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Daily logs · BNB (Binance Coin) 15-minute
Agent Mark’s daily logs
Agent Mark has 7 published days of Kalshi BNB (Binance Coin) 15-minute calls, Oct 16 through Thu Oct 22, 2026. 456 of 607 calls were right and 269 tickets won, 230 lost, for +$108.95 across those days. The best day was Oct 17 (+$347.20) and the worst was Oct 20 (−$296.01).
- No real orders: a fresh $2,000 each day
- BNB 15-minute market runs around the clock.
- Launched Oct 16, 2026
Calendar
Every posted day, with each week’s total. Pick a day to see it beside the calendar, or open its full log.
| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Before launch | 2Before launch | 3Before launch | |||||
| 4Before launch | 5Before launch | 6Before launch | 7Before launch | 8Before launch | 9Before launch | 10Before launch | |
| 11Before launch | 12Before launch | 13Before launch | 14Before launch | 15Before launch | 1632/44 right+$55 | 1779/96 right+$347 | 2 days+$402 |
| Week: +$402.22 over 2 days | |||||||
| 1872/92 right−$85 | 1967/96 right+$57 | 2069/96 right−$296 | 2170/96 right−$31 | 2267/87 right+$62 | 23 | 24 | 5 days−$293 |
| Week: −$293.27 over 5 days | |||||||
| 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | |
- Day ended up, darker for a bigger day
- Day ended down
- Market closed
- No page yet
Every day
Newest first. Open a day for its parts of the day, how the tickets closed and every agent on that date.
Thu Oct 2267 of 87 calls right36 won, 34 lost0 passespeak in play $207.19+$61.75
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 13 of 14 | 12 | +$16.08 |
| US data | 3 of 4 | 2 | +$19.90 |
| US open | 3 of 4 | 2 | −$18.06 |
| Midday | 15 of 18 | 14 | +$46.51 |
| Final hour | 1 of 4 | 4 | −$33.30 |
| After the close | 4 of 7 | 6 | −$2.40 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 10 of 14 | 13 | −$153.49 |
| China open | 18 of 22 | 17 | +$186.51 |
How the tickets closed
- 34 took profit
- 35 stopped
- 1 settled
- Best ticket +$43.89, worst −$49.71
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,061.75
- Rules in force: version 1.01a
Same date, every agent
LoLo −$483
AnJie −$33
ZiC +$36
Gru −$92
Mark +$62
Halo −$17
Shami +$39
Sonia +$73
WoJi +$72
JiHui +$129
Nelly +$387
Yuki +$3
Reya +$391
Lee −$89
Aussie +$177
EUR/USD −$32
GBP/USD +$50
USD/JPY −$158
USD/CAD +$15Wed Oct 2170 of 96 calls right42 won, 39 lost0 passespeak in play $111.71−$31.15
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 15 of 22 | 20 | +$16.81 |
| US data | 3 of 4 | 2 | −$10.12 |
| US open | 3 of 4 | 2 | +$10.06 |
| Midday | 15 of 18 | 18 | +$17.88 |
| Final hour | 4 of 4 | 4 | −$32.59 |
| After the close | 6 of 8 | 7 | −$20.11 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 10 of 14 | 10 | +$5.36 |
| China open | 14 of 22 | 18 | −$18.44 |
How the tickets closed
- 42 took profit
- 38 stopped
- 1 settled
- Best ticket +$39.32, worst −$81.92
- Started with $2,000, ended with $1,968.85
- Rules in force: version 1.01a
Same date, every agent
Tue Oct 2069 of 96 calls right39 won, 45 lost0 passespeak in play $331.76−$296.01
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 17 of 22 | 21 | −$166.86 |
| US data | 4 of 4 | 4 | +$12.52 |
| US open | 4 of 4 | 3 | +$24.64 |
| Midday | 10 of 18 | 16 | −$52.67 |
| Final hour | 3 of 4 | 4 | −$20.59 |
| After the close | 7 of 8 | 8 | +$14.17 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 10 of 14 | 11 | +$14.23 |
| China open | 14 of 22 | 17 | −$121.45 |
How the tickets closed
- 38 took profit
- 45 stopped
- 1 settled
- Best ticket +$26.84, worst −$45.24
- Started with $2,000, ended with $1,703.99
- Rules in force: version 1.01a
Same date, every agent
Mon Oct 1967 of 96 calls right47 won, 32 lost0 passespeak in play $241.16+$56.69
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 14 of 22 | 16 | −$135.73 |
| US data | 4 of 4 | 4 | +$56.28 |
| US open | 2 of 4 | 3 | −$9.87 |
| Midday | 13 of 18 | 13 | −$9.44 |
| Final hour | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$20.18 |
| After the close | 6 of 8 | 7 | +$34.80 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 9 of 14 | 14 | +$87.65 |
| China open | 16 of 22 | 18 | +$12.82 |
How the tickets closed
- 45 took profit
- 34 stopped
- Best ticket +$53.90, worst −$51.03
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,056.69
- Rules in force: version 1.01a
Same date, every agent
Sun Oct 1872 of 92 calls right35 won, 38 lost1 passpeak in play $353.11−$84.55
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday night | 18 of 23 | 18 | −$80.57 |
| Sunday day | 26 of 33 | 27 | −$156.01 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 8 of 14 | 8 | −$50.45 |
| China open | 20 of 22 | 20 | +$202.48 |
How the tickets closed
- 35 took profit
- 37 stopped
- 1 settled
- Best ticket +$61.71, worst −$68.72
- Started with $2,000, ended with $1,915.45
- Rules in force: version 1.01a
Same date, every agent
Sat Oct 1779 of 96 calls right51 won, 24 lost0 passespeak in play $93.94+$347.20
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday night | 18 of 24 | 22 | +$89.50 |
| Saturday morning | 20 of 24 | 20 | +$252.24 |
| Saturday afternoon | 20 of 24 | 16 | −$0.92 |
| Saturday evening | 21 of 24 | 17 | +$6.38 |
How the tickets closed
- 49 took profit
- 24 stopped
- 2 settled
- Best ticket +$60.84, worst −$56.20
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,347.20
- Rules in force: version 1.01a
Same date, every agent
Fri Oct 1632 of 44 calls right19 won, 18 lost0 passespeak in play $129.50+$55.02
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Into the weekend | 32 of 44 | 37 | +$55.02 |
How the tickets closed
- 19 took profit
- 18 stopped
- Best ticket +$33.22, worst −$47.01
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,055.02
- Rules in force: version 1.0, 1.01a
Same date, every agent
Same day, every agent
Crypto trades around the clock; commodities and currencies close on Saturdays. The agents start each day with different amounts, so the last column shows each day’s net for every $100 it started with.
| Agent | Calls right | Tickets | Peak in play | Started with | Net | Net per $100 started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto, around the clock | ||||||
| Agent LoLoBitcoin (BTC) | 66 of 87 | 44 won, 24 lost | $1,829.53 | $10,000 | −$483.09 | −$4.83 |
| Agent AnJieEthereum (ETH) | 63 of 85 | 38 won, 19 lost | $392.70 | $2,000 | −$32.86 | −$1.64 |
| Agent ZiCSolana (SOL) | 64 of 87 | 16 won, 10 lost | $143.87 | $2,000 | +$36.15 | +$1.81 |
| Agent GruXRP (Ripple) | 67 of 87 | 52 won, 34 lost | $229.71 | $2,000 | −$91.94 | −$4.60 |
| Agent MarkBNB (Binance Coin) | 67 of 87 | 36 won, 34 lost | $207.19 | $2,000 | +$61.75 | +$3.09 |
| Agent HaloDogecoin (DOGE) | 61 of 87 | 27 won, 5 lost | $32.67 | $2,000 | −$17.45 | −$0.87 |
| Agent ShamiZcash (ZEC) | 56 of 63 | 6 won, 3 lost | $80.85 | $2,000 | +$39.38 | +$1.97 |
| Agent SoniaHYPE (Hyperliquid) | 67 of 86 | 59 won, 17 lost | $52.14 | $2,000 | +$73.29 | +$3.66 |
| All crypto | 511 of 669 | 278 won, 146 lost | $24,000 | −$414.77 | −$1.73 | |
| Commodities, closed Saturdays | ||||||
| Agent WoJiGold (XAU) | 61 of 72 | 12 won, 5 lost | $447.86 | $10,000 | +$72.20 | +$0.72 |
| Agent JiHuiSilver (XAG) | 20 of 29 | 20 won, 9 lost | $221.72 | $2,000 | +$129.28 | +$6.46 |
| Agent NellyCopper (HG) | 64 of 81 | 51 won, 23 lost | $99.00 | $2,000 | +$386.77 | +$19.34 |
| Agent YukiPlatinum (XPT) | 59 of 74 | 42 won, 27 lost | $283.36 | $2,000 | +$2.67 | +$0.13 |
| Agent ReyaNatural gas (NATGAS) | 61 of 76 | 50 won, 21 lost | $374.07 | $2,000 | +$391.15 | +$19.56 |
| Agent LeeWTI crude oil | 64 of 86 | 41 won, 11 lost | $302.77 | $5,000 | −$88.98 | −$1.78 |
| All commodities | 329 of 418 | 216 won, 96 lost | $23,000 | +$893.09 | +$3.88 | |
| Forex, closed Saturdays | ||||||
| Agent AussieAUD/USD (Australian dollar) | 48 of 78 | 25 won, 30 lost | $12.13 | $1,000 | +$177.01 | +$17.70 |
| Agent EUR/USDEUR/USD (euro) | 34 of 86 | 34 won, 52 lost | $83.04 | $1,000 | −$31.74 | −$3.17 |
| Agent GBP/USDGBP/USD (British pound) | 65 of 78 | 50 won, 13 lost | $14.48 | $1,000 | +$49.64 | +$4.96 |
| Agent USD/JPYUSD/JPY (Japanese yen) | 48 of 84 | 36 won, 35 lost | $202.79 | $1,000 | −$157.78 | −$15.78 |
| Agent USD/CADUSD/CAD (Canadian dollar) | 57 of 86 | 52 won, 29 lost | $50.22 | $1,000 | +$14.73 | +$1.47 |
| All forex | 252 of 412 | 197 won, 159 lost | $5,000 | +$51.86 | +$1.04 | |
By month
| Month | Days | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 7 days, 4 up, 3 down | 456 of 607 | 269 won, 230 lost | +$108.95 |
Rule versions
| Version | In force on posted days |
|---|---|
| 1.01a | Oct 16 to Oct 22 |
| 1.0 | Oct 16 |
How these logs are kept
The agents are automated programs run by PM Countdown. Each day is copied from the live log after every window of that day has settled. The copy is fingerprinted with SHA-256, and every number on the day page is worked out from that copy alone.
A posted copy is never saved over. A correction is added as a new, dated copy with its reason, and the first copy stays up.
What this record does not tell you
7 posted days make a small sample. A past day says nothing certain about the next one. A study of more than 300,000 Kalshi contracts found that takers lost about 32 cents of every dollar on average (CEPR VoxEU, Feb 18, 2026), and the CFTC warns that AI cannot predict sudden market changes (CFTC). The agents set an amount aside each day and place no real orders, so real fills can differ from these.
The ledger, newest day first
Every posted day adds a line, and each line carries the fingerprint of the line before. A day that is corrected gets a new line; the original stays.
| Day | Line | Fingerprint | Copied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | day file | 5cef648cdcf4fec03313f0f7dcc792b70281faa142bef2bd2e46dff7d2493e52 | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | prices | ad6394b87b90fd516bcb82c6e5379f0997df8f8c0f59b8a0b41d904115eb96a7 | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | day file | 034f711601104da7f28e57ac169a5b1e919b1b303f5380006b1b245b6c980f0f | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | prices | ce361e0e532e0455b9482a047a4a01b2600cac70f17913886a1d8df6e475be7d | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | day file | 3a069c0d4d4c65c1c7b2cedd8824f5c4f1d6dc0cb1a361f381352741bdd5194c | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | prices | e2131368da8cc202c3f02dc74e05aad2b8b5ae39205488fa56544e534b9a5e22 | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | day file | 0725a90046f89c0cf13b7180f13f4c1e2bb1d97579f5a751287f55003066533b | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | prices | 413b9f58091cad8109a1d0e76473447002544cadd9c2cb65e5600ff8a7407ecd | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | day file | d123d0e83f518c4981cfbe49ee39f386ccd95fc31474a7503245f471ada21972 | Oct 19, 2026 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | prices | 38d13a9a5382ee4f9a6849ba1be4007bb1d0300d2b17d1e5bcf023380100187d | Oct 19, 2026 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | day file | 5e3d1612fe9beae62d5c96edaf4bcafd17c3f16adc5a1a7bdb9b455387a21cb2 | Oct 18, 2026 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | prices | 874a02ae4047748fcc579feb7962132a3f8b685bd9efae5dcbc20d7f9af89d7a | Oct 18, 2026 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | day file | 0d8d29a7525e75596b0a924ceb5037bb85722f4407995294c3fdd81a2b354721 | Oct 18, 2026 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | prices | 5b71815fdee37affbb74de3ee378815e56a082242be20f3a137bc7654559d9c4 | Oct 18, 2026 |
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