00 AM | Kalshi marketKXSILVER15M-26OCT230300-00 | Up | Contracts asked15 | What happenedDidn’t fill, cancelled | Kalshi order ID01a16783-3718-7449-b772-6b072e8655b8 |
An order that doesn’t fill costs nothing: no contracts change hands and Kalshi charges no fee.
This day’s fingerprint
All 73 orders on this page were copied from PM1’s trading log on Fri, Oct 23, 2026 at 6:41 AM PT, after the day’s last window settled, and saved as one file that is never edited. Its SHA-256 fingerprint:
a301203fd1f4d8187eae36c6074aff891605958268880342fbea8790f7b9360b
- Format
- pmc-pm1-day-v1
- Size
- 40,994 bytes
- Ledger
- line 4
Change one number in the file and the fingerprint changes completely. Each day is written to an append-only ledger that carries the fingerprint of the line before, so a past day can’t be quietly rewritten. A correction gets its own ledger line and a note on this page. The file is kept in our records and sent on request.
How to check any row
- Open the market. Each code links to that 15‑minute contract on Kalshi, where the result and the price history for the window are public.
- Match the prices. The buy and sell prices should sit inside the range Kalshi shows for that contract at those times.
- Do the math. Net is contracts sold times the sell price, plus Kalshi’s payout, minus contracts bought times the buy price, minus fees. Every row adds up, and the day is the sum of its rows.
- Order IDs. These are the IDs Kalshi gave each order on this account. Kalshi’s own trade ID for every fill is being added to these logs.
PM1 is a PM Countdown team member’s own Kalshi account, used to test the agents with real money. Not a typical result, past results don’t promise future ones, and this isn’t financial advice. PM Countdown isn’t affiliated with Kalshi. Kalshi is 18+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Watch PM1 trade live
Today’s trades land on the live page as they happen. Tomorrow they get a page like this one.