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Basketball game markets

Kalshi lists a YES contract for each team in each game, paying $1 on a win. The WNBA, NBA and college basketball boards live here, with a preview for every game we have prices for.

KXWNBAGAMEKXNBAGAME checked Sep 19, 2026

Season: WNBA runs through September and, in recent seasons, into October. The NBA regular season opens in late October. College basketball starts in November.

Previews

Every game we have written up

16 previews, Sep 20 to Sep 24. Each one carries the records, the injury report, the season series and the Kalshi price where a market is open, with the time we read it.

How a game market works

A team's price is a probability

  • Each team gets a YES contract that pays $1.00 if it wins and $0 if it doesn't. A 52¢ price reads as roughly a 52% chance.
  • You buy at the ask and sell at the bid. The gap between them is a cost you pay twice if you trade in and out.
  • Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent. It peaks at 50¢, so the closest games cost the most to enter.
  • That fee moves your break-even above the price you paid. A 52¢ buy needs about 53.75% to come out flat.

The math on one plan

10 contracts, 22¢ buy, 35¢ sell order

Buy 10 YES at 22¢$2.20
Taker fee0.07 × 10 × 0.22 × 0.78 = $0.12012, rounded up$0.13
If the 35¢ sell order fills$3.50 back, minus a $0.04 maker fee if Kalshi charges one on that market (0.0175 × 10 × 0.35 × 0.65, rounded up)+$1.13
If it never trades and winsSettles at $1.00 × 10 = $10.00, minus the $2.33 cost+$7.67
If it never trades and losesSettles at $0. This is the most you can lose.−$2.33

Fee formulas from Kalshi's fee schedule. Same numbers as our UFC 331 plan. An example, not a recommendation.

Trade Smart path

Related lessons

All lessons

21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.