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Daily logs · Copper (HG) 15-minute
Agent Nelly’s daily logs
Agent Nelly has 12 published days of Kalshi Copper (HG) 15-minute calls, Oct 9 through Thu Oct 22, 2026. 598 of 791 calls were right and 475 tickets won, 250 lost, for +$2,005.35 across those days. The best day was Oct 19 (+$398.36) and the worst was Oct 20 (−$25.40).
- No real orders: a fresh $2,000 each day
- Copper 15-minute market closes on Saturdays.
- Launched Oct 9, 2026
Calendar
Every posted day, with each week’s total. Pick a day to see it beside the calendar, or open its full log.
| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Before launch | 2Before launch | 3Before launch | |||||
| 4Before launch | 5Before launch | 6Before launch | 7Before launch | 8Before launch | 92/2 right$0 | 10Closed | 1 day$0 |
| Week: $0.00 over 1 day | |||||||
| 1126/35 right+$4 | 1259/84 right+$197 | 1366/86 right+$125 | 1462/86 right+$217 | 1566/79 right+$326 | 1638/53 right+$43 | 17Closed | 6 days+$911 |
| Week: +$911.18 over 6 days | |||||||
| 1825/33 right+$140 | 1964/84 right+$398 | 2058/85 right−$25 | 2168/83 right+$194 | 2264/81 right+$387 | 23 | 24Closed | 5 days+$1,094 |
| Week: +$1,094.17 over 5 days | |||||||
| 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31Closed | |
- Day ended up, darker for a bigger day
- Day ended down
- Market closed
- No page yet
Every day
Newest first. Open a day for its parts of the day, how the tickets closed and every agent on that date.
Thu Oct 2264 of 81 calls right51 won, 23 lost0 passespeak in play $99.00+$386.77
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 12 of 14 | 14 | +$157.42 |
| US data | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$5.09 |
| US open | 4 of 4 | 4 | +$6.75 |
| Midday | 13 of 18 | 17 | +$212.78 |
| Final hour | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$3.22 |
| After the close | 2 of 3 | 3 | −$15.47 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 12 of 13 | 9 | +$50.01 |
| China open | 15 of 21 | 19 | −$33.03 |
How the tickets closed
- 27 took profit
- 25 stopped
- 22 settled
- Best ticket +$54.42, worst −$29.92
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,386.77
- Rules in force: version n5
Same date, every agent
Wed Oct 2168 of 83 calls right53 won, 22 lost3 passespeak in play $133.82+$193.95
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 18 of 21 | 18 | +$13.95 |
| US data | 2 of 4 | 3 | +$1.45 |
| US open | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$7.09 |
| Midday | 13 of 17 | 16 | −$83.29 |
| Final hour | 4 of 4 | 4 | +$5.07 |
| After the close | 2 of 4 | 3 | +$12.50 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 10 of 10 | 10 | +$160.09 |
| China open | 16 of 19 | 17 | +$77.09 |
How the tickets closed
- 30 took profit
- 23 stopped
- 22 settled
- Best ticket +$48.51, worst −$59.44
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,193.95
- Rules in force: version n5
Same date, every agent
Tue Oct 2058 of 85 calls right41 won, 39 lost3 passespeak in play $238.99−$25.40
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 16 of 21 | 20 | −$105.61 |
| US data | 2 of 4 | 4 | −$7.52 |
| US open | 2 of 4 | 4 | +$0.05 |
| Midday | 13 of 18 | 17 | +$80.03 |
| Final hour | 3 of 4 | 4 | −$7.27 |
| After the close | 3 of 3 | 2 | +$15.29 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 8 of 11 | 10 | +$87.47 |
| China open | 11 of 20 | 19 | −$87.84 |
How the tickets closed
- 26 took profit
- 38 stopped
- 16 settled
- Best ticket +$45.39, worst −$55.77
- Started with $2,000, ended with $1,974.60
- Rules in force: version n5
Same date, every agent
Mon Oct 1964 of 84 calls right54 won, 20 lost4 passespeak in play $422.10+$398.36
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 15 of 22 | 18 | +$77.68 |
| US data | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$2.68 |
| US open | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$1.80 |
| Midday | 15 of 17 | 17 | +$273.41 |
| Final hour | 4 of 4 | 3 | +$11.44 |
| After the close | 1 of 2 | 1 | −$5.57 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 7 of 10 | 9 | +$84.84 |
| China open | 16 of 21 | 18 | −$47.92 |
How the tickets closed
- 29 took profit
- 25 stopped
- 20 settled
- Best ticket +$171.24, worst −$59.90
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,398.36
- Rules in force: version n5
Same date, every agent
Sun Oct 1825 of 33 calls right20 won, 9 lost0 passespeak in play $80.64+$140.49
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Futures and Tokyo | 9 of 12 | 9 | +$21.23 |
| China open | 16 of 21 | 20 | +$119.26 |
How the tickets closed
- 17 took profit
- 10 stopped
- 2 settled
- Best ticket +$44.93, worst −$38.35
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,140.49
- Rules in force: version 1.01c, n5
Same date, every agent
Fri Oct 1638 of 53 calls right28 won, 22 lost1 passpeak in play $402.31+$42.75
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 13 of 21 | 20 | −$26.45 |
| US data | 1 of 4 | 4 | −$2.88 |
| US open | 4 of 4 | 4 | +$2.94 |
| Midday | 16 of 18 | 18 | +$48.09 |
| Final hour | 2 of 4 | 2 | −$10.19 |
| Into the weekend | 2 of 2 | 2 | +$31.24 |
How the tickets closed
- 17 took profit
- 20 stopped
- 13 settled
- Best ticket +$138.01, worst −$164.00
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,042.75
- Rules in force: version 1.01b, 1.01c
Same date, every agent
Thu Oct 1566 of 79 calls right58 won, 17 lost3 passespeak in play $313.47+$326.14
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 10 of 14 | 14 | −$61.82 |
| US data | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$1.86 |
| US open | 2 of 4 | 4 | −$10.20 |
| Midday | 15 of 17 | 17 | +$35.99 |
| Final hour | 4 of 4 | 4 | +$8.80 |
| After the close | 3 of 3 | 3 | +$16.03 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 11 of 12 | 11 | +$150.03 |
| China open | 18 of 21 | 18 | +$185.45 |
How the tickets closed
- 22 took profit
- 13 stopped
- 40 settled
- Best ticket +$98.39, worst −$82.95
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,326.14
- Rules in force: version 1.01b
Same date, every agent
Wed Oct 1462 of 86 calls right51 won, 30 lost1 passpeak in play $479.97+$216.95
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 12 of 21 | 20 | −$151.38 |
| US data | 2 of 4 | 4 | −$5.51 |
| US open | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$3.94 |
| Midday | 16 of 17 | 16 | +$54.25 |
| Final hour | 3 of 4 | 4 | −$0.05 |
| After the close | 3 of 3 | 3 | +$18.75 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 8 of 11 | 11 | +$204.76 |
| China open | 15 of 22 | 19 | +$92.19 |
How the tickets closed
- 24 took profit
- 31 stopped
- 26 settled
- Best ticket +$106.03, worst −$77.67
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,216.95
- Rules in force: version 1.01b
Same date, every agent
Tue Oct 1366 of 86 calls right56 won, 25 lost2 passespeak in play $312.57+$124.72
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 14 of 22 | 21 | +$132.53 |
| US data | 4 of 4 | 4 | +$4.08 |
| US open | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$3.02 |
| Midday | 13 of 18 | 18 | +$108.41 |
| Final hour | 2 of 3 | 3 | +$5.58 |
| After the close | 1 of 1 | 1 | +$8.03 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 11 of 13 | 10 | −$191.89 |
| China open | 18 of 21 | 20 | +$54.96 |
How the tickets closed
- 18 took profit
- 23 stopped
- 40 settled
- Best ticket +$160.77, worst −$319.36
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,124.72
- Rules in force: version 1.01b
Same date, every agent
Mon Oct 1259 of 84 calls right45 won, 31 lost4 passespeak in play $346.28+$196.51
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-market | 12 of 22 | 21 | −$88.35 |
| US data | 2 of 4 | 4 | −$10.93 |
| US open | 3 of 4 | 4 | +$7.54 |
| Midday | 12 of 17 | 14 | −$57.53 |
| Final hour | 2 of 2 | 2 | +$1.06 |
| After the close | 2 of 2 | 1 | −$1.52 |
| Futures and Tokyo | 9 of 11 | 9 | +$12.88 |
| China open | 17 of 22 | 21 | +$333.36 |
How the tickets closed
- 20 took profit
- 27 stopped
- 29 settled
- Best ticket +$118.27, worst −$72.13
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,196.51
- Rules in force: version 1.01b
Same date, every agent
Sun Oct 1126 of 35 calls right18 won, 12 lost0 passespeak in play $209.00+$4.11
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Futures and Tokyo | 9 of 13 | 9 | +$5.97 |
| China open | 17 of 22 | 21 | −$1.86 |
How the tickets closed
- 8 took profit
- 11 stopped
- 11 settled
- Best ticket +$87.35, worst −$90.71
- Started with $2,000, ended with $2,004.11
- Rules in force: version 1.01b
Same date, every agent
Fri Oct 9No tickets2 of 2 calls right0 won, 0 lost1 passpeak in play $0.00$0.00
By part of the day, Pacific time
| Part | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Into the weekend | 2 of 2 | 0 | – |
How the tickets closed
- Started with $10,000, ended with $10,000.00
- Rules in force: version 1.0
Same date, every agent
Same day, every agent
Crypto trades around the clock; commodities and currencies close on Saturdays. The agents start each day with different amounts, so the last column shows each day’s net for every $100 it started with.
| Agent | Calls right | Tickets | Peak in play | Started with | Net | Net per $100 started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto, around the clock | ||||||
| Agent LoLoBitcoin (BTC) | 66 of 87 | 44 won, 24 lost | $1,829.53 | $10,000 | −$483.09 | −$4.83 |
| Agent AnJieEthereum (ETH) | 63 of 85 | 38 won, 19 lost | $392.70 | $2,000 | −$32.86 | −$1.64 |
| Agent ZiCSolana (SOL) | 64 of 87 | 16 won, 10 lost | $143.87 | $2,000 | +$36.15 | +$1.81 |
| Agent GruXRP (Ripple) | 67 of 87 | 52 won, 34 lost | $229.71 | $2,000 | −$91.94 | −$4.60 |
| Agent MarkBNB (Binance Coin) | 67 of 87 | 36 won, 34 lost | $207.19 | $2,000 | +$61.75 | +$3.09 |
| Agent HaloDogecoin (DOGE) | 61 of 87 | 27 won, 5 lost | $32.67 | $2,000 | −$17.45 | −$0.87 |
| Agent ShamiZcash (ZEC) | 56 of 63 | 6 won, 3 lost | $80.85 | $2,000 | +$39.38 | +$1.97 |
| Agent SoniaHYPE (Hyperliquid) | 67 of 86 | 59 won, 17 lost | $52.14 | $2,000 | +$73.29 | +$3.66 |
| All crypto | 511 of 669 | 278 won, 146 lost | $24,000 | −$414.77 | −$1.73 | |
| Commodities, closed Saturdays | ||||||
| Agent WoJiGold (XAU) | 61 of 72 | 12 won, 5 lost | $447.86 | $10,000 | +$72.20 | +$0.72 |
| Agent JiHuiSilver (XAG) | 20 of 29 | 20 won, 9 lost | $221.72 | $2,000 | +$129.28 | +$6.46 |
| Agent NellyCopper (HG) | 64 of 81 | 51 won, 23 lost | $99.00 | $2,000 | +$386.77 | +$19.34 |
| Agent YukiPlatinum (XPT) | 59 of 74 | 42 won, 27 lost | $283.36 | $2,000 | +$2.67 | +$0.13 |
| Agent ReyaNatural gas (NATGAS) | 61 of 76 | 50 won, 21 lost | $374.07 | $2,000 | +$391.15 | +$19.56 |
| Agent LeeWTI crude oil | 64 of 86 | 41 won, 11 lost | $302.77 | $5,000 | −$88.98 | −$1.78 |
| All commodities | 329 of 418 | 216 won, 96 lost | $23,000 | +$893.09 | +$3.88 | |
| Forex, closed Saturdays | ||||||
| Agent AussieAUD/USD (Australian dollar) | 48 of 78 | 25 won, 30 lost | $12.13 | $1,000 | +$177.01 | +$17.70 |
| Agent EUR/USDEUR/USD (euro) | 34 of 86 | 34 won, 52 lost | $83.04 | $1,000 | −$31.74 | −$3.17 |
| Agent GBP/USDGBP/USD (British pound) | 65 of 78 | 50 won, 13 lost | $14.48 | $1,000 | +$49.64 | +$4.96 |
| Agent USD/JPYUSD/JPY (Japanese yen) | 48 of 84 | 36 won, 35 lost | $202.79 | $1,000 | −$157.78 | −$15.78 |
| Agent USD/CADUSD/CAD (Canadian dollar) | 57 of 86 | 52 won, 29 lost | $50.22 | $1,000 | +$14.73 | +$1.47 |
| All forex | 252 of 412 | 197 won, 159 lost | $5,000 | +$51.86 | +$1.04 | |
By month
| Month | Days | Calls right | Tickets | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 12 days, 10 up, 1 down | 598 of 791 | 475 won, 250 lost | +$2,005.35 |
Rule versions
| Version | In force on posted days |
|---|---|
| n5 | Oct 18 to Oct 22 |
| 1.01c | Oct 16 to Oct 18 |
| 1.01b | Oct 11 to Oct 16 |
| 1.0 | Oct 9 |
How these logs are kept
The agents are automated programs run by PM Countdown. Each day is copied from the live log after every window of that day has settled. The copy is fingerprinted with SHA-256, and every number on the day page is worked out from that copy alone.
A posted copy is never saved over. A correction is added as a new, dated copy with its reason, and the first copy stays up.
What this record does not tell you
12 posted days make a small sample. A past day says nothing certain about the next one. A study of more than 300,000 Kalshi contracts found that takers lost about 32 cents of every dollar on average (CEPR VoxEU, Feb 18, 2026), and the CFTC warns that AI cannot predict sudden market changes (CFTC). The agents set an amount aside each day and place no real orders, so real fills can differ from these.
The ledger, newest day first
Every posted day adds a line, and each line carries the fingerprint of the line before. A day that is corrected gets a new line; the original stays.
| Day | Line | Fingerprint | Copied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | day file | a571ff6be74330aaeebbfc2a453db215de578e97fabe64f66816605e666444aa | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | prices | 647373ee8d34a9902016f9bc86355284b73077ea8811023f973b15ed547a9599 | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | day file | 93b7918992a15278380d137c7cb1d82dfdf98243f9e4f74adc8c21cf092c7d7c | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | prices | 751247692697cfa5817efeff2108ffae97cbc265c4bf77097ab852da61533e5f | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | day file | f2e10254ae2fd7f259f68988231d026a8bf55909efc00d6543a8c9fef6df08a7 | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | prices | ed5da7b5fc8b0d3150abe72c55d7217874612e4788eabb66c54ef066d3616848 | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | day file | ec9cb12678899c2152d4bb1e4e24bdbfdbedc3da9c0b31e4cda79cca1a09b62e | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | prices | 5a5effc741a109a97666124129b6593441990f9bc437478cea6bdcc4f8639e4f | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | day file | 1ad8fc058f81cc12b42bd98c391eb779905be9c561788ed7976f4f3086c516ef | Oct 19, 2026 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | prices | 18b1d22d261624258e36c82a29c3e9962375e85a7182d97d2563bb86540213b6 | Oct 19, 2026 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | day file | 22d657fdaca06e19a6a1adb2bd4c3e110af9cc1fc2f251b71ab56665fb93c283 | Oct 18, 2026 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | prices | c5df81716c7666b57e45378fc9078372dc7a21143ddaaed15ed079b3ba854fd7 | Oct 18, 2026 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | day file | 25f60a9b80395cb34716180ec1529a0e87f8ac559235a9d426cf94206a70c81a | Oct 18, 2026 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | prices | 77dacc2b1fbe633309305408355df3573365f9afa660dfd60203fb2e49604bd8 | Oct 18, 2026 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | day file | fadfd4e79fb2eee6ebfed3967bd9b03805ec356a9678c6c20b8eb3f4e1c8dc21 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | prices | cf07f3f75cd9087f0952ad825200307f267423133a69655f8ec04bdd31ee8c08 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | day file | c3d26ed2ecef420a5e86d7afbefc6e270c88d7dbabb08361ede5c16667b462b8 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | prices | 81cad74b8d87626a3a6b4144af3db65496920d75c544181819a8a9670e2078e5 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | day file | 2e2a15743ee83cafc554670db323d6168f7b974e90bbcc7763f7190af885cc72 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | prices | 6c78ed53c7667fa1dd11f53c1bc6152fe940b5e3fac76ab0d6981b29292747ed | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | day file | dea8b2c70905e382a31d05c884d6149a36331d5fefd4e9d4c49c6acbc421adf4 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | prices | 7151b09a15f922b739f08e48e6cf1b9ba046833ea0412974affbaf0c86fd1428 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | day file | c12648d9dab3a42c4139490cce71445926fdaf346ae9f98ebdd76bec1511f57f | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | prices | df915e49d6d3a36749d6fe7310810b280de7b8036eece3f32214482ca7fc8a32 | Oct 15, 2026 |
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